LA Surf LC
Elite Academy League · Southwest U12 · 17 teams · LA Surf LC (all teams)
Next game — Sat Oct 24, 06:00 PM
Pacific Community Center & Park, Turf Field ↗ · turf
●●●●● Very tough to win
Most likely score 2–4 (expected goals 2.9 for, 4.8 against · 0.69 expected points)
| Season so far | LA Surf LC | LAIFC |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 15th | 9th |
| Record (W-D-L) | 0-0-0 | 2-0-2 |
| Points per game | 0.00 | 1.50 |
| Goals for / game | 0.0 | 5.8 |
| Goals against / game | 0.0 | 2.8 |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 |
| Held scoreless | 0 | 1 |
| Form (recent first) | — | W W L L |
| Biggest win | — | 13–1 vs BOCA OC |
| Worst loss | — | 1–7 at ALBION SC Antelope Valley |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +0.00 | +1.41 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | +0.00 | -1.11 |
Game plan
-
Respect their attack
LAIFC score 5.8/game — well above the league's 3.2.Deny the easy goals first: compact shape between the lines, no fouls in shooting range, and a plan for their best outlet. Score first and make them chase.
-
Underdog — play free, stay organised
Model gives 19%; a draw (12%) would be a good result.Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.
-
Away game
Kickoff 06:00 PM at Pacific Community Center & Park.Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.
-
What a win does
FLYTE SC Blue- Inland Empire sit 14th on 0.33 PPG; we are on 0.00.A point moves us above FLYTE SC Blue- Inland Empire on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.
If Saturday goes…
Where we'd sit after the LAIFC game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (LA Surf LC – LAIFC) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 8 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.
| Our result | Rivals don't play | Likely results | Every rival wins |
|---|---|---|---|
| – Loss · 0.00 PPG |
15th— holds | 15th— holds | 17th▼ down 2 |
| Win 3.00 PPG |
3rd▲ up 12 | 3rd▲ up 12 | 3rd▲ up 12 |
| Draw 1.00 PPG |
11th▲ up 4 | 11th▲ up 4 | 13th▲ up 2 |
| Loss 0.00 PPG |
15th— holds | 15th— holds | 17th▼ down 2 |
Can we move up this round? No. With a 2–4 loss we stay 15th even if every rival loses, and as low as 17th if every rival wins.
Where we finish
2,000 simulated seasons
- 1st
- 2nd <1%
- 3rd 1%
- 4th 2%
- 5th 4%
- 6th 5%
- 7th 7%
- 8th 9%
- 9th 12%
- 10th 15%
- 11th 16%
- 12th 13%
- 13th 8%
- 14th 5%
- 15th 2%
- 16th <1%
- 17th
Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.
Climbing the table
What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 16 remaining known games (max 3.00 PPG if we win out).
| # | Team | PPG | Proj. | To pass them |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ALBION SC San Diego (1) | 3.00 (+3.00) | 1st (2.42) | Win next game |
| 2 | Inland Surf | 3.00 (+3.00) | 2nd (2.24) | Win next game |
| 3 | City SC - San Diego (2) | 2.33 (+2.33) | 3rd (2.06) | A point next game |
| 4 | ALBION SC Santa Ana | 2.33 (+2.33) | 4th (1.99) | A point next game |
| 5 | ALBION SC Antelope Valley | 2.00 (+2.00) | 5th (1.80) | A point next game |
| 6 | California Football Academy | 2.00 (+2.00) | 7th (1.69) | A point next game |
| 7 | FLYTE SC- Inland Empire | 2.00 (+2.00) | 11th (1.36) | A point next game |
| 8 | Rangers FC | 1.75 (+1.75) | 8th (1.69) | A point next game |
| 9 | LAIFC | 1.50 (+1.50) | 6th (1.74) | A point next game |
| 10 | Elite FC | 1.50 (+1.50) | 9th (1.51) | A point next game |
| 11 | Fram Soccer Club | 0.75 (+0.75) | 12th (1.27) | Already ahead |
| 12 | CITY SC San Marcos | 0.60 (+0.60) | 15th (0.80) | Already ahead |
| 13 | Total Futbol Academy - OC | 0.50 (+0.50) | 13th (0.95) | Already ahead |
| 14 | FLYTE SC Blue- Inland Empire | 0.33 (+0.33) | 14th (0.94) | Already ahead |
Position over the season
7 game days
Not enough game days yet to draw a line.
The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.
The path
run-in difficulty +0.00 · 8th hardest of 17
| Date | Opponent | Where | Difficulty | Win | Likely | Exp. pts | Run. PPG | Priority |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat Oct 24 06:00 PM |
LAIFC 9th · 2-0-2 · GD +12 |
Away Pacific Community Center & Park · turf |
●●●●● Very tough | 19% |
2–4 | 0.69 | 0.69 | Upside |
| Sun Oct 25 09:00 AM |
ALBION SC Santa Ana 4th · 2-1-0 · GD +9 |
Home Citrus College |
●●●●○ Tough | 25% |
1–2 | 0.93 | 0.81 | Upside |
| Sun Nov 1 10:00 AM |
FLYTE SC- Inland Empire 7th · 2-0-1 · GD -3 |
Home Citrus College |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 55% |
3–2 | 1.80 | 1.14 | Swing game |
| Sat Nov 7 12:00 AM |
AC Brea 16th · 0-0-3 · GD -21 |
Away TBD |
●○○○○ Favorable | 83% |
4–1 | 2.57 | 1.50 | Bank it |
| Sat Nov 14 12:00 AM |
Inland Surf 2nd · 4-0-0 · GD +18 |
Home TBD |
●●●●● Very tough | 21% |
2–4 | 0.76 | 1.35 | Upside |
| Sat Nov 21 04:00 PM |
Total Futbol Academy - OC 13th · 0-2-2 · GD -9 |
Away Hoover High School · turf |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 52% |
3–2 | 1.73 | 1.41 | Swing game |
| Sat Dec 5 12:00 AM |
ALBION SC Antelope Valley 5th · 2-0-1 · GD +4 |
Home TBD |
●●●●○ Tough | 36% |
2–3 | 1.24 | 1.39 | Upside |
| Sat Dec 12 12:00 AM |
CITY SC San Marcos 12th · 1-0-4 · GD -11 |
Home TBD |
●●○○○ Lean win | 69% |
4–2 | 2.19 | 1.49 | Swing game |
| Sun Dec 13 04:00 PM |
City SC - San Diego (2) 3rd · 2-1-0 · GD +13 |
Away Alga Norte Park |
●●●●● Very tough | 14% |
2–4 | 0.54 | 1.38 | Upside |
| Sat Jan 9 12:00 AM |
Elite FC 10th · 2-0-2 · GD +0 |
Away TBD |
●●●●○ Tough | 34% |
2–2 | 1.19 | 1.36 | Upside |
| Sat Jan 16 12:00 AM |
BOCA OC 17th · 0-0-4 · GD -29 |
Home TBD |
●○○○○ Favorable | 90% |
6–1 | 2.76 | 1.49 | Bank it |
| Sat Jan 23 10:30 AM |
Rangers FC 8th · 2-1-1 · GD +6 |
Away Serrano Elementary |
●●●●○ Tough | 25% |
2–3 | 0.91 | 1.44 | Upside |
| Sat Jan 30 12:00 AM |
ALBION SC San Diego (1) 1st · 4-0-0 · GD +18 |
Away TBD |
●●●●● Very tough | 10% |
2–5 | 0.39 | 1.36 | Upside |
| Sat Feb 6 12:00 AM |
FLYTE SC Blue- Inland Empire 14th · 0-1-2 · GD -6 |
Away TBD |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 49% |
2–2 | 1.67 | 1.38 | Swing game |
| Sat Feb 13 12:00 AM |
Fram Soccer Club 11th · 1-0-3 · GD -3 |
Home TBD |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 52% |
4–3 | 1.70 | 1.40 | Swing game |
| Sun May 30 09:00 AM |
California Football Academy 6th · 2-0-1 · GD +2 |
Home Dana Middle School |
●●●●○ Tough | 41% |
3–3 | 1.38 | 1.40 | Upside |
"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.
Standings
| # | Team | GP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | Form | SoS | Run-in | Top 4 | Exp. finish | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ALBION SC San Diego (1) | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 24 | 6 | +18 | 12 | 3.00 | WWWW | -0.56 | -0.02 | 96% | 1.7 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at BOCA OC · Sat Nov 7 vs LAIFC · Sat Nov 14 at ALBION SC Antelope Valley See all 12 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2 | Inland Surf | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 24 | 6 | +18 | 12 | 3.00 | WWWW | -1.43 | +0.34 | 85% | 2.8 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at Rangers FC · Sat Nov 7 vs ALBION SC Antelope Valley · Sat Nov 14 at LA Surf LC See all 12 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 3 | City SC - San Diego (2) | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 4 | +13 | 7 | 2.33 | WDW | -1.62 | +0.22 | 68% | 3.9 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at California Football Academy · Sat Nov 7 vs Rangers FC · Sun Nov 15 at ALBION SC Santa Ana See all 13 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 4 | ALBION SC Santa Ana | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 1 | +9 | 7 | 2.33 | DWW | -1.47 | +0.24 | 57% | 4.5 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs AC Brea · Sun Oct 25 at LA Surf LC · Sat Nov 7 at Fram Soccer Club See all 13 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 5 | ALBION SC Antelope Valley | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 6 | +4 | 6 | 2.00 | WLW | +0.63 | -0.21 | 27% | 6.1 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs Total Futbol Academy - OC · Sat Nov 7 at Inland Surf · Sun Nov 8 vs FLYTE SC Blue- Inland Empire See all 13 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 6 | California Football Academy | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 9 | +2 | 6 | 2.00 | LWW | +0.45 | -0.13 | 16% | 7.2 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs City SC - San Diego (2) · Sat Nov 7 at CITY SC San Marcos · Sat Nov 21 vs FLYTE SC Blue- Inland Empire See all 13 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 7 | FLYTE SC- Inland Empire | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 6 | 2.00 | WLW | +0.32 | -0.03 | 2% | 10.3 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Nov 1 at LA Surf LC · Sat Nov 7 vs BOCA OC · Sat Nov 14 at Rangers FC See all 13 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 8 | Rangers FC | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 7 | +6 | 7 | 1.75 | WDWL | -0.62 | +0.17 | 16% | 7.0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs Inland Surf · Sat Nov 7 at City SC - San Diego (2) · Sat Nov 14 vs FLYTE SC- Inland Empire See all 12 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 9 | LAIFC | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 11 | +12 | 6 | 1.50 | LLWW | -1.11 | +0.24 | 25% | 6.4 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs LA Surf LC · Sun Oct 25 at FLYTE SC Blue- Inland Empire · Sat Nov 7 at ALBION SC San Diego (1) See all 12 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 10 | Elite FC | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 10 | +0 | 6 | 1.50 | LWLW | +0.06 | -0.08 | 5% | 8.9 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs Fram Soccer Club · Sat Nov 7 at FLYTE SC Blue- Inland Empire · Sat Nov 14 vs CITY SC San Marcos See all 12 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 11 | Fram Soccer Club | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 19 | -3 | 3 | 0.75 | WLLL | +1.00 | -0.30 | 1% | 10.9 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at Elite FC · Sat Nov 7 vs ALBION SC Santa Ana · Sat Nov 14 at LAIFC See all 12 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 12 | CITY SC San Marcos | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 23 | -11 | 3 | 0.60 | LWLLL | +0.26 | +0.05 | 0% | 14.2 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs FLYTE SC Blue- Inland Empire · Sat Nov 7 vs California Football Academy · Sat Nov 14 at Elite FC See all 11 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 13 | Total Futbol Academy - OC | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 15 | -9 | 2 | 0.50 | DLDL | +1.12 | -0.26 | 0% | 13.2 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at ALBION SC Antelope Valley · Sat Nov 14 at AC Brea · Sat Nov 21 vs LA Surf LC See all 12 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 14 | FLYTE SC Blue- Inland Empire | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8 | -6 | 1 | 0.33 | DLL | +1.19 | -0.20 | 0% | 13.2 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at CITY SC San Marcos · Sun Oct 25 vs LAIFC · Sat Nov 7 vs Elite FC See all 13 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 15 | LA Surf LC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 | 0.00 | — | +0.00 | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|
No games played yet. Next: Sat Oct 24 at LAIFC · Sun Oct 25 vs ALBION SC Santa Ana · Sun Nov 1 vs FLYTE SC- Inland Empire See all 16 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 16 | AC Brea | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 22 | -21 | 0 | 0.00 | LLL | +0.45 | +0.18 | 0% | 16.5 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at ALBION SC Santa Ana · Sat Nov 7 vs LA Surf LC · Sat Nov 14 vs Total Futbol Academy - OC See all 13 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 17 | BOCA OC | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 33 | -29 | 0 | 0.00 | LLLL | +1.14 | -0.08 | 0% | 16.4 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs ALBION SC San Diego (1) · Sat Nov 7 at FLYTE SC- Inland Empire · Sat Nov 14 vs FLYTE SC Blue- Inland Empire See all 12 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.
How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (3.15 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.