TableChase Clubs

FLYTE SC Blue- Inland Empire

Elite Academy League · Southwest U11 · 17 teams · FLYTE SC- Inland Empire (all teams)

Scores refresh automatically every 2 hours · last pulled 28 minutes ago.
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5th
2-0-1 record · 3 played
2.00 points per game
+2 goal diff · 8–6
WLWlast 3
23% chance of top 4 · expected finish 6.9
+0.38 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sat Oct 24, 01:00 PM

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FLYTE SC Blue- Inland Empire
5th · 2.00 PPG
at
CITY SC San Marcos
11th · 1.20 PPG

Cerro de Las Posas Park Stadium, Stadium ↗ · turf?

windrawloss

●●●●○ Tough to win

Most likely score 1–1 (expected goals 1.7 for, 1.6 against · 1.47 expected points)

Season so farFLYTE SC Blue- Inland EmpireCITY SC San Marcos
Position5th11th
Record (W-D-L)2-0-12-0-3
Points per game2.001.20
Goals for / game2.71.0
Goals against / game2.01.2
Clean sheets12
Held scoreless03
Form (recent first)W L WL L W W L
Biggest win2–0 vs Total Futbol Academy - OC3–0 vs AC Brea
Worst loss1–3 vs Inland Surf0–4 at LAIFC
Model rating (net goals vs avg)+0.39-0.09
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)+0.38+0.28

Common opponents: Inland Surf — we 1–3; they 2–0.

Game plan

  • They struggle to score
    CITY SC San Marcos average 1.0 goals/game (league avg 2.5); blanked in 3 of 5.

    A higher defensive line and an aggressive counter-press are low-risk here. Keep the back line connected to midfield so one long ball doesn't turn into a 1v1 — that is the only way this opponent scores.

  • Hard to break down
    CITY SC San Marcos concede only 1.2/game with 2 clean sheet(s).

    Patience and width: move the ball quickly side to side to pull the block apart, and treat set pieces as your best chance — rehearse two corner routines and a near-post free-kick delivery.

  • Underdog — play free, stay organised
    Model gives 41%; a draw (23%) would be a good result.

    Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.

  • Away game
    Kickoff 01:00 PM at Cerro de Las Posas Park Stadium.

    Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.

  • What a win does
    Inland Surf sit 4th on 2.25 PPG; we are on 2.00.

    A win moves us above Inland Surf on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.

If Saturday goes…

Where we'd sit after the CITY SC San Marcos game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (FLYTE SC Blue- Inland Empire – CITY SC San Marcos) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 8 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Draw · 1.75 PPG
6th▼ down 1 6th▼ down 1 10th▼ down 5
Win
2.25 PPG
5th— holds 5th— holds 7th▼ down 2
Draw
1.75 PPG
6th▼ down 1 6th▼ down 1 10th▼ down 5
Loss
1.50 PPG
8th▼ down 3 7th▼ down 2 12th▼ down 7

Can we move up this round? No. With a 1–1 draw we stay 5th even if every rival loses, and as low as 10th if every rival wins.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

1% finish 1st
23% top 4
77% below the top 4
6.9 average finish
  1. 1st 1%
  2. 2nd 6%
  3. 3rd 7%
  4. 4th 9%
  5. 5th 12%
  6. 6th 13%
  7. 7th 11%
  8. 8th 10%
  9. 9th 9%
  10. 10th 7%
  11. 11th 6%
  12. 12th 3%
  13. 13th 3%
  14. 14th 2%
  15. 15th <1%
  16. 16th
  17. 17th

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 13 remaining known games (max 2.81 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 LAIFC 3.00 (+1.00) 1st (2.47) 42 of 39 pts to pass their current pace, 34 for their projection
2 City SC - San Diego (2) 2.33 (+0.33) 4th (1.87) 32 of 39 pts to pass their current pace, 24 for their projection
3 FLYTE SC- Inland Empire 2.33 (+0.33) 6th (1.77) 32 of 39 pts to pass their current pace, 23 for their projection
4 Inland Surf 2.25 (+0.25) 2nd (1.94) Win next game

How the results connect

2 chains · 5 teams

Paths of results that link FLYTE SC Blue- Inland Empire to CITY SC San Marcos through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

1 favour us
1 favour them
-1.0 goals per chain on average. The results point their way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
1–3 0–2 5–3 2–3 1–0 FLYTE SC Blue- Inla… 5th Inland Surf 4th ALBION SC San Diego… 7th FLYTE SC- Inland Em… 3rd CITY SC San Marcos 11th

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

2 chains

Position over the season

7 game days

1st 9th 17th Sep 12 Sep 19 Oct 10 Oct 18

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty -0.11 · 12th hardest of 17

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sat Oct 24
01:00 PM
CITY SC San Marcos
11th · 2-0-3 · GD -1
Away
Cerro de Las Posas Park Stadium · turf?
●●●●○ Tough
41%
1–1 1.47 1.87 Upside
Sun Oct 25
05:00 PM
LAIFC
1st · 4-0-0 · GD +15
Home
RJRSP
●●●●● Very tough
20%
1–2 0.76 1.65 Upside
Sat Nov 7
04:00 PM
Elite FC
17th · 0-0-4 · GD -31
Home
RJRSP
●○○○○ Favorable
95%
5–1 2.89 1.85 Bank it
Sun Nov 8
11:00 AM
ALBION SC Antelope Valley
13th · 1-0-2 · GD +0
Away
Lancaster National Soccer Center
●●●○○ Toss-up
44%
2–2 1.52 1.81 Swing game
Sat Nov 14
08:00 AM
BOCA OC
8th · 2-0-2 · GD +11
Away
El Rancho Charter School (Upper)
●●●●● Very tough
24%
2–4 0.85 1.69 Upside
Sat Nov 21
09:00 AM
California Football Academy
9th · 1-0-1 · GD -3
Away
Aliso Canyon Community Park
●●●○○ Toss-up
52%
3–2 1.73 1.69 Swing game
Sat Dec 12
02:30 PM
AC Brea
16th · 0-0-3 · GD -12
Away
Brea Sports Park
●●○○○ Lean win
74%
3–1 2.35 1.76 Bank it
Sat Jan 9
12:00 AM
Fram Soccer Club
10th · 1-2-1 · GD +0
Home
TBD
●●●○○ Toss-up
52%
2–2 1.74 1.76 Swing game
Sat Jan 16
12:00 AM
City SC - San Diego (2)
2nd · 2-1-0 · GD +8
Away
TBD
●●●●○ Tough
25%
2–3 0.93 1.69 Upside
Sat Jan 23
12:00 AM
FLYTE SC- Inland Empire
3rd · 2-1-0 · GD +2
Home
TBD
●●●○○ Toss-up
43%
2–1 1.50 1.67 Swing game
Sat Jan 30
12:00 AM
Rangers FC
12th · 1-0-2 · GD +2
Home
TBD
●●●○○ Toss-up
49%
2–1 1.65 1.67 Swing game
Sat Feb 6
12:00 AM
LA Surf LC
15th · 0-0-0 · GD +0
Home
TBD
●●●○○ Toss-up
53%
2–2 1.78 1.68 Swing game
Sat Feb 13
12:00 AM
ALBION SC Santa Ana
6th · 2-0-1 · GD -1
Away
TBD
●●●○○ Toss-up
42%
2–2 1.45 1.66 Swing game

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 LAIFC 4400 172+15 123.00 WWWW -0.60 +0.05 99% 1.3
2 City SC - San Diego (2) 3210 124+8 72.33 DWW -1.09 +0.15 50% 5.0
3 FLYTE SC- Inland Empire 3210 53+2 72.33 WWD +0.48 -0.14 34% 6.0
4 Inland Surf 4301 105+5 92.25 WWLW +0.43 -0.22 60% 4.3
5 FLYTE SC Blue- Inland Empire 3201 86+2 62.00 WLW +0.38 -0.11 23% 6.9
6 ALBION SC Santa Ana 3201 89-1 62.00 WLW +0.50 -0.13 12% 8.4
7 ALBION SC San Diego (1) 4202 218+13 61.50 WLLW -1.04 +0.23 47% 5.2
8 BOCA OC 4202 2312+11 61.50 LWLW -0.40 -0.04 58% 4.6
9 California Football Academy 2101 69-3 31.50 LW -0.06 +0.05 1% 11.8
10 Fram Soccer Club 4121 99+0 51.25 WDDL +0.43 -0.14 5% 9.5
11 CITY SC San Marcos 5203 56-1 61.20 LWWLL +0.28 -0.10 2% 10.6
12 Rangers FC 3102 75+2 31.00 WLL -1.06 +0.23 3% 10.5
13 ALBION SC Antelope Valley 3102 66+0 31.00 LLW -0.98 +0.20 1% 11.8
14 Total Futbol Academy - OC 4103 313-10 30.75 LWLL +0.81 -0.16 0% 14.4
15 LA Surf LC 0000 00+0 00.00 — -0.00 ——
16 AC Brea 3003 214-12 00.00 LLL +0.43 +0.06 0% 15.9
17 Elite FC 4004 132-31 00.00 LLLL +1.16 -0.08 0% 16.9

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.51 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.