TableChase Clubs

Oaks FC 2

Elite Academy League 2 · North U11 · 14 teams · Oaks FC (all teams)

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1st
4-0-0 record · 4 played
3.00 points per game
+21 goal diff · 22–1
WWWWlast 4
100% chance of top 4 · expected finish 1.1
-1.62 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sun Oct 25, 09:00 AM

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Oaks FC 2
1st · 3.00 PPG
at
Views FC
6th · 1.50 PPG

Wildflower Park, #1 ↗

windrawloss

●●○○○ Lean win to win

Most likely score 3–1 (expected goals 3.3 for, 1.9 against · 2.11 expected points)

Season so farOaks FC 2Views FC
Position1st6th
Record (W-D-L)4-0-02-0-2
Points per game3.001.50
Goals for / game5.53.8
Goals against / game0.32.3
Clean sheets32
Held scoreless00
Form (recent first)W W W WL W W L
Biggest win12–0 at FC Golden State Force (2)10–0 vs TFA-SGV
Worst loss—2–5 at LAIFC (2)
Model rating (net goals vs avg)+2.60+1.01
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)-1.62+0.39

Game plan

  • Swing game — small margins
    Win 65% / draw 15% / loss 20%.

    Games like this are decided by one set piece or one transition. Prioritise the strongest XI for the full game, be disciplined with fouls near the box, and have a clear late-game plan for both "protect the lead" and "chase".

  • Away game
    Kickoff 09:00 AM at Wildflower Park.

    Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.

  • Early kickoff
    Game time 09:00 AM.

    Light breakfast 2+ hours before, longer warm-up, and a loud start — early games are won by whoever is awake at the whistle.

If Sunday goes…

Where we'd sit after the Views FC game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Oaks FC 2 – Views FC) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 5 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Win · 3.00 PPG		 1st— holds 1st— holds 1st— holds
Win
3.00 PPG		 1st— holds 1st— holds 1st— holds
Draw
2.60 PPG		 2nd▼ down 1 1st— holds 2nd▼ down 1
Loss
2.40 PPG		 2nd▼ down 1 2nd▼ down 1 2nd▼ down 1

Can we move up this round? No. With a 3–1 win we stay 1st even if every rival loses, whatever the rivals do.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

93% finish 1st
100% top 4
0% below the top 4
1.1 average finish
  1. 1st 93%
  2. 2nd 6%
  3. 3rd 2%
  4. 4th <1%
  5. 5th <1%
  6. 6th
  7. 7th
  8. 8th
  9. 9th
  10. 10th
  11. 11th
  12. 12th
  13. 13th
  14. 14th

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

Top of the table. The job is to stay there: see the path below for where points are most at risk.

How the results connect

4 chains · 8 teams

Paths of results that link Oaks FC 2 to Views FC through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

1 favour us
3 favour them
-2.8 goals per chain on average. The results point their way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
12–0 0–4 0–10 4–1 2–5 5–2 3–1 3–0 3–12 0–1 Oaks FC 2 1st FC Golden State For… 14th Culver City Footbal… 10th Valley United Socce… 12th TFA-SGV 11th LAIFC (2) 5th Bell Gardens Footba… 3rd Views FC 6th

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

4 chains

Position over the season

7 game days

1st 7th 14th Sep 13 Sep 26 Oct 11 Oct 18

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty +0.07 · 4th hardest of 14

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sun Oct 25
09:00 AM		 Views FC
6th · 2-0-2 · GD +6		 Away
Wildflower Park		 ●●○○○ Lean win
65%		 3–1 2.11 2.82 Swing game
Sun Nov 8
12:00 AM		 LAIFC (2)
5th · 3-1-1 · GD +6		 Home
TBD		 ●○○○○ Favorable
81%		 4–1 2.53 2.77 Bank it
Sun Nov 15
12:00 AM		 Bell Gardens Football Club
3rd · 2-0-1 · GD +10		 Home
TBD		 ●●○○○ Lean win
70%		 3–1 2.23 2.70 Swing game
Sat Nov 21
12:00 AM		 Oxnard United Soccer Club
4th · 2-0-1 · GD +10		 Home
TBD		 ●●○○○ Lean win
73%		 3–1 2.31 2.65 Bank it
Sun Dec 6
12:00 AM		 LA Surf SC SFV
8th · 1-0-1 · GD -3		 Away
TBD		 ●○○○○ Favorable
84%		 3–1 2.61 2.64 Bank it
Sun Dec 13
12:00 AM		 TFA-SGV
11th · 1-1-3 · GD -9		 Home
TBD		 ●○○○○ Favorable
95%		 5–1 2.87 2.67 Bank it
Sun Jan 10
12:00 AM		 Downey United Football Club
7th · 2-0-2 · GD +2		 Home
TBD		 ●○○○○ Favorable
79%		 3–1 2.49 2.65 Bank it
Sun Jan 17
12:00 AM		 FC Man United
9th · 2-1-2 · GD +3		 Away
TBD		 ●●○○○ Lean win
66%		 2–1 2.16 2.61 Swing game
Sun Jan 31
12:00 AM		 Valley United Soccer Club
12th · 1-0-3 · GD -9		 Home
TBD		 ●○○○○ Favorable
95%		 6–1 2.87 2.63 Bank it
Sun Feb 7
12:00 AM		 FC Golden State Force (2)
14th · 0-0-3 · GD -23		 Home
TBD		 ●○○○○ Favorable
99%		 8–0 2.98 2.66 Bank it
Sun Feb 14
12:00 AM		 Central Coast Surf Soccer
2nd · 3-0-0 · GD +4		 Away
TBD		 ●●○○○ Lean win
65%		 2–1 2.12 2.62 Swing game
Sun Feb 21
12:00 AM		 Autobahn SA
13th · 1-0-4 · GD -14		 Home
TBD		 ●○○○○ Favorable
95%		 5–0 2.88 2.64 Bank it
Sun Feb 28
12:00 AM		 Culver City Football Club
10th · 1-1-2 · GD -4		 Home
TBD		 ●○○○○ Favorable
88%		 4–1 2.70 2.64 Bank it
Sun Mar 7
12:00 AM		 Views FC
6th · 2-0-2 · GD +6		 Home
TBD		 ●○○○○ Favorable
75%		 3–1 2.38 2.63 Bank it
Sun Mar 14
12:00 AM		 LAIFC (2)
5th · 3-1-1 · GD +6		 Away
TBD		 ●●○○○ Lean win
72%		 3–1 2.29 2.61 Bank it
Sat Mar 20
12:00 AM		 Bell Gardens Football Club
3rd · 2-0-1 · GD +10		 Away
TBD		 ●●○○○ Lean win
59%		 3–2 1.93 2.57 Swing game
Sun Mar 21
12:00 AM		 Oxnard United Soccer Club
4th · 2-0-1 · GD +10		 Away
TBD		 ●●○○○ Lean win
62%		 3–2 2.02 2.55 Swing game
Sun Apr 11
12:00 AM		 LA Surf SC SFV
8th · 1-0-1 · GD -3		 Home
TBD		 ●○○○○ Favorable
90%		 4–1 2.76 2.56 Bank it
Sun Apr 18
12:00 AM		 TFA-SGV
11th · 1-1-3 · GD -9		 Away
TBD		 ●○○○○ Favorable
91%		 4–1 2.77 2.57 Bank it
Sun Apr 25
12:00 AM		 Downey United Football Club
7th · 2-0-2 · GD +2		 Away
TBD		 ●●○○○ Lean win
71%		 2–1 2.28 2.55 Bank it
Sun May 2
12:00 AM		 FC Man United
9th · 2-1-2 · GD +3		 Home
TBD		 ●●○○○ Lean win
74%		 2–1 2.38 2.55 Bank it
Tue May 25
12:00 AM		 Central Coast Surf Soccer
2nd · 3-0-0 · GD +4		 Home
Wildflower Park		 ●●○○○ Lean win
74%		 3–1 2.37 2.54 Bank it

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 Oaks FC 2 4400 221+21 123.00 WWWW -1.62 +0.07 100% 1.1
2 Central Coast Surf Soccer 3300 84+4 93.00 WWW +0.51 -0.08 59% 4.2
3 Bell Gardens Football Club 3201 166+10 62.00 WLW +0.33 -0.19 85% 3.1
4 Oxnard United Soccer Club 3201 166+10 62.00 LWW -1.32 +0.03 66% 3.9
5 LAIFC (2) 5311 1913+6 102.00 WDWLW +0.01 -0.06 31% 5.3
6 Views FC 4202 159+6 61.50 LWWL +0.39 -0.17 48% 4.6
7 Downey United Football Club 4202 86+2 61.50 WLWL -0.28 +0.04 4% 7.6
8 LA Surf SC SFV 2101 25-3 31.50 WL -0.45 +0.10 0% 9.9
9 FC Man United 5212 96+3 71.40 WLLDW -0.23 +0.02 7% 7.0
10 Culver City Football Club 4112 610-4 41.00 LWDL +0.65 -0.01 0% 9.5
11 TFA-SGV 5113 1019-9 40.80 DLLLW -0.64 +0.27 0% 11.9
12 Valley United Soccer Club 4103 1019-9 30.75 LLWL +0.75 -0.05 0% 10.8
13 Autobahn SA 5104 519-14 30.60 LLLLW +0.71 -0.02 0% 12.1
14 FC Golden State Force (2) 3003 124-23 00.00 LLL +0.83 +0.20 0% 14.0

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.71 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.