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FC Man United

Elite Academy League 2 · North U11 · 14 teams · FC Man United (all teams)

Scores refresh automatically every 2 hours · last pulled 18 hours ago.
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9th
2-1-2 record · 5 played
1.40 points per game
+3 goal diff · 9–6
WLLDWlast 5
8% chance of top 4 · expected finish 7.0
-0.23 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sun Oct 25, 09:00 AM

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FC Man United
9th · 1.40 PPG
vs

Walnut Ranch Park, Field #2-9v9 ↗

windrawloss

●●●●○ Tough to win

Most likely score 2–2 (expected goals 2.1 for, 2.4 against · 1.23 expected points)

Season so farFC Man UnitedOxnard United Soccer Club
Position9th4th
Record (W-D-L)2-1-22-0-1
Points per game1.402.00
Goals for / game1.85.3
Goals against / game1.22.0
Clean sheets20
Held scoreless10
Form (recent first)W D L L WW W L
Biggest win4–0 vs LA Surf SC SFV8–1 at FC Golden State Force (2)
Worst loss1–3 vs LAIFC (2)2–4 at Bell Gardens Football Club
Model rating (net goals vs avg)+0.36+1.38
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)-0.23-1.32

Common opponents: Autobahn SA — we 3–1; they 6–1.

Game plan

  • Respect their attack
    Oxnard United Soccer Club score 5.3/game — well above the league's 2.7.

    Deny the easy goals first: compact shape between the lines, no fouls in shooting range, and a plan for their best outlet. Score first and make them chase.

  • Finishing wins the tight ones
    Held scoreless 1 time(s): 0–0 at Culver City Football Club.

    Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.

  • Underdog — play free, stay organised
    Model gives 34%; a draw (19%) would be a good result.

    Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.

  • Early kickoff
    Game time 09:00 AM.

    Light breakfast 2+ hours before, longer warm-up, and a loud start — early games are won by whoever is awake at the whistle.

  • What a win does
    LA Surf SC SFV sit 8th on 1.50 PPG; we are on 1.40.

    A point moves us above LA Surf SC SFV on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.

If Sunday goes…

Where we'd sit after the Oxnard United Soccer Club game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (FC Man United – Oxnard United Soccer Club) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 5 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Draw · 1.33 PPG
9th— holds 7th▲ up 2 9th— holds
Win
1.67 PPG
5th▲ up 4 6th▲ up 3 8th▲ up 1
Draw
1.33 PPG
9th— holds 7th▲ up 2 9th— holds
Loss
1.17 PPG
9th— holds 9th— holds 10th▼ down 1

Can we move up this round? Yes. With a 2–2 draw we finish as high as 6th if every rival drops points, and as low as 9th if every rival wins.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

0% finish 1st
8% top 4
92% below the top 4
7.0 average finish
  1. 1st <1%
  2. 2nd 1%
  3. 3rd 2%
  4. 4th 5%
  5. 5th 8%
  6. 6th 16%
  7. 7th 29%
  8. 8th 25%
  9. 9th 11%
  10. 10th 3%
  11. 11th <1%
  12. 12th <1%
  13. 13th
  14. 14th

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 21 remaining known games (max 2.69 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 Oaks FC 2 3.00 (+1.60) 1st (2.54) 71 of 63 pts to pass their current pace, 60 for their projection
2 Central Coast Surf Soccer 3.00 (+1.60) 4th (1.91) 71 of 63 pts to pass their current pace, 43 for their projection
3 Bell Gardens Football Club 2.00 (+0.60) 2nd (2.06) 45 of 63 pts to pass their current pace, 47 for their projection
4 Oxnard United Soccer Club 2.00 (+0.60) 3rd (1.95) 45 of 63 pts to pass their current pace, 44 for their projection
5 LAIFC (2) 2.00 (+0.60) 6th (1.75) 45 of 63 pts to pass their current pace, 39 for their projection
6 Views FC 1.50 (+0.10) 5th (1.84) A point next game
7 Downey United Football Club 1.50 (+0.10) 8th (1.46) A point next game
8 LA Surf SC SFV 1.50 (+0.10) 10th (1.11) A point next game

How the results connect

1 chain · 3 teams

Paths of results that link FC Man United to Oxnard United Soccer Club through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

0 favour us
1 favour them
-3.0 goals per chain on average. The results point their way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
3–1 1–6 FC Man United 9th Autobahn SA 13th Oxnard United Socce… 4th

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

1 chains

Position over the season

7 game days

1st 7th 14th Sep 13 Sep 26 Oct 11 Oct 18

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty +0.02 · 7th hardest of 14

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sun Oct 25
09:00 AM
Oxnard United Soccer Club
4th · 2-0-1 · GD +10
Home
Walnut Ranch Park
●●●●○ Tough
34%
2–2 1.23 1.37 Upside
Sun Nov 8
03:05 PM
Valley United Soccer Club
12th · 1-0-3 · GD -9
Away
Valley United Soccer Complex
●●●○○ Toss-up
58%
2–1 1.91 1.45 Swing game
Sun Nov 15
09:00 AM
TFA-SGV
11th · 1-1-3 · GD -9
Away
Azusa High School · grass
●●○○○ Lean win
60%
2–1 1.99 1.52 Swing game
Sat Nov 21
10:20 AM
Views FC
6th · 2-0-2 · GD +6
Home
Citrus College
●●●●○ Tough
38%
1–2 1.34 1.50 Upside
Sun Nov 22
03:15 PM
Downey United Football Club
7th · 2-0-2 · GD +2
Away
Rancho Los Amigos Sports Center
●●●●○ Tough
37%
1–1 1.35 1.48 Upside
Sun Jan 10
12:00 AM
Bell Gardens Football Club
3rd · 2-0-1 · GD +10
Away
TBD
●●●●● Very tough
23%
1–2 0.85 1.42 Upside
Sun Jan 17
12:00 AM
Oaks FC 2
1st · 4-0-0 · GD +21
Home
TBD
●●●●● Very tough
16%
1–2 0.67 1.36 Upside
Sun Jan 24
12:00 AM
Autobahn SA
13th · 1-0-4 · GD -14
Home
TBD
●●○○○ Lean win
73%
2–1 2.33 1.44 Bank it
Sun Jan 31
12:00 AM
Central Coast Surf Soccer
2nd · 3-0-0 · GD +4
Home
TBD
●●●●○ Tough
39%
1–1 1.39 1.43 Upside
Sun Feb 7
12:00 AM
LAIFC (2)
5th · 3-1-1 · GD +6
Away
TBD
●●●●○ Tough
33%
2–2 1.19 1.42 Upside
Sun Feb 14
12:00 AM
FC Golden State Force (2)
14th · 0-0-3 · GD -23
Home
TBD
●○○○○ Favorable
91%
4–0 2.78 1.50 Bank it
Sun Feb 21
12:00 AM
Culver City Football Club
10th · 1-1-2 · GD -4
Home
TBD
●●●○○ Toss-up
57%
2–1 1.91 1.53 Swing game
Sun Feb 28
12:00 AM
LA Surf SC SFV
8th · 1-0-1 · GD -3
Away
TBD
●●●○○ Toss-up
51%
2–1 1.75 1.54 Swing game
Sun Mar 7
12:00 AM
Oxnard United Soccer Club
4th · 2-0-1 · GD +10
Away
TBD
●●●●○ Tough
25%
1–2 0.93 1.51 Upside
Sun Mar 14
12:00 AM
Valley United Soccer Club
12th · 1-0-3 · GD -9
Home
TBD
●●○○○ Lean win
68%
3–1 2.20 1.54 Swing game
Sat Mar 20
12:00 AM
TFA-SGV
11th · 1-1-3 · GD -9
Home
TBD
●●○○○ Lean win
70%
2–1 2.25 1.57 Bank it
Sun Mar 21
01:30 PM
Views FC
6th · 2-0-2 · GD +6
Away
Malibu Bluffs Park
●●●●○ Tough
28%
1–2 1.05 1.55 Upside
Sun Apr 4
12:00 AM
Downey United Football Club
7th · 2-0-2 · GD +2
Home
TBD
●●●○○ Toss-up
46%
1–1 1.61 1.55 Swing game
Sun Apr 25
12:00 AM
Bell Gardens Football Club
3rd · 2-0-1 · GD +10
Home
TBD
●●●●○ Tough
31%
1–2 1.13 1.54 Upside
Sun May 2
12:00 AM
Oaks FC 2
1st · 4-0-0 · GD +21
Away
TBD
●●●●● Very tough
11%
1–2 0.48 1.49 Upside
Tue May 25
12:00 AM
FC Golden State Force (2)
14th · 0-0-3 · GD -23
Away
Azusa High School
●○○○○ Favorable
85%
3–1 2.64 1.54 Bank it

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 Oaks FC 2 4400 221+21 123.00 WWWW -1.62 +0.07 100% 1.1
2 Central Coast Surf Soccer 3300 84+4 93.00 WWW +0.51 -0.08 61% 4.1
3 Bell Gardens Football Club 3201 166+10 62.00 WLW +0.33 -0.19 83% 3.1
4 Oxnard United Soccer Club 3201 166+10 62.00 LWW -1.32 +0.03 67% 3.9
5 LAIFC (2) 5311 1913+6 102.00 WDWLW +0.01 -0.06 31% 5.3
6 Views FC 4202 159+6 61.50 LWWL +0.39 -0.17 46% 4.7
7 Downey United Football Club 4202 86+2 61.50 WLWL -0.28 +0.04 4% 7.5
8 LA Surf SC SFV 2101 25-3 31.50 WL -0.45 +0.10 0% 9.8
9 FC Man United 5212 96+3 71.40 WLLDW -0.23 +0.02 8% 7.0
10 Culver City Football Club 4112 610-4 41.00 LWDL +0.65 -0.01 0% 9.5
11 TFA-SGV 5113 1019-9 40.80 DLLLW -0.64 +0.27 0% 11.9
12 Valley United Soccer Club 4103 1019-9 30.75 LLWL +0.75 -0.05 0% 10.8
13 Autobahn SA 5104 519-14 30.60 LLLLW +0.71 -0.02 0% 12.1
14 FC Golden State Force (2) 3003 124-23 00.00 LLL +0.83 +0.20 0% 14.0

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.71 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.