TableChase Clubs

LAIFC (2)

Elite Academy League 2 · North U11 · 14 teams · LAIFC (all teams)

Scores refresh automatically every 2 hours · last pulled 19 hours ago.
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5th
3-1-1 record · 5 played
2.00 points per game
+6 goal diff · 19–13
WDWLWlast 5
31% chance of top 4 · expected finish 5.3
+0.01 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sun Oct 25, 03:30 PM

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LAIFC (2)
5th · 2.00 PPG
vs

Fremont Park, Glendale, Fremont Park Soccer Field ↗

windrawloss

●●●○○ Toss-up to win

Most likely score 2–2 (expected goals 2.9 for, 2.7 against · 1.48 expected points)

Season so farLAIFC (2)Central Coast Surf Soccer
Position5th2nd
Record (W-D-L)3-1-13-0-0
Points per game2.003.00
Goals for / game3.82.7
Goals against / game2.61.3
Clean sheets00
Held scoreless00
Form (recent first)W L W D WW W W
Biggest win5–2 vs Culver City Football Club4–2 vs Views FC
Worst loss2–4 at Downey United Football Club—
Model rating (net goals vs avg)+0.72+0.75
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)+0.01+0.51

Common opponents: FC Man United — we 3–1; they 2–1. Downey United Football Club — we 2–4; they 2–1. Views FC — we 5–2; they 4–2.

Game plan

  • Hard to break down
    Central Coast Surf Soccer concede only 1.3/game with 0 clean sheet(s).

    Patience and width: move the ball quickly side to side to pull the block apart, and treat set pieces as your best chance — rehearse two corner routines and a near-post free-kick delivery.

  • Swing game — small margins
    Win 44% / draw 17% / loss 39%.

    Games like this are decided by one set piece or one transition. Prioritise the strongest XI for the full game, be disciplined with fouls near the box, and have a clear late-game plan for both "protect the lead" and "chase".

  • They arrive in form
    Central Coast Surf Soccer have won 3 straight.

    Don't let them settle: deny the first 10 minutes of rhythm with pressure on their first pass out of the back.

  • What a win does
    Oxnard United Soccer Club sit 4th on 2.00 PPG; we are on 2.00.

    A point moves us above Oxnard United Soccer Club on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.

If Sunday goes…

Where we'd sit after the Central Coast Surf Soccer game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (LAIFC (2) – Central Coast Surf Soccer) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 5 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Draw · 1.83 PPG
5th— holds 4th▲ up 1 6th▼ down 1
Win
2.17 PPG
3rd▲ up 2 4th▲ up 1 5th— holds
Draw
1.83 PPG
5th— holds 4th▲ up 1 6th▼ down 1
Loss
1.67 PPG
5th— holds 6th▼ down 1 8th▼ down 3

Can we move up this round? Yes. With a 2–2 draw we finish as high as 3rd if every rival drops points, and as low as 6th if every rival wins.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

0% finish 1st
31% top 4
69% below the top 4
5.3 average finish
  1. 1st <1%
  2. 2nd 5%
  3. 3rd 10%
  4. 4th 15%
  5. 5th 21%
  6. 6th 24%
  7. 7th 15%
  8. 8th 8%
  9. 9th 1%
  10. 10th <1%
  11. 11th <1%
  12. 12th
  13. 13th
  14. 14th

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 21 remaining known games (max 2.81 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 Oaks FC 2 3.00 (+1.00) 1st (2.54) 68 of 63 pts to pass their current pace, 57 for their projection
2 Central Coast Surf Soccer 3.00 (+1.00) 4th (1.91) 68 of 63 pts to pass their current pace, 40 for their projection
3 Bell Gardens Football Club 2.00 (+0.00) 2nd (2.06) A point next game
4 Oxnard United Soccer Club 2.00 (+0.00) 3rd (1.95) A point next game

How the results connect

5 chains · 7 teams

Paths of results that link LAIFC (2) to Central Coast Surf Soccer through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

3 favour us
2 favour them
-2.2 goals per chain on average. The results point their way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
5–2 2–4 3–1 1–2 2–4 1–2 5–2 0–0 4–4 0–10 LAIFC (2) 5th Views FC 6th FC Man United 9th Downey United Footb… 7th Culver City Footbal… 10th TFA-SGV 11th Central Coast Surf … 2nd

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

5 chains

Position over the season

7 game days

1st 7th 14th Sep 13 Sep 26 Oct 11 Oct 18

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty -0.06 · 11th hardest of 14

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sun Oct 25
03:30 PM
Central Coast Surf Soccer
2nd · 3-0-0 · GD +4
Home
Fremont Park, Glendale
●●●○○ Toss-up
44%
2–2 1.48 1.91 Swing game
Sun Nov 8
12:00 AM
Oaks FC 2
1st · 4-0-0 · GD +21
Away
TBD
●●●●● Very tough
9%
1–4 0.37 1.69 Upside
Sat Nov 14
10:25 AM
Oxnard United Soccer Club
4th · 2-0-1 · GD +10
Away
Rio Vista Middle School
●●●●○ Tough
26%
2–4 0.91 1.60 Upside
Sun Nov 15
04:50 PM
Valley United Soccer Club
12th · 1-0-3 · GD -9
Home
Fremont Park, Glendale
●○○○○ Favorable
77%
5–2 2.42 1.69 Bank it
Sat Nov 21
12:00 AM
Bell Gardens Football Club
3rd · 2-0-1 · GD +10
Away
TBD
●●●●● Very tough
22%
2–4 0.81 1.60 Upside
Sun Nov 22
03:30 PM
LA Surf SC SFV
8th · 1-0-1 · GD -3
Home
Fremont Park, Glendale
●●○○○ Lean win
70%
3–1 2.23 1.66 Bank it
Sun Jan 10
12:00 AM
FC Golden State Force (2)
14th · 0-0-3 · GD -23
Home
TBD
●○○○○ Favorable
96%
7–1 2.90 1.76 Bank it
Sun Jan 17
12:00 AM
Autobahn SA
13th · 1-0-4 · GD -14
Home
TBD
●○○○○ Favorable
82%
4–1 2.56 1.82 Bank it
Sun Jan 24
12:00 AM
Culver City Football Club
10th · 1-1-2 · GD -4
Away
TBD
●●●○○ Toss-up
55%
3–2 1.81 1.82 Swing game
Sun Jan 31
12:00 AM
TFA-SGV
11th · 1-1-3 · GD -9
Away
TBD
●●○○○ Lean win
69%
4–2 2.21 1.85 Swing game
Sun Feb 7
12:00 AM
FC Man United
9th · 2-1-2 · GD +3
Home
TBD
●●●○○ Toss-up
48%
2–2 1.62 1.83 Swing game
Sun Feb 21
12:00 AM
Downey United Football Club
7th · 2-0-2 · GD +2
Home
TBD
●●●○○ Toss-up
53%
2–2 1.76 1.83 Swing game
Sun Feb 28
01:30 PM
Views FC
6th · 2-0-2 · GD +6
Away
Malibu Bluffs Park
●●●●○ Tough
30%
2–3 1.05 1.79 Upside
Sun Mar 7
12:00 AM
Central Coast Surf Soccer
2nd · 3-0-0 · GD +4
Away
TBD
●●●●○ Tough
32%
2–3 1.14 1.75 Upside
Sun Mar 14
12:00 AM
Oaks FC 2
1st · 4-0-0 · GD +21
Home
TBD
●●●●● Very tough
15%
1–3 0.58 1.69 Upside
Sat Mar 20
12:00 AM
Valley United Soccer Club
12th · 1-0-3 · GD -9
Away
TBD
●●○○○ Lean win
66%
4–2 2.10 1.71 Swing game
Sun Mar 21
12:00 AM
Bell Gardens Football Club
3rd · 2-0-1 · GD +10
Home
TBD
●●●●○ Tough
34%
3–3 1.16 1.69 Upside
Sun Apr 4
12:00 AM
LA Surf SC SFV
8th · 1-0-1 · GD -3
Away
TBD
●●○○○ Lean win
59%
3–2 1.93 1.70 Swing game
Sun Apr 18
12:00 AM
Oxnard United Soccer Club
4th · 2-0-1 · GD +10
Home
TBD
●●●●○ Tough
37%
3–3 1.28 1.68 Upside
Sun Apr 25
12:00 AM
FC Golden State Force (2)
14th · 0-0-3 · GD -23
Away
TBD
●○○○○ Favorable
92%
6–1 2.82 1.73 Bank it
Sun May 2
12:00 AM
Autobahn SA
13th · 1-0-4 · GD -14
Away
TBD
●●○○○ Lean win
74%
3–1 2.33 1.75 Bank it

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 Oaks FC 2 4400 221+21 123.00 WWWW -1.62 +0.07 100% 1.1
2 Central Coast Surf Soccer 3300 84+4 93.00 WWW +0.51 -0.08 61% 4.1
3 Bell Gardens Football Club 3201 166+10 62.00 WLW +0.33 -0.19 83% 3.1
4 Oxnard United Soccer Club 3201 166+10 62.00 LWW -1.32 +0.03 67% 3.9
5 LAIFC (2) 5311 1913+6 102.00 WDWLW +0.01 -0.06 31% 5.3
6 Views FC 4202 159+6 61.50 LWWL +0.39 -0.17 46% 4.7
7 Downey United Football Club 4202 86+2 61.50 WLWL -0.28 +0.04 4% 7.5
8 LA Surf SC SFV 2101 25-3 31.50 WL -0.45 +0.10 0% 9.8
9 FC Man United 5212 96+3 71.40 WLLDW -0.23 +0.02 8% 7.0
10 Culver City Football Club 4112 610-4 41.00 LWDL +0.65 -0.01 0% 9.5
11 TFA-SGV 5113 1019-9 40.80 DLLLW -0.64 +0.27 0% 11.9
12 Valley United Soccer Club 4103 1019-9 30.75 LLWL +0.75 -0.05 0% 10.8
13 Autobahn SA 5104 519-14 30.60 LLLLW +0.71 -0.02 0% 12.1
14 FC Golden State Force (2) 3003 124-23 00.00 LLL +0.83 +0.20 0% 14.0

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.71 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.