TableChase Clubs

Fram Soccer Club

Elite Academy League · Southwest U12 · 17 teams · Fram CQ (all teams)

Scores refresh automatically every 2 hours · last pulled 1 hour ago.
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11th
1-0-3 record · 4 played
0.75 points per game
-3 goal diff · 16–19
WLLLlast 4
1% chance of top 4 · expected finish 11.0
+1.00 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sat Oct 24, 04:15 PM

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Fram Soccer Club
11th · 0.75 PPG
at
Elite FC
10th · 1.50 PPG

Rincon Park, Field #1 ↗

windrawloss

●●●●○ Tough to win

Most likely score 2–3 (expected goals 3.0 for, 3.7 against · 1.12 expected points)

Season so farFram Soccer ClubElite FC
Position11th10th
Record (W-D-L)1-0-32-0-2
Points per game0.751.50
Goals for / game4.02.5
Goals against / game4.82.5
Clean sheets01
Held scoreless00
Form (recent first)L L L WW L W L
Biggest win7–4 vs California Football Academy5–2 at BOCA OC
Worst loss3–6 at City SC - San Diego (2)3–5 at ALBION SC San Diego (1)
Model rating (net goals vs avg)-0.17+0.09
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)+1.00+0.06

Game plan

  • Underdog — play free, stay organised
    Model gives 32%; a draw (15%) would be a good result.

    Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.

  • Away game
    Kickoff 04:15 PM at Rincon Park.

    Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.

If Saturday goes…

Where we'd sit after the Elite FC game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Fram Soccer Club – Elite FC) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 9 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Loss · 0.60 PPG
11th— holds 12th▼ down 1 16th▼ down 5
Win
1.20 PPG
11th— holds 11th— holds 13th▼ down 2
Draw
0.80 PPG
11th— holds 11th— holds 15th▼ down 4
Loss
0.60 PPG
11th— holds 12th▼ down 1 16th▼ down 5

Can we move up this round? No. With a 2–3 loss we stay 11th even if every rival loses, and as low as 16th if every rival wins.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

0% finish 1st
1% top 4
99% below the top 4
11.0 average finish
  1. 1st
  2. 2nd
  3. 3rd <1%
  4. 4th 1%
  5. 5th 1%
  6. 6th 1%
  7. 7th 4%
  8. 8th 6%
  9. 9th 10%
  10. 10th 14%
  11. 11th 20%
  12. 12th 21%
  13. 13th 13%
  14. 14th 7%
  15. 15th 3%
  16. 16th <1%
  17. 17th

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 12 remaining known games (max 2.44 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 ALBION SC San Diego (1) 3.00 (+2.25) 1st (2.42) 45 of 36 pts to pass their current pace, 36 for their projection
2 Inland Surf 3.00 (+2.25) 2nd (2.24) 45 of 36 pts to pass their current pace, 33 for their projection
3 City SC - San Diego (2) 2.33 (+1.58) 3rd (2.06) 35 of 36 pts to pass their current pace, 30 for their projection
4 ALBION SC Santa Ana 2.33 (+1.58) 4th (1.99) 35 of 36 pts to pass their current pace, 29 for their projection
5 ALBION SC Antelope Valley 2.00 (+1.25) 5th (1.80) 29 of 36 pts to pass their current pace, 26 for their projection
6 California Football Academy 2.00 (+1.25) 7th (1.69) 29 of 36 pts to pass their current pace, 25 for their projection
7 FLYTE SC- Inland Empire 2.00 (+1.25) 11th (1.36) 29 of 36 pts to pass their current pace, 19 for their projection
8 Rangers FC 1.75 (+1.00) 8th (1.69) 25 of 36 pts to pass their current pace, 25 for their projection
9 LAIFC 1.50 (+0.75) 6th (1.74) 21 of 36 pts to pass their current pace, 25 for their projection
10 Elite FC 1.50 (+0.75) 9th (1.51) 21 of 36 pts to pass their current pace, 22 for their projection

How the results connect

3 chains · 8 teams

Paths of results that link Fram Soccer Club to Elite FC through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

2 favour us
1 favour them
+3.0 goals per chain on average. The results point our way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
3–5 10–1 2–5 3–4 1–6 5–3 7–4 4–0 3–1 Fram Soccer Club 11th Inland Surf 2nd FLYTE SC- Inland Em… 7th California Football… 6th BOCA OC 17th ALBION SC San Diego… 1st ALBION SC Antelope … 5th Elite FC 10th

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

3 chains

Position over the season

7 game days

1st 9th 17th Sep 12 Sep 19 Oct 10 Oct 18

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty -0.30 · 17th hardest of 17

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sat Oct 24
04:15 PM
Elite FC
10th · 2-0-2 · GD +0
Away
Rincon Park
●●●●○ Tough
32%
2–3 1.12 0.82 Upside
Sat Nov 7
10:30 AM
ALBION SC Santa Ana
4th · 2-1-0 · GD +9
Home
Ridgecrest Intermediate · turf
●●●●● Very tough
23%
2–3 0.84 0.83 Upside
Sat Nov 14
06:00 PM
LAIFC
9th · 2-0-2 · GD +12
Away
Pacific Community Center & Park · turf
●●●●● Very tough
17%
3–5 0.61 0.80 Upside
Sun Nov 22
09:00 AM
Rangers FC
8th · 2-1-1 · GD +6
Away
Serrano Elementary
●●●●● Very tough
23%
2–4 0.82 0.80 Upside
Sat Dec 5
10:30 AM
BOCA OC
17th · 0-0-4 · GD -29
Home
Ridgecrest Intermediate · turf
●○○○○ Favorable
91%
7–2 2.77 1.02 Bank it
Sat Dec 12
12:00 AM
Total Futbol Academy - OC
13th · 0-2-2 · GD -9
Away
TBD
●●●○○ Toss-up
52%
3–3 1.70 1.09 Swing game
Sat Jan 9
12:00 AM
FLYTE SC Blue- Inland Empire
14th · 0-1-2 · GD -6
Away
TBD
●●●○○ Toss-up
49%
3–2 1.64 1.14 Swing game
Sat Jan 30
10:30 AM
ALBION SC Antelope Valley
5th · 2-0-1 · GD +4
Home
Ridgecrest Intermediate · turf
●●●●○ Tough
34%
3–3 1.16 1.14 Upside
Sat Feb 6
10:30 AM
ALBION SC San Diego (1)
1st · 4-0-0 · GD +18
Home
Ridgecrest Intermediate · turf
●●●●● Very tough
15%
3–5 0.54 1.09 Upside
Sat Feb 13
12:00 AM
LA Surf LC
15th · 0-0-0 · GD +0
Away
TBD
●●●●○ Tough
34%
3–4 1.16 1.10 Upside
Sat Feb 27
10:45 AM
CITY SC San Marcos
12th · 1-0-4 · GD -11
Home
Ridgecrest Intermediate · turf
●●○○○ Lean win
69%
5–3 2.19 1.17 Swing game
Tue May 25
12:00 AM
AC Brea
16th · 0-0-3 · GD -21
Home
Ridgecrest Intermediate · turf
●○○○○ Favorable
91%
6–2 2.77 1.27 Bank it

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 ALBION SC San Diego (1) 4400 246+18 123.00 WWWW -0.56 -0.02 96% 1.7
2 Inland Surf 4400 246+18 123.00 WWWW -1.43 +0.34 85% 2.8
3 City SC - San Diego (2) 3210 174+13 72.33 WDW -1.62 +0.22 70% 3.8
4 ALBION SC Santa Ana 3210 101+9 72.33 DWW -1.47 +0.24 55% 4.6
5 ALBION SC Antelope Valley 3201 106+4 62.00 WLW +0.63 -0.21 29% 6.1
6 California Football Academy 3201 119+2 62.00 LWW +0.45 -0.13 14% 7.2
7 FLYTE SC- Inland Empire 3201 811-3 62.00 WLW +0.32 -0.03 2% 10.2
8 Rangers FC 4211 137+6 71.75 WDWL -0.62 +0.17 16% 7.1
9 LAIFC 4202 2311+12 61.50 LLWW -1.11 +0.24 23% 6.4
10 Elite FC 4202 1010+0 61.50 LWLW +0.06 -0.08 5% 8.9
11 Fram Soccer Club 4103 1619-3 30.75 WLLL +1.00 -0.30 1% 11.0
12 CITY SC San Marcos 5104 1223-11 30.60 LWLLL +0.26 +0.05 0% 14.1
13 Total Futbol Academy - OC 4022 615-9 20.50 DLDL +1.12 -0.26 0% 13.2
14 FLYTE SC Blue- Inland Empire 3012 28-6 10.33 DLL +1.19 -0.20 0% 13.3
15 LA Surf LC 0000 00+0 00.00 — +0.00 ——
16 AC Brea 3003 122-21 00.00 LLL +0.45 +0.18 0% 16.5
17 BOCA OC 4004 433-29 00.00 LLLL +1.14 -0.08 0% 16.4

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (3.15 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.