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Culver City Football Club

Elite Academy League 2 · North U11 · 14 teams · Culver City Football Club (all teams)

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10th
1-1-2 record · 4 played
1.00 points per game
-4 goal diff · 6–10
LWDLlast 4
0% chance of top 4 · expected finish 9.5
+0.65 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sun Nov 8, 09:30 AM

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Culver City Football Club
10th · 1.00 PPG
at
Central Coast Surf Soccer
2nd · 3.00 PPG

Talley Fields, Field #3 ↗

windrawloss

●●●●● Very tough to win

Most likely score 1–2 (expected goals 1.5 for, 2.9 against · 0.72 expected points)

Season so farCulver City Football ClubCentral Coast Surf Soccer
Position10th2nd
Record (W-D-L)1-1-23-0-0
Points per game1.003.00
Goals for / game1.52.7
Goals against / game2.51.3
Clean sheets10
Held scoreless10
Form (recent first)L D W LW W W
Biggest win3–1 at TFA-SGV4–2 vs Views FC
Worst loss2–5 at LAIFC (2)—
Model rating (net goals vs avg)-0.44+0.75
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)+0.65+0.51

Common opponents: FC Man United — we 0–0; they 2–1.

Game plan

  • Hard to break down
    Central Coast Surf Soccer concede only 1.3/game with 0 clean sheet(s).

    Patience and width: move the ball quickly side to side to pull the block apart, and treat set pieces as your best chance — rehearse two corner routines and a near-post free-kick delivery.

  • Finishing wins the tight ones
    Held scoreless 1 time(s): 0–0 vs FC Man United.

    Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.

  • Underdog — play free, stay organised
    Model gives 18%; a draw (16%) would be a good result.

    Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.

  • They arrive in form
    Central Coast Surf Soccer have won 3 straight.

    Don't let them settle: deny the first 10 minutes of rhythm with pressure on their first pass out of the back.

  • Away game
    Kickoff 09:30 AM at Talley Fields.

    Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.

  • Early kickoff
    Game time 09:30 AM.

    Light breakfast 2+ hours before, longer warm-up, and a loud start — early games are won by whoever is awake at the whistle.

  • What a win does
    FC Man United sit 9th on 1.40 PPG; we are on 1.00.

    A win moves us above FC Man United on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.

If Sunday goes…

Where we'd sit after the Central Coast Surf Soccer game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Culver City Football Club – Central Coast Surf Soccer) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 6 other games that week (Mon Nov 2 – Sun Nov 8); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Loss · 0.80 PPG		 10th— holds 11th▼ down 1 14th▼ down 4
Win
1.40 PPG		 10th— holds 10th— holds 10th— holds
Draw
1.00 PPG		 10th— holds 10th— holds 13th▼ down 3
Loss
0.80 PPG		 10th— holds 11th▼ down 1 14th▼ down 4

Can we move up this round? No. With a 1–2 loss we stay 10th even if every rival loses, and as low as 14th if every rival wins.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

0% finish 1st
0% top 4
100% below the top 4
9.5 average finish
  1. 1st
  2. 2nd
  3. 3rd <1%
  4. 4th <1%
  5. 5th 1%
  6. 6th 1%
  7. 7th 5%
  8. 8th 13%
  9. 9th 31%
  10. 10th 25%
  11. 11th 16%
  12. 12th 6%
  13. 13th 3%
  14. 14th

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 22 remaining known games (max 2.69 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 Oaks FC 2 3.00 (+2.00) 1st (2.54) 74 of 66 pts to pass their current pace, 63 for their projection
2 Central Coast Surf Soccer 3.00 (+2.00) 4th (1.91) 74 of 66 pts to pass their current pace, 46 for their projection
3 Bell Gardens Football Club 2.00 (+1.00) 2nd (2.06) 48 of 66 pts to pass their current pace, 50 for their projection
4 Oxnard United Soccer Club 2.00 (+1.00) 3rd (1.95) 48 of 66 pts to pass their current pace, 47 for their projection
5 LAIFC (2) 2.00 (+1.00) 6th (1.75) 48 of 66 pts to pass their current pace, 42 for their projection
6 Views FC 1.50 (+0.50) 5th (1.84) 35 of 66 pts to pass their current pace, 44 for their projection
7 Downey United Football Club 1.50 (+0.50) 8th (1.46) 35 of 66 pts to pass their current pace, 35 for their projection
8 LA Surf SC SFV 1.50 (+0.50) 10th (1.11) 35 of 66 pts to pass their current pace, 25 for their projection
9 FC Man United 1.40 (+0.40) 7th (1.54) Win next game

How the results connect

5 chains · 7 teams

Paths of results that link Culver City Football Club to Central Coast Surf Soccer through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

0 favour us
5 favour them
-4.2 goals per chain on average. The results point their way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
0–0 1–2 2–5 3–1 5–2 2–4 2–4 1–2 3–1 0–10 Culver City Footbal… 10th FC Man United 9th LAIFC (2) 5th TFA-SGV 11th Views FC 6th Downey United Footb… 7th Central Coast Surf … 2nd

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

5 chains

Position over the season

7 game days

1st 7th 14th Sep 13 Sep 26 Oct 11 Oct 18

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty -0.01 · 8th hardest of 14

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sun Nov 8
09:30 AM		 Central Coast Surf Soccer
2nd · 3-0-0 · GD +4		 Away
Talley Fields		 ●●●●● Very tough
18%		 1–2 0.72 0.94 Upside
Sun Nov 15
10:25 AM		 Oxnard United Soccer Club
4th · 2-0-1 · GD +10		 Away
Rio Vista Middle School		 ●●●●● Very tough
13%		 1–3 0.52 0.87 Upside
Sat Nov 21
09:00 AM		 Downey United Football Club
7th · 2-0-2 · GD +2		 Home
El Marino Elementary		 ●●●●○ Tough
34%		 1–1 1.23 0.92 Upside
Sun Nov 22
09:00 AM		 Autobahn SA
13th · 1-0-4 · GD -14		 Home
El Marino Elementary		 ●●○○○ Lean win
62%		 2–1 2.04 1.06 Swing game
Sun Dec 6
12:00 AM		 Bell Gardens Football Club
3rd · 2-0-1 · GD +10		 Away
TBD		 ●●●●● Very tough
11%		 1–3 0.46 1.00 Upside
Sun Dec 13
09:00 AM		 FC Golden State Force (2)
14th · 0-0-3 · GD -23		 Home
El Marino Elementary		 ●○○○○ Favorable
85%		 4–1 2.63 1.16 Bank it
Sun Jan 10
12:00 AM		 LA Surf SC SFV
8th · 1-0-1 · GD -3		 Away
TBD		 ●●●●○ Tough
38%		 1–2 1.35 1.18 Upside
Sun Jan 17
12:00 AM		 Valley United Soccer Club
12th · 1-0-3 · GD -9		 Away
TBD		 ●●●○○ Toss-up
42%		 2–2 1.45 1.20 Swing game
Sun Jan 24
12:00 AM		 LAIFC (2)
5th · 3-1-1 · GD +6		 Home
TBD		 ●●●●○ Tough
29%		 2–3 1.03 1.19 Upside
Sun Feb 7
12:00 AM		 TFA-SGV
11th · 1-1-3 · GD -9		 Home
TBD		 ●●●○○ Toss-up
58%		 2–1 1.91 1.24 Swing game
Sun Feb 14
12:00 AM		 Views FC
6th · 2-0-2 · GD +6		 Home
TBD		 ●●●●● Very tough
24%		 1–2 0.89 1.21 Upside
Sun Feb 21
12:00 AM		 FC Man United
9th · 2-1-2 · GD +3		 Away
TBD		 ●●●●● Very tough
23%		 1–2 0.88 1.19 Upside
Sun Feb 28
12:00 AM		 Oaks FC 2
1st · 4-0-0 · GD +21		 Away
TBD		 ●●●●● Very tough
5%		 1–4 0.22 1.14 Upside
Sun Mar 14
12:00 AM		 Central Coast Surf Soccer
2nd · 3-0-0 · GD +4		 Home
TBD		 ●●●●○ Tough
26%		 1–2 0.97 1.13 Upside
Sat Mar 20
12:00 AM		 Oxnard United Soccer Club
4th · 2-0-1 · GD +10		 Home
TBD		 ●●●●● Very tough
21%		 1–3 0.77 1.11 Upside
Sun Mar 21
12:00 AM		 Downey United Football Club
7th · 2-0-2 · GD +2		 Away
TBD		 ●●●●○ Tough
25%		 1–2 0.96 1.10 Upside
Sun Apr 4
12:00 AM		 Autobahn SA
13th · 1-0-4 · GD -14		 Away
TBD		 ●●●○○ Toss-up
52%		 2–1 1.75 1.13 Swing game
Sun Apr 11
12:00 AM		 Bell Gardens Football Club
3rd · 2-0-1 · GD +10		 Home
TBD		 ●●●●● Very tough
18%		 1–3 0.69 1.11 Upside
Sun Apr 18
12:00 AM		 FC Golden State Force (2)
14th · 0-0-3 · GD -23		 Away
TBD		 ●○○○○ Favorable
77%		 3–1 2.42 1.17 Bank it
Sun Apr 25
12:00 AM		 LA Surf SC SFV
8th · 1-0-1 · GD -3		 Home
TBD		 ●●●○○ Toss-up
48%		 2–1 1.65 1.19 Swing game
Sun May 2
12:00 AM		 Valley United Soccer Club (2)
 Home
TBD		 ●●●●○ Tough
38%		 2–2 1.33 1.19 Upside
Tue May 25
12:00 AM		 Views FC
6th · 2-0-2 · GD +6		 Away
Culver City · turf		 ●●●●● Very tough
16%		 1–3 0.63 1.17 Upside

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 Oaks FC 2 4400 221+21 123.00 WWWW -1.62 +0.07 100% 1.1
2 Central Coast Surf Soccer 3300 84+4 93.00 WWW +0.51 -0.08 61% 4.1
3 Bell Gardens Football Club 3201 166+10 62.00 WLW +0.33 -0.19 84% 3.2
4 Oxnard United Soccer Club 3201 166+10 62.00 LWW -1.32 +0.03 68% 3.9
5 LAIFC (2) 5311 1913+6 102.00 WDWLW +0.01 -0.06 29% 5.4
6 Views FC 4202 159+6 61.50 LWWL +0.39 -0.17 47% 4.7
7 Downey United Football Club 4202 86+2 61.50 WLWL -0.28 +0.04 4% 7.5
8 LA Surf SC SFV 2101 25-3 31.50 WL -0.45 +0.10 0% 9.9
9 FC Man United 5212 96+3 71.40 WLLDW -0.23 +0.02 7% 7.0
10 Culver City Football Club 4112 610-4 41.00 LWDL +0.65 -0.01 0% 9.5
11 TFA-SGV 5113 1019-9 40.80 DLLLW -0.64 +0.27 0% 11.9
12 Valley United Soccer Club 4103 1019-9 30.75 LLWL +0.75 -0.05 0% 10.8
13 Autobahn SA 5104 519-14 30.60 LLLLW +0.71 -0.02 0% 12.1
14 FC Golden State Force (2) 3003 124-23 00.00 LLL +0.83 +0.20 0% 14.0

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.71 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.