TableChase Clubs

OK Energy FC Pre- White

Pre-ECNL Girls · Pre- Frontier GU12 · 13 teams · Oklahoma Energy FC (all teams)

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11th
0-2-5 record · 7 played
0.29 points per game
-28 goal diff · 6–34
DDLLLlast 5
0% chance of top 4 · expected finish 12.0
+0.31 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sat Oct 24, TBD

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OK Energy FC Pre- White
11th · 0.29 PPG
at
Broken Arrow Soccer Club Pre
12th · 0.20 PPG

Venue TBD

windrawloss

●●●●○ Tough to win

Most likely score 1–2 (expected goals 1.9 for, 2.6 against · 1.04 expected points)

Season so farOK Energy FC Pre- WhiteBroken Arrow Soccer Club Pre
Position11th12th
Record (W-D-L)0-2-50-1-4
Points per game0.290.20
Goals for / game0.90.8
Goals against / game4.94.4
Clean sheets00
Held scoreless43
Form (recent first)L L L D DL L D L L
Biggest win——
Worst loss0–12 at FC Tulsa Academy Pre0–6 at Arkansas Comets FC Pre
Model rating (net goals vs avg)-2.67-2.02
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)+0.31+0.37

Already played this season: Sun Oct 4 2–2 at Broken Arrow Soccer Club Pre (D)

Common opponents: West Side Alliance Pre- White — we 0–2; they 0–2. Arkansas Comets FC Pre — we 3–3; they 0–6.

Game plan

  • They struggle to score
    Broken Arrow Soccer Club Pre average 0.8 goals/game (league avg 2.5); blanked in 3 of 5.

    A higher defensive line and an aggressive counter-press are low-risk here. Keep the back line connected to midfield so one long ball doesn't turn into a 1v1 — that is the only way this opponent scores.

  • They leak goals — be greedy
    Broken Arrow Soccer Club Pre concede 4.4/game; worst result 0–6 at Arkansas Comets FC Pre.

    Commit numbers forward, shoot early and often, and attack second balls. Goal difference is the tiebreaker on PPG, so keep playing to score for the full game — rotate players rather than pace.

  • Finishing wins the tight ones
    Held scoreless 4 time(s): 0–2 vs West Side Alliance Pre- White, 0–5 vs West Side Alliance Pre- Navy, 0–3 at Sporting Springfield Pre, 0–12 at FC Tulsa Academy Pre.

    Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.

  • Underdog — play free, stay organised
    Model gives 28%; a draw (19%) would be a good result.

    Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.

  • Away game
    Kickoff TBD at TBD.

    Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.

If Saturday goes…

Where we'd sit after the Broken Arrow Soccer Club Pre game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (OK Energy FC Pre- White – Broken Arrow Soccer Club Pre) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 9 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Loss · 0.25 PPG		 12th▼ down 1 12th▼ down 1 13th▼ down 2
Win
0.63 PPG		 11th— holds 11th— holds 12th▼ down 1
Draw
0.38 PPG		 11th— holds 11th— holds 13th▼ down 2
Loss
0.25 PPG		 12th▼ down 1 12th▼ down 1 13th▼ down 2

Can we move up this round? No. With a 1–2 loss we fall to at least 12th even if every rival loses, and as low as 13th if every rival wins.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

0% finish 1st
0% top 4
100% below the top 4
12.0 average finish
  1. 1st
  2. 2nd
  3. 3rd
  4. 4th
  5. 5th
  6. 6th
  7. 7th
  8. 8th <1%
  9. 9th 1%
  10. 10th 5%
  11. 11th 20%
  12. 12th 41%
  13. 13th 34%

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 17 remaining known games (max 2.21 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 West Side Alliance Pre- White 2.44 (+2.15) 3rd (2.18) 57 of 51 pts to pass their current pace, 51 for their projection
2 FC Tulsa Academy Pre 2.38 (+2.09) 1st (2.58) 56 of 51 pts to pass their current pace, 60 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
3 FC Wichita Red Pre 2.22 (+1.93) 2nd (2.49) 52 of 51 pts to pass their current pace, 58 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
4 Arkansas Comets FC Pre 2.10 (+1.81) 5th (1.96) 49 of 51 pts to pass their current pace, 45 for their projection
5 Kansas City Surf Blue Pre 2.00 (+1.71) 4th (2.05) 46 of 51 pts to pass their current pace, 48 for their projection
6 Sporting Springfield Pre 1.36 (+1.07) 6th (1.35) 31 of 51 pts to pass their current pace, 31 for their projection
7 FC Wichita Navy Pre 1.17 (+0.88) 9th (0.91) 27 of 51 pts to pass their current pace, 20 for their projection
8 West Side Alliance Pre- Navy 1.00 (+0.71) 7th (1.34) 22 of 51 pts to pass their current pace, 31 for their projection
9 OK Energy FC Frontier Pre 1.00 (+0.71) 8th (1.23) 22 of 51 pts to pass their current pace, 28 for their projection
10 FC Tulsa Academy Pre- II 1.00 (+0.71) 10th (0.89) 22 of 51 pts to pass their current pace, 20 for their projection

How the results connect

19 chains · 9 teams

Paths of results that link OK Energy FC Pre- White to Broken Arrow Soccer Club Pre through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

7 favour us
4 even
8 favour them
-0.6 goals per chain on average. The results point their way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
2–2 0–2 2–0 3–3 6–0 0–3 0–3 0–5 1–2 0–12 8–1 4–0 2–3 1–7 4–4 5–4 0–1 0–2 3–2 OK Energy FC Pre- W… 11th West Side Alliance … 1st Arkansas Comets FC … 4th Sporting Springfiel… 6th West Side Alliance … 8th FC Tulsa Academy Pre 2nd FC Tulsa Academy Pr… 10th OK Energy FC Fronti… 9th Broken Arrow Soccer… 12th

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

12 chains

Position over the season

12 game days

1st 7th 13th Aug 23 Aug 30 Sep 13 Sep 27 Oct 4 Oct 11 Oct 18

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty +0.07 · 4th hardest of 13

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sat Oct 24
TBD		 Broken Arrow Soccer Club Pre
12th · 0-1-4 · GD -18		 Away
●●●●○ Tough
28%		 1–2 1.04 0.38 Upside
Sun Oct 25
TBD		 West Side Alliance Pre- White
1st · 7-1-1 · GD +14		 Away
●●●●● Very tough
2%		 0–4 0.11 0.35 Upside
Sun Oct 25
TBD		 West Side Alliance Pre- Navy
8th · 2-0-4 · GD +1		 Away
●●●●● Very tough
8%		 0–3 0.36 0.35 Upside
Sat Oct 31
02:30 PM		 Arkansas Comets FC Pre
4th · 6-3-1 · GD +19		 Home
Edmond Soccer Club		 ●●●●● Very tough
4%		 1–4 0.18 0.33 Upside
Sat Dec 5
01:30 PM		 FC Wichita Navy Pre
7th · 2-1-3 · GD -18		 Home
Edmond Soccer Club		 ●●●●○ Tough
29%		 2–3 1.05 0.39 Upside
Sat Dec 5
04:30 PM		 FC Wichita Red Pre
3rd · 6-2-1 · GD +38		 Home
Edmond Soccer Club		 ●●●●● Very tough
0%		 0–7 0.02 0.37 Upside
Sun Dec 6
01:00 PM		 Kansas City Surf Pre
13th · 0-0-7 · GD -27		 Home
Edmond Soccer Club		 ●●●○○ Toss-up
43%		 2–2 1.49 0.45 Swing game
Sun Dec 6
04:00 PM		 Kansas City Surf Blue Pre
5th · 4-2-1 · GD +11		 Home
Edmond Soccer Club		 ●●●●● Very tough
4%		 0–4 0.17 0.43 Upside
Sat Dec 12
TBD		 OK Energy FC Frontier Pre
9th · 2-1-4 · GD -9		 Home
●●●●● Very tough
15%		 2–4 0.59 0.44 Upside
Sat Dec 12
TBD		 OK Energy FC Frontier Pre
9th · 2-1-4 · GD -9		 Away
●●●●● Very tough
9%		 1–4 0.37 0.43 Upside
Sat Feb 20
01:30 PM		 FC Tulsa Academy Pre- II
10th · 2-2-4 · GD -19		 Home
Edmond Soccer Club		 ●●●●○ Tough
26%		 2–3 0.95 0.46 Upside
Sat Feb 20
04:30 PM		 FC Tulsa Academy Pre
2nd · 6-1-1 · GD +43		 Home
Edmond Soccer Club		 ●●●●● Very tough
0%		 0–7 0.01 0.44 Upside
Sat Apr 10
12:00 PM		 Kansas City Surf Blue Pre
5th · 4-2-1 · GD +11		 Away far trip
Paragon Star Sports Complex 		●●●●● Very tough
2%		 0–4 0.10 0.42 Upside
Sat Apr 10
12:00 PM		 Kansas City Surf Pre
13th · 0-0-7 · GD -27		 Away far trip
Paragon Star Sports Complex 		●●●●○ Tough
33%		 2–2 1.16 0.46 Upside
Sun Apr 11
TBD		 FC Wichita Red Pre
3rd · 6-2-1 · GD +38		 Away
●●●●● Very tough
0%		 0–8 0.01 0.44 Upside
Sun Apr 11
TBD		 FC Wichita Navy Pre
7th · 2-1-3 · GD -18		 Away
●●●●● Very tough
20%		 2–3 0.75 0.45 Upside
Sun Apr 18
03:00 PM		 Sporting Springfield Pre
6th · 5-0-6 · GD -7		 Home
Edmond Soccer Club		 ●●●●● Very tough
17%		 1–2 0.68 0.46 Upside

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 West Side Alliance Pre- White 9711 2511+14 222.44 WWLWW -0.42 -0.17 90% 3.4
2 FC Tulsa Academy Pre 8611 485+43 192.38 LDWWW -0.15 -0.43 100% 1.4
3 FC Wichita Red Pre 9621 4911+38 202.22 WWWDW +0.32 -0.59 100% 1.8
4 Arkansas Comets FC Pre 10631 3112+19 212.10 WDWDW -0.77 +0.34 40% 4.5
5 Kansas City Surf Blue Pre 7421 176+11 142.00 LWWWD +0.66 -0.45 70% 4.0
6 Sporting Springfield Pre 11506 1724-7 151.36 LWWWL +0.15 -0.23 0% 6.9
7 FC Wichita Navy Pre 6213 1028-18 71.17 WLWDL +0.54 +0.03 0% 9.5
8 West Side Alliance Pre- Navy 6204 98+1 61.00 LWLWL -0.70 +0.07 0% 7.0
9 OK Energy FC Frontier Pre 7214 1726-9 71.00 LWLDL +0.31 -0.16 0% 7.6
10 FC Tulsa Academy Pre- II 8224 1635-19 81.00 LDLDW -0.15 +0.29 0% 9.6
11 OK Energy FC Pre- White 7025 634-28 20.29 DDLLL +0.31 +0.07 0% 12.0
12 Broken Arrow Soccer Club Pre 5014 422-18 10.20 LLDLL +0.37 -0.32 0% 11.1
13 Kansas City Surf Pre 7007 734-27 00.00 LLLLL +0.66 +0.03 0% 12.3

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.53 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.