California Football Academy
Elite Academy League · Southwest U12 · 17 teams · California Football Academy (all teams)
Next game — Sat Oct 24, 10:30 AM
Jim Johnson Park, Jim Johnson Park (TURF) ↗ · turf
●●●●○ Tough to win
Most likely score 2–3 (expected goals 2.8 for, 3.7 against · 1.02 expected points)
| Season so far | California Football Academy | City SC - San Diego (2) |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 6th | 3rd |
| Record (W-D-L) | 2-0-1 | 2-1-0 |
| Points per game | 2.00 | 2.33 |
| Goals for / game | 3.7 | 5.7 |
| Goals against / game | 3.0 | 1.3 |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 1 |
| Held scoreless | 0 | 0 |
| Form (recent first) | W W L | W D W |
| Biggest win | 4–0 vs ALBION SC Antelope Valley | 10–0 at AC Brea |
| Worst loss | 4–7 at Fram Soccer Club | — |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +0.49 | +1.77 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | +0.45 | -1.62 |
Common opponents: Fram Soccer Club — we 4–7; they 6–3.
Game plan
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Respect their attack
City SC - San Diego (2) score 5.7/game — well above the league's 3.2.Deny the easy goals first: compact shape between the lines, no fouls in shooting range, and a plan for their best outlet. Score first and make them chase.
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Hard to break down
City SC - San Diego (2) concede only 1.3/game with 1 clean sheet(s).Patience and width: move the ball quickly side to side to pull the block apart, and treat set pieces as your best chance — rehearse two corner routines and a near-post free-kick delivery.
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Underdog — play free, stay organised
Model gives 29%; a draw (15%) would be a good result.Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.
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What a win does
ALBION SC Antelope Valley sit 5th on 2.00 PPG; we are on 2.00.A point moves us above ALBION SC Antelope Valley on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.
If Saturday goes…
Where we'd sit after the City SC - San Diego (2) game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (California Football Academy – City SC - San Diego (2)) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 9 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.
| Our result | Rivals don't play | Likely results | Every rival wins |
|---|---|---|---|
| – Loss · 1.50 PPG |
9th▼ down 3 | 9th▼ down 3 | 11th▼ down 5 |
| Win 2.25 PPG |
4th▲ up 2 | 5th▲ up 1 | 6th— holds |
| Draw 1.75 PPG |
8th▼ down 2 | 9th▼ down 3 | 11th▼ down 5 |
| Loss 1.50 PPG |
9th▼ down 3 | 9th▼ down 3 | 11th▼ down 5 |
Can we move up this round? No. With a 2–3 loss we stay 6th even if every rival loses, and as low as 11th if every rival wins.
Where we finish
2,000 simulated seasons
- 1st <1%
- 2nd 2%
- 3rd 4%
- 4th 7%
- 5th 12%
- 6th 14%
- 7th 14%
- 8th 15%
- 9th 12%
- 10th 9%
- 11th 6%
- 12th 4%
- 13th 1%
- 14th <1%
- 15th <1%
- 16th
- 17th
Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.
Climbing the table
What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 13 remaining known games (max 2.81 PPG if we win out).
| # | Team | PPG | Proj. | To pass them |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ALBION SC San Diego (1) | 3.00 (+1.00) | 1st (2.42) | 42 of 39 pts to pass their current pace, 33 for their projection |
| 2 | Inland Surf | 3.00 (+1.00) | 2nd (2.24) | 42 of 39 pts to pass their current pace, 30 for their projection |
| 3 | City SC - San Diego (2) | 2.33 (+0.33) | 3rd (2.06) | 32 of 39 pts to pass their current pace, 27 for their projection |
| 4 | ALBION SC Santa Ana | 2.33 (+0.33) | 4th (1.99) | 32 of 39 pts to pass their current pace, 26 for their projection |
| 5 | ALBION SC Antelope Valley | 2.00 (+0.00) | 5th (1.80) | A point next game |
How the results connect
3 chains · 6 teams
Paths of results that link California Football Academy to City SC - San Diego (2) through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.
Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.
Step through the chains with the arrows, or tap one on the map.
Position over the season
7 game days
The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.
The path
run-in difficulty -0.13 · 13th hardest of 17
| Date | Opponent | Where | Difficulty | Win | Likely | Exp. pts | Run. PPG | Priority |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat Oct 24 10:30 AM |
City SC - San Diego (2) 3rd · 2-1-0 · GD +13 |
Home Jim Johnson Park · turf |
●●●●○ Tough | 29% |
2–3 | 1.02 | 1.75 | Upside |
| Sat Nov 7 01:00 PM |
CITY SC San Marcos 12th · 1-0-4 · GD -11 |
Away Cerro de Las Posas Park Stadium · turf? |
●●○○○ Lean win | 64% |
4–2 | 2.06 | 1.82 | Swing game |
| Sat Nov 21 10:30 AM |
FLYTE SC Blue- Inland Empire 14th · 0-1-2 · GD -6 |
Home Aliso Canyon Community Park |
●●○○○ Lean win | 67% |
3–1 | 2.16 | 1.87 | Swing game |
| Sat Dec 5 12:00 AM |
FLYTE SC- Inland Empire 7th · 2-0-1 · GD -3 |
Away TBD |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 50% |
3–2 | 1.65 | 1.84 | Swing game |
| Sat Dec 12 06:00 PM |
LAIFC 9th · 2-0-2 · GD +12 |
Away Pacific Community Center & Park · turf |
●●●●○ Tough | 25% |
3–4 | 0.89 | 1.72 | Upside |
| Sat Jan 9 10:30 AM |
AC Brea 16th · 0-0-3 · GD -21 |
Home Aliso Canyon Community Park |
●○○○○ Favorable | 93% |
6–1 | 2.83 | 1.85 | Bank it |
| Sat Jan 16 12:00 AM |
Inland Surf 2nd · 4-0-0 · GD +18 |
Away TBD |
●●●●● Very tough | 17% |
2–4 | 0.63 | 1.72 | Upside |
| Sat Jan 23 10:30 AM |
ALBION SC San Diego (1) 1st · 4-0-0 · GD +18 |
Home Aliso Canyon Community Park |
●●●●● Very tough | 23% |
2–4 | 0.81 | 1.64 | Upside |
| Sat Jan 30 10:30 AM |
Total Futbol Academy - OC 13th · 0-2-2 · GD -9 |
Home Aliso Canyon Community Park |
●●○○○ Lean win | 71% |
4–2 | 2.26 | 1.69 | Bank it |
| Sat Feb 6 10:30 AM |
ALBION SC Santa Ana 4th · 2-1-0 · GD +9 |
Home Aliso Canyon Community Park |
●●●●○ Tough | 31% |
2–2 | 1.11 | 1.65 | Upside |
| Sat Feb 13 12:00 AM |
Elite FC 10th · 2-0-2 · GD +0 |
Away TBD |
●●●●○ Tough | 41% |
2–2 | 1.40 | 1.63 | Upside |
| Tue May 25 12:00 AM |
BOCA OC 17th · 0-0-4 · GD -29 |
Home Aliso Canyon Community Park |
●○○○○ Favorable | 93% |
6–1 | 2.84 | 1.71 | Bank it |
| Sun May 30 09:00 AM |
LA Surf LC 15th · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Away Dana Middle School |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 43% |
3–3 | 1.46 | 1.69 | Swing game |
"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.
Standings
| # | Team | GP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | Form | SoS | Run-in | Top 4 | Exp. finish | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ALBION SC San Diego (1) | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 24 | 6 | +18 | 12 | 3.00 | WWWW | -0.56 | -0.02 | 97% | 1.7 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at BOCA OC · Sat Nov 7 vs LAIFC · Sat Nov 14 at ALBION SC Antelope Valley See all 12 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 2 | Inland Surf | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 24 | 6 | +18 | 12 | 3.00 | WWWW | -1.43 | +0.34 | 87% | 2.8 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at Rangers FC · Sat Nov 7 vs ALBION SC Antelope Valley · Sat Nov 14 at LA Surf LC See all 12 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 3 | City SC - San Diego (2) | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 4 | +13 | 7 | 2.33 | WDW | -1.62 | +0.22 | 69% | 3.8 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at California Football Academy · Sat Nov 7 vs Rangers FC · Sun Nov 15 at ALBION SC Santa Ana See all 13 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 4 | ALBION SC Santa Ana | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 1 | +9 | 7 | 2.33 | DWW | -1.47 | +0.24 | 55% | 4.6 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs AC Brea · Sun Oct 25 at LA Surf LC · Sat Nov 7 at Fram Soccer Club See all 13 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 5 | ALBION SC Antelope Valley | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 6 | +4 | 6 | 2.00 | WLW | +0.63 | -0.21 | 28% | 6.1 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs Total Futbol Academy - OC · Sat Nov 7 at Inland Surf · Sun Nov 8 vs FLYTE SC Blue- Inland Empire See all 13 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 6 | California Football Academy | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 9 | +2 | 6 | 2.00 | LWW | +0.45 | -0.13 | 13% | 7.3 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs City SC - San Diego (2) · Sat Nov 7 at CITY SC San Marcos · Sat Nov 21 vs FLYTE SC Blue- Inland Empire See all 13 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 7 | FLYTE SC- Inland Empire | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 6 | 2.00 | WLW | +0.32 | -0.03 | 2% | 10.3 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Nov 1 at LA Surf LC · Sat Nov 7 vs BOCA OC · Sat Nov 14 at Rangers FC See all 13 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 8 | Rangers FC | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 7 | +6 | 7 | 1.75 | WDWL | -0.62 | +0.17 | 17% | 7.1 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs Inland Surf · Sat Nov 7 at City SC - San Diego (2) · Sat Nov 14 vs FLYTE SC- Inland Empire See all 12 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 9 | LAIFC | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 11 | +12 | 6 | 1.50 | LLWW | -1.11 | +0.24 | 23% | 6.4 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs LA Surf LC · Sun Oct 25 at FLYTE SC Blue- Inland Empire · Sat Nov 7 at ALBION SC San Diego (1) See all 12 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 10 | Elite FC | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 10 | +0 | 6 | 1.50 | LWLW | +0.06 | -0.08 | 5% | 8.8 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs Fram Soccer Club · Sat Nov 7 at FLYTE SC Blue- Inland Empire · Sat Nov 14 vs CITY SC San Marcos See all 12 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 11 | Fram Soccer Club | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 19 | -3 | 3 | 0.75 | WLLL | +1.00 | -0.30 | 1% | 10.8 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at Elite FC · Sat Nov 7 vs ALBION SC Santa Ana · Sat Nov 14 at LAIFC See all 12 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 12 | CITY SC San Marcos | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 23 | -11 | 3 | 0.60 | LWLLL | +0.26 | +0.05 | 0% | 14.2 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs FLYTE SC Blue- Inland Empire · Sat Nov 7 vs California Football Academy · Sat Nov 14 at Elite FC See all 11 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 13 | Total Futbol Academy - OC | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 15 | -9 | 2 | 0.50 | DLDL | +1.12 | -0.26 | 0% | 13.2 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at ALBION SC Antelope Valley · Sat Nov 14 at AC Brea · Sat Nov 21 vs LA Surf LC See all 12 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 14 | FLYTE SC Blue- Inland Empire | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8 | -6 | 1 | 0.33 | DLL | +1.19 | -0.20 | 0% | 13.2 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at CITY SC San Marcos · Sun Oct 25 vs LAIFC · Sat Nov 7 vs Elite FC See all 13 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 15 | LA Surf LC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 | 0.00 | — | +0.00 | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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No games played yet. Next: Sat Oct 24 at LAIFC · Sun Oct 25 vs ALBION SC Santa Ana · Sun Nov 1 vs FLYTE SC- Inland Empire See all 16 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 16 | AC Brea | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 22 | -21 | 0 | 0.00 | LLL | +0.45 | +0.18 | 0% | 16.5 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at ALBION SC Santa Ana · Sat Nov 7 vs LA Surf LC · Sat Nov 14 vs Total Futbol Academy - OC See all 13 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 17 | BOCA OC | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 33 | -29 | 0 | 0.00 | LLLL | +1.14 | -0.08 | 0% | 16.4 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs ALBION SC San Diego (1) · Sat Nov 7 at FLYTE SC- Inland Empire · Sat Nov 14 vs FLYTE SC Blue- Inland Empire See all 12 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.
How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (3.15 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.