TableChase Clubs

Inland Surf

Elite Academy League · Southwest U11 · 17 teams · Inland Surf (all teams)

Scores refresh automatically every 2 hours · last pulled 1 hour ago.
Add schedule to calendar
4th
3-0-1 record · 4 played
2.25 points per game
+5 goal diff · 10–5
WWLWlast 4
61% chance of top 4 · expected finish 4.4
+0.43 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sat Oct 24, 09:00 AM

Open the match preview →

Inland Surf
4th · 2.25 PPG
at
Rangers FC
12th · 1.00 PPG

Serrano Elementary, Field #1 ↗

windrawloss

●●●○○ Toss-up to win

Most likely score 2–1 (expected goals 2.1 for, 1.8 against · 1.58 expected points)

Season so farInland SurfRangers FC
Position4th12th
Record (W-D-L)3-0-11-0-2
Points per game2.251.00
Goals for / game2.52.3
Goals against / game1.31.7
Clean sheets11
Held scoreless11
Form (recent first)W L W WL L W
Biggest win4–0 vs Fram Soccer Club5–0 at AC Brea
Worst loss0–2 vs CITY SC San Marcos0–2 at Total Futbol Academy - OC
Model rating (net goals vs avg)+0.79+0.18
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)+0.43-1.06

Game plan

  • Finishing wins the tight ones
    Held scoreless 1 time(s): 0–2 vs CITY SC San Marcos.

    Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.

  • Swing game — small margins
    Win 46% / draw 21% / loss 34%.

    Games like this are decided by one set piece or one transition. Prioritise the strongest XI for the full game, be disciplined with fouls near the box, and have a clear late-game plan for both "protect the lead" and "chase".

  • Away game
    Kickoff 09:00 AM at Serrano Elementary.

    Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.

  • Early kickoff
    Game time 09:00 AM.

    Light breakfast 2+ hours before, longer warm-up, and a loud start — early games are won by whoever is awake at the whistle.

  • What a win does
    FLYTE SC- Inland Empire sit 3rd on 2.33 PPG; we are on 2.25.

    A point moves us above FLYTE SC- Inland Empire on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.

If Saturday goes…

Where we'd sit after the Rangers FC game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Inland Surf – Rangers FC) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 9 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Win · 2.40 PPG
2nd▲ up 2 3rd▲ up 1 4th— holds
Win
2.40 PPG
2nd▲ up 2 3rd▲ up 1 4th— holds
Draw
2.00 PPG
4th— holds 4th— holds 7th▼ down 3
Loss
1.80 PPG
6th▼ down 2 5th▼ down 1 10th▼ down 6

Can we move up this round? Yes. With a 2–1 win we finish as high as 1st if every rival drops points, and as low as 4th if every rival wins.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

4% finish 1st
61% top 4
39% below the top 4
4.4 average finish
  1. 1st 4%
  2. 2nd 20%
  3. 3rd 20%
  4. 4th 16%
  5. 5th 12%
  6. 6th 9%
  7. 7th 7%
  8. 8th 4%
  9. 9th 4%
  10. 10th 2%
  11. 11th 1%
  12. 12th 1%
  13. 13th <1%
  14. 14th <1%
  15. 15th
  16. 16th
  17. 17th

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 12 remaining known games (max 2.81 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 LAIFC 3.00 (+0.75) 1st (2.47) 39 of 36 pts to pass their current pace, 31 for their projection
2 City SC - San Diego (2) 2.33 (+0.08) 4th (1.87) A point next game
3 FLYTE SC- Inland Empire 2.33 (+0.08) 6th (1.77) A point next game

How the results connect

4 chains · 8 teams

Paths of results that link Inland Surf to Rangers FC through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

2 favour us
2 favour them
+1.2 goals per chain on average. The results point our way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
0–2 0–1 3–2 3–0 0–5 3–2 7–4 3–1 2–0 2–0 Inland Surf 4th CITY SC San Marcos 11th BOCA OC 8th FLYTE SC Blue- Inla… 5th ALBION SC Santa Ana 6th AC Brea 16th Total Futbol Academ… 14th Rangers FC 12th

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

4 chains

Position over the season

7 game days

1st 9th 17th Sep 12 Sep 19 Oct 10 Oct 18

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty -0.22 · 17th hardest of 17

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sat Oct 24
09:00 AM
Rangers FC
12th · 1-0-2 · GD +2
Away
Serrano Elementary
●●●○○ Toss-up
46%
2–1 1.58 2.12 Swing game
Sat Nov 7
01:00 PM
ALBION SC Antelope Valley
13th · 1-0-2 · GD +0
Home
Moreno Valley Community Park
●●○○○ Lean win
61%
2–1 2.02 2.10 Swing game
Sat Nov 14
12:00 AM
LA Surf LC
15th · 0-0-0 · GD +0
Away
TBD
●●●○○ Toss-up
50%
2–1 1.69 2.04 Swing game
Sun Nov 15
06:45 PM
LAIFC
1st · 4-0-0 · GD +15
Away
Glendale Sports Complex Field
●●●●● Very tough
19%
1–2 0.75 1.88 Upside
Sat Dec 5
12:00 AM
ALBION SC Santa Ana
6th · 2-0-1 · GD -1
Home
TBD
●●○○○ Lean win
61%
2–1 2.01 1.89 Swing game
Sat Dec 12
12:00 AM
FLYTE SC- Inland Empire
3rd · 2-1-0 · GD +2
Home
TBD
●●●○○ Toss-up
50%
1–1 1.71 1.87 Swing game
Sat Jan 16
12:00 AM
California Football Academy
9th · 1-0-1 · GD -3
Home
TBD
●●○○○ Lean win
71%
3–1 2.27 1.91 Bank it
Sat Jan 23
12:00 AM
Elite FC
17th · 0-0-4 · GD -31
Away
TBD
●○○○○ Favorable
93%
4–0 2.84 1.99 Bank it
Sat Jan 30
12:00 AM
AC Brea
16th · 0-0-3 · GD -12
Home
TBD
●○○○○ Favorable
86%
4–1 2.66 2.04 Bank it
Sat Feb 6
12:00 AM
City SC - San Diego (2)
2nd · 2-1-0 · GD +8
Away
TBD
●●●●○ Tough
33%
1–2 1.19 1.98 Upside
Sat Feb 13
12:00 AM
Total Futbol Academy - OC
14th · 1-0-3 · GD -10
Away
TBD
●●○○○ Lean win
69%
2–1 2.24 2.00 Swing game
Tue May 25
12:00 AM
ALBION SC San Diego (1)
7th · 2-0-2 · GD +13
Away
Robb Athletic Field
●●●●○ Tough
31%
2–2 1.09 1.94 Upside

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 LAIFC 4400 172+15 123.00 WWWW -0.60 +0.05 98% 1.3
2 City SC - San Diego (2) 3210 124+8 72.33 DWW -1.09 +0.15 52% 4.9
3 FLYTE SC- Inland Empire 3210 53+2 72.33 WWD +0.48 -0.14 33% 6.1
4 Inland Surf 4301 105+5 92.25 WWLW +0.43 -0.22 61% 4.4
5 FLYTE SC Blue- Inland Empire 3201 86+2 62.00 WLW +0.38 -0.11 21% 7.2
6 ALBION SC Santa Ana 3201 89-1 62.00 WLW +0.50 -0.13 12% 8.3
7 ALBION SC San Diego (1) 4202 218+13 61.50 WLLW -1.04 +0.23 46% 5.2
8 BOCA OC 4202 2312+11 61.50 LWLW -0.40 -0.04 57% 4.6
9 California Football Academy 2101 69-3 31.50 LW -0.06 +0.05 1% 11.9
10 Fram Soccer Club 4121 99+0 51.25 WDDL +0.43 -0.14 4% 9.6
11 CITY SC San Marcos 5203 56-1 61.20 LWWLL +0.28 -0.10 3% 10.5
12 Rangers FC 3102 75+2 31.00 WLL -1.06 +0.23 4% 10.4
13 ALBION SC Antelope Valley 3102 66+0 31.00 LLW -0.98 +0.20 1% 11.8
14 Total Futbol Academy - OC 4103 313-10 30.75 LWLL +0.81 -0.16 0% 14.4
15 LA Surf LC 0000 00+0 00.00 — -0.00 ——
16 AC Brea 3003 214-12 00.00 LLL +0.43 +0.06 0% 15.9
17 Elite FC 4004 132-31 00.00 LLLL +1.16 -0.08 0% 16.9

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.51 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.