Beach Futbol Club
ECNL Boys · Southwest BU18/19 · 13 teams · Beach Futbol Club (all teams)
Next game — Sat Oct 31, 11:00 AM
Long Beach City College - Liberal Arts Campus, Field 2 ↗
●○○○○ Favorable to win
Most likely score 3–0 (expected goals 3.2 for, 0.9 against · 2.55 expected points)
| Season so far | Beach Futbol Club | Legends FC Del Mar |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 3rd | 12th |
| Record (W-D-L) | 2-3-0 | 1-0-5 |
| Points per game | 1.80 | 0.50 |
| Goals for / game | 2.6 | 0.8 |
| Goals against / game | 1.4 | 2.3 |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 1 |
| Held scoreless | 0 | 3 |
| Form (recent first) | W D D W D | L L W L L |
| Biggest win | 5–1 vs Rebels SC | 3–0 vs LV Heat Surf SC |
| Worst loss | — | 0–5 vs Sporting California USA |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +0.75 | -1.07 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | +0.03 | -0.14 |
Game plan
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Expected win — the trap is complacency
Model gives a 81% chance; likely score 3–0.Treat the first 15 minutes like a final: score early, then the game manages itself. This is the ideal game to give rotation players real minutes in the second half without risking points.
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What a win does
LA Breakers FC sit 2nd on 2.00 PPG; we are on 1.80.A win moves us above LA Breakers FC on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.
If Saturday goes…
Where we'd sit after the Legends FC Del Mar game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Beach Futbol Club – Legends FC Del Mar) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 5 other games that week (Mon Oct 26 – Sun Nov 1); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.
| Our result | Rivals don't play | Likely results | Every rival wins |
|---|---|---|---|
| – Win · 2.00 PPG |
1st▲ up 2 | 1st▲ up 2 | 2nd▲ up 1 |
| Win 2.00 PPG |
1st▲ up 2 | 1st▲ up 2 | 2nd▲ up 1 |
| Draw 1.67 PPG |
5th▼ down 2 | 5th▼ down 2 | 9th▼ down 6 |
| Loss 1.50 PPG |
7th▼ down 4 | 7th▼ down 4 | 11th▼ down 8 |
Can we move up this round? Yes. With a 3–0 win we finish as high as 1st if every rival drops points, and as low as 2nd if every rival wins.
Where we finish
2,000 simulated seasons
- 1st 26%
- 2nd 18%
- 3rd 15%
- 4th 11%
- 5th 11%
- 6th 6%
- 7th 6%
- 8th 4%
- 9th 2%
- 10th 1%
- 11th <1%
- 12th
- 13th
Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.
Climbing the table
What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 19 remaining known games (max 2.75 PPG if we win out).
| # | Team | PPG | Proj. | To pass them |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Legends FC | 2.00 (+0.20) | 2nd (1.77) | Win next game |
| 2 | LA Breakers FC | 2.00 (+0.20) | 10th (1.38) | Win next game |
How the results connect
13 chains · 9 teams
Paths of results that link Beach Futbol Club to Legends FC Del Mar through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.
Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.
Step through the chains with the arrows, or tap one on the map.
Position over the season
13 game days
The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.
The path
run-in difficulty -0.04 · 12th hardest of 13
| Date | Opponent | Where | Difficulty | Win | Likely | Exp. pts | Run. PPG | Priority |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun Oct 4 11:00 AM no score posted |
SDSC Surf 6th · 2-2-1 · GD +4 |
Home El Camino College |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 42% |
1–1 | 1.52 | 1.75 | Swing game |
| Sat Oct 31 11:00 AM |
Legends FC Del Mar 12th · 1-0-5 · GD -9 |
Home Long Beach City College - Liberal Arts Campus |
●○○○○ Favorable | 81% |
3–0 | 2.55 | 1.87 | Bank it |
| Sun Nov 1 11:00 AM |
LAFC 10th · 1-2-1 · GD +2 |
Home El Camino College |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 55% |
2–1 | 1.85 | 1.87 | Swing game |
| Sat Nov 7 08:30 AM |
West Coast FC 4th · 2-3-0 · GD +2 |
Away far trip
Lake Forest Sports Park |
●●●●○ Tough | 41% |
1–1 | 1.49 | 1.82 | Upside |
| Sun Nov 8 09:45 AM |
SDSC Surf 6th · 2-2-1 · GD +4 |
Away far trip
Westview High School · turf? |
●●●●○ Tough | 34% |
1–1 | 1.28 | 1.77 | Upside |
| Sat Nov 14 11:00 AM |
Pateadores Soccer Club 7th · 2-3-1 · GD +6 |
Home El Camino College |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 47% |
1–1 | 1.64 | 1.76 | Swing game |
| Sun Nov 15 09:00 AM |
LA Breakers FC 2nd · 4-0-2 · GD +2 |
Home El Camino College |
●●○○○ Lean win | 59% |
2–1 | 1.97 | 1.78 | Swing game |
| Sat Mar 20 TBD |
LV Heat Surf SC 13th · 0-1-7 · GD -25 |
Away |
●○○○○ Favorable | 91% |
3–0 | 2.80 | 1.85 | Bank it |
| Sat Apr 3 10:00 AM |
West Coast FC 4th · 2-3-0 · GD +2 |
Home El Camino College |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 50% |
1–1 | 1.73 | 1.85 | Swing game |
| Sun Apr 4 04:00 PM |
Legends FC Del Mar 12th · 1-0-5 · GD -9 |
Away far trip
San Dieguito Academy |
●●○○○ Lean win | 74% |
2–1 | 2.37 | 1.88 | Bank it |
| Sat Apr 10 TBD |
CDA Slammers FC 5th · 3-1-2 · GD +7 |
Away |
●●●●○ Tough | 35% |
1–1 | 1.26 | 1.84 | Upside |
| Sat Apr 17 TBD |
LAFC 10th · 1-2-1 · GD +2 |
Away |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 45% |
1–1 | 1.58 | 1.83 | Swing game |
| Sun Apr 18 09:00 AM |
Legends FC 1st · 2-2-0 · GD +4 |
Away far trip
Silverlakes Complex |
●●●●○ Tough | 38% |
1–2 | 1.34 | 1.80 | Upside |
| Sat Apr 24 11:00 AM |
LV Heat Surf SC 13th · 0-1-7 · GD -25 |
Home El Camino College |
●○○○○ Favorable | 94% |
4–0 | 2.87 | 1.86 | Bank it |
| Sat May 1 TBD |
Sporting California USA 9th · 1-2-1 · GD +4 |
Away |
●●●●○ Tough | 35% |
1–1 | 1.28 | 1.83 | Upside |
| Sat May 8 11:00 AM |
CDA Slammers FC 5th · 3-1-2 · GD +7 |
Home El Camino College |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 44% |
1–1 | 1.54 | 1.81 | Swing game |
| Sat May 15 TBD |
LA Breakers FC 2nd · 4-0-2 · GD +2 |
Away |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 50% |
1–1 | 1.71 | 1.81 | Swing game |
| Sat May 22 11:00 AM |
Legends FC 1st · 2-2-0 · GD +4 |
Home El Camino College |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 48% |
2–1 | 1.64 | 1.80 | Swing game |
| Sat May 29 11:00 AM |
Sporting California USA 9th · 1-2-1 · GD +4 |
Home El Camino College |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 44% |
1–1 | 1.54 | 1.79 | Swing game |
"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.
Standings
| # | Team | GP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | Form | SoS | Run-in | Top 4 | Exp. finish | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| 1 | Legends FC | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 6 | +4 | 8 | 2.00 | DWDW | +0.18 | -0.05 | 63% | 3.9 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Wed Oct 21 at Pateadores Soccer Club · Sat Oct 24 vs SDSC Surf · Sat Oct 31 vs San Diego Surf B08/09 See all 20 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 2 | LA Breakers FC | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 8 | +2 | 12 | 2.00 | WLWWL | -0.60 | +0.27 | 9% | 8.2 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Nov 7 at SDSC Surf · Sun Nov 8 at San Diego Surf B08/09 · Sun Nov 15 at Beach Futbol Club See all 18 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 3 | Beach Futbol Club | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 13 | 7 | +6 | 9 | 1.80 | DWDDW | +0.03 | -0.04 | 70% | 3.5 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 4 vs SDSC Surf · Sat Oct 31 vs Legends FC Del Mar · Sun Nov 1 vs LAFC See all 19 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 4 | West Coast FC | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 4 | +2 | 9 | 1.80 | DWWDD | -0.01 | +0.04 | 27% | 6.4 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at LV Heat Surf SC · Sat Nov 7 vs Beach Futbol Club · Sun Nov 8 at Legends FC See all 19 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 5 | CDA Slammers FC | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 6 | +7 | 10 | 1.67 | LWWLW | -0.36 | +0.10 | 57% | 4.4 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 3 vs San Diego Surf B08/09 · Sat Oct 24 vs Pateadores Soccer Club · Sun Oct 25 vs Rebels SC See all 18 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 6 | SDSC Surf | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 3 | +4 | 8 | 1.60 | DDWLW | +0.00 | +0.01 | 46% | 5.0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 4 at Beach Futbol Club · Sat Oct 24 at Legends FC · Sun Oct 25 vs LAFC See all 19 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 7 | Pateadores Soccer Club | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 13 | 7 | +6 | 9 | 1.50 | LDDWW | -0.48 | +0.14 | 31% | 6.0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Wed Oct 21 vs Legends FC · Sat Oct 24 at CDA Slammers FC · Sat Oct 31 vs Sporting California USA See all 18 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 8 | San Diego Surf B08/09 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 4 | +4 | 6 | 1.50 | DDWD | -0.02 | +0.00 | 45% | 5.1 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 3 at CDA Slammers FC · Sat Oct 24 at Sporting California USA · Sat Oct 31 at Legends FC See all 20 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 9 | Sporting California USA | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 3 | +4 | 5 | 1.25 | LDWD | -0.06 | +0.00 | 42% | 5.2 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs San Diego Surf B08/09 · Sat Oct 31 at Pateadores Soccer Club · Sun Nov 1 at Rebels SC See all 20 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 10 | LAFC | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 5 | +2 | 5 | 1.25 | DWLD | -0.27 | +0.09 | 11% | 7.9 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at Legends FC Del Mar · Sun Oct 25 at SDSC Surf · Sat Oct 31 vs Rebels SC See all 20 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 11 | Rebels SC | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 16 | -7 | 6 | 1.20 | WWLLL | +0.48 | +0.01 | 0% | 10.4 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 at CDA Slammers FC · Sat Oct 31 at LAFC · Sun Nov 1 vs Sporting California USA See all 19 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 12 | Legends FC Del Mar | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 14 | -9 | 3 | 0.50 | LLWLL | -0.14 | +0.22 | 0% | 12.0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs LAFC · Sat Oct 31 at Beach Futbol Club · Sun Nov 1 at CDA Slammers FC See all 18 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 13 | LV Heat Surf SC | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 1 | 26 | -25 | 1 | 0.13 | LLLLL | +0.23 | +0.23 | 0% | 13.0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs West Coast FC · Sat Nov 14 vs Rebels SC · Sun Mar 14 at Legends FC See all 16 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.
How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (1.58 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.