LA Breakers FC
ECNL Boys · Southwest BU18/19 · 13 teams · LA Breakers FC (all teams)
Next game — Sat Nov 7, 11:00 AM
Ryan Park, Field 12 ↗ far trip
●●●●● Very tough to win
Most likely score 0–1 (expected goals 0.9 for, 1.5 against · 0.92 expected points)
| Season so far | LA Breakers FC | SDSC Surf |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 2nd | 5th |
| Record (W-D-L) | 4-0-2 | 2-2-1 |
| Points per game | 2.00 | 1.60 |
| Goals for / game | 1.7 | 1.4 |
| Goals against / game | 1.3 | 0.6 |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 3 |
| Held scoreless | 0 | 2 |
| Form (recent first) | L W W L W | W L W D D |
| Biggest win | 3–1 at Legends FC Del Mar | 4–0 at LV Heat Surf SC |
| Worst loss | 1–3 vs CDA Slammers FC | 1–2 vs Legends FC |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | -0.02 | +0.47 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | -0.58 | +0.01 |
Common opponents: LV Heat Surf SC — we 1–0; they 4–0. CDA Slammers FC — we 1–3; they 0–0, 2–1.
Game plan
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Hard to break down
SDSC Surf concede only 0.6/game with 3 clean sheet(s).Patience and width: move the ball quickly side to side to pull the block apart, and treat set pieces as your best chance — rehearse two corner routines and a near-post free-kick delivery.
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Underdog — play free, stay organised
Model gives 22%; a draw (26%) would be a good result.Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.
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Away game
Kickoff 11:00 AM at Ryan Park.Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.
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What a win does
Legends FC sit 1st on 2.00 PPG; we are on 2.00.A point moves us above Legends FC on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.
If Saturday goes…
Where we'd sit after the SDSC Surf game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (LA Breakers FC – SDSC Surf) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 7 other games that week (Mon Nov 2 – Sun Nov 8); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.
| Our result | Rivals don't play | Likely results | Every rival wins |
|---|---|---|---|
| – Loss · 1.71 PPG |
4th▼ down 2 | 4th▼ down 2 | 9th▼ down 7 |
| Win 2.14 PPG |
1st▲ up 1 | 1st▲ up 1 | 3rd▼ down 1 |
| Draw 1.86 PPG |
2nd— holds | 1st▲ up 1 | 5th▼ down 3 |
| Loss 1.71 PPG |
4th▼ down 2 | 4th▼ down 2 | 9th▼ down 7 |
Can we move up this round? Yes. With a 0–1 loss we finish as high as 1st if every rival drops points, and as low as 9th if every rival wins.
Where we finish
2,000 simulated seasons
- 1st 1%
- 2nd 2%
- 3rd 3%
- 4th 4%
- 5th 4%
- 6th 7%
- 7th 10%
- 8th 14%
- 9th 19%
- 10th 24%
- 11th 12%
- 12th <1%
- 13th
Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.
Climbing the table
What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 18 remaining known games (max 2.75 PPG if we win out).
| # | Team | PPG | Proj. | To pass them |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Legends FC | 2.00 (+0.00) | 1st (1.78) | A point next game |
How the results connect
19 chains · 8 teams
Paths of results that link LA Breakers FC to SDSC Surf through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.
Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.
Step through the chains with the arrows, or tap one on the map.
Position over the season
12 game days
The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.
The path
run-in difficulty +0.27 · 1st hardest of 13
| Date | Opponent | Where | Difficulty | Win | Likely | Exp. pts | Run. PPG | Priority |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat Nov 7 11:00 AM |
SDSC Surf 5th · 2-2-1 · GD +4 |
Away far trip
Ryan Park |
●●●●● Very tough | 22% |
0–1 | 0.92 | 1.85 | Upside |
| Sun Nov 8 11:00 AM |
San Diego Surf B08/09 8th · 1-3-0 · GD +4 |
Away far trip
Surf Sports Park |
●●●●● Very tough | 23% |
1–1 | 0.92 | 1.73 | Upside |
| Sun Nov 15 09:00 AM |
Beach Futbol Club 7th · 1-3-0 · GD +4 |
Away far trip
El Camino College |
●●●●● Very tough | 22% |
1–2 | 0.89 | 1.64 | Upside |
| Sun Mar 14 TBD |
Sporting California USA 10th · 1-2-1 · GD +4 |
Away |
●●●●● Very tough | 22% |
1–1 | 0.89 | 1.56 | Upside |
| Sat Mar 20 TBD |
CDA Slammers FC 4th · 3-1-2 · GD +7 |
Away |
●●●●● Very tough | 21% |
1–2 | 0.85 | 1.50 | Upside |
| Sun Mar 21 02:30 PM |
Pateadores Soccer Club 6th · 2-3-1 · GD +6 |
Home Bell Gardens Sports Complex |
●●●●○ Tough | 31% |
1–1 | 1.18 | 1.47 | Upside |
| Sat Apr 3 TBD |
SDSC Surf 5th · 2-2-1 · GD +4 |
Home |
●●●●○ Tough | 28% |
0–1 | 1.12 | 1.44 | Upside |
| Sat Apr 17 TBD |
Sporting California USA 10th · 1-2-1 · GD +4 |
Home |
●●●●○ Tough | 29% |
1–1 | 1.11 | 1.42 | Upside |
| Sun Apr 18 10:30 AM |
Rebels SC 9th · 2-0-2 · GD -5 |
Away far trip
Monte Vista High School · turf? |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 45% |
2–1 | 1.56 | 1.43 | Swing game |
| Sun Apr 25 09:00 AM |
San Diego Surf B08/09 8th · 1-3-0 · GD +4 |
Home Bell Gardens Sports Complex |
●●●●○ Tough | 30% |
1–1 | 1.15 | 1.41 | Upside |
| Sat May 1 TBD |
LAFC 11th · 1-2-1 · GD +2 |
Away |
●●●●○ Tough | 29% |
1–1 | 1.12 | 1.39 | Upside |
| Sun May 2 11:00 AM |
West Coast FC 3rd · 2-3-0 · GD +2 |
Home Bell Gardens Sports Complex |
●●●●○ Tough | 34% |
1–1 | 1.31 | 1.39 | Upside |
| Sat May 8 TBD |
Legends FC 1st · 2-2-0 · GD +4 |
Home |
●●●●○ Tough | 31% |
1–1 | 1.14 | 1.38 | Upside |
| Sun May 9 04:00 PM |
West Coast FC 3rd · 2-3-0 · GD +2 |
Away far trip
Saddleback College |
●●●●○ Tough | 27% |
0–1 | 1.09 | 1.36 | Upside |
| Sat May 15 TBD |
Beach Futbol Club 7th · 1-3-0 · GD +4 |
Home |
●●●●○ Tough | 30% |
1–1 | 1.12 | 1.35 | Upside |
| Sun May 16 09:00 AM |
Legends FC 1st · 2-2-0 · GD +4 |
Away far trip
Ontario Sports Empire |
●●●●● Very tough | 23% |
1–2 | 0.89 | 1.33 | Upside |
| Sat May 22 TBD |
LV Heat Surf SC 13th · 0-1-7 · GD -25 |
Away |
●○○○○ Favorable | 80% |
2–0 | 2.53 | 1.38 | Bank it |
| Sat Jun 5 09:00 AM |
LAFC 11th · 1-2-1 · GD +2 |
Home Bell Gardens Sports Complex |
●●●●○ Tough | 38% |
1–1 | 1.37 | 1.38 | Upside |
"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.
Standings
| # | Team | GP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | Form | SoS | Run-in | Top 4 | Exp. finish | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| 1 | Legends FC | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 6 | +4 | 8 | 2.00 | DWDW | +0.21 | -0.06 | 65% | 3.8 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Wed Oct 21 at Pateadores Soccer Club · Sat Oct 24 vs SDSC Surf · Sat Oct 31 vs San Diego Surf B08/09 See all 20 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 2 | LA Breakers FC | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 8 | +2 | 12 | 2.00 | WLWWL | -0.58 | +0.27 | 9% | 8.2 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Nov 7 at SDSC Surf · Sun Nov 8 at San Diego Surf B08/09 · Sun Nov 15 at Beach Futbol Club See all 18 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 3 | West Coast FC | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 4 | +2 | 9 | 1.80 | DWWDD | -0.01 | +0.04 | 29% | 6.3 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at LV Heat Surf SC · Sat Nov 7 vs Beach Futbol Club · Sun Nov 8 at Legends FC See all 19 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 4 | CDA Slammers FC | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 6 | +7 | 10 | 1.67 | LWWLW | -0.36 | +0.10 | 58% | 4.2 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 3 vs San Diego Surf B08/09 · Sat Oct 24 vs Pateadores Soccer Club · Sun Oct 25 vs Rebels SC See all 18 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 5 | SDSC Surf | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 3 | +4 | 8 | 1.60 | DDWLW | +0.01 | +0.01 | 48% | 4.9 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 4 at Beach Futbol Club · Sat Oct 24 at Legends FC · Sun Oct 25 vs LAFC See all 19 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 6 | Pateadores Soccer Club | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 13 | 7 | +6 | 9 | 1.50 | LDDWW | -0.50 | +0.15 | 32% | 6.0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Wed Oct 21 vs Legends FC · Sat Oct 24 at CDA Slammers FC · Sat Oct 31 vs Sporting California USA See all 18 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 7 | Beach Futbol Club | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 9 | 5 | +4 | 6 | 1.50 | DWDD | +0.26 | -0.06 | 56% | 4.4 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 4 vs SDSC Surf · Sat Oct 24 at Rebels SC · Sat Oct 31 vs Legends FC Del Mar See all 20 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 8 | San Diego Surf B08/09 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 4 | +4 | 6 | 1.50 | DDWD | -0.09 | +0.02 | 45% | 5.1 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 3 at CDA Slammers FC · Sat Oct 24 at Sporting California USA · Sat Oct 31 at Legends FC See all 20 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 9 | Rebels SC | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 12 | -5 | 6 | 1.50 | WWLL | +0.37 | +0.04 | 1% | 10.1 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs Beach Futbol Club · Sun Oct 25 at CDA Slammers FC · Sat Oct 31 at LAFC See all 20 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 10 | Sporting California USA | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 3 | +4 | 5 | 1.25 | LDWD | -0.06 | +0.00 | 44% | 5.1 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs San Diego Surf B08/09 · Sat Oct 31 at Pateadores Soccer Club · Sun Nov 1 at Rebels SC See all 20 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 11 | LAFC | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 5 | +2 | 5 | 1.25 | DWLD | -0.24 | +0.08 | 12% | 7.9 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at Legends FC Del Mar · Sun Oct 25 at SDSC Surf · Sat Oct 31 vs Rebels SC See all 20 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 12 | Legends FC Del Mar | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 14 | -9 | 3 | 0.50 | LLWLL | -0.14 | +0.22 | 0% | 12.0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs LAFC · Sat Oct 31 at Beach Futbol Club · Sun Nov 1 at CDA Slammers FC See all 18 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 13 | LV Heat Surf SC | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 1 | 26 | -25 | 1 | 0.13 | LLLLL | +0.23 | +0.23 | 0% | 13.0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs West Coast FC · Sat Nov 14 vs Rebels SC · Sun Mar 14 at Legends FC See all 16 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.
How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (1.55 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.