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Views FC

Elite Academy League 2 · North U11 · 14 teams · Views FC (all teams)

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6th
2-0-2 record · 4 played
1.50 points per game
+6 goal diff · 15–9
LWWLlast 4
46% chance of top 4 · expected finish 4.7
+0.39 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sun Oct 25, 09:00 AM

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Views FC
6th · 1.50 PPG
vs
Oaks FC 2
1st · 3.00 PPG

Wildflower Park, #1 ↗

windrawloss

●●●●● Very tough to win

Most likely score 1–3 (expected goals 1.9 for, 3.3 against · 0.74 expected points)

Season so farViews FCOaks FC 2
Position6th1st
Record (W-D-L)2-0-24-0-0
Points per game1.503.00
Goals for / game3.85.5
Goals against / game2.30.3
Clean sheets23
Held scoreless00
Form (recent first)L W W LW W W W
Biggest win10–0 vs TFA-SGV12–0 at FC Golden State Force (2)
Worst loss2–5 at LAIFC (2)—
Model rating (net goals vs avg)+1.01+2.60
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)+0.39-1.62

Game plan

  • Respect their attack
    Oaks FC 2 score 5.5/game — well above the league's 2.7.

    Deny the easy goals first: compact shape between the lines, no fouls in shooting range, and a plan for their best outlet. Score first and make them chase.

  • Hard to break down
    Oaks FC 2 concede only 0.2/game with 3 clean sheet(s).

    Patience and width: move the ball quickly side to side to pull the block apart, and treat set pieces as your best chance — rehearse two corner routines and a near-post free-kick delivery.

  • Underdog — play free, stay organised
    Model gives 20%; a draw (15%) would be a good result.

    Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.

  • They arrive in form
    Oaks FC 2 have won 4 straight.

    Don't let them settle: deny the first 10 minutes of rhythm with pressure on their first pass out of the back.

  • Early kickoff
    Game time 09:00 AM.

    Light breakfast 2+ hours before, longer warm-up, and a loud start — early games are won by whoever is awake at the whistle.

If Sunday goes…

Where we'd sit after the Oaks FC 2 game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Views FC – Oaks FC 2) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 5 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Loss · 1.20 PPG
9th▼ down 3 8th▼ down 2 9th▼ down 3
Win
1.80 PPG
6th— holds 5th▲ up 1 7th▼ down 1
Draw
1.40 PPG
8th▼ down 2 7th▼ down 1 9th▼ down 3
Loss
1.20 PPG
9th▼ down 3 8th▼ down 2 9th▼ down 3

Can we move up this round? No. With a 1–3 loss we stay 6th even if every rival loses, and as low as 9th if every rival wins.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

1% finish 1st
46% top 4
54% below the top 4
4.7 average finish
  1. 1st 1%
  2. 2nd 9%
  3. 3rd 16%
  4. 4th 21%
  5. 5th 22%
  6. 6th 19%
  7. 7th 9%
  8. 8th 4%
  9. 9th 1%
  10. 10th <1%
  11. 11th
  12. 12th
  13. 13th
  14. 14th

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 22 remaining known games (max 2.77 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 Oaks FC 2 3.00 (+1.50) 1st (2.54) 72 of 66 pts to pass their current pace, 61 for their projection
2 Central Coast Surf Soccer 3.00 (+1.50) 4th (1.91) 72 of 66 pts to pass their current pace, 44 for their projection
3 Bell Gardens Football Club 2.00 (+0.50) 2nd (2.06) 46 of 66 pts to pass their current pace, 48 for their projection
4 Oxnard United Soccer Club 2.00 (+0.50) 3rd (1.95) 46 of 66 pts to pass their current pace, 45 for their projection
5 LAIFC (2) 2.00 (+0.50) 6th (1.75) 46 of 66 pts to pass their current pace, 40 for their projection

How the results connect

4 chains · 8 teams

Paths of results that link Views FC to Oaks FC 2 through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

3 favour us
1 favour them
+2.8 goals per chain on average. The results point our way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
10–0 4–0 0–12 2–5 5–2 1–4 1–3 1–0 12–3 0–3 Views FC 6th TFA-SGV 11th LAIFC (2) 5th Bell Gardens Footba… 3rd FC Golden State For… 14th Culver City Footbal… 10th Valley United Socce… 12th Oaks FC 2 1st

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

4 chains

Position over the season

7 game days

1st 7th 14th Sep 13 Sep 26 Oct 11 Oct 18

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty -0.17 · 13th hardest of 14

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sun Oct 25
09:00 AM
Oaks FC 2
1st · 4-0-0 · GD +21
Home
Wildflower Park
●●●●● Very tough
20%
1–3 0.74 1.35 Upside
Sun Nov 15
09:00 AM
FC Golden State Force (2)
14th · 0-0-3 · GD -23
Away
Azusa High School
●○○○○ Favorable
94%
6–1 2.85 1.60 Bank it
Sat Nov 21
10:20 AM
FC Man United
9th · 2-1-2 · GD +3
Away
Citrus College
●●●●○ Tough
42%
2–1 1.46 1.58 Upside
Sun Nov 22
01:00 PM
Valley United Soccer Club
12th · 1-0-3 · GD -9
Home
Valley United Complex
●○○○○ Favorable
81%
5–2 2.51 1.69 Bank it
Sun Dec 6
03:15 PM
Downey United Football Club
7th · 2-0-2 · GD +2
Away
Rancho Los Amigos Sports Center
●●●○○ Toss-up
46%
2–2 1.58 1.68 Swing game
Sun Jan 10
12:00 AM
Autobahn SA
13th · 1-0-4 · GD -14
Away
TBD
●○○○○ Favorable
77%
3–1 2.41 1.76 Bank it
Sun Jan 17
01:30 PM
Oxnard United Soccer Club
4th · 2-0-1 · GD +10
Home
Malibu Bluffs Park
●●●○○ Toss-up
43%
3–3 1.47 1.73 Swing game
Sun Jan 24
01:30 PM
Central Coast Surf Soccer
2nd · 3-0-0 · GD +4
Home
Malibu Bluffs Park
●●●○○ Toss-up
49%
2–2 1.65 1.72 Swing game
Sun Jan 31
01:30 PM
Bell Gardens Football Club
3rd · 2-0-1 · GD +10
Home
Malibu Bluffs Park
●●●●○ Tough
40%
3–3 1.35 1.69 Upside
Sun Feb 14
12:00 AM
Culver City Football Club
10th · 1-1-2 · GD -4
Away
TBD
●●○○○ Lean win
59%
2–1 1.94 1.71 Swing game
Sun Feb 21
12:00 AM
TFA-SGV
11th · 1-1-3 · GD -9
Away
TBD
●●○○○ Lean win
73%
4–1 2.32 1.75 Bank it
Sun Feb 28
01:30 PM
LAIFC (2)
5th · 3-1-1 · GD +6
Home
Malibu Bluffs Park
●●●○○ Toss-up
55%
3–2 1.80 1.75 Swing game
Sun Mar 7
12:00 AM
Oaks FC 2
1st · 4-0-0 · GD +21
Away
TBD
●●●●● Very tough
13%
1–3 0.50 1.68 Upside
Sat Mar 20
01:30 PM
FC Golden State Force (2)
14th · 0-0-3 · GD -23
Home
Malibu Bluffs Park
●○○○○ Favorable
97%
6–1 2.92 1.75 Bank it
Sun Mar 21
01:30 PM
FC Man United
9th · 2-1-2 · GD +3
Home
Malibu Bluffs Park
●●●○○ Toss-up
52%
2–1 1.76 1.75 Swing game
Sun Apr 4
12:00 AM
Valley United Soccer Club
12th · 1-0-3 · GD -9
Away
TBD
●●○○○ Lean win
71%
4–2 2.24 1.77 Bank it
Sun Apr 11
01:30 PM
Downey United Football Club
7th · 2-0-2 · GD +2
Home
Malibu Bluffs Park
●●●○○ Toss-up
57%
2–1 1.89 1.78 Swing game
Sun Apr 18
12:00 AM
LA Surf SC SFV
8th · 1-0-1 · GD -3
Away
TBD
●●○○○ Lean win
63%
3–1 2.05 1.79 Swing game
Sun Apr 25
01:30 PM
Autobahn SA
13th · 1-0-4 · GD -14
Home
Malibu Bluffs Park
●○○○○ Favorable
85%
4–1 2.62 1.83 Bank it
Sun May 2
12:00 AM
Oxnard United Soccer Club
4th · 2-0-1 · GD +10
Away
TBD
●●●●○ Tough
31%
2–3 1.10 1.80 Upside
Sun May 23
01:30 PM
LA Surf SC SFV
8th · 1-0-1 · GD -3
Home
Valley United Complex
●●○○○ Lean win
73%
3–1 2.33 1.82 Bank it
Tue May 25
12:00 AM
Culver City Football Club
10th · 1-1-2 · GD -4
Home
Culver City · turf
●●○○○ Lean win
70%
3–1 2.23 1.84 Swing game

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 Oaks FC 2 4400 221+21 123.00 WWWW -1.62 +0.07 100% 1.1
2 Central Coast Surf Soccer 3300 84+4 93.00 WWW +0.51 -0.08 62% 4.1
3 Bell Gardens Football Club 3201 166+10 62.00 WLW +0.33 -0.19 85% 3.1
4 Oxnard United Soccer Club 3201 166+10 62.00 LWW -1.32 +0.03 68% 3.9
5 LAIFC (2) 5311 1913+6 102.00 WDWLW +0.01 -0.06 29% 5.4
6 Views FC 4202 159+6 61.50 LWWL +0.39 -0.17 46% 4.7
7 Downey United Football Club 4202 86+2 61.50 WLWL -0.28 +0.04 4% 7.5
8 LA Surf SC SFV 2101 25-3 31.50 WL -0.45 +0.10 0% 9.9
9 FC Man United 5212 96+3 71.40 WLLDW -0.23 +0.02 7% 7.0
10 Culver City Football Club 4112 610-4 41.00 LWDL +0.65 -0.01 0% 9.5
11 TFA-SGV 5113 1019-9 40.80 DLLLW -0.64 +0.27 0% 11.9
12 Valley United Soccer Club 4103 1019-9 30.75 LLWL +0.75 -0.05 0% 10.8
13 Autobahn SA 5104 519-14 30.60 LLLLW +0.71 -0.02 0% 12.2
14 FC Golden State Force (2) 3003 124-23 00.00 LLL +0.83 +0.20 0% 14.0

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.71 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.