TableChase Clubs

West Coast FC

ECNL Boys · Southwest BU18/19 · 13 teams · West Coast F.C. (all teams)

Scores refresh automatically every 2 hours · last pulled 47 minutes ago.
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3rd
2-3-0 record · 5 played
1.80 points per game
+2 goal diff · 6–4
DWWDDlast 5
26% chance of top 4 · expected finish 6.4
-0.01 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sat Oct 24, TBD

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West Coast FC
3rd · 1.80 PPG
at
LV Heat Surf SC
13th · 0.13 PPG

Venue TBD

windrawloss

●○○○○ Favorable to win

Most likely score 2–0 (expected goals 2.2 for, 0.4 against · 2.53 expected points)

Season so farWest Coast FCLV Heat Surf SC
Position3rd13th
Record (W-D-L)2-3-00-1-7
Points per game1.800.13
Goals for / game1.20.1
Goals against / game0.83.3
Clean sheets21
Held scoreless17
Form (recent first)D D W W DL L L L L
Biggest win1–0 at Sporting California USA—
Worst loss—1–7 at CDA Slammers FC
Model rating (net goals vs avg)+0.21-2.23
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)-0.01+0.23

Already played this season: Sat Sep 12 0–0 vs LV Heat Surf SC (D)

Common opponents: CDA Slammers FC — we 2–1; they 1–7.

Game plan

  • They struggle to score
    LV Heat Surf SC average 0.1 goals/game (league avg 1.6); blanked in 7 of 8.

    A higher defensive line and an aggressive counter-press are low-risk here. Keep the back line connected to midfield so one long ball doesn't turn into a 1v1 — that is the only way this opponent scores.

  • They leak goals — be greedy
    LV Heat Surf SC concede 3.2/game; worst result 1–7 at CDA Slammers FC.

    Commit numbers forward, shoot early and often, and attack second balls. Goal difference is the tiebreaker on PPG, so keep playing to score for the full game — rotate players rather than pace.

  • Finishing wins the tight ones
    Held scoreless 1 time(s): 0–0 vs LV Heat Surf SC.

    Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.

  • Expected win — the trap is complacency
    Model gives a 79% chance; likely score 2–0.

    Treat the first 15 minutes like a final: score early, then the game manages itself. This is the ideal game to give rotation players real minutes in the second half without risking points.

  • Confidence is low on their side
    LV Heat Surf SC have lost 7 straight (form: LLLLL).

    Teams on losing runs go quiet after conceding. An early goal usually ends the contest — start fast.

  • Away game
    Kickoff TBD at TBD.

    Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.

  • What a win does
    LA Breakers FC sit 2nd on 2.00 PPG; we are on 1.80.

    A win moves us above LA Breakers FC on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.

If Saturday goes…

Where we'd sit after the LV Heat Surf SC game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (West Coast FC – LV Heat Surf SC) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 8 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Win · 2.00 PPG		 2nd▲ up 1 1st▲ up 2 4th▼ down 1
Win
2.00 PPG		 2nd▲ up 1 1st▲ up 2 4th▼ down 1
Draw
1.67 PPG		 4th▼ down 1 6th▼ down 3 10th▼ down 7
Loss
1.50 PPG		 8th▼ down 5 6th▼ down 3 11th▼ down 8

Can we move up this round? Yes. With a 2–0 win we finish as high as 1st if every rival drops points, and as low as 4th if every rival wins.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

5% finish 1st
26% top 4
74% below the top 4
6.4 average finish
  1. 1st 5%
  2. 2nd 6%
  3. 3rd 7%
  4. 4th 9%
  5. 5th 12%
  6. 6th 11%
  7. 7th 12%
  8. 8th 13%
  9. 9th 12%
  10. 10th 9%
  11. 11th 4%
  12. 12th <1%
  13. 13th

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 19 remaining known games (max 2.75 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 Legends FC 2.00 (+0.20) 1st (1.78) Win next game
2 LA Breakers FC 2.00 (+0.20) 10th (1.38) Win next game

How the results connect

14 chains · 9 teams

Paths of results that link West Coast FC to LV Heat Surf SC through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

13 favour us
1 even
0 favour them
+4.9 goals per chain on average. The results point our way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
0–0 2–1 7–1 1–1 1–1 3–0 4–0 2–2 0–0 4–0 1–2 3–1 1–0 1–0 0–0 1–0 3–0 3–0 West Coast FC 3rd CDA Slammers FC 4th Sporting California… 10th LAFC 11th Pateadores Soccer C… 6th SDSC Surf 5th LA Breakers FC 2nd Legends FC Del Mar 12th LV Heat Surf SC 13th

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

12 chains

Position over the season

12 game days

1st 7th 13th Sep 12 Sep 19 Sep 26 Oct 3 Oct 5 Oct 17 Oct 18

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty +0.04 · 7th hardest of 13

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sat Oct 24
TBD		 LV Heat Surf SC
13th · 0-1-7 · GD -25		 Away
●○○○○ Favorable
79%		 2–0 2.53 1.92 Bank it
Sat Nov 7
08:30 AM		 Beach Futbol Club
7th · 1-3-0 · GD +4		 Home
Lake Forest Sports Park		 ●●●●○ Tough
35%		 1–1 1.30 1.83 Upside
Sun Nov 8
01:00 PM		 Legends FC
1st · 2-2-0 · GD +4		 Away far trip
Silverlakes Complex		 ●●●●○ Tough
28%		 1–1 1.09 1.74 Upside
Sat Nov 14
TBD		 CDA Slammers FC
4th · 3-1-2 · GD +7		 Away
●●●●○ Tough
26%		 1–1 1.04 1.66 Upside
Sat Mar 13
TBD		 SDSC Surf
5th · 2-2-1 · GD +4		 Home
●●●●○ Tough
31%		 0–0 1.27 1.62 Upside
Sat Mar 20
04:00 PM		 Legends FC Del Mar
12th · 1-0-5 · GD -9		 Away far trip
San Dieguito Academy		 ●●○○○ Lean win
59%		 1–0 2.01 1.66 Swing game
Sun Mar 21
12:00 PM		 Legends FC
1st · 2-2-0 · GD +4		 Home
Lake Forest Sports Park		 ●●●●○ Tough
36%		 1–1 1.33 1.63 Upside
Sat Apr 3
10:00 AM		 Beach Futbol Club
7th · 1-3-0 · GD +4		 Away far trip
El Camino College		 ●●●●○ Tough
27%		 1–1 1.08 1.59 Upside
Sun Apr 4
TBD		 LAFC
11th · 1-2-1 · GD +2		 Home
●●●●○ Tough
42%		 1–1 1.52 1.58 Upside
Sat Apr 10
TBD		 San Diego Surf B08/09
8th · 1-3-0 · GD +4		 Home
●●●●○ Tough
34%		 1–1 1.31 1.57 Upside
Sat Apr 17
TBD		 Pateadores Soccer Club
6th · 2-3-1 · GD +6		 Away
●●●●○ Tough
29%		 1–1 1.13 1.54 Upside
Sat Apr 24
05:15 PM		 Rebels SC
9th · 2-0-2 · GD -5		 Away far trip
El Cajon Valley High School · turf?		 ●●●○○ Toss-up
50%		 1–1 1.72 1.55 Swing game
Sat May 1
TBD		 Legends FC Del Mar
12th · 1-0-5 · GD -9		 Home
●●○○○ Lean win
67%		 1–0 2.21 1.59 Swing game
Sun May 2
11:00 AM		 LA Breakers FC
2nd · 4-0-2 · GD +2		 Away far trip
Bell Gardens Sports Complex		 ●●●●○ Tough
38%		 1–1 1.41 1.58 Upside
Sat May 8
09:00 AM		 SDSC Surf
5th · 2-2-1 · GD +4		 Away far trip
Maranatha Christian School · turf?		 ●●●●○ Tough
26%		 0–1 1.08 1.55 Upside
Sun May 9
04:00 PM		 LA Breakers FC
2nd · 4-0-2 · GD +2		 Home
Saddleback College		 ●●●○○ Toss-up
45%		 1–0 1.63 1.56 Swing game
Sun May 16
TBD		 Pateadores Soccer Club
6th · 2-3-1 · GD +6		 Home
●●●●○ Tough
36%		 1–1 1.35 1.55 Upside
Sat May 22
TBD		 Rebels SC
9th · 2-0-2 · GD -5		 Home
●●○○○ Lean win
59%		 2–1 1.97 1.56 Swing game
Sat May 29
11:00 AM		 San Diego Surf B08/09
8th · 1-3-0 · GD +4		 Away far trip
Surf Sports Park		 ●●●●○ Tough
27%		 0–1 1.10 1.55 Upside

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 Legends FC 4220 106+4 82.00 DWDW +0.21 -0.06 69% 3.6
2 LA Breakers FC 6402 108+2 122.00 WLWWL -0.58 +0.27 9% 8.2
3 West Coast FC 5230 64+2 91.80 DWWDD -0.01 +0.04 26% 6.4
4 CDA Slammers FC 6312 136+7 101.67 LWWLW -0.36 +0.10 57% 4.3
5 SDSC Surf 5221 73+4 81.60 DDWLW +0.01 +0.01 48% 4.9
6 Pateadores Soccer Club 6231 137+6 91.50 LDDWW -0.50 +0.15 32% 5.9
7 Beach Futbol Club 4130 95+4 61.50 DWDD +0.26 -0.06 56% 4.5
8 San Diego Surf B08/09 4130 84+4 61.50 DDWD -0.09 +0.02 46% 5.2
9 Rebels SC 4202 712-5 61.50 WWLL +0.37 +0.04 1% 10.2
10 Sporting California USA 4121 73+4 51.25 LDWD -0.06 +0.00 45% 5.1
11 LAFC 4121 75+2 51.25 DWLD -0.24 +0.08 12% 7.9
12 Legends FC Del Mar 6105 514-9 30.50 LLWLL -0.14 +0.22 0% 12.0
13 LV Heat Surf SC 8017 126-25 10.13 LLLLL +0.23 +0.23 0% 13.0

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (1.55 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.