TableChase Clubs

Legends FC

ECNL Boys · Southwest BU18/19 · 13 teams · Legends FC (CA) (all teams)

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1st
2-2-0 record · 4 played
2.00 points per game
+4 goal diff · 10–6
DWDWlast 4
67% chance of top 4 · expected finish 3.6
+0.21 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sat Oct 24, 07:00 PM

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Legends FC
1st · 2.00 PPG
vs
SDSC Surf
5th · 1.60 PPG

Silverlakes Complex, Field 1 ↗

windrawloss

●●●●○ Tough to win

Most likely score 1–1 (expected goals 1.4 for, 1.3 against · 1.45 expected points)

Season so farLegends FCSDSC Surf
Position1st5th
Record (W-D-L)2-2-02-2-1
Points per game2.001.60
Goals for / game2.51.4
Goals against / game1.50.6
Clean sheets13
Held scoreless02
Form (recent first)W D W DW L W D D
Biggest win3–0 vs Rebels SC4–0 at LV Heat Surf SC
Worst loss—1–2 vs Legends FC
Model rating (net goals vs avg)+0.63+0.47
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)+0.21+0.01

Already played this season: Sun Sep 27 2–1 at SDSC Surf (W)

Game plan

  • Hard to break down
    SDSC Surf concede only 0.6/game with 3 clean sheet(s).

    Patience and width: move the ball quickly side to side to pull the block apart, and treat set pieces as your best chance — rehearse two corner routines and a near-post free-kick delivery.

  • Underdog — play free, stay organised
    Model gives 40%; a draw (26%) would be a good result.

    Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.

If Saturday goes…

Where we'd sit after the SDSC Surf game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Legends FC – SDSC Surf) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 7 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Draw · 1.80 PPG
2nd▼ down 1 4th▼ down 3 8th▼ down 7
Win
2.20 PPG
1st— holds 1st— holds 1st— holds
Draw
1.80 PPG
2nd▼ down 1 4th▼ down 3 8th▼ down 7
Loss
1.60 PPG
5th▼ down 4 6th▼ down 5 11th▼ down 10

Can we move up this round? No. With a 1–1 draw we fall to at least 2nd even if every rival loses, and as low as 8th if every rival wins.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

26% finish 1st
67% top 4
33% below the top 4
3.6 average finish
  1. 1st 26%
  2. 2nd 18%
  3. 3rd 13%
  4. 4th 10%
  5. 5th 10%
  6. 6th 8%
  7. 7th 6%
  8. 8th 5%
  9. 9th 2%
  10. 10th 2%
  11. 11th <1%
  12. 12th
  13. 13th

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

Top of the table. The job is to stay there: see the path below for where points are most at risk.

How the results connect

5 chains · 7 teams

Paths of results that link Legends FC to SDSC Surf through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

2 favour us
2 even
1 favour them
+0.8 goals per chain on average. The results point our way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
2–1 3–3 4–0 0–4 2–2 4–0 3–0 3–0 3–2 0–0 Legends FC 1st Pateadores Soccer C… 6th San Diego Surf B08/… 8th Rebels SC 9th LV Heat Surf SC 13th LAFC 11th SDSC Surf 5th

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

5 chains

Position over the season

12 game days

1st 7th 13th Sep 12 Sep 19 Sep 26 Oct 3 Oct 5 Oct 17 Oct 18

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty -0.06 · 12th hardest of 13

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Wed Oct 21
08:00 PM
no score posted
Pateadores Soccer Club
6th · 2-3-1 · GD +6
Away far trip
Great Park
●●●●○ Tough
35%
1–1 1.28 1.86 Upside
Sat Oct 24
07:00 PM
SDSC Surf
5th · 2-2-1 · GD +4
Home
Silverlakes Complex
●●●●○ Tough
40%
1–1 1.45 1.79 Upside
Sat Oct 31
09:00 AM
San Diego Surf B08/09
8th · 1-3-0 · GD +4
Home
Silverlakes Complex
●●●○○ Toss-up
43%
1–1 1.51 1.75 Swing game
Sun Nov 8
01:00 PM
West Coast FC
3rd · 2-3-0 · GD +2
Home
Silverlakes Complex
●●●○○ Toss-up
47%
1–1 1.66 1.74 Swing game
Tue Nov 10
07:15 PM
LAFC
11th · 1-2-1 · GD +2
Away far trip
El Camino Real Charter High School · turf?
●●●○○ Toss-up
43%
1–1 1.50 1.71 Swing game
Sat Nov 14
04:00 PM
Legends FC Del Mar
12th · 1-0-5 · GD -9
Away far trip
San Dieguito Academy
●●○○○ Lean win
72%
2–1 2.32 1.77 Bank it
Sun Mar 14
09:00 AM
LV Heat Surf SC
13th · 0-1-7 · GD -25
Home
Silverlakes Complex
●○○○○ Favorable
94%
4–0 2.86 1.87 Bank it
Sat Mar 20
TBD
Sporting California USA
10th · 1-2-1 · GD +4
Away
●●●●○ Tough
32%
1–1 1.20 1.82 Upside
Sun Mar 21
12:00 PM
West Coast FC
3rd · 2-3-0 · GD +2
Away far trip
Lake Forest Sports Park
●●●●○ Tough
39%
1–1 1.42 1.78 Upside
Sat Apr 3
07:00 PM
Legends FC Del Mar
12th · 1-0-5 · GD -9
Home
Silverlakes Complex
●○○○○ Favorable
80%
3–0 2.52 1.84 Bank it
Sun Apr 18
09:00 AM
Beach Futbol Club
7th · 1-3-0 · GD +4
Home
Silverlakes Complex
●●●○○ Toss-up
43%
1–1 1.51 1.81 Swing game
Sat Apr 24
TBD
CDA Slammers FC
4th · 3-1-2 · GD +7
Away
●●●●○ Tough
32%
1–2 1.18 1.78 Upside
Sun Apr 25
09:00 AM
Rebels SC
9th · 2-0-2 · GD -5
Away far trip
Monte Vista High School · turf?
●●○○○ Lean win
62%
2–1 2.02 1.79 Swing game
Sat May 1
TBD
LV Heat Surf SC
13th · 0-1-7 · GD -25
Away
●○○○○ Favorable
90%
3–0 2.78 1.84 Bank it
Sat May 8
TBD
LA Breakers FC
2nd · 4-0-2 · GD +2
Away
●●●○○ Toss-up
47%
1–1 1.64 1.83 Swing game
Sun May 9
09:00 AM
Sporting California USA
10th · 1-2-1 · GD +4
Home
Silverlakes Complex
●●●●○ Tough
41%
1–1 1.46 1.82 Upside
Sat May 15
09:00 AM
LAFC
11th · 1-2-1 · GD +2
Home
Ontario Sports Empire
●●●○○ Toss-up
52%
2–1 1.77 1.81 Swing game
Sun May 16
09:00 AM
LA Breakers FC
2nd · 4-0-2 · GD +2
Home
Ontario Sports Empire
●●●○○ Toss-up
57%
2–1 1.91 1.82 Swing game
Sat May 22
11:00 AM
Beach Futbol Club
7th · 1-3-0 · GD +4
Away far trip
El Camino College
●●●●○ Tough
34%
1–2 1.22 1.79 Upside
Sun May 30
09:00 AM
CDA Slammers FC
4th · 3-1-2 · GD +7
Home
Silverlakes Complex
●●●●○ Tough
41%
1–1 1.46 1.78 Upside

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 Legends FC 4220 106+4 82.00 DWDW +0.21 -0.06 67% 3.6
2 LA Breakers FC 6402 108+2 122.00 WLWWL -0.58 +0.27 10% 8.2
3 West Coast FC 5230 64+2 91.80 DWWDD -0.01 +0.04 27% 6.3
4 CDA Slammers FC 6312 136+7 101.67 LWWLW -0.36 +0.10 56% 4.4
5 SDSC Surf 5221 73+4 81.60 DDWLW +0.01 +0.01 48% 4.9
6 Pateadores Soccer Club 6231 137+6 91.50 LDDWW -0.50 +0.15 33% 5.9
7 Beach Futbol Club 4130 95+4 61.50 DWDD +0.26 -0.06 56% 4.4
8 San Diego Surf B08/09 4130 84+4 61.50 DDWD -0.09 +0.02 45% 5.2
9 Rebels SC 4202 712-5 61.50 WWLL +0.37 +0.04 1% 10.2
10 Sporting California USA 4121 73+4 51.25 LDWD -0.06 +0.00 45% 5.1
11 LAFC 4121 75+2 51.25 DWLD -0.24 +0.08 12% 8.0
12 Legends FC Del Mar 6105 514-9 30.50 LLWLL -0.14 +0.22 0% 12.0
13 LV Heat Surf SC 8017 126-25 10.13 LLLLL +0.23 +0.23 0% 13.0

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (1.55 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.