ALBION SC Santa Ana

Elite Academy League · Southwest U11 · 17 teams · ALBION SC Santa Ana (all teams)

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6th

2-0-1 record · 3 played

2.00 points per game

-1 goal diff · 8–9

WLWlast 3

12% chance of top 4 · expected finish 8.4

+0.50 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sat Oct 24, 08:00 AM

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ALBION SC Santa Ana
6th · 2.00 PPG

AC Brea
16th · 0.00 PPG

Saint Jeanne De Lestonnac School, Field 1 ↗

79% 10% 10%

windrawloss

●○○○○ Favorable to win

Most likely score 4–1 (expected goals 4.1 for, 1.7 against · 2.48 expected points)

Season so far	ALBION SC Santa Ana	AC Brea
Position	6th	16th
Record (W-D-L)	2-0-1	0-0-3
Points per game	2.00	0.00
Goals for / game	2.7	0.7
Goals against / game	3.0	4.7
Clean sheets	1	0
Held scoreless	0	2
Form (recent first)	W L W	L L L
Biggest win	3–2 vs Rangers FC	—
Worst loss	4–7 at BOCA OC	0–5 vs Rangers FC
Model rating (net goals vs avg)	-0.00	-1.95
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)	+0.50	+0.43

Common opponents: Rangers FC — we 3–2; they 0–5. CITY SC San Marcos — we 1–0; they 0–3.

Game plan

They struggle to score
AC Brea average 0.7 goals/game (league avg 2.5); blanked in 2 of 3.
A higher defensive line and an aggressive counter-press are low-risk here. Keep the back line connected to midfield so one long ball doesn't turn into a 1v1 — that is the only way this opponent scores.
They leak goals — be greedy
AC Brea concede 4.7/game; worst result 0–5 vs Rangers FC.
Commit numbers forward, shoot early and often, and attack second balls. Goal difference is the tiebreaker on PPG, so keep playing to score for the full game — rotate players rather than pace.
Expected win — the trap is complacency
Model gives a 79% chance; likely score 4–1.
Treat the first 15 minutes like a final: score early, then the game manages itself. This is the ideal game to give rotation players real minutes in the second half without risking points.
Confidence is low on their side
AC Brea have lost 3 straight (form: LLL).
Teams on losing runs go quiet after conceding. An early goal usually ends the contest — start fast.
Early kickoff
Game time 08:00 AM.
Light breakfast 2+ hours before, longer warm-up, and a loud start — early games are won by whoever is awake at the whistle.
What a win does
FLYTE SC Blue- Inland Empire sit 5th on 2.00 PPG; we are on 2.00.
A point moves us above FLYTE SC Blue- Inland Empire on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.

If Saturday goes…

Where we'd sit after the AC Brea game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (ALBION SC Santa Ana – AC Brea) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 8 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our result	Rivals don't play	Likely results	Every rival wins
– Win · 2.25 PPG	5th▲ up 1	5th▲ up 1	7th▼ down 1
Win 2.25 PPG	5th▲ up 1	5th▲ up 1	7th▼ down 1
Draw 1.75 PPG	6th— holds	5th▲ up 1	10th▼ down 4
Loss 1.50 PPG	8th▼ down 2	7th▼ down 1	14th▼ down 8

Can we move up this round? Yes. With a 4–1 win we finish as high as 2nd if every rival drops points, and as low as 7th if every rival wins.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

0% finish 1st

12% top 4

88% below the top 4

8.4 average finish

1st <1%
2nd 2%
3rd 4%
4th 6%
5th 7%
6th 9%
7th 10%
8th 13%
9th 11%
10th 11%
11th 9%
12th 8%
13th 5%
14th 4%
15th 1%
16th <1%
17th

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 13 remaining known games (max 2.81 PPG if we win out).

#	Team	PPG	Proj.	To pass them
1	LAIFC	3.00 (+1.00)	1st (2.47)	42 of 39 pts to pass their current pace, 34 for their projection
2	City SC - San Diego (2)	2.33 (+0.33)	4th (1.87)	32 of 39 pts to pass their current pace, 24 for their projection
3	FLYTE SC- Inland Empire	2.33 (+0.33)	6th (1.77)	32 of 39 pts to pass their current pace, 23 for their projection
4	Inland Surf	2.25 (+0.25)	2nd (1.94)	Win next game
5	FLYTE SC Blue- Inland Empire	2.00 (+0.00)	7th (1.66)	A point next game

How the results connect

2 chains · 4 teams

Paths of results that link ALBION SC Santa Ana to AC Brea through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

2 favour us

0 favour them

+5.0 goals per chain on average. The results point our way.

won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

2 chains

Position over the season

7 game days

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty -0.13 · 13th hardest of 17

Date	Opponent	Where	Difficulty	Win	Likely	Exp. pts	Run. PPG	Priority
Sat Oct 24 08:00 AM	AC Brea 16th · 0-0-3 · GD -12	Home Saint Jeanne De Lestonnac School	●○○○○ Favorable	79%	4–1	2.48	2.12	Bank it
Sun Oct 25 10:30 AM	LA Surf LC 15th · 0-0-0 · GD +0	Away Citrus College	●●●●○ Tough	35%	2–2	1.24	1.94	Upside
Sat Nov 7 09:00 AM	Fram Soccer Club 10th · 1-2-1 · GD +0	Away Ridgecrest Intermediate · turf	●●●●○ Tough	35%	2–2	1.22	1.82	Upside
Sun Nov 15 08:00 AM	City SC - San Diego (2) 2nd · 2-1-0 · GD +8	Home Samueli Academy	●●●●○ Tough	29%	2–3	1.03	1.71	Upside
Sat Nov 21 08:00 AM	ALBION SC San Diego (1) 7th · 2-0-2 · GD +13	Home Samueli Academy	●●●●○ Tough	26%	2–3	0.92	1.61	Upside
Sat Dec 5 12:00 AM	Inland Surf 4th · 3-0-1 · GD +5	Away TBD	●●●●● Very tough	22%	1–2	0.83	1.52	Upside
Sat Dec 12 08:00 AM	Elite FC 17th · 0-0-4 · GD -31	Home Samueli Academy	●○○○○ Favorable	94%	5–1	2.85	1.66	Bank it
Sat Jan 9 12:00 AM	Total Futbol Academy - OC 14th · 1-0-3 · GD -10	Home TBD	●●○○○ Lean win	69%	3–1	2.23	1.71	Swing game
Sat Jan 16 07:20 PM	LAIFC 1st · 4-0-0 · GD +15	Away Pacific Community Center & Park · turf	●●●●● Very tough	9%	1–3	0.39	1.60	Upside
Sat Jan 23 12:00 AM	ALBION SC Antelope Valley 13th · 1-0-2 · GD +0	Home TBD	●●●○○ Toss-up	49%	2–2	1.66	1.60	Swing game
Sat Jan 30 12:00 AM	FLYTE SC- Inland Empire 3rd · 2-1-0 · GD +2	Away TBD	●●●●○ Tough	28%	1–2	1.03	1.56	Upside
Sat Feb 6 09:00 AM	California Football Academy 9th · 1-0-1 · GD -3	Away Aliso Canyon Community Park	●●●○○ Toss-up	45%	3–3	1.52	1.56	Swing game
Sat Feb 13 12:00 AM	FLYTE SC Blue- Inland Empire 5th · 2-0-1 · GD +2	Home TBD	●●●●○ Tough	40%	2–2	1.37	1.55	Upside

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

Team

Pts

PPG

Form

SoS

Run-in

Top 4

Exp. finish

LAIFC

+15

3.00

WWWW

-0.60

+0.05

99%

1.3

W	Sat Oct 17	vs	CITY SC San Marcos (11th)	4–0
W	Sat Sep 26	vs	BOCA OC (8th)	5–1
W	Sat Sep 19	at	Elite FC (17th)	6–0
W	Sat Sep 12	at	ALBION SC Antelope Valley (13th)	2–1

Next: Sat Oct 24 vs LA Surf LC · Sun Oct 25 at FLYTE SC Blue- Inland Empire · Sat Nov 7 at ALBION SC San Diego (1) See all 12 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 24	vs	LA Surf LC (15th)	3–1	79%
·	Sun Oct 25	at	FLYTE SC Blue- Inland Empire (5th)	2–1	64%
·	Sat Nov 7	at	ALBION SC San Diego (1) (7th)	3–2	53%
·	Sat Nov 14	vs	Fram Soccer Club (10th)	3–1	77%
·	Sun Nov 15	vs	Inland Surf (4th)	2–1	63%
·	Sat Dec 5	at	AC Brea (16th)	4–1	91%
·	Sat Dec 12	vs	California Football Academy (9th)	4–1	88%
·	Sat Jan 9	at	Rangers FC (12th)	2–1	65%
·	Sat Jan 16	vs	ALBION SC Santa Ana (6th)	3–1	80%
·	Sat Jan 23	at	Total Futbol Academy - OC (14th)	3–0	85%
·	Sat Jan 30	at	City SC - San Diego (2) (2nd)	2–1	54%
·	Sat Feb 13	vs	FLYTE SC- Inland Empire (3rd)	2–1	68%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

City SC - San Diego (2)

2.33

DWW

-1.09

+0.15

50%

5.0

W	Sat Oct 17	at	AC Brea (16th)	6–2
W	Sat Sep 26	vs	Total Futbol Academy - OC (14th)	5–1
D	Sat Sep 19	vs	Fram Soccer Club (10th)	1–1

Next: Sat Oct 24 at California Football Academy · Sat Nov 7 vs Rangers FC · Sun Nov 15 at ALBION SC Santa Ana See all 13 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 24	at	California Football Academy (9th)	3–2	65%
·	Sat Nov 7	vs	Rangers FC (12th)	2–1	60%
·	Sun Nov 15	at	ALBION SC Santa Ana (6th)	3–2	55%
·	Sat Nov 21	at	BOCA OC (8th)	3–3	35%
·	Sat Dec 5	vs	Elite FC (17th)	6–1	98%
·	Sat Dec 12	at	ALBION SC San Diego (1) (7th)	2–3	33%
·	Sun Dec 13	vs	LA Surf LC (15th)	3–1	65%
·	Sat Jan 9	at	FLYTE SC- Inland Empire (3rd)	2–1	44%
·	Sat Jan 16	vs	FLYTE SC Blue- Inland Empire (5th)	3–2	58%
·	Sat Jan 23	at	CITY SC San Marcos (11th)	2–1	51%
·	Sat Jan 30	vs	LAIFC (1st)	1–2	28%
·	Sat Feb 6	vs	Inland Surf (4th)	2–1	47%
·	Sat Feb 13	at	ALBION SC Antelope Valley (13th)	2–1	55%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

FLYTE SC- Inland Empire

2.33

WWD

+0.48

-0.14

34%

6.0

D	Sat Sep 26	at	Fram Soccer Club (10th)	1–1
W	Sat Sep 19	vs	ALBION SC San Diego (1) (7th)	3–2
W	Sat Sep 12	vs	CITY SC San Marcos (11th)	1–0

Next: Sun Nov 1 at LA Surf LC · Sat Nov 7 vs BOCA OC · Sat Nov 14 at Rangers FC See all 13 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sun Nov 1	at	LA Surf LC (15th)	2–1	42%
·	Sat Nov 7	vs	BOCA OC (8th)	2–2	36%
·	Sat Nov 14	at	Rangers FC (12th)	1–1	38%
·	Sat Nov 21	at	Elite FC (17th)	4–0	89%
·	Sat Dec 5	vs	California Football Academy (9th)	3–1	63%
·	Sat Dec 12	at	Inland Surf (4th)	1–1	28%
·	Sat Jan 9	vs	City SC - San Diego (2) (2nd)	1–2	36%
·	Sat Jan 16	at	Total Futbol Academy - OC (14th)	2–1	62%
·	Sat Jan 23	at	FLYTE SC Blue- Inland Empire (5th)	1–2	36%
·	Sat Jan 30	vs	ALBION SC Santa Ana (6th)	2–1	53%
·	Sat Feb 6	vs	AC Brea (16th)	3–1	80%
·	Sat Feb 13	at	LAIFC (1st)	1–2	15%
·	Tue May 25	vs	ALBION SC Antelope Valley (13th)	2–1	53%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Inland Surf

2.25

WWLW

+0.43

-0.22

60%

4.3

W	Sat Oct 17	vs	Fram Soccer Club (10th)	4–0
L	Sat Sep 26	vs	CITY SC San Marcos (11th)	0–2
W	Sat Sep 19	at	FLYTE SC Blue- Inland Empire (5th)	3–1
W	Sat Sep 12	vs	BOCA OC (8th)	3–2

Next: Sat Oct 24 at Rangers FC · Sat Nov 7 vs ALBION SC Antelope Valley · Sat Nov 14 at LA Surf LC See all 12 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 24	at	Rangers FC (12th)	2–1	46%
·	Sat Nov 7	vs	ALBION SC Antelope Valley (13th)	2–1	61%
·	Sat Nov 14	at	LA Surf LC (15th)	2–1	50%
·	Sun Nov 15	at	LAIFC (1st)	1–2	19%
·	Sat Dec 5	vs	ALBION SC Santa Ana (6th)	2–1	61%
·	Sat Dec 12	vs	FLYTE SC- Inland Empire (3rd)	1–1	50%
·	Sat Jan 16	vs	California Football Academy (9th)	3–1	71%
·	Sat Jan 23	at	Elite FC (17th)	4–0	93%
·	Sat Jan 30	vs	AC Brea (16th)	4–1	86%
·	Sat Feb 6	at	City SC - San Diego (2) (2nd)	1–2	33%
·	Sat Feb 13	at	Total Futbol Academy - OC (14th)	2–1	69%
·	Tue May 25	at	ALBION SC San Diego (1) (7th)	2–2	31%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

FLYTE SC Blue- Inland Empire

2.00

WLW

+0.38

-0.11

23%

6.9

W	Sat Sep 26	at	ALBION SC San Diego (1) (7th)	5–3
L	Sat Sep 19	vs	Inland Surf (4th)	1–3
W	Sat Sep 12	vs	Total Futbol Academy - OC (14th)	2–0

Next: Sat Oct 24 at CITY SC San Marcos · Sun Oct 25 vs LAIFC · Sat Nov 7 vs Elite FC See all 13 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 24	at	CITY SC San Marcos (11th)	1–1	41%
·	Sun Oct 25	vs	LAIFC (1st)	1–2	20%
·	Sat Nov 7	vs	Elite FC (17th)	5–1	95%
·	Sun Nov 8	at	ALBION SC Antelope Valley (13th)	2–2	44%
·	Sat Nov 14	at	BOCA OC (8th)	2–4	24%
·	Sat Nov 21	at	California Football Academy (9th)	3–2	52%
·	Sat Dec 12	at	AC Brea (16th)	3–1	74%
·	Sat Jan 9	vs	Fram Soccer Club (10th)	2–2	52%
·	Sat Jan 16	at	City SC - San Diego (2) (2nd)	2–3	25%
·	Sat Jan 23	vs	FLYTE SC- Inland Empire (3rd)	2–1	43%
·	Sat Jan 30	vs	Rangers FC (12th)	2–1	49%
·	Sat Feb 6	vs	LA Surf LC (15th)	2–2	53%
·	Sat Feb 13	at	ALBION SC Santa Ana (6th)	2–2	42%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

ALBION SC Santa Ana

-1

2.00

WLW

+0.50

-0.13

12%

8.4

W	Sun Oct 18	at	CITY SC San Marcos (11th)	1–0
L	Sat Sep 19	at	BOCA OC (8th)	4–7
W	Sun Sep 13	vs	Rangers FC (12th)	3–2

Next: Sat Oct 24 vs AC Brea · Sun Oct 25 at LA Surf LC · Sat Nov 7 at Fram Soccer Club See all 13 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 24	vs	AC Brea (16th)	4–1	79%
·	Sun Oct 25	at	LA Surf LC (15th)	2–2	35%
·	Sat Nov 7	at	Fram Soccer Club (10th)	2–2	35%
·	Sun Nov 15	vs	City SC - San Diego (2) (2nd)	2–3	29%
·	Sat Nov 21	vs	ALBION SC San Diego (1) (7th)	2–3	26%
·	Sat Dec 5	at	Inland Surf (4th)	1–2	22%
·	Sat Dec 12	vs	Elite FC (17th)	5–1	94%
·	Sat Jan 9	vs	Total Futbol Academy - OC (14th)	3–1	69%
·	Sat Jan 16	at	LAIFC (1st)	1–3	9%
·	Sat Jan 23	vs	ALBION SC Antelope Valley (13th)	2–2	49%
·	Sat Jan 30	at	FLYTE SC- Inland Empire (3rd)	1–2	28%
·	Sat Feb 6	at	California Football Academy (9th)	3–3	45%
·	Sat Feb 13	vs	FLYTE SC Blue- Inland Empire (5th)	2–2	40%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

ALBION SC San Diego (1)

+13

1.50

WLLW

-1.04

+0.23

47%

5.2

W	Sat Oct 17	vs	Total Futbol Academy - OC (14th)	6–0
L	Sat Sep 26	vs	FLYTE SC Blue- Inland Empire (5th)	3–5
L	Sat Sep 19	at	FLYTE SC- Inland Empire (3rd)	2–3
W	Sat Sep 12	vs	Elite FC (17th)	10–0

Next: Sat Oct 24 at BOCA OC · Sat Nov 7 vs LAIFC · Sat Nov 14 at ALBION SC Antelope Valley See all 12 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 24	at	BOCA OC (8th)	4–4	38%
·	Sat Nov 7	vs	LAIFC (1st)	2–3	30%
·	Sat Nov 14	at	ALBION SC Antelope Valley (13th)	3–2	61%
·	Sat Nov 21	at	ALBION SC Santa Ana (6th)	3–2	60%
·	Sat Dec 5	vs	Rangers FC (12th)	3–2	66%
·	Sat Dec 12	vs	City SC - San Diego (2) (2nd)	3–2	51%
·	Sat Jan 9	at	CITY SC San Marcos (11th)	2–1	56%
·	Sat Jan 23	at	California Football Academy (9th)	4–2	71%
·	Sat Jan 30	vs	LA Surf LC (15th)	4–2	71%
·	Sat Feb 6	at	Fram Soccer Club (10th)	3–2	57%
·	Sat Feb 13	at	AC Brea (16th)	5–1	88%
·	Tue May 25	vs	Inland Surf (4th)	2–2	52%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

BOCA OC

+11

1.50

LWLW

-0.40

-0.04

58%

4.6

W	Sat Oct 17	vs	Elite FC (17th)	13–0
L	Sat Sep 26	at	LAIFC (1st)	1–5
W	Sat Sep 19	vs	ALBION SC Santa Ana (6th)	7–4
L	Sat Sep 12	at	Inland Surf (4th)	2–3

Next: Sat Oct 24 vs ALBION SC San Diego (1) · Sat Nov 7 at FLYTE SC- Inland Empire · Sat Nov 14 vs FLYTE SC Blue- Inland Empire See all 12 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 24	vs	ALBION SC San Diego (1) (7th)	4–4	47%
·	Sat Nov 7	at	FLYTE SC- Inland Empire (3rd)	2–2	47%
·	Sat Nov 14	vs	FLYTE SC Blue- Inland Empire (5th)	4–2	63%
·	Sat Nov 21	vs	City SC - San Diego (2) (2nd)	3–3	50%
·	Sat Dec 5	at	Fram Soccer Club (10th)	3–2	56%
·	Sat Jan 9	vs	ALBION SC Antelope Valley (13th)	4–2	72%
·	Sun Jan 10	at	Rangers FC (12th)	3–2	53%
·	Sat Jan 16	at	LA Surf LC (15th)	4–2	58%
·	Sat Jan 23	vs	AC Brea (16th)	6–1	93%
·	Sat Jan 30	at	CITY SC San Marcos (11th)	2–1	56%
·	Sat Feb 6	vs	Total Futbol Academy - OC (14th)	5–1	88%
·	Tue May 25	at	California Football Academy (9th)	5–3	70%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

California Football Academy

-3

1.50

-0.06

+0.05

11.8

W	Sat Sep 19	vs	ALBION SC Antelope Valley (13th)	3–2
L	Sat Sep 12	at	Fram Soccer Club (10th)	3–7

Next: Sat Oct 10 at Rangers FC · Sat Oct 24 vs City SC - San Diego (2) · Sat Nov 7 at CITY SC San Marcos See all 14 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 10 (no score yet)	at	Rangers FC (12th)	2–3	24%
·	Sat Oct 24	vs	City SC - San Diego (2) (2nd)	2–3	21%
·	Sat Nov 7	at	CITY SC San Marcos (11th)	1–2	30%
·	Sat Nov 21	vs	FLYTE SC Blue- Inland Empire (5th)	2–3	31%
·	Sat Dec 5	at	FLYTE SC- Inland Empire (3rd)	1–3	21%
·	Sat Dec 12	at	LAIFC (1st)	1–4	5%
·	Sat Jan 9	vs	AC Brea (16th)	4–2	74%
·	Sat Jan 16	at	Inland Surf (4th)	1–3	16%
·	Sat Jan 23	vs	ALBION SC San Diego (1) (7th)	2–4	18%
·	Sat Jan 30	vs	Total Futbol Academy - OC (14th)	3–1	64%
·	Sat Feb 6	vs	ALBION SC Santa Ana (6th)	3–3	39%
·	Sat Feb 13	at	Elite FC (17th)	5–1	86%
·	Tue May 25	vs	BOCA OC (8th)	3–5	19%
·	Sun May 30	at	LA Surf LC (15th)	2–3	27%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Fram Soccer Club

1.25

WDDL

+0.43

-0.14

9.5

L	Sat Oct 17	at	Inland Surf (4th)	0–4
D	Sat Sep 26	vs	FLYTE SC- Inland Empire (3rd)	1–1
D	Sat Sep 19	at	City SC - San Diego (2) (2nd)	1–1
W	Sat Sep 12	vs	California Football Academy (9th)	7–3

Next: Sat Oct 24 at Elite FC · Sat Nov 7 vs ALBION SC Santa Ana · Sat Nov 14 at LAIFC See all 12 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 24	at	Elite FC (17th)	4–1	88%
·	Sat Nov 7	vs	ALBION SC Santa Ana (6th)	2–2	47%
·	Sat Nov 14	at	LAIFC (1st)	1–3	10%
·	Sun Nov 22	at	Rangers FC (12th)	1–2	33%
·	Sat Dec 5	vs	BOCA OC (8th)	2–3	29%
·	Sat Dec 12	at	Total Futbol Academy - OC (14th)	2–1	58%
·	Sat Jan 9	at	FLYTE SC Blue- Inland Empire (5th)	2–2	30%
·	Sat Jan 30	vs	ALBION SC Antelope Valley (13th)	2–1	49%
·	Sat Feb 6	vs	ALBION SC San Diego (1) (7th)	2–3	27%
·	Sat Feb 13	at	LA Surf LC (15th)	2–2	36%
·	Sat Feb 27	vs	CITY SC San Marcos (11th)	1–1	45%
·	Tue May 25	vs	AC Brea (16th)	3–1	78%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

CITY SC San Marcos

-1

1.20

LWWLL

+0.28

-0.10

10.6

L	Sun Oct 18	vs	ALBION SC Santa Ana (6th)	0–1
L	Sat Oct 17	at	LAIFC (1st)	0–4
W	Sat Sep 26	at	Inland Surf (4th)	2–0
W	Sat Sep 19	vs	AC Brea (16th)	3–0
L	Sat Sep 12	at	FLYTE SC- Inland Empire (3rd)	0–1

Next: Sat Oct 24 vs FLYTE SC Blue- Inland Empire · Sat Nov 7 vs California Football Academy · Sat Nov 14 at Elite FC See all 11 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 24	vs	FLYTE SC Blue- Inland Empire (5th)	1–1	35%
·	Sat Nov 7	vs	California Football Academy (9th)	2–1	50%
·	Sat Nov 14	at	Elite FC (17th)	3–0	80%
·	Sat Dec 5	at	Total Futbol Academy - OC (14th)	1–1	50%
·	Sat Dec 12	at	LA Surf LC (15th)	1–1	32%
·	Sat Jan 9	vs	ALBION SC San Diego (1) (7th)	1–2	25%
·	Sat Jan 23	vs	City SC - San Diego (2) (2nd)	1–2	27%
·	Sat Jan 30	vs	BOCA OC (8th)	1–2	26%
·	Sat Feb 6	vs	ALBION SC Antelope Valley (13th)	1–1	43%
·	Sat Feb 13	at	Rangers FC (12th)	1–1	29%
·	Sat Feb 27	at	Fram Soccer Club (10th)	1–1	31%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Rangers FC

1.00

WLL

-1.06

+0.23

10.5

L	Sat Sep 19	at	Total Futbol Academy - OC (14th)	0–2
L	Sun Sep 13	at	ALBION SC Santa Ana (6th)	2–3
W	Sat Sep 12	at	AC Brea (16th)	5–0

Next: Sat Oct 10 vs California Football Academy · Sat Oct 24 vs Inland Surf · Sat Nov 7 at City SC - San Diego (2) See all 13 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 10 (no score yet)	vs	California Football Academy (9th)	3–2	60%
·	Sat Oct 24	vs	Inland Surf (4th)	1–2	34%
·	Sat Nov 7	at	City SC - San Diego (2) (2nd)	1–2	23%
·	Sat Nov 14	vs	FLYTE SC- Inland Empire (3rd)	1–1	40%
·	Sun Nov 22	vs	Fram Soccer Club (10th)	2–1	48%
·	Sat Dec 5	at	ALBION SC San Diego (1) (7th)	2–3	20%
·	Sat Jan 9	vs	LAIFC (1st)	1–2	18%
·	Sun Jan 10	vs	BOCA OC (8th)	2–3	31%
·	Sat Jan 16	at	ALBION SC Antelope Valley (13th)	2–1	41%
·	Sat Jan 23	vs	LA Surf LC (15th)	2–2	49%
·	Sat Jan 30	at	FLYTE SC Blue- Inland Empire (5th)	1–2	32%
·	Sat Feb 6	at	Elite FC (17th)	4–1	89%
·	Sat Feb 13	vs	CITY SC San Marcos (11th)	1–1	47%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

ALBION SC Antelope Valley

1.00

LLW

-0.98

+0.20

11.8

W	Sat Oct 10	vs	Elite FC (17th)	3–1
L	Sat Sep 19	at	California Football Academy (9th)	2–3
L	Sat Sep 12	vs	LAIFC (1st)	1–2

Next: Sat Oct 24 vs Total Futbol Academy - OC · Sat Nov 7 at Inland Surf · Sun Nov 8 vs FLYTE SC Blue- Inland Empire See all 13 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 24	vs	Total Futbol Academy - OC (14th)	2–1	63%
·	Sat Nov 7	at	Inland Surf (4th)	1–2	20%
·	Sun Nov 8	vs	FLYTE SC Blue- Inland Empire (5th)	2–2	36%
·	Sat Nov 14	vs	ALBION SC San Diego (1) (7th)	2–3	24%
·	Sat Nov 21	vs	AC Brea (16th)	3–1	73%
·	Sat Dec 5	at	LA Surf LC (15th)	2–2	32%
·	Sat Jan 9	at	BOCA OC (8th)	2–4	16%
·	Sat Jan 16	vs	Rangers FC (12th)	1–2	39%
·	Sat Jan 23	at	ALBION SC Santa Ana (6th)	2–2	32%
·	Sat Jan 30	at	Fram Soccer Club (10th)	1–2	31%
·	Sat Feb 6	at	CITY SC San Marcos (11th)	1–1	33%
·	Sat Feb 13	vs	City SC - San Diego (2) (2nd)	1–2	26%
·	Tue May 25	at	FLYTE SC- Inland Empire (3rd)	1–2	26%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Total Futbol Academy - OC

-10

0.75

LWLL

+0.81

-0.16

14.4

L	Sat Oct 17	at	ALBION SC San Diego (1) (7th)	0–6
L	Sat Sep 26	at	City SC - San Diego (2) (2nd)	1–5
W	Sat Sep 19	vs	Rangers FC (12th)	2–0
L	Sat Sep 12	at	FLYTE SC Blue- Inland Empire (5th)	0–2

Next: Sat Oct 24 at ALBION SC Antelope Valley · Sat Nov 14 at AC Brea · Sat Nov 21 vs LA Surf LC See all 12 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 24	at	ALBION SC Antelope Valley (13th)	1–2	19%
·	Sat Nov 14	at	AC Brea (16th)	2–2	42%
·	Sat Nov 21	vs	LA Surf LC (15th)	1–2	24%
·	Sat Dec 5	vs	CITY SC San Marcos (11th)	1–1	26%
·	Sat Dec 12	vs	Fram Soccer Club (10th)	1–2	23%
·	Sat Jan 9	at	ALBION SC Santa Ana (6th)	1–3	16%
·	Sat Jan 16	vs	FLYTE SC- Inland Empire (3rd)	1–2	19%
·	Sat Jan 23	vs	LAIFC (1st)	0–3	6%
·	Sat Jan 30	at	California Football Academy (9th)	1–3	21%
·	Sat Feb 6	at	BOCA OC (8th)	1–5	6%
·	Sat Feb 13	vs	Inland Surf (4th)	1–2	15%
·	Tue May 25	vs	Elite FC (17th)	3–1	76%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

LA Surf LC

0.00

—

-0.00

—

No games played yet.

Next: Sat Oct 24 at LAIFC · Sun Oct 25 vs ALBION SC Santa Ana · Sun Nov 1 vs FLYTE SC- Inland Empire See all 16 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 24	at	LAIFC (1st)	1–3	10%
·	Sun Oct 25	vs	ALBION SC Santa Ana (6th)	2–2	47%
·	Sun Nov 1	vs	FLYTE SC- Inland Empire (3rd)	1–2	37%
·	Sat Nov 7	at	AC Brea (16th)	3–1	69%
·	Sat Nov 14	vs	Inland Surf (4th)	1–2	31%
·	Sat Nov 21	at	Total Futbol Academy - OC (14th)	2–1	58%
·	Sat Dec 5	vs	ALBION SC Antelope Valley (13th)	2–2	49%
·	Sat Dec 12	vs	CITY SC San Marcos (11th)	1–1	45%
·	Sun Dec 13	at	City SC - San Diego (2) (2nd)	1–3	20%
·	Sat Jan 9	at	Elite FC (17th)	4–1	89%
·	Sat Jan 16	vs	BOCA OC (8th)	2–4	28%
·	Sat Jan 23	at	Rangers FC (12th)	2–2	32%
·	Sat Jan 30	at	ALBION SC San Diego (1) (7th)	2–4	17%
·	Sat Feb 6	at	FLYTE SC Blue- Inland Empire (5th)	2–2	29%
·	Sat Feb 13	vs	Fram Soccer Club (10th)	2–2	45%
·	Sun May 30	vs	California Football Academy (9th)	3–2	57%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

AC Brea

-12

0.00

LLL

+0.43

+0.06

15.9

L	Sat Oct 17	vs	City SC - San Diego (2) (2nd)	2–6
L	Sat Sep 19	at	CITY SC San Marcos (11th)	0–3
L	Sat Sep 12	vs	Rangers FC (12th)	0–5

Next: Sat Oct 24 at ALBION SC Santa Ana · Sat Nov 7 vs LA Surf LC · Sat Nov 14 vs Total Futbol Academy - OC See all 13 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 24	at	ALBION SC Santa Ana (6th)	1–4	10%
·	Sat Nov 7	vs	LA Surf LC (15th)	1–3	17%
·	Sat Nov 14	vs	Total Futbol Academy - OC (14th)	2–2	38%
·	Sat Nov 21	at	ALBION SC Antelope Valley (13th)	1–3	13%
·	Sat Dec 5	vs	LAIFC (1st)	1–4	3%
·	Sat Dec 12	vs	FLYTE SC Blue- Inland Empire (5th)	1–3	13%
·	Sat Jan 9	at	California Football Academy (9th)	2–4	14%
·	Sat Jan 16	vs	Elite FC (17th)	3–1	73%
·	Sat Jan 23	at	BOCA OC (8th)	1–6	3%
·	Sat Jan 30	at	Inland Surf (4th)	1–4	6%
·	Sat Feb 6	at	FLYTE SC- Inland Empire (3rd)	1–3	9%
·	Sat Feb 13	vs	ALBION SC San Diego (1) (7th)	1–5	6%
·	Tue May 25	at	Fram Soccer Club (10th)	1–3	11%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Elite FC

-31

0.00

LLLL

+1.16

-0.08

16.9

L	Sat Oct 17	at	BOCA OC (8th)	0–13
L	Sat Oct 10	at	ALBION SC Antelope Valley (13th)	1–3
L	Sat Sep 19	vs	LAIFC (1st)	0–6
L	Sat Sep 12	at	ALBION SC San Diego (1) (7th)	0–10

Next: Sat Oct 24 vs Fram Soccer Club · Sat Nov 7 at FLYTE SC Blue- Inland Empire · Sat Nov 14 vs CITY SC San Marcos See all 12 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 24	vs	Fram Soccer Club (10th)	1–4	5%
·	Sat Nov 7	at	FLYTE SC Blue- Inland Empire (5th)	1–5	2%
·	Sat Nov 14	vs	CITY SC San Marcos (11th)	0–3	8%
·	Sat Nov 21	vs	FLYTE SC- Inland Empire (3rd)	0–4	4%
·	Sat Dec 5	at	City SC - San Diego (2) (2nd)	1–6	1%
·	Sat Dec 12	at	ALBION SC Santa Ana (6th)	1–5	2%
·	Sat Jan 9	vs	LA Surf LC (15th)	1–4	5%
·	Sat Jan 16	at	AC Brea (16th)	1–3	14%
·	Sat Jan 23	vs	Inland Surf (4th)	0–4	2%
·	Sat Feb 6	vs	Rangers FC (12th)	1–4	5%
·	Sat Feb 13	vs	California Football Academy (9th)	1–5	7%
·	Tue May 25	at	Total Futbol Academy - OC (14th)	1–3	11%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.51 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.