TableChase Clubs

FC Golden State Force (2)

Elite Academy League 2 · North U11 · 14 teams · FC Golden State Force (all teams)

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14th
0-0-3 record · 3 played
0.00 points per game
-23 goal diff · 1–24
LLLlast 3
0% chance of top 4 · expected finish 14.0
+0.83 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sun Oct 25, 09:00 AM

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FC Golden State Force (2)
14th · 0.00 PPG
vs
Downey United Football Club
7th · 1.50 PPG

Azusa High School, Field 2 ↗

windrawloss

●●●●● Very tough to win

Most likely score 1–4 (expected goals 1.3 for, 4.0 against · 0.30 expected points)

Season so farFC Golden State Force (2)Downey United Football Club
Position14th7th
Record (W-D-L)0-0-32-0-2
Points per game0.001.50
Goals for / game0.32.0
Goals against / game8.01.5
Clean sheets01
Held scoreless21
Form (recent first)L L LL W L W
Biggest win—3–0 at Valley United Soccer Club
Worst loss0–12 vs Oaks FC 20–2 vs Autobahn SA
Model rating (net goals vs avg)-3.59+0.18
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)+0.83-0.28

Game plan

  • Finishing wins the tight ones
    Held scoreless 2 time(s): 0–12 vs Oaks FC 2, 0–4 at TFA-SGV.

    Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.

  • Underdog — play free, stay organised
    Model gives 7%; a draw (9%) would be a good result.

    Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.

  • Early kickoff
    Game time 09:00 AM.

    Light breakfast 2+ hours before, longer warm-up, and a loud start — early games are won by whoever is awake at the whistle.

  • What a win does
    Autobahn SA sit 13th on 0.60 PPG; we are on 0.00.

    A point moves us above Autobahn SA on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.

If Sunday goes…

Where we'd sit after the Downey United Football Club game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (FC Golden State Force (2) – Downey United Football Club) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 5 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Loss · 0.00 PPG		 14th— holds 14th— holds 14th— holds
Win
0.75 PPG		 13th▲ up 1 12th▲ up 2 13th▲ up 1
Draw
0.25 PPG		 14th— holds 14th— holds 14th— holds
Loss
0.00 PPG		 14th— holds 14th— holds 14th— holds

Can we move up this round? No. With a 1–4 loss we stay 14th even if every rival loses, whatever the rivals do.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

0% finish 1st
0% top 4
100% below the top 4
14.0 average finish
  1. 1st
  2. 2nd
  3. 3rd
  4. 4th
  5. 5th
  6. 6th
  7. 7th
  8. 8th
  9. 9th
  10. 10th
  11. 11th <1%
  12. 12th <1%
  13. 13th 3%
  14. 14th 97%

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 23 remaining known games (max 2.65 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 Oaks FC 2 3.00 (+3.00) 1st (2.54) 78 of 69 pts to pass their current pace, 67 for their projection
2 Central Coast Surf Soccer 3.00 (+3.00) 4th (1.91) 78 of 69 pts to pass their current pace, 50 for their projection
3 Bell Gardens Football Club 2.00 (+2.00) 2nd (2.06) 52 of 69 pts to pass their current pace, 54 for their projection
4 Oxnard United Soccer Club 2.00 (+2.00) 3rd (1.95) 52 of 69 pts to pass their current pace, 51 for their projection
5 LAIFC (2) 2.00 (+2.00) 6th (1.75) 52 of 69 pts to pass their current pace, 46 for their projection
6 Views FC 1.50 (+1.50) 5th (1.84) 39 of 69 pts to pass their current pace, 48 for their projection
7 Downey United Football Club 1.50 (+1.50) 8th (1.46) 39 of 69 pts to pass their current pace, 39 for their projection
8 LA Surf SC SFV 1.50 (+1.50) 10th (1.11) 39 of 69 pts to pass their current pace, 29 for their projection
9 FC Man United 1.40 (+1.40) 7th (1.54) 37 of 69 pts to pass their current pace, 40 for their projection
10 Culver City Football Club 1.00 (+1.00) 9th (1.17) 26 of 69 pts to pass their current pace, 31 for their projection
11 TFA-SGV 0.80 (+0.80) 12th (0.80) 21 of 69 pts to pass their current pace, 21 for their projection
12 Valley United Soccer Club 0.75 (+0.75) 11th (0.97) Win next game
13 Autobahn SA 0.60 (+0.60) 13th (0.75) A point next game

How the results connect

4 chains · 8 teams

Paths of results that link FC Golden State Force (2) to Downey United Football Club through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

0 favour us
1 even
3 favour them
-6.2 goals per chain on average. The results point their way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
1–8 6–1 2–0 0–4 4–4 2–4 0–12 3–0 3–0 0–3 FC Golden State For… 14th Oxnard United Socce… 4th TFA-SGV 11th Oaks FC 2 1st Autobahn SA 13th LAIFC (2) 5th Valley United Socce… 12th Downey United Footb… 7th

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

4 chains

Position over the season

7 game days

1st 7th 14th Sep 13 Sep 26 Oct 11 Oct 18

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty +0.20 · 2nd hardest of 14

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sun Oct 25
09:00 AM		 Downey United Football Club
7th · 2-0-2 · GD +2		 Home
Azusa High School		 ●●●●● Very tough
7%		 1–4 0.30 0.07 Upside
Sat Nov 7
03:30 PM		 LA Surf SC SFV
8th · 1-0-1 · GD -3		 Away
Del Mar 9 v 9		 ●●●●● Very tough
8%		 1–4 0.33 0.13 Upside
Sun Nov 8
08:00 AM		 Bell Gardens Football Club
3rd · 2-0-1 · GD +10		 Away
Gahr High School · grass		 ●●●●● Very tough
1%		 1–8 0.03 0.11 Upside
Sun Nov 15
09:00 AM		 Views FC
6th · 2-0-2 · GD +6		 Home
Azusa High School		 ●●●●● Very tough
3%		 1–6 0.12 0.11 Upside
Sat Nov 21
10:50 AM		 Valley United Soccer Club
12th · 1-0-3 · GD -9		 Away
Valley United Soccer Complex		 ●●●●● Very tough
7%		 2–5 0.29 0.13 Upside
Sun Nov 22
09:00 AM		 Central Coast Surf Soccer
2nd · 3-0-0 · GD +4		 Home
Azusa High School		 ●●●●● Very tough
4%		 1–5 0.16 0.14 Upside
Sat Dec 5
10:30 AM		 Autobahn SA
13th · 1-0-4 · GD -14		 Away
Autobahn Field - Westside Neighborhood School		 ●●●●● Very tough
15%		 1–3 0.59 0.18 Upside
Sun Dec 13
09:00 AM		 Culver City Football Club
10th · 1-1-2 · GD -4		 Away
El Marino Elementary		 ●●●●● Very tough
7%		 1–4 0.29 0.19 Upside
Sun Jan 10
12:00 AM		 LAIFC (2)
5th · 3-1-1 · GD +6		 Away
TBD		 ●●●●● Very tough
2%		 1–7 0.07 0.18 Upside
Sun Jan 31
12:00 AM		 LA Surf SC SFV
8th · 1-0-1 · GD -3		 Home
TBD		 ●●●●● Very tough
13%		 1–3 0.52 0.21 Upside
Sun Feb 7
12:00 AM		 Oaks FC 2
1st · 4-0-0 · GD +21		 Away
TBD		 ●●●●● Very tough
0%		 0–8 0.01 0.19 Upside
Sun Feb 14
12:00 AM		 FC Man United
9th · 2-1-2 · GD +3		 Away
TBD		 ●●●●● Very tough
3%		 0–4 0.16 0.19 Upside
Sun Feb 21
12:00 AM		 Oxnard United Soccer Club
4th · 2-0-1 · GD +10		 Away
TBD		 ●●●●● Very tough
1%		 1–7 0.04 0.18 Upside
Sun Feb 28
12:00 AM		 TFA-SGV
11th · 1-1-3 · GD -9		 Home
TBD		 ●●●●● Very tough
18%		 2–3 0.66 0.21 Upside
Sun Mar 7
12:00 AM		 Downey United Football Club
7th · 2-0-2 · GD +2		 Away
TBD		 ●●●●● Very tough
4%		 1–4 0.18 0.21 Upside
Sun Mar 14
12:00 AM		 Bell Gardens Football Club
3rd · 2-0-1 · GD +10		 Home
TBD		 ●●●●● Very tough
1%		 1–7 0.06 0.20 Upside
Sat Mar 20
01:30 PM		 Views FC
6th · 2-0-2 · GD +6		 Away
Malibu Bluffs Park		 ●●●●● Very tough
1%		 1–6 0.06 0.19 Upside
Sun Mar 21
12:00 AM		 Valley United Soccer Club
12th · 1-0-3 · GD -9		 Home
TBD		 ●●●●● Very tough
13%		 2–4 0.49 0.21 Upside
Sun Apr 4
12:00 AM		 Central Coast Surf Soccer
2nd · 3-0-0 · GD +4		 Away
TBD		 ●●●●● Very tough
2%		 1–5 0.09 0.20 Upside
Sun Apr 11
12:00 AM		 Autobahn SA
13th · 1-0-4 · GD -14		 Home
TBD		 ●●●●● Very tough
23%		 2–3 0.86 0.23 Upside
Sun Apr 18
12:00 AM		 Culver City Football Club
10th · 1-1-2 · GD -4		 Home
TBD		 ●●●●● Very tough
11%		 1–3 0.46 0.24 Upside
Sun Apr 25
12:00 AM		 LAIFC (2)
5th · 3-1-1 · GD +6		 Home
TBD		 ●●●●● Very tough
3%		 1–6 0.14 0.24 Upside
Tue May 25
12:00 AM		 FC Man United
9th · 2-1-2 · GD +3		 Home
Azusa High School		 ●●●●● Very tough
6%		 1–3 0.27 0.24 Upside

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 Oaks FC 2 4400 221+21 123.00 WWWW -1.62 +0.07 100% 1.1
2 Central Coast Surf Soccer 3300 84+4 93.00 WWW +0.51 -0.08 60% 4.1
3 Bell Gardens Football Club 3201 166+10 62.00 WLW +0.33 -0.19 85% 3.1
4 Oxnard United Soccer Club 3201 166+10 62.00 LWW -1.32 +0.03 67% 3.9
5 LAIFC (2) 5311 1913+6 102.00 WDWLW +0.01 -0.06 31% 5.3
6 Views FC 4202 159+6 61.50 LWWL +0.39 -0.17 46% 4.7
7 Downey United Football Club 4202 86+2 61.50 WLWL -0.28 +0.04 4% 7.6
8 LA Surf SC SFV 2101 25-3 31.50 WL -0.45 +0.10 0% 9.9
9 FC Man United 5212 96+3 71.40 WLLDW -0.23 +0.02 7% 7.0
10 Culver City Football Club 4112 610-4 41.00 LWDL +0.65 -0.01 0% 9.5
11 TFA-SGV 5113 1019-9 40.80 DLLLW -0.64 +0.27 0% 11.9
12 Valley United Soccer Club 4103 1019-9 30.75 LLWL +0.75 -0.05 0% 10.8
13 Autobahn SA 5104 519-14 30.60 LLLLW +0.71 -0.02 0% 12.2
14 FC Golden State Force (2) 3003 124-23 00.00 LLL +0.83 +0.20 0% 14.0

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.71 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.