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Beach Futbol Club

ECNL Girls · Southwest GU18/19 · 17 teams · Beach Futbol Club (all teams)

Scores refresh automatically every 2 hours · last pulled 8 minutes ago.
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3rd
3-1-0 record · 4 played
2.50 points per game
+5 goal diff · 7–2
WWWDlast 4
51% chance of top 4 · expected finish 4.7
-0.21 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sat Oct 31, 11:00 AM

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Beach Futbol Club
3rd · 2.50 PPG
vs
Legends FC Del Mar
2nd · 3.00 PPG

El Camino College, Athletic Field ↗

windrawloss

●●●●○ Tough to win

Most likely score 1–1 (expected goals 1.1 for, 1.3 against · 1.26 expected points)

Season so farBeach Futbol ClubLegends FC Del Mar
Position3rd2nd
Record (W-D-L)3-1-03-0-0
Points per game2.503.00
Goals for / game1.83.0
Goals against / game0.50.3
Clean sheets22
Held scoreless00
Form (recent first)D W W WW W W
Biggest win3–0 at LA Breakers FC4–1 at Rebels SC
Worst loss——
Model rating (net goals vs avg)+0.65+1.19
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)-0.21-0.44

Common opponents: Arizona Arsenal — we 1–0; they 3–0. SLAMMERS FC — we 1–1; they 2–0.

Game plan

  • Respect their attack
    Legends FC Del Mar score 3.0/game — well above the league's 1.9.

    Deny the easy goals first: compact shape between the lines, no fouls in shooting range, and a plan for their best outlet. Score first and make them chase.

  • Hard to break down
    Legends FC Del Mar concede only 0.3/game with 2 clean sheet(s).

    Patience and width: move the ball quickly side to side to pull the block apart, and treat set pieces as your best chance — rehearse two corner routines and a near-post free-kick delivery.

  • Underdog — play free, stay organised
    Model gives 33%; a draw (27%) would be a good result.

    Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.

  • They arrive in form
    Legends FC Del Mar have won 3 straight.

    Don't let them settle: deny the first 10 minutes of rhythm with pressure on their first pass out of the back.

If Saturday goes…

Where we'd sit after the Legends FC Del Mar game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Beach Futbol Club – Legends FC Del Mar) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 6 other games that week (Mon Oct 26 – Sun Nov 1); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Draw · 2.20 PPG
4th▼ down 1 4th▼ down 1 4th▼ down 1
Win
2.60 PPG
2nd▲ up 1 2nd▲ up 1 2nd▲ up 1
Draw
2.20 PPG
4th▼ down 1 4th▼ down 1 4th▼ down 1
Loss
2.00 PPG
6th▼ down 3 6th▼ down 3 6th▼ down 3

Can we move up this round? No. With a 1–1 draw we stay 3rd even if every rival loses, and as low as 4th if every rival wins.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

2% finish 1st
51% top 4
49% below the top 4
4.7 average finish
  1. 1st 2%
  2. 2nd 12%
  3. 3rd 18%
  4. 4th 19%
  5. 5th 16%
  6. 6th 14%
  7. 7th 10%
  8. 8th 6%
  9. 9th 2%
  10. 10th 1%
  11. 11th <1%
  12. 12th <1%
  13. 13th <1%
  14. 14th
  15. 15th
  16. 16th
  17. 17th

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 12 remaining known games (max 2.88 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 San Diego Surf 3.00 (+0.50) 1st (2.44) 38 of 36 pts to pass their current pace, 30 for their projection
2 Legends FC Del Mar 3.00 (+0.50) 2nd (2.23) 38 of 36 pts to pass their current pace, 26 for their projection

How the results connect

5 chains · 5 teams

Paths of results that link Beach Futbol Club to Legends FC Del Mar through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

1 favour us
1 even
3 favour them
-1.6 goals per chain on average. The results point their way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
1–1 0–2 1–0 0–3 3–1 1–4 5–3 Beach Futbol Club 3rd SLAMMERS FC 13th Arizona Arsenal 7th Rebels SC 17th Legends FC Del Mar 2nd

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

5 chains

Position over the season

13 game days

1st 9th 17th Sep 12 Sep 20 Oct 3 Oct 7 Oct 18

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty +0.18 · 3rd hardest of 17

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sat Oct 3
11:00 AM
no score posted
Legends FC
10th · 1-2-1 · GD -5
Home
El Camino College · turf?
●●○○○ Lean win
70%
2–0 2.28 2.46 Bank it
Sat Oct 31
11:00 AM
Legends FC Del Mar
2nd · 3-0-0 · GD +8
Home
El Camino College
●●●●○ Tough
33%
1–1 1.26 2.26 Upside
Sat Nov 7
06:00 PM
Blues
14th · 0-0-2 · GD -2
Away far trip
OC Great Park
●●●○○ Toss-up
54%
1–0 1.89 2.20 Swing game
Sat Nov 21
11:00 AM
Rebels SC
17th · 0-0-3 · GD -8
Home
Long Beach City College - Liberal Arts Campus
●○○○○ Favorable
77%
2–0 2.45 2.23 Bank it
Sat Mar 20
TBD
Eagles SC
9th · 1-1-1 · GD +1
Home
●●○○○ Lean win
59%
2–1 1.98 2.21 Swing game
Sun Mar 21
09:00 AM
San Diego Surf
1st · 4-0-0 · GD +13
Away far trip
Surf Sports Park
●●●●● Very tough
24%
1–1 0.93 2.08 Upside
Sat Apr 10
TBD
Phoenix Rising FC
16th · 0-0-4 · GD -7
Home
●●○○○ Lean win
69%
1–0 2.29 2.10 Swing game
Sat Apr 17
TBD
Slammers FC HB Koge
4th · 3-0-1 · GD +4
Away
●●●●○ Tough
41%
1–1 1.49 2.05 Upside
Sat Apr 24
TBD
Pateadores Soccer Club
15th · 0-0-4 · GD -7
Away
●●○○○ Lean win
62%
1–0 2.08 2.05 Swing game
Sat May 1
TBD
LV Heat Surf
6th · 3-1-1 · GD +8
Away
●●●●○ Tough
35%
1–1 1.29 1.99 Upside
Sun May 9
TBD
Utah Royals FC AZ
5th · 3-1-1 · GD +8
Home
●●●○○ Toss-up
43%
1–1 1.53 1.96 Swing game
Sat May 22
TBD
Utah Royals FC AZ
5th · 3-1-1 · GD +8
Away
●●●●○ Tough
34%
1–1 1.26 1.92 Upside

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 San Diego Surf 4400 174+13 123.00 WWWW -0.43 -0.02 98% 1.5
2 Legends FC Del Mar 3300 91+8 93.00 WWW -0.44 +0.02 86% 2.7
3 Beach Futbol Club 4310 72+5 102.50 WWWD -0.21 +0.18 51% 4.7
4 Slammers FC HB Koge 4301 106+4 92.25 WWWL -0.65 +0.19 23% 6.2
5 Utah Royals FC AZ 5311 179+8 102.00 LDWWW +0.04 -0.07 59% 4.3
6 LV Heat Surf 5311 168+8 102.00 DWLWW -0.19 -0.01 49% 4.7
7 Arizona Arsenal 5302 119+2 91.80 WLWWL -0.16 +0.04 16% 6.7
8 LA Breakers FC 4211 1110+1 71.75 DLWW +0.28 -0.12 15% 6.8
9 Eagles SC 3111 76+1 41.33 DWL -0.81 +0.18 2% 9.7
10 Legends FC 4121 611-5 51.25 DWLD -0.16 +0.10 0% 11.9
11 LAFC 5203 614-8 61.20 LWLWL +0.51 -0.16 0% 11.5
12 Sporting California USA 4112 512-7 41.00 WLLD +0.21 -0.06 0% 12.6
13 SLAMMERS FC 5023 713-6 20.40 DLLLD +0.80 -0.33 0% 11.9
14 Blues 2002 02-2 00.00 LL -0.85 +0.15 0% 13.2
15 Pateadores Soccer Club 4004 310-7 00.00 LLLL +0.62 -0.13 0% 14.4
16 Phoenix Rising FC 4004 18-7 00.00 LLLL +0.32 -0.05 0% 15.3
17 Rebels SC 3003 311-8 00.00 LLL +0.59 -0.05 0% 15.0

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (1.92 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.