TableChase Clubs

Utah Royals FC AZ

ECNL Girls · Southwest GU18/19 · 17 teams · Utah Royals FC - AZ (all teams)

Scores refresh automatically every 2 hours · last pulled 1 hour ago.
Add schedule to calendar
5th
3-1-1 record · 5 played
2.00 points per game
+8 goal diff · 17–9
LDWWWlast 5
59% chance of top 4 · expected finish 4.3
+0.04 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sun Oct 25, 11:00 AM

Open the match preview →

Utah Royals FC AZ
5th · 2.00 PPG
vs
Legends FC Del Mar
2nd · 3.00 PPG

Bell Road Sports Complex, Field 15 ↗

windrawloss

●●●●○ Tough to win

Most likely score 1–2 (expected goals 1.9 for, 2.1 against · 1.26 expected points)

Season so farUtah Royals FC AZLegends FC Del Mar
Position5th2nd
Record (W-D-L)3-1-13-0-0
Points per game2.003.00
Goals for / game3.43.0
Goals against / game1.80.3
Clean sheets12
Held scoreless00
Form (recent first)W W W D LW W W
Biggest win7–1 vs LAFC4–1 at Rebels SC
Worst loss3–5 at San Diego Surf—
Model rating (net goals vs avg)+1.05+1.19
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)+0.04-0.44

Common opponents: SLAMMERS FC — we 2–2; they 2–0.

Game plan

  • Respect their attack
    Legends FC Del Mar score 3.0/game — well above the league's 1.9.

    Deny the easy goals first: compact shape between the lines, no fouls in shooting range, and a plan for their best outlet. Score first and make them chase.

  • Hard to break down
    Legends FC Del Mar concede only 0.3/game with 2 clean sheet(s).

    Patience and width: move the ball quickly side to side to pull the block apart, and treat set pieces as your best chance — rehearse two corner routines and a near-post free-kick delivery.

  • Underdog — play free, stay organised
    Model gives 35%; a draw (21%) would be a good result.

    Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.

  • They arrive in form
    Legends FC Del Mar have won 3 straight.

    Don't let them settle: deny the first 10 minutes of rhythm with pressure on their first pass out of the back.

If Sunday goes…

Where we'd sit after the Legends FC Del Mar game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Utah Royals FC AZ – Legends FC Del Mar) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 7 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Loss · 1.67 PPG
8th▼ down 3 8th▼ down 3 9th▼ down 4
Win
2.17 PPG
5th— holds 6th▼ down 1 6th▼ down 1
Draw
1.83 PPG
6th▼ down 1 7th▼ down 2 7th▼ down 2
Loss
1.67 PPG
8th▼ down 3 8th▼ down 3 9th▼ down 4

Can we move up this round? No. With a 1–2 loss we fall to at least 6th even if every rival loses, and as low as 9th if every rival wins.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

3% finish 1st
59% top 4
41% below the top 4
4.3 average finish
  1. 1st 3%
  2. 2nd 14%
  3. 3rd 22%
  4. 4th 21%
  5. 5th 15%
  6. 6th 11%
  7. 7th 8%
  8. 8th 4%
  9. 9th 2%
  10. 10th 1%
  11. 11th <1%
  12. 12th <1%
  13. 13th
  14. 14th
  15. 15th
  16. 16th
  17. 17th

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 12 remaining known games (max 2.71 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 San Diego Surf 3.00 (+1.00) 1st (2.44) 41 of 36 pts to pass their current pace, 32 for their projection
2 Legends FC Del Mar 3.00 (+1.00) 2nd (2.23) 41 of 36 pts to pass their current pace, 28 for their projection
3 Beach Futbol Club 2.50 (+0.50) 4th (1.92) 33 of 36 pts to pass their current pace, 23 for their projection
4 Slammers FC HB Koge 2.25 (+0.25) 6th (1.73) 29 of 36 pts to pass their current pace, 20 for their projection

How the results connect

4 chains · 6 teams

Paths of results that link Utah Royals FC AZ to Legends FC Del Mar through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

1 favour us
3 favour them
-2.0 goals per chain on average. The results point their way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
2–2 0–2 2–1 3–1 3–0 1–3 0–3 3–5 Utah Royals FC AZ 5th SLAMMERS FC 13th LV Heat Surf 6th Phoenix Rising FC 16th Arizona Arsenal 7th Legends FC Del Mar 2nd

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

4 chains

Position over the season

13 game days

1st 9th 17th Sep 12 Sep 20 Oct 3 Oct 7 Oct 18

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty -0.07 · 13th hardest of 17

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sun Oct 25
11:00 AM
Legends FC Del Mar
2nd · 3-0-0 · GD +8
Home
Bell Road Sports Complex
●●●●○ Tough
35%
1–2 1.26 1.88 Upside
Sat Nov 7
01:00 PM
LA Breakers FC
8th · 2-1-1 · GD +1
Home
Bell Road Sports Complex
●●○○○ Lean win
64%
3–2 2.06 1.90 Swing game
Wed Nov 18
07:45 PM
Arizona Arsenal
7th · 3-0-2 · GD +2
Away
Arizona Athletic Grounds
●●●○○ Toss-up
50%
2–2 1.67 1.87 Swing game
Sat Mar 20
TBD
Slammers FC HB Koge
4th · 3-0-1 · GD +4
Away
●●●○○ Toss-up
45%
2–2 1.55 1.84 Swing game
Sun Mar 21
TBD
Sporting California USA
12th · 1-1-2 · GD -7
Away
●●○○○ Lean win
74%
3–1 2.35 1.89 Bank it
Sat Apr 10
TBD
Pateadores Soccer Club
15th · 0-0-4 · GD -7
Home
●○○○○ Favorable
79%
3–1 2.50 1.94 Bank it
Sun Apr 18
TBD
Blues
14th · 0-0-2 · GD -2
Home
●●○○○ Lean win
71%
2–1 2.30 1.97 Bank it
Sat May 1
TBD
Rebels SC
17th · 0-0-3 · GD -8
Home
●○○○○ Favorable
86%
4–1 2.66 2.03 Bank it
Sat May 8
09:00 AM
Eagles SC
9th · 1-1-1 · GD +1
Away far trip
Pleasant Valley Fields
●●●○○ Toss-up
56%
2–2 1.85 2.01 Swing game
Sun May 9
TBD
Beach Futbol Club
3rd · 3-1-0 · GD +5
Away
●●●●○ Tough
34%
1–1 1.25 1.96 Upside
Sun May 16
TBD
Legends FC
10th · 1-2-1 · GD -5
Home
●○○○○ Favorable
80%
3–1 2.49 2.00 Bank it
Sat May 22
TBD
Beach Futbol Club
3rd · 3-1-0 · GD +5
Home
●●●○○ Toss-up
43%
1–1 1.52 1.97 Swing game

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 San Diego Surf 4400 174+13 123.00 WWWW -0.43 -0.02 98% 1.5
2 Legends FC Del Mar 3300 91+8 93.00 WWW -0.44 +0.02 86% 2.7
3 Beach Futbol Club 4310 72+5 102.50 WWWD -0.21 +0.18 51% 4.7
4 Slammers FC HB Koge 4301 106+4 92.25 WWWL -0.65 +0.19 23% 6.2
5 Utah Royals FC AZ 5311 179+8 102.00 LDWWW +0.04 -0.07 59% 4.3
6 LV Heat Surf 5311 168+8 102.00 DWLWW -0.19 -0.01 49% 4.7
7 Arizona Arsenal 5302 119+2 91.80 WLWWL -0.16 +0.04 16% 6.7
8 LA Breakers FC 4211 1110+1 71.75 DLWW +0.28 -0.12 15% 6.8
9 Eagles SC 3111 76+1 41.33 DWL -0.81 +0.18 2% 9.7
10 Legends FC 4121 611-5 51.25 DWLD -0.16 +0.10 0% 11.9
11 LAFC 5203 614-8 61.20 LWLWL +0.51 -0.16 0% 11.5
12 Sporting California USA 4112 512-7 41.00 WLLD +0.21 -0.06 0% 12.6
13 SLAMMERS FC 5023 713-6 20.40 DLLLD +0.80 -0.33 0% 11.9
14 Blues 2002 02-2 00.00 LL -0.85 +0.15 0% 13.2
15 Pateadores Soccer Club 4004 310-7 00.00 LLLL +0.62 -0.13 0% 14.4
16 Phoenix Rising FC 4004 18-7 00.00 LLLL +0.32 -0.05 0% 15.3
17 Rebels SC 3003 311-8 00.00 LLL +0.59 -0.05 0% 15.0

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (1.92 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.