Downey United Football Club
Elite Academy League 2 · North U11 · 14 teams · Downey United Football Club (all teams)
Next game — Sun Oct 25, 09:00 AM
●○○○○ Favorable to win
Most likely score 4–1 (expected goals 4.0 for, 1.3 against · 2.61 expected points)
| Season so far | Downey United Football Club | FC Golden State Force (2) |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 7th | 14th |
| Record (W-D-L) | 2-0-2 | 0-0-3 |
| Points per game | 1.50 | 0.00 |
| Goals for / game | 2.0 | 0.3 |
| Goals against / game | 1.5 | 8.0 |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 0 |
| Held scoreless | 1 | 2 |
| Form (recent first) | L W L W | L L L |
| Biggest win | 3–0 at Valley United Soccer Club | — |
| Worst loss | 0–2 vs Autobahn SA | 0–12 vs Oaks FC 2 |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +0.18 | -3.59 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | -0.28 | +0.83 |
Game plan
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They struggle to score
FC Golden State Force (2) average 0.3 goals/game (league avg 2.7); blanked in 2 of 3.A higher defensive line and an aggressive counter-press are low-risk here. Keep the back line connected to midfield so one long ball doesn't turn into a 1v1 — that is the only way this opponent scores.
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They leak goals — be greedy
FC Golden State Force (2) concede 8.0/game; worst result 0–12 vs Oaks FC 2.Commit numbers forward, shoot early and often, and attack second balls. Goal difference is the tiebreaker on PPG, so keep playing to score for the full game — rotate players rather than pace.
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Finishing wins the tight ones
Held scoreless 1 time(s): 0–2 vs Autobahn SA.Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.
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Expected win — the trap is complacency
Model gives a 84% chance; likely score 4–1.Treat the first 15 minutes like a final: score early, then the game manages itself. This is the ideal game to give rotation players real minutes in the second half without risking points.
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Confidence is low on their side
FC Golden State Force (2) have lost 3 straight (form: LLL).Teams on losing runs go quiet after conceding. An early goal usually ends the contest — start fast.
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Away game
Kickoff 09:00 AM at Azusa High School.Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.
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Early kickoff
Game time 09:00 AM.Light breakfast 2+ hours before, longer warm-up, and a loud start — early games are won by whoever is awake at the whistle.
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What a win does
Views FC sit 6th on 1.50 PPG; we are on 1.50.A point moves us above Views FC on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.
If Sunday goes…
Where we'd sit after the FC Golden State Force (2) game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Downey United Football Club – FC Golden State Force (2)) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 5 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.
| Our result | Rivals don't play | Likely results | Every rival wins |
|---|---|---|---|
| – Win · 1.80 PPG |
6th▲ up 1 | 5th▲ up 2 | 8th▼ down 1 |
| Win 1.80 PPG |
6th▲ up 1 | 5th▲ up 2 | 8th▼ down 1 |
| Draw 1.40 PPG |
9th▼ down 2 | 6th▲ up 1 | 9th▼ down 2 |
| Loss 1.20 PPG |
9th▼ down 2 | 8th▼ down 1 | 9th▼ down 2 |
Can we move up this round? Yes. With a 4–1 win we finish as high as 3rd if every rival drops points, and as low as 8th if every rival wins.
Where we finish
2,000 simulated seasons
- 1st
- 2nd <1%
- 3rd 1%
- 4th 3%
- 5th 6%
- 6th 11%
- 7th 24%
- 8th 32%
- 9th 15%
- 10th 5%
- 11th 2%
- 12th <1%
- 13th <1%
- 14th
Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.
Climbing the table
What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 22 remaining known games (max 2.77 PPG if we win out).
| # | Team | PPG | Proj. | To pass them |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Oaks FC 2 | 3.00 (+1.50) | 1st (2.54) | 72 of 66 pts to pass their current pace, 61 for their projection |
| 2 | Central Coast Surf Soccer | 3.00 (+1.50) | 4th (1.91) | 72 of 66 pts to pass their current pace, 44 for their projection |
| 3 | Bell Gardens Football Club | 2.00 (+0.50) | 2nd (2.06) | 46 of 66 pts to pass their current pace, 48 for their projection |
| 4 | Oxnard United Soccer Club | 2.00 (+0.50) | 3rd (1.95) | 46 of 66 pts to pass their current pace, 45 for their projection |
| 5 | LAIFC (2) | 2.00 (+0.50) | 6th (1.75) | 46 of 66 pts to pass their current pace, 40 for their projection |
| 6 | Views FC | 1.50 (+0.00) | 5th (1.84) | A point next game |
How the results connect
4 chains · 8 teams
Paths of results that link Downey United Football Club to FC Golden State Force (2) through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.
Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.
Step through the chains with the arrows, or tap one on the map.
Position over the season
7 game days
The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.
The path
run-in difficulty +0.04 · 5th hardest of 14
| Date | Opponent | Where | Difficulty | Win | Likely | Exp. pts | Run. PPG | Priority |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun Oct 25 09:00 AM |
FC Golden State Force (2) 14th · 0-0-3 · GD -23 |
Away Azusa High School |
●○○○○ Favorable | 84% |
4–1 | 2.61 | 1.72 | Bank it |
| Sun Nov 8 03:15 PM |
Oxnard United Soccer Club 4th · 2-0-1 · GD +10 |
Home Rancho Los Amigos Sports Center |
●●●●○ Tough | 31% |
2–2 | 1.10 | 1.62 | Upside |
| Sat Nov 21 09:00 AM |
Culver City Football Club 10th · 1-1-2 · GD -4 |
Away El Marino Elementary |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 45% |
1–1 | 1.56 | 1.61 | Swing game |
| Sun Nov 22 03:15 PM |
FC Man United 9th · 2-1-2 · GD +3 |
Home Rancho Los Amigos Sports Center |
●●●●○ Tough | 39% |
1–1 | 1.41 | 1.58 | Upside |
| Sun Dec 6 03:15 PM |
Views FC 6th · 2-0-2 · GD +6 |
Home Rancho Los Amigos Sports Center |
●●●●○ Tough | 34% |
2–2 | 1.22 | 1.54 | Upside |
| Sun Dec 13 12:00 AM |
Bell Gardens Football Club 3rd · 2-0-1 · GD +10 |
Away TBD |
●●●●● Very tough | 19% |
1–3 | 0.73 | 1.46 | Upside |
| Sun Jan 10 12:00 AM |
Oaks FC 2 1st · 4-0-0 · GD +21 |
Away TBD |
●●●●● Very tough | 9% |
1–3 | 0.39 | 1.37 | Upside |
| Sun Jan 17 12:00 AM |
TFA-SGV 11th · 1-1-3 · GD -9 |
Home TBD |
●●○○○ Lean win | 68% |
3–1 | 2.19 | 1.43 | Swing game |
| Sun Jan 24 12:00 AM |
Valley United Soccer Club 12th · 1-0-3 · GD -9 |
Home TBD |
●●○○○ Lean win | 66% |
3–1 | 2.12 | 1.49 | Swing game |
| Sun Feb 7 12:00 AM |
Central Coast Surf Soccer 2nd · 3-0-0 · GD +4 |
Away TBD |
●●●●○ Tough | 27% |
1–2 | 1.01 | 1.45 | Upside |
| Sun Feb 14 12:00 AM |
LA Surf SC SFV 8th · 1-0-1 · GD -3 |
Home TBD |
●●○○○ Lean win | 58% |
2–1 | 1.94 | 1.49 | Swing game |
| Sun Feb 21 12:00 AM |
LAIFC (2) 5th · 3-1-1 · GD +6 |
Away TBD |
●●●●○ Tough | 29% |
2–2 | 1.06 | 1.46 | Upside |
| Sun Feb 28 12:00 AM |
Autobahn SA 13th · 1-0-4 · GD -14 |
Away TBD |
●●○○○ Lean win | 62% |
2–1 | 2.03 | 1.49 | Swing game |
| Sun Mar 7 12:00 AM |
FC Golden State Force (2) 14th · 0-0-3 · GD -23 |
Home TBD |
●○○○○ Favorable | 90% |
4–1 | 2.76 | 1.56 | Bank it |
| Sun Mar 14 12:00 AM |
Oxnard United Soccer Club 4th · 2-0-1 · GD +10 |
Away TBD |
●●●●● Very tough | 22% |
1–3 | 0.81 | 1.52 | Upside |
| Sun Mar 21 12:00 AM |
Culver City Football Club 10th · 1-1-2 · GD -4 |
Home TBD |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 54% |
2–1 | 1.84 | 1.54 | Swing game |
| Sun Apr 4 12:00 AM |
FC Man United 9th · 2-1-2 · GD +3 |
Away TBD |
●●●●○ Tough | 31% |
1–1 | 1.16 | 1.52 | Upside |
| Sun Apr 11 01:30 PM |
Views FC 6th · 2-0-2 · GD +6 |
Away Malibu Bluffs Park |
●●●●○ Tough | 25% |
1–2 | 0.93 | 1.49 | Upside |
| Sun Apr 18 12:00 AM |
Bell Gardens Football Club 3rd · 2-0-1 · GD +10 |
Home TBD |
●●●●○ Tough | 28% |
2–2 | 1.01 | 1.47 | Upside |
| Sun Apr 25 12:00 AM |
Oaks FC 2 1st · 4-0-0 · GD +21 |
Home TBD |
●●●●● Very tough | 14% |
1–2 | 0.57 | 1.43 | Upside |
| Sun May 2 12:00 AM |
TFA-SGV 11th · 1-1-3 · GD -9 |
Away TBD |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 58% |
2–1 | 1.91 | 1.45 | Swing game |
| Tue May 25 12:00 AM |
LA Surf SC SFV 8th · 1-0-1 · GD -3 |
Away Citrus College |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 48% |
2–1 | 1.66 | 1.46 | Swing game |
"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.
Standings
| # | Team | GP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | Form | SoS | Run-in | Top 4 | Exp. finish | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| 1 | Oaks FC 2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 22 | 1 | +21 | 12 | 3.00 | WWWW | -1.62 | +0.07 | 100% | 1.1 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 at Views FC · Sun Nov 8 vs LAIFC (2) · Sun Nov 15 vs Bell Gardens Football Club See all 22 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 2 | Central Coast Surf Soccer | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 4 | +4 | 9 | 3.00 | WWW | +0.51 | -0.08 | 62% | 4.0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 at LAIFC (2) · Sun Nov 8 vs Culver City Football Club · Sun Nov 15 at Autobahn SA See all 23 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 3 | Bell Gardens Football Club | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 6 | +10 | 6 | 2.00 | WLW | +0.33 | -0.19 | 83% | 3.2 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs LA Surf SC SFV · Sun Nov 8 vs FC Golden State Force (2) · Sun Nov 15 at Oaks FC 2 See all 23 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 4 | Oxnard United Soccer Club | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 6 | +10 | 6 | 2.00 | LWW | -1.32 | +0.03 | 68% | 3.9 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Sep 27 vs LA Surf SC SFV · Sun Oct 25 at FC Man United · Sun Nov 8 at Downey United Football Club See all 23 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 5 | LAIFC (2) | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 13 | +6 | 10 | 2.00 | WDWLW | +0.01 | -0.06 | 28% | 5.4 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 vs Central Coast Surf Soccer · Sun Nov 8 at Oaks FC 2 · Sat Nov 14 at Oxnard United Soccer Club See all 21 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 6 | Views FC | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 9 | +6 | 6 | 1.50 | LWWL | +0.39 | -0.17 | 48% | 4.7 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 vs Oaks FC 2 · Sun Nov 15 at FC Golden State Force (2) · Sat Nov 21 at FC Man United See all 22 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 7 | Downey United Football Club | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 6 | +2 | 6 | 1.50 | WLWL | -0.28 | +0.04 | 5% | 7.5 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 at FC Golden State Force (2) · Sun Nov 8 vs Oxnard United Soccer Club · Sat Nov 21 at Culver City Football Club See all 22 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 8 | LA Surf SC SFV | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 3 | 1.50 | WL | -0.45 | +0.10 | 0% | 9.9 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Sep 27 at Oxnard United Soccer Club · Sat Oct 17 vs Valley United Soccer Club · Sat Oct 24 at Bell Gardens Football Club See all 24 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 9 | FC Man United | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 6 | +3 | 7 | 1.40 | WLLDW | -0.23 | +0.02 | 6% | 7.0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 vs Oxnard United Soccer Club · Sun Nov 8 at Valley United Soccer Club · Sun Nov 15 at TFA-SGV See all 21 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 10 | Culver City Football Club | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 4 | 1.00 | LWDL | +0.65 | -0.01 | 0% | 9.5 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Nov 8 at Central Coast Surf Soccer · Sun Nov 15 at Oxnard United Soccer Club · Sat Nov 21 vs Downey United Football Club See all 22 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 11 | TFA-SGV | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 4 | 0.80 | DLLLW | -0.64 | +0.27 | 0% | 11.9 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 at Valley United Soccer Club · Sun Nov 8 at Autobahn SA · Sun Nov 15 vs FC Man United See all 21 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 12 | Valley United Soccer Club | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 3 | 0.75 | LLWL | +0.75 | -0.05 | 0% | 10.8 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 17 at LA Surf SC SFV · Sun Oct 25 vs TFA-SGV · Sun Nov 8 vs FC Man United See all 20 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 13 | Autobahn SA | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 19 | -14 | 3 | 0.60 | LLLLW | +0.71 | -0.02 | 0% | 12.1 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Nov 8 vs TFA-SGV · Sun Nov 15 vs Central Coast Surf Soccer · Sat Nov 21 at LA Surf SC SFV See all 21 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 14 | FC Golden State Force (2) | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 24 | -23 | 0 | 0.00 | LLL | +0.83 | +0.20 | 0% | 14.0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 vs Downey United Football Club · Sat Nov 7 at LA Surf SC SFV · Sun Nov 8 at Bell Gardens Football Club See all 23 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.
How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.71 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.