TableChase Clubs

CDA Slammers FC

ECNL Boys · Southwest BU18/19 · 13 teams · CDA Slammers FC (all teams)

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4th
3-1-2 record · 6 played
1.67 points per game
+7 goal diff · 13–6
LWWLWlast 5
56% chance of top 4 · expected finish 4.4
-0.36 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sat Oct 24, 08:00 AM

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CDA Slammers FC
4th · 1.67 PPG
vs
Pateadores Soccer Club
6th · 1.50 PPG

Santiago High School, Stadium ↗ · turf?

windrawloss

●●●○○ Toss-up to win

Most likely score 1–1 (expected goals 1.8 for, 1.5 against · 1.62 expected points)

Season so farCDA Slammers FCPateadores Soccer Club
Position4th6th
Record (W-D-L)3-1-22-3-1
Points per game1.671.50
Goals for / game2.22.2
Goals against / game1.01.2
Clean sheets22
Held scoreless11
Form (recent first)W L W W LW W D D L
Biggest win7–1 vs LV Heat Surf SC4–0 at LV Heat Surf SC
Worst loss1–2 at West Coast FC0–1 vs LA Breakers FC
Model rating (net goals vs avg)+0.67+0.51
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)-0.36-0.50

Common opponents: LV Heat Surf SC — we 7–1; they 4–0, 3–0. LA Breakers FC — we 3–1; they 0–1.

Game plan

  • Finishing wins the tight ones
    Held scoreless 1 time(s): 0–0 vs SDSC Surf.

    Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.

  • Swing game — small margins
    Win 46% / draw 23% / loss 31%.

    Games like this are decided by one set piece or one transition. Prioritise the strongest XI for the full game, be disciplined with fouls near the box, and have a clear late-game plan for both "protect the lead" and "chase".

  • Early kickoff
    Game time 08:00 AM.

    Light breakfast 2+ hours before, longer warm-up, and a loud start — early games are won by whoever is awake at the whistle.

  • What a win does
    West Coast FC sit 3rd on 1.80 PPG; we are on 1.67.

    A point moves us above West Coast FC on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.

If Saturday goes…

Where we'd sit after the Pateadores Soccer Club game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (CDA Slammers FC – Pateadores Soccer Club) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 7 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Draw · 1.57 PPG		 5th▼ down 1 6th▼ down 2 11th▼ down 7
Win
1.86 PPG		 3rd▲ up 1 3rd▲ up 1 5th▼ down 1
Draw
1.57 PPG		 5th▼ down 1 6th▼ down 2 11th▼ down 7
Loss
1.43 PPG		 9th▼ down 5 7th▼ down 3 11th▼ down 7

Can we move up this round? Yes. With a 1–1 draw we finish as high as 2nd if every rival drops points, and as low as 11th if every rival wins.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

15% finish 1st
56% top 4
44% below the top 4
4.4 average finish
  1. 1st 15%
  2. 2nd 15%
  3. 3rd 14%
  4. 4th 12%
  5. 5th 12%
  6. 6th 10%
  7. 7th 8%
  8. 8th 6%
  9. 9th 4%
  10. 10th 3%
  11. 11th 1%
  12. 12th <1%
  13. 13th

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 18 remaining known games (max 2.67 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 Legends FC 2.00 (+0.33) 1st (1.78) 38 of 54 pts to pass their current pace, 33 for their projection
2 LA Breakers FC 2.00 (+0.33) 10th (1.38) 38 of 54 pts to pass their current pace, 24 for their projection
3 West Coast FC 1.80 (+0.13) 8th (1.55) A point next game

How the results connect

21 chains · 8 teams

Paths of results that link CDA Slammers FC to Pateadores Soccer Club through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

7 favour us
6 even
8 favour them
-0.1 goals per chain on average. The results call it close.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
7–1 0–4 3–1 1–0 0–3 1–0 1–2 4–0 1–0 1–3 3–0 1–2 1–0 1–1 0–0 CDA Slammers FC 4th LV Heat Surf SC 13th LA Breakers FC 2nd SDSC Surf 5th Legends FC Del Mar 12th West Coast FC 3rd Sporting California… 10th Pateadores Soccer C… 6th

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

12 chains

Position over the season

12 game days

1st 7th 13th Sep 12 Sep 19 Sep 26 Oct 3 Oct 5 Oct 17 Oct 18

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty +0.10 · 5th hardest of 13

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sat Oct 3
09:30 AM
no score posted		 San Diego Surf B08/09
8th · 1-3-0 · GD +4		 Home
Santiago High School · turf?		 ●●●○○ Toss-up
44%		 1–1 1.57 1.65 Swing game
Sat Oct 24
08:00 AM		 Pateadores Soccer Club
6th · 2-3-1 · GD +6		 Home
Santiago High School · turf?		 ●●●○○ Toss-up
46%		 1–1 1.62 1.65 Swing game
Sun Oct 25
10:00 AM		 Rebels SC
9th · 2-0-2 · GD -5		 Home
Santiago High School · turf?		 ●●○○○ Lean win
72%		 3–1 2.31 1.72 Bank it
Sun Nov 1
TBD		 Legends FC Del Mar
12th · 1-0-5 · GD -9		 Home
●○○○○ Favorable
79%		 2–0 2.51 1.80 Bank it
Sat Nov 7
11:00 AM		 San Diego Surf B08/09
8th · 1-3-0 · GD +4		 Away far trip
Surf Sports Park		 ●●●●○ Tough
36%		 1–1 1.31 1.76 Upside
Sun Nov 8
05:15 PM		 Rebels SC
9th · 2-0-2 · GD -5		 Away far trip
Monte Vista High School · turf?		 ●●○○○ Lean win
63%		 2–1 2.05 1.78 Swing game
Sat Nov 14
TBD		 West Coast FC
3rd · 2-3-0 · GD +2		 Home
●●●○○ Toss-up
48%		 1–1 1.70 1.77 Swing game
Sat Mar 13
TBD		 Sporting California USA
10th · 1-2-1 · GD +4		 Away
●●●●○ Tough
34%		 1–1 1.27 1.74 Upside
Sun Mar 14
TBD		 LAFC
11th · 1-2-1 · GD +2		 Away
●●●○○ Toss-up
44%		 1–1 1.55 1.73 Swing game
Sat Mar 20
TBD		 LA Breakers FC
2nd · 4-0-2 · GD +2		 Home
●●●○○ Toss-up
57%		 2–1 1.93 1.74 Swing game
Sun Apr 4
TBD		 Pateadores Soccer Club
6th · 2-3-1 · GD +6		 Away
●●●●○ Tough
37%		 1–1 1.35 1.72 Upside
Sat Apr 10
TBD		 Beach Futbol Club
7th · 1-3-0 · GD +4		 Home
●●●○○ Toss-up
45%		 1–1 1.57 1.71 Swing game
Sun Apr 11
TBD		 LAFC
11th · 1-2-1 · GD +2		 Home
●●●○○ Toss-up
53%		 1–1 1.81 1.71 Swing game
Sat Apr 17
TBD		 LV Heat Surf SC
13th · 0-1-7 · GD -25		 Away
●○○○○ Favorable
90%		 3–0 2.77 1.77 Bank it
Sat Apr 24
TBD		 Legends FC
1st · 2-2-0 · GD +4		 Home
●●●○○ Toss-up
47%		 2–1 1.61 1.76 Swing game
Sun May 2
TBD		 Sporting California USA
10th · 1-2-1 · GD +4		 Home
●●●○○ Toss-up
42%		 1–1 1.51 1.75 Swing game
Sat May 8
11:00 AM		 Beach Futbol Club
7th · 1-3-0 · GD +4		 Away far trip
El Camino College		 ●●●●○ Tough
36%		 1–1 1.30 1.73 Upside
Sun May 30
09:00 AM		 Legends FC
1st · 2-2-0 · GD +4		 Away
Silverlakes Complex		 ●●●●○ Tough
37%		 1–1 1.32 1.71 Upside

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 Legends FC 4220 106+4 82.00 DWDW +0.21 -0.06 67% 3.6
2 LA Breakers FC 6402 108+2 122.00 WLWWL -0.58 +0.27 10% 8.2
3 West Coast FC 5230 64+2 91.80 DWWDD -0.01 +0.04 27% 6.3
4 CDA Slammers FC 6312 136+7 101.67 LWWLW -0.36 +0.10 56% 4.4
5 SDSC Surf 5221 73+4 81.60 DDWLW +0.01 +0.01 48% 4.9
6 Pateadores Soccer Club 6231 137+6 91.50 LDDWW -0.50 +0.15 33% 5.9
7 Beach Futbol Club 4130 95+4 61.50 DWDD +0.26 -0.06 56% 4.4
8 San Diego Surf B08/09 4130 84+4 61.50 DDWD -0.09 +0.02 45% 5.2
9 Rebels SC 4202 712-5 61.50 WWLL +0.37 +0.04 1% 10.2
10 Sporting California USA 4121 73+4 51.25 LDWD -0.06 +0.00 45% 5.1
11 LAFC 4121 75+2 51.25 DWLD -0.24 +0.08 12% 8.0
12 Legends FC Del Mar 6105 514-9 30.50 LLWLL -0.14 +0.22 0% 12.0
13 LV Heat Surf SC 8017 126-25 10.13 LLLLL +0.23 +0.23 0% 13.0

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (1.55 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.