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Legends FC Del Mar

ECNL Boys · Southwest BU18/19 · 13 teams · Legends FC - Del Mar (all teams)

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12th
1-0-5 record · 6 played
0.50 points per game
-9 goal diff · 5–14
LLWLLlast 5
0% chance of top 4 · expected finish 12.0
-0.14 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sat Oct 24, 06:00 PM

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Legends FC Del Mar
12th · 0.50 PPG
vs
LAFC
11th · 1.25 PPG

Canyon Crest Academy, Stadium ↗ · turf?

windrawloss

●●●●● Very tough to win

Most likely score 1–2 (expected goals 1.1 for, 2.1 against · 0.74 expected points)

Season so farLegends FC Del MarLAFC
Position12th11th
Record (W-D-L)1-0-51-2-1
Points per game0.501.25
Goals for / game0.81.8
Goals against / game2.31.3
Clean sheets12
Held scoreless31
Form (recent first)L L W L LD L W D
Biggest win3–0 vs LV Heat Surf SC3–0 vs Legends FC Del Mar
Worst loss0–5 vs Sporting California USA2–3 at Rebels SC
Model rating (net goals vs avg)-1.08+0.19
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)-0.14-0.24

Already played this season: Sat Sep 19 0–3 at LAFC (L)

Game plan

  • Finishing wins the tight ones
    Held scoreless 3 time(s): 0–3 at LAFC, 0–1 vs CDA Slammers FC, 0–5 vs Sporting California USA.

    Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.

  • Underdog — play free, stay organised
    Model gives 18%; a draw (20%) would be a good result.

    Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.

If Saturday goes…

Where we'd sit after the LAFC game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Legends FC Del Mar – LAFC) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 8 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Loss · 0.43 PPG		 12th— holds 12th— holds 13th▼ down 1
Win
0.86 PPG		 12th— holds 11th▲ up 1 12th— holds
Draw
0.57 PPG		 12th— holds 12th— holds 12th— holds
Loss
0.43 PPG		 12th— holds 12th— holds 13th▼ down 1

Can we move up this round? No. With a 1–2 loss we stay 12th even if every rival loses, and as low as 13th if every rival wins.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

0% finish 1st
0% top 4
100% below the top 4
12.0 average finish
  1. 1st
  2. 2nd
  3. 3rd
  4. 4th
  5. 5th
  6. 6th
  7. 7th
  8. 8th
  9. 9th <1%
  10. 10th <1%
  11. 11th 4%
  12. 12th 93%
  13. 13th 3%

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 18 remaining known games (max 2.38 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 Legends FC 2.00 (+1.50) 1st (1.78) 45 of 54 pts to pass their current pace, 40 for their projection
2 LA Breakers FC 2.00 (+1.50) 10th (1.38) 45 of 54 pts to pass their current pace, 31 for their projection
3 West Coast FC 1.80 (+1.30) 8th (1.55) 41 of 54 pts to pass their current pace, 35 for their projection
4 CDA Slammers FC 1.67 (+1.17) 2nd (1.71) 38 of 54 pts to pass their current pace, 39 for their projection
5 SDSC Surf 1.60 (+1.10) 4th (1.66) 36 of 54 pts to pass their current pace, 37 for their projection
6 Pateadores Soccer Club 1.50 (+1.00) 7th (1.57) 33 of 54 pts to pass their current pace, 35 for their projection
7 Beach Futbol Club 1.50 (+1.00) 3rd (1.70) 33 of 54 pts to pass their current pace, 38 for their projection
8 San Diego Surf B08/09 1.50 (+1.00) 5th (1.64) 33 of 54 pts to pass their current pace, 37 for their projection
9 Rebels SC 1.50 (+1.00) 11th (1.15) 33 of 54 pts to pass their current pace, 25 for their projection
10 Sporting California USA 1.25 (+0.75) 6th (1.64) 27 of 54 pts to pass their current pace, 37 for their projection
11 LAFC 1.25 (+0.75) 9th (1.39) 27 of 54 pts to pass their current pace, 31 for their projection

How the results connect

10 chains · 9 teams

Paths of results that link Legends FC Del Mar to LAFC through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

1 favour us
9 favour them
-2.0 goals per chain on average. The results point their way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
0–3 1–2 2–3 3–2 3–0 0–4 0–0 0–1 0–0 1–2 2–2 1–2 1–3 0–0 0–5 1–1 0–1 Legends FC Del Mar 12th LA Breakers FC 2nd LV Heat Surf SC 13th CDA Slammers FC 4th Sporting California… 10th Rebels SC 9th SDSC Surf 5th West Coast FC 3rd LAFC 11th

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

10 chains

Position over the season

12 game days

1st 7th 13th Sep 12 Sep 19 Sep 26 Oct 3 Oct 5 Oct 17 Oct 18

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty +0.22 · 3rd hardest of 13

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sat Oct 24
06:00 PM		 LAFC
11th · 1-2-1 · GD +2		 Home
Canyon Crest Academy · turf?		 ●●●●● Very tough
18%		 1–2 0.74 0.53 Upside
Sat Oct 31
11:00 AM		 Beach Futbol Club
7th · 1-3-0 · GD +4		 Away far trip
Long Beach City College - Liberal Arts Campus		 ●●●●● Very tough
8%		 0–2 0.38 0.51 Upside
Sun Nov 1
TBD		 CDA Slammers FC
4th · 3-1-2 · GD +7		 Away
●●●●● Very tough
8%		 0–2 0.36 0.50 Upside
Sat Nov 7
11:00 AM		 Sporting California USA
10th · 1-2-1 · GD +4		 Away far trip
Ontario Sports Empire		 ●●●●● Very tough
9%		 0–2 0.41 0.49 Upside
Sat Nov 14
04:00 PM		 Legends FC
1st · 2-2-0 · GD +4		 Home
San Dieguito Academy		 ●●●●● Very tough
12%		 1–2 0.52 0.49 Upside
Sat Mar 13
TBD		 Pateadores Soccer Club
6th · 2-3-1 · GD +6		 Away
●●●●● Very tough
9%		 0–2 0.42 0.49 Upside
Sun Mar 14
11:00 AM		 San Diego Surf B08/09
8th · 1-3-0 · GD +4		 Away
Surf Sports Park		 ●●●●● Very tough
9%		 0–2 0.42 0.48 Upside
Sat Mar 20
04:00 PM		 West Coast FC
3rd · 2-3-0 · GD +2		 Home
San Dieguito Academy		 ●●●●● Very tough
17%		 0–1 0.76 0.50 Upside
Sat Apr 3
07:00 PM		 Legends FC
1st · 2-2-0 · GD +4		 Away far trip
Silverlakes Complex		 ●●●●● Very tough
8%		 0–3 0.36 0.49 Upside
Sun Apr 4
04:00 PM		 Beach Futbol Club
7th · 1-3-0 · GD +4		 Home
San Dieguito Academy		 ●●●●● Very tough
12%		 0–2 0.54 0.49 Upside
Sat Apr 10
10:15 AM		 Rebels SC
9th · 2-0-2 · GD -5		 Away
El Cajon Valley High School · turf?		 ●●●●● Very tough
21%		 1–2 0.82 0.51 Upside
Sun Apr 11
05:00 PM		 Pateadores Soccer Club
6th · 2-3-1 · GD +6		 Home
San Dieguito Academy		 ●●●●● Very tough
14%		 0–2 0.58 0.52 Upside
Sat Apr 24
05:00 PM		 SDSC Surf
5th · 2-2-1 · GD +4		 Home
San Dieguito Academy		 ●●●●● Very tough
13%		 0–1 0.62 0.52 Upside
Sat May 1
TBD		 West Coast FC
3rd · 2-3-0 · GD +2		 Away
●●●●● Very tough
13%		 0–1 0.59 0.52 Upside
Sat May 8
05:00 PM		 Rebels SC
9th · 2-0-2 · GD -5		 Home
San Dieguito Academy		 ●●●●○ Tough
29%		 1–2 1.08 0.55 Upside
Sun May 9
05:00 PM		 San Diego Surf B08/09
8th · 1-3-0 · GD +4		 Home
San Dieguito Academy		 ●●●●● Very tough
13%		 0–2 0.58 0.55 Upside
Sat May 22
09:00 AM		 SDSC Surf
5th · 2-2-1 · GD +4		 Away far trip
Maranatha Christian School · turf?		 ●●●●● Very tough
9%		 0–2 0.47 0.55 Upside
Sat May 29
TBD		 LV Heat Surf SC
13th · 0-1-7 · GD -25		 Away
●●○○○ Lean win
60%		 1–0 2.04 0.61 Swing game

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 Legends FC 4220 106+4 82.00 DWDW +0.21 -0.06 68% 3.6
2 LA Breakers FC 6402 108+2 122.00 WLWWL -0.58 +0.27 10% 8.1
3 West Coast FC 5230 64+2 91.80 DWWDD -0.01 +0.04 26% 6.5
4 CDA Slammers FC 6312 136+7 101.67 LWWLW -0.36 +0.10 59% 4.2
5 SDSC Surf 5221 73+4 81.60 DDWLW +0.01 +0.01 48% 4.9
6 Pateadores Soccer Club 6231 137+6 91.50 LDDWW -0.50 +0.15 31% 6.0
7 Beach Futbol Club 4130 95+4 61.50 DWDD +0.26 -0.06 56% 4.4
8 San Diego Surf B08/09 4130 84+4 61.50 DDWD -0.09 +0.02 44% 5.1
9 Rebels SC 4202 712-5 61.50 WWLL +0.37 +0.04 2% 10.1
10 Sporting California USA 4121 73+4 51.25 LDWD -0.06 +0.00 45% 5.2
11 LAFC 4121 75+2 51.25 DWLD -0.24 +0.08 12% 7.9
12 Legends FC Del Mar 6105 514-9 30.50 LLWLL -0.14 +0.22 0% 12.0
13 LV Heat Surf SC 8017 126-25 10.13 LLLLL +0.23 +0.23 0% 13.0

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (1.55 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.