LA Surf LC
Elite Academy League · Southwest U11 · 17 teams · LA Surf LC (all teams)
Next game — Sat Oct 24, 07:20 PM
Pacific Community Center & Park, Turf Field ↗ · turf
●●●●● Very tough to win
Most likely score 1–3 (expected goals 1.4 for, 3.6 against · 0.40 expected points)
| Season so far | LA Surf LC | LAIFC |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 15th | 1st |
| Record (W-D-L) | 0-0-0 | 4-0-0 |
| Points per game | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| Goals for / game | 0.0 | 4.3 |
| Goals against / game | 0.0 | 0.5 |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 2 |
| Held scoreless | 0 | 0 |
| Form (recent first) | — | W W W W |
| Biggest win | — | 6–0 at Elite FC |
| Worst loss | — | — |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +0.00 | +1.95 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | +0.00 | -0.60 |
Game plan
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Respect their attack
LAIFC score 4.2/game — well above the league's 2.5.Deny the easy goals first: compact shape between the lines, no fouls in shooting range, and a plan for their best outlet. Score first and make them chase.
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Hard to break down
LAIFC concede only 0.5/game with 2 clean sheet(s).Patience and width: move the ball quickly side to side to pull the block apart, and treat set pieces as your best chance — rehearse two corner routines and a near-post free-kick delivery.
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Underdog — play free, stay organised
Model gives 10%; a draw (11%) would be a good result.Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.
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They arrive in form
LAIFC have won 4 straight.Don't let them settle: deny the first 10 minutes of rhythm with pressure on their first pass out of the back.
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Away game
Kickoff 07:20 PM at Pacific Community Center & Park.Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.
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What a win does
Total Futbol Academy - OC sit 14th on 0.75 PPG; we are on 0.00.A point moves us above Total Futbol Academy - OC on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.
If Saturday goes…
Where we'd sit after the LAIFC game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (LA Surf LC – LAIFC) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 8 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.
| Our result | Rivals don't play | Likely results | Every rival wins |
|---|---|---|---|
| – Loss · 0.00 PPG |
15th— holds | 15th— holds | 17th▼ down 2 |
| Win 3.00 PPG |
1st▲ up 14 | 1st▲ up 14 | 1st▲ up 14 |
| Draw 1.00 PPG |
14th▲ up 1 | 12th▲ up 3 | 15th— holds |
| Loss 0.00 PPG |
15th— holds | 15th— holds | 17th▼ down 2 |
Can we move up this round? No. With a 1–3 loss we stay 15th even if every rival loses, and as low as 17th if every rival wins.
Where we finish
2,000 simulated seasons
- 1st <1%
- 2nd 1%
- 3rd 2%
- 4th 3%
- 5th 5%
- 6th 6%
- 7th 7%
- 8th 9%
- 9th 10%
- 10th 13%
- 11th 11%
- 12th 11%
- 13th 11%
- 14th 9%
- 15th 4%
- 16th <1%
- 17th
Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.
Climbing the table
What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 16 remaining known games (max 3.00 PPG if we win out).
| # | Team | PPG | Proj. | To pass them |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | LAIFC | 3.00 (+3.00) | 1st (2.47) | Win next game |
| 2 | City SC - San Diego (2) | 2.33 (+2.33) | 4th (1.87) | A point next game |
| 3 | FLYTE SC- Inland Empire | 2.33 (+2.33) | 6th (1.77) | A point next game |
| 4 | Inland Surf | 2.25 (+2.25) | 2nd (1.94) | A point next game |
| 5 | FLYTE SC Blue- Inland Empire | 2.00 (+2.00) | 7th (1.66) | A point next game |
| 6 | ALBION SC Santa Ana | 2.00 (+2.00) | 8th (1.55) | A point next game |
| 7 | ALBION SC San Diego (1) | 1.50 (+1.50) | 5th (1.80) | A point next game |
| 8 | BOCA OC | 1.50 (+1.50) | 3rd (1.88) | A point next game |
| 9 | California Football Academy | 1.50 (+1.50) | 13th (1.20) | A point next game |
| 10 | Fram Soccer Club | 1.25 (+1.25) | 9th (1.43) | A point next game |
| 11 | CITY SC San Marcos | 1.20 (+1.20) | 12th (1.33) | A point next game |
| 12 | Rangers FC | 1.00 (+1.00) | 11th (1.33) | A point next game |
| 13 | ALBION SC Antelope Valley | 1.00 (+1.00) | 14th (1.19) | A point next game |
| 14 | Total Futbol Academy - OC | 0.75 (+0.75) | 15th (0.86) | Already ahead |
Position over the season
7 game days
Not enough game days yet to draw a line.
The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.
The path
run-in difficulty -0.00 · 8th hardest of 17
| Date | Opponent | Where | Difficulty | Win | Likely | Exp. pts | Run. PPG | Priority |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat Oct 24 07:20 PM |
LAIFC 1st · 4-0-0 · GD +15 |
Away Pacific Community Center & Park · turf |
●●●●● Very tough | 10% |
1–3 | 0.40 | 0.40 | Upside |
| Sun Oct 25 10:30 AM |
ALBION SC Santa Ana 6th · 2-0-1 · GD -1 |
Home Citrus College |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 47% |
2–2 | 1.58 | 0.99 | Swing game |
| Sun Nov 1 11:30 AM |
FLYTE SC- Inland Empire 3rd · 2-1-0 · GD +2 |
Home Citrus College |
●●●●○ Tough | 37% |
1–2 | 1.33 | 1.10 | Upside |
| Sat Nov 7 12:00 AM |
AC Brea 16th · 0-0-3 · GD -12 |
Away TBD |
●●○○○ Lean win | 69% |
3–1 | 2.20 | 1.38 | Swing game |
| Sat Nov 14 12:00 AM |
Inland Surf 4th · 3-0-1 · GD +5 |
Home TBD |
●●●●○ Tough | 31% |
1–2 | 1.12 | 1.33 | Upside |
| Sat Nov 21 02:45 PM |
Total Futbol Academy - OC 14th · 1-0-3 · GD -10 |
Away Hoover High School · turf |
●●○○○ Lean win | 58% |
2–1 | 1.93 | 1.43 | Swing game |
| Sat Dec 5 12:00 AM |
ALBION SC Antelope Valley 13th · 1-0-2 · GD +0 |
Home TBD |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 49% |
2–2 | 1.65 | 1.46 | Swing game |
| Sat Dec 12 12:00 AM |
CITY SC San Marcos 11th · 2-0-3 · GD -1 |
Home TBD |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 45% |
1–1 | 1.58 | 1.47 | Swing game |
| Sun Dec 13 02:30 PM |
City SC - San Diego (2) 2nd · 2-1-0 · GD +8 |
Away Alga Norte Park |
●●●●● Very tough | 20% |
1–3 | 0.75 | 1.39 | Upside |
| Sat Jan 9 12:00 AM |
Elite FC 17th · 0-0-4 · GD -31 |
Away TBD |
●○○○○ Favorable | 89% |
4–1 | 2.72 | 1.53 | Bank it |
| Sat Jan 16 12:00 AM |
BOCA OC 8th · 2-0-2 · GD +11 |
Home TBD |
●●●●○ Tough | 28% |
2–4 | 0.97 | 1.48 | Upside |
| Sat Jan 23 09:00 AM |
Rangers FC 12th · 1-0-2 · GD +2 |
Away Serrano Elementary |
●●●●○ Tough | 32% |
2–2 | 1.15 | 1.45 | Upside |
| Sat Jan 30 12:00 AM |
ALBION SC San Diego (1) 7th · 2-0-2 · GD +13 |
Away TBD |
●●●●● Very tough | 17% |
2–4 | 0.63 | 1.39 | Upside |
| Sat Feb 6 12:00 AM |
FLYTE SC Blue- Inland Empire 5th · 2-0-1 · GD +2 |
Away TBD |
●●●●○ Tough | 29% |
2–2 | 1.05 | 1.36 | Upside |
| Sat Feb 13 12:00 AM |
Fram Soccer Club 10th · 1-2-1 · GD +0 |
Home TBD |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 45% |
2–2 | 1.54 | 1.37 | Swing game |
| Sun May 30 10:30 AM |
California Football Academy 9th · 1-0-1 · GD -3 |
Home Dana Middle School |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 57% |
3–2 | 1.88 | 1.40 | Swing game |
"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.
Standings
| # | Team | GP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | Form | SoS | Run-in | Top 4 | Exp. finish | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| 1 | LAIFC | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 2 | +15 | 12 | 3.00 | WWWW | -0.60 | +0.05 | 98% | 1.3 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs LA Surf LC · Sun Oct 25 at FLYTE SC Blue- Inland Empire · Sat Nov 7 at ALBION SC San Diego (1) See all 12 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 2 | City SC - San Diego (2) | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 4 | +8 | 7 | 2.33 | DWW | -1.09 | +0.15 | 49% | 5.0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at California Football Academy · Sat Nov 7 vs Rangers FC · Sun Nov 15 at ALBION SC Santa Ana See all 13 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 3 | FLYTE SC- Inland Empire | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3 | +2 | 7 | 2.33 | WWD | +0.48 | -0.14 | 37% | 5.9 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Nov 1 at LA Surf LC · Sat Nov 7 vs BOCA OC · Sat Nov 14 at Rangers FC See all 13 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 4 | Inland Surf | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 5 | +5 | 9 | 2.25 | WWLW | +0.43 | -0.22 | 61% | 4.3 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at Rangers FC · Sat Nov 7 vs ALBION SC Antelope Valley · Sat Nov 14 at LA Surf LC See all 12 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 5 | FLYTE SC Blue- Inland Empire | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | +2 | 6 | 2.00 | WLW | +0.38 | -0.11 | 22% | 7.1 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at CITY SC San Marcos · Sun Oct 25 vs LAIFC · Sat Nov 7 vs Elite FC See all 13 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 6 | ALBION SC Santa Ana | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 6 | 2.00 | WLW | +0.50 | -0.13 | 11% | 8.4 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs AC Brea · Sun Oct 25 at LA Surf LC · Sat Nov 7 at Fram Soccer Club See all 13 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 7 | ALBION SC San Diego (1) | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 8 | +13 | 6 | 1.50 | WLLW | -1.04 | +0.23 | 44% | 5.3 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at BOCA OC · Sat Nov 7 vs LAIFC · Sat Nov 14 at ALBION SC Antelope Valley See all 12 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 8 | BOCA OC | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 12 | +11 | 6 | 1.50 | LWLW | -0.40 | -0.04 | 59% | 4.6 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs ALBION SC San Diego (1) · Sat Nov 7 at FLYTE SC- Inland Empire · Sat Nov 14 vs FLYTE SC Blue- Inland Empire See all 12 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 9 | California Football Academy | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 3 | 1.50 | LW | -0.06 | +0.05 | 2% | 11.9 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 10 at Rangers FC · Sat Oct 24 vs City SC - San Diego (2) · Sat Nov 7 at CITY SC San Marcos See all 14 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 10 | Fram Soccer Club | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 9 | +0 | 5 | 1.25 | WDDL | +0.43 | -0.14 | 5% | 9.4 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at Elite FC · Sat Nov 7 vs ALBION SC Santa Ana · Sat Nov 14 at LAIFC See all 12 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 11 | CITY SC San Marcos | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 6 | -1 | 6 | 1.20 | LWWLL | +0.28 | -0.10 | 2% | 10.7 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs FLYTE SC Blue- Inland Empire · Sat Nov 7 vs California Football Academy · Sat Nov 14 at Elite FC See all 11 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 12 | Rangers FC | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 5 | +2 | 3 | 1.00 | WLL | -1.06 | +0.23 | 3% | 10.5 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 10 vs California Football Academy · Sat Oct 24 vs Inland Surf · Sat Nov 7 at City SC - San Diego (2) See all 13 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 13 | ALBION SC Antelope Valley | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6 | +0 | 3 | 1.00 | LLW | -0.98 | +0.20 | 1% | 11.8 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs Total Futbol Academy - OC · Sat Nov 7 at Inland Surf · Sun Nov 8 vs FLYTE SC Blue- Inland Empire See all 13 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 14 | Total Futbol Academy - OC | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 13 | -10 | 3 | 0.75 | LWLL | +0.81 | -0.16 | 0% | 14.4 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at ALBION SC Antelope Valley · Sat Nov 14 at AC Brea · Sat Nov 21 vs LA Surf LC See all 12 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 15 | LA Surf LC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 | 0.00 | — | -0.00 | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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No games played yet. Next: Sat Oct 24 at LAIFC · Sun Oct 25 vs ALBION SC Santa Ana · Sun Nov 1 vs FLYTE SC- Inland Empire See all 16 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 16 | AC Brea | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 14 | -12 | 0 | 0.00 | LLL | +0.43 | +0.06 | 0% | 15.9 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at ALBION SC Santa Ana · Sat Nov 7 vs LA Surf LC · Sat Nov 14 vs Total Futbol Academy - OC See all 13 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 17 | Elite FC | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 32 | -31 | 0 | 0.00 | LLLL | +1.16 | -0.08 | 0% | 16.9 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs Fram Soccer Club · Sat Nov 7 at FLYTE SC Blue- Inland Empire · Sat Nov 14 vs CITY SC San Marcos See all 12 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.
How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.51 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.