ALBION SC Antelope Valley
Elite Academy League · Southwest U12 · 17 teams · ALBION SC Antelope Valley (all teams)
Next game — Sat Oct 24, 12:30 PM
Lancaster National Soccer Center, 34 ↗
●●○○○ Lean win to win
Most likely score 3–1 (expected goals 3.8 for, 1.8 against · 2.33 expected points)
| Season so far | ALBION SC Antelope Valley | Total Futbol Academy - OC |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 5th | 13th |
| Record (W-D-L) | 2-0-1 | 0-2-2 |
| Points per game | 2.00 | 0.50 |
| Goals for / game | 3.3 | 1.5 |
| Goals against / game | 2.0 | 3.8 |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 |
| Held scoreless | 1 | 0 |
| Form (recent first) | W L W | L D L D |
| Biggest win | 7–1 vs LAIFC | — |
| Worst loss | 0–4 at California Football Academy | 1–9 at ALBION SC San Diego (1) |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +0.74 | -1.02 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | +0.63 | +1.12 |
Game plan
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They struggle to score
Total Futbol Academy - OC average 1.5 goals/game (league avg 3.2); blanked in 0 of 4.A higher defensive line and an aggressive counter-press are low-risk here. Keep the back line connected to midfield so one long ball doesn't turn into a 1v1 — that is the only way this opponent scores.
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Finishing wins the tight ones
Held scoreless 1 time(s): 0–4 at California Football Academy.Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.
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Expected win — the trap is complacency
Model gives a 73% chance; likely score 3–1.Treat the first 15 minutes like a final: score early, then the game manages itself. This is the ideal game to give rotation players real minutes in the second half without risking points.
If Saturday goes…
Where we'd sit after the Total Futbol Academy - OC game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (ALBION SC Antelope Valley – Total Futbol Academy - OC) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 9 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.
| Our result | Rivals don't play | Likely results | Every rival wins |
|---|---|---|---|
| – Win · 2.25 PPG |
5th— holds | 5th— holds | 6th▼ down 1 |
| Win 2.25 PPG |
5th— holds | 5th— holds | 6th▼ down 1 |
| Draw 1.75 PPG |
8th▼ down 3 | 8th▼ down 3 | 11th▼ down 6 |
| Loss 1.50 PPG |
9th▼ down 4 | 8th▼ down 3 | 11th▼ down 6 |
Can we move up this round? Yes. With a 3–1 win we finish as high as 3rd if every rival drops points, and as low as 6th if every rival wins.
Where we finish
2,000 simulated seasons
- 1st 1%
- 2nd 4%
- 3rd 9%
- 4th 13%
- 5th 15%
- 6th 13%
- 7th 14%
- 8th 11%
- 9th 8%
- 10th 5%
- 11th 3%
- 12th 2%
- 13th 1%
- 14th <1%
- 15th <1%
- 16th
- 17th
Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.
Climbing the table
What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 13 remaining known games (max 2.81 PPG if we win out).
| # | Team | PPG | Proj. | To pass them |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ALBION SC San Diego (1) | 3.00 (+1.00) | 1st (2.42) | 42 of 39 pts to pass their current pace, 33 for their projection |
| 2 | Inland Surf | 3.00 (+1.00) | 2nd (2.24) | 42 of 39 pts to pass their current pace, 30 for their projection |
| 3 | City SC - San Diego (2) | 2.33 (+0.33) | 3rd (2.06) | 32 of 39 pts to pass their current pace, 27 for their projection |
| 4 | ALBION SC Santa Ana | 2.33 (+0.33) | 4th (1.99) | 32 of 39 pts to pass their current pace, 26 for their projection |
How the results connect
2 chains · 6 teams
Paths of results that link ALBION SC Antelope Valley to Total Futbol Academy - OC through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.
Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.
Step through the chains with the arrows, or tap one on the map.
Position over the season
7 game days
The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.
The path
run-in difficulty -0.21 · 15th hardest of 17
| Date | Opponent | Where | Difficulty | Win | Likely | Exp. pts | Run. PPG | Priority |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat Oct 24 12:30 PM |
Total Futbol Academy - OC 13th · 0-2-2 · GD -9 |
Home Lancaster National Soccer Center |
●●○○○ Lean win | 73% |
3–1 | 2.33 | 2.08 | Bank it |
| Sat Nov 7 03:30 PM |
Inland Surf 2nd · 4-0-0 · GD +18 |
Away Moreno Valley Community Park |
●●●●● Very tough | 21% |
2–3 | 0.78 | 1.82 | Upside |
| Sun Nov 8 12:30 PM |
FLYTE SC Blue- Inland Empire 14th · 0-1-2 · GD -6 |
Home Lancaster National Soccer Center |
●●○○○ Lean win | 69% |
3–1 | 2.23 | 1.89 | Swing game |
| Sat Nov 14 12:30 PM |
ALBION SC San Diego (1) 1st · 4-0-0 · GD +18 |
Home Lancaster National Soccer Center |
●●●●○ Tough | 27% |
2–3 | 0.96 | 1.76 | Upside |
| Sat Nov 21 12:30 PM |
AC Brea 16th · 0-0-3 · GD -21 |
Home Lancaster National Soccer Center |
●○○○○ Favorable | 93% |
5–1 | 2.84 | 1.89 | Bank it |
| Sat Dec 5 12:00 AM |
LA Surf LC 15th · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Away TBD |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 48% |
3–2 | 1.60 | 1.86 | Swing game |
| Sat Jan 9 10:30 AM |
BOCA OC 17th · 0-0-4 · GD -29 |
Away El Rancho Charter School (Upper) |
●○○○○ Favorable | 89% |
5–1 | 2.74 | 1.95 | Bank it |
| Sat Jan 16 10:30 AM |
Rangers FC 8th · 2-1-1 · GD +6 |
Home Lancaster National Soccer Center |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 47% |
2–2 | 1.58 | 1.91 | Swing game |
| Sat Jan 23 12:00 AM |
ALBION SC Santa Ana 4th · 2-1-0 · GD +9 |
Away TBD |
●●●●○ Tough | 25% |
1–2 | 0.95 | 1.83 | Upside |
| Sat Jan 30 10:30 AM |
Fram Soccer Club 11th · 1-0-3 · GD -3 |
Away Ridgecrest Intermediate · turf |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 51% |
3–3 | 1.69 | 1.82 | Swing game |
| Sat Feb 6 12:00 AM |
CITY SC San Marcos 12th · 1-0-4 · GD -11 |
Away TBD |
●●○○○ Lean win | 67% |
3–2 | 2.16 | 1.85 | Swing game |
| Sat Feb 13 10:30 AM |
City SC - San Diego (2) 3rd · 2-1-0 · GD +13 |
Home Lancaster National Soccer Center |
●●●●○ Tough | 33% |
2–3 | 1.17 | 1.80 | Upside |
| Tue May 25 12:00 AM |
FLYTE SC- Inland Empire 7th · 2-0-1 · GD -3 |
Away RJRSP |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 54% |
3–2 | 1.78 | 1.80 | Swing game |
"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.
Standings
| # | Team | GP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | Form | SoS | Run-in | Top 4 | Exp. finish | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ALBION SC San Diego (1) | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 24 | 6 | +18 | 12 | 3.00 | WWWW | -0.56 | -0.02 | 97% | 1.7 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at BOCA OC · Sat Nov 7 vs LAIFC · Sat Nov 14 at ALBION SC Antelope Valley See all 12 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 2 | Inland Surf | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 24 | 6 | +18 | 12 | 3.00 | WWWW | -1.43 | +0.34 | 87% | 2.7 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at Rangers FC · Sat Nov 7 vs ALBION SC Antelope Valley · Sat Nov 14 at LA Surf LC See all 12 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 3 | City SC - San Diego (2) | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 4 | +13 | 7 | 2.33 | WDW | -1.62 | +0.22 | 67% | 4.0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at California Football Academy · Sat Nov 7 vs Rangers FC · Sun Nov 15 at ALBION SC Santa Ana See all 13 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 4 | ALBION SC Santa Ana | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 1 | +9 | 7 | 2.33 | DWW | -1.47 | +0.24 | 53% | 4.7 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs AC Brea · Sun Oct 25 at LA Surf LC · Sat Nov 7 at Fram Soccer Club See all 13 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 5 | ALBION SC Antelope Valley | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 6 | +4 | 6 | 2.00 | WLW | +0.63 | -0.21 | 28% | 6.2 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs Total Futbol Academy - OC · Sat Nov 7 at Inland Surf · Sun Nov 8 vs FLYTE SC Blue- Inland Empire See all 13 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 6 | California Football Academy | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 9 | +2 | 6 | 2.00 | LWW | +0.45 | -0.13 | 15% | 7.0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs City SC - San Diego (2) · Sat Nov 7 at CITY SC San Marcos · Sat Nov 21 vs FLYTE SC Blue- Inland Empire See all 13 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 7 | FLYTE SC- Inland Empire | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 6 | 2.00 | WLW | +0.32 | -0.03 | 1% | 10.2 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Nov 1 at LA Surf LC · Sat Nov 7 vs BOCA OC · Sat Nov 14 at Rangers FC See all 13 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 8 | Rangers FC | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 7 | +6 | 7 | 1.75 | WDWL | -0.62 | +0.17 | 16% | 7.1 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs Inland Surf · Sat Nov 7 at City SC - San Diego (2) · Sat Nov 14 vs FLYTE SC- Inland Empire See all 12 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 9 | LAIFC | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 11 | +12 | 6 | 1.50 | LLWW | -1.11 | +0.24 | 25% | 6.4 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs LA Surf LC · Sun Oct 25 at FLYTE SC Blue- Inland Empire · Sat Nov 7 at ALBION SC San Diego (1) See all 12 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 10 | Elite FC | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 10 | +0 | 6 | 1.50 | LWLW | +0.06 | -0.08 | 6% | 8.9 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs Fram Soccer Club · Sat Nov 7 at FLYTE SC Blue- Inland Empire · Sat Nov 14 vs CITY SC San Marcos See all 12 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 11 | Fram Soccer Club | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 19 | -3 | 3 | 0.75 | WLLL | +1.00 | -0.30 | 1% | 11.0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at Elite FC · Sat Nov 7 vs ALBION SC Santa Ana · Sat Nov 14 at LAIFC See all 12 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 12 | CITY SC San Marcos | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 23 | -11 | 3 | 0.60 | LWLLL | +0.26 | +0.05 | 0% | 14.2 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs FLYTE SC Blue- Inland Empire · Sat Nov 7 vs California Football Academy · Sat Nov 14 at Elite FC See all 11 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 13 | Total Futbol Academy - OC | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 15 | -9 | 2 | 0.50 | DLDL | +1.12 | -0.26 | 0% | 13.2 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at ALBION SC Antelope Valley · Sat Nov 14 at AC Brea · Sat Nov 21 vs LA Surf LC See all 12 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 14 | FLYTE SC Blue- Inland Empire | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8 | -6 | 1 | 0.33 | DLL | +1.19 | -0.20 | 0% | 13.2 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at CITY SC San Marcos · Sun Oct 25 vs LAIFC · Sat Nov 7 vs Elite FC See all 13 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 15 | LA Surf LC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 | 0.00 | — | +0.00 | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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No games played yet. Next: Sat Oct 24 at LAIFC · Sun Oct 25 vs ALBION SC Santa Ana · Sun Nov 1 vs FLYTE SC- Inland Empire See all 16 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 16 | AC Brea | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 22 | -21 | 0 | 0.00 | LLL | +0.45 | +0.18 | 0% | 16.5 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at ALBION SC Santa Ana · Sat Nov 7 vs LA Surf LC · Sat Nov 14 vs Total Futbol Academy - OC See all 13 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 17 | BOCA OC | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 33 | -29 | 0 | 0.00 | LLLL | +1.14 | -0.08 | 0% | 16.4 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs ALBION SC San Diego (1) · Sat Nov 7 at FLYTE SC- Inland Empire · Sat Nov 14 vs FLYTE SC Blue- Inland Empire See all 12 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.
How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (3.15 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.