Kansas City Surf Pre
Pre-ECNL Girls · Pre- Frontier GU12 · 13 teams · Kansas City Surf (all teams)
Next game — Sun Oct 25, TBD
Venue TBD
●●●●● Very tough to win
Most likely score 2–3 (expected goals 2.2 for, 3.5 against · 0.82 expected points)
| Season so far | Kansas City Surf Pre | FC Wichita Navy Pre |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 13th | 7th |
| Record (W-D-L) | 0-0-7 | 2-1-3 |
| Points per game | 0.00 | 1.17 |
| Goals for / game | 1.0 | 1.7 |
| Goals against / game | 4.9 | 4.7 |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 1 |
| Held scoreless | 2 | 2 |
| Form (recent first) | L L L L L | L D W L W |
| Biggest win | — | 4–0 vs FC Tulsa Academy Pre- II |
| Worst loss | 0–8 vs FC Wichita Red Pre | 0–9 vs FC Tulsa Academy Pre |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | -2.58 | -1.76 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | +0.66 | +0.54 |
Already played this season: Sun Sep 20 1–3 vs FC Wichita Navy Pre (L)
Game plan
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They leak goals — be greedy
FC Wichita Navy Pre concede 4.7/game; worst result 0–9 vs FC Tulsa Academy Pre.Commit numbers forward, shoot early and often, and attack second balls. Goal difference is the tiebreaker on PPG, so keep playing to score for the full game — rotate players rather than pace.
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Finishing wins the tight ones
Held scoreless 2 time(s): 0–8 vs FC Wichita Red Pre, 0–3 vs West Side Alliance Pre- Navy.Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.
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Underdog — play free, stay organised
Model gives 22%; a draw (15%) would be a good result.Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.
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Away game
Kickoff TBD at TBD.Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.
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What a win does
Broken Arrow Soccer Club Pre sit 12th on 0.20 PPG; we are on 0.00.A point moves us above Broken Arrow Soccer Club Pre on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.
If Sunday goes…
Where we'd sit after the FC Wichita Navy Pre game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Kansas City Surf Pre – FC Wichita Navy Pre) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 10 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.
| Our result | Rivals don't play | Likely results | Every rival wins |
|---|---|---|---|
| – Loss · 0.00 PPG |
13th— holds | 13th— holds | 13th— holds |
| Win 0.38 PPG |
11th▲ up 2 | 12th▲ up 1 | 13th— holds |
| Draw 0.13 PPG |
13th— holds | 13th— holds | 13th— holds |
| Loss 0.00 PPG |
13th— holds | 13th— holds | 13th— holds |
Can we move up this round? No. With a 2–3 loss we stay 13th even if every rival loses, whatever the rivals do.
Where we finish
2,000 simulated seasons
- 1st
- 2nd
- 3rd
- 4th
- 5th
- 6th
- 7th
- 8th <1%
- 9th <1%
- 10th 2%
- 11th 13%
- 12th 31%
- 13th 54%
Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.
Climbing the table
What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 16 remaining known games (max 2.09 PPG if we win out).
| # | Team | PPG | Proj. | To pass them |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | West Side Alliance Pre- White | 2.44 (+2.44) | 3rd (2.18) | 57 of 48 pts to pass their current pace, 51 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule |
| 2 | FC Tulsa Academy Pre | 2.38 (+2.38) | 1st (2.58) | 55 of 48 pts to pass their current pace, 60 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule |
| 3 | FC Wichita Red Pre | 2.22 (+2.22) | 2nd (2.49) | 52 of 48 pts to pass their current pace, 58 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule |
| 4 | Arkansas Comets FC Pre | 2.10 (+2.10) | 5th (1.96) | 49 of 48 pts to pass their current pace, 45 for their projection |
| 5 | Kansas City Surf Blue Pre | 2.00 (+2.00) | 4th (2.05) | 46 of 48 pts to pass their current pace, 48 for their projection |
| 6 | Sporting Springfield Pre | 1.36 (+1.36) | 6th (1.35) | 32 of 48 pts to pass their current pace, 32 for their projection |
| 7 | FC Wichita Navy Pre | 1.17 (+1.17) | 9th (0.91) | 27 of 48 pts to pass their current pace, 21 for their projection |
| 8 | West Side Alliance Pre- Navy | 1.00 (+1.00) | 7th (1.34) | 23 of 48 pts to pass their current pace, 31 for their projection |
| 9 | OK Energy FC Frontier Pre | 1.00 (+1.00) | 8th (1.23) | 23 of 48 pts to pass their current pace, 29 for their projection |
| 10 | FC Tulsa Academy Pre- II | 1.00 (+1.00) | 10th (0.89) | 23 of 48 pts to pass their current pace, 21 for their projection |
| 11 | OK Energy FC Pre- White | 0.29 (+0.29) | 12th (0.46) | A point next game |
| 12 | Broken Arrow Soccer Club Pre | 0.20 (+0.20) | 11th (0.61) | A point next game |
How the results connect
25 chains · 9 teams
Paths of results that link Kansas City Surf Pre to FC Wichita Navy Pre through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.
Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.
Step through the chains with the arrows, or tap one on the map.
Position over the season
12 game days
The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.
The path
run-in difficulty +0.03 · 6th hardest of 13
| Date | Opponent | Where | Difficulty | Win | Likely | Exp. pts | Run. PPG | Priority |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat Sep 12 TBD no score posted |
West Side Alliance Pre- Navy 8th · 2-0-4 · GD +1 |
Away |
●●●●● Very tough | 9% |
1–3 | 0.38 | 0.05 | Upside |
| Sun Oct 25 TBD |
FC Wichita Navy Pre 7th · 2-1-3 · GD -18 |
Away |
●●●●● Very tough | 22% |
2–3 | 0.82 | 0.13 | Upside |
| Sun Oct 25 TBD |
FC Wichita Red Pre 3rd · 6-2-1 · GD +38 |
Away |
●●●●● Very tough | 0% |
0–8 | 0.01 | 0.12 | Upside |
| Sat Nov 14 11:00 AM |
Sporting Springfield Pre 6th · 5-0-6 · GD -7 |
Away far trip
Betty and Bobby Allison Sports Town |
●●●●● Very tough | 12% |
1–3 | 0.51 | 0.16 | Upside |
| Sat Dec 5 11:00 AM |
Broken Arrow Soccer Club Pre 12th · 0-1-4 · GD -18 |
Away far trip
Indian Springs Soccer Complex |
●●●●○ Tough | 31% |
2–2 | 1.11 | 0.24 | Upside |
| Sun Dec 6 01:00 PM |
OK Energy FC Pre- White 11th · 0-2-5 · GD -28 |
Away far trip
Edmond Soccer Club |
●●●●○ Tough | 38% |
2–2 | 1.33 | 0.32 | Upside |
| Sun Dec 6 11:30 AM |
OK Energy FC Frontier Pre 9th · 2-1-4 · GD -9 |
Away far trip
Edmond Soccer Club |
●●●●● Very tough | 10% |
1–4 | 0.41 | 0.33 | Upside |
| Sat Dec 12 TBD |
Kansas City Surf Blue Pre 5th · 4-2-1 · GD +11 |
Away |
●●●●● Very tough | 2% |
0–4 | 0.11 | 0.31 | Upside |
| Sat Dec 12 TBD |
Kansas City Surf Blue Pre 5th · 4-2-1 · GD +11 |
Home |
●●●●● Very tough | 4% |
0–4 | 0.19 | 0.31 | Upside |
| Sat Feb 27 03:20 PM |
FC Tulsa Academy Pre 2nd · 6-1-1 · GD +43 |
Away far trip
Scheels Sports Complex |
●●●●● Very tough | 0% |
0–8 | 0.01 | 0.29 | Upside |
| Sun Feb 28 01:30 PM |
FC Tulsa Academy Pre 2nd · 6-1-1 · GD +43 |
Away far trip
Scheels Sports Complex |
●●●●● Very tough | 0% |
0–8 | 0.01 | 0.27 | Upside |
| Sun Feb 28 10:30 AM |
FC Tulsa Academy Pre- II 10th · 2-2-4 · GD -19 |
Away far trip
Scheels Sports Complex |
●●●●● Very tough | 20% |
2–3 | 0.73 | 0.30 | Upside |
| Sun Feb 28 TBD |
FC Tulsa Academy Pre- II 10th · 2-2-4 · GD -19 |
Away |
●●●●● Very tough | 20% |
2–3 | 0.73 | 0.32 | Upside |
| Sun Apr 4 09:00 AM |
West Side Alliance Pre- White 1st · 7-1-1 · GD +14 |
Away far trip
RiverCity Parks |
●●●●● Very tough | 2% |
0–4 | 0.12 | 0.31 | Upside |
| Sat Apr 10 12:00 PM |
OK Energy FC Frontier Pre 9th · 2-1-4 · GD -9 |
Home Paragon Star Sports Complex |
●●●●● Very tough | 17% |
2–4 | 0.65 | 0.32 | Upside |
| Sat Apr 10 12:00 PM |
OK Energy FC Pre- White 11th · 0-2-5 · GD -28 |
Home Paragon Star Sports Complex |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 50% |
2–2 | 1.66 | 0.38 | Swing game |
"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.
Standings
| # | Team | GP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | Form | SoS | Run-in | Top 4 | Exp. finish | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| 1 | West Side Alliance Pre- White | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 25 | 11 | +14 | 22 | 2.44 | WWLWW | -0.42 | -0.17 | 90% | 3.4 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Sep 13 vs FC Wichita Navy Pre · Sat Oct 24 vs FC Tulsa Academy Pre · Sat Oct 24 vs FC Tulsa Academy Pre- II See all 14 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 2 | FC Tulsa Academy Pre | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 48 | 5 | +43 | 19 | 2.38 | LDWWW | -0.15 | -0.43 | 100% | 1.4 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at West Side Alliance Pre- White · Sat Oct 24 at West Side Alliance Pre- Navy · Sat Nov 21 at Arkansas Comets FC Pre See all 15 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 3 | FC Wichita Red Pre | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 49 | 11 | +38 | 20 | 2.22 | WWWDW | +0.32 | -0.59 | 100% | 1.8 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Sep 13 at West Side Alliance Pre- Navy · Sat Oct 10 vs Arkansas Comets FC Pre · Sat Oct 17 at Arkansas Comets FC Pre See all 15 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 4 | Arkansas Comets FC Pre | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 31 | 12 | +19 | 21 | 2.10 | WDWDW | -0.77 | +0.34 | 39% | 4.5 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 10 at FC Wichita Red Pre · Sat Oct 10 at FC Wichita Navy Pre · Sat Oct 17 vs FC Wichita Red Pre See all 11 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 5 | Kansas City Surf Blue Pre | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 17 | 6 | +11 | 14 | 2.00 | LWWWD | +0.66 | -0.45 | 72% | 4.0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 at FC Wichita Red Pre · Sun Oct 25 at FC Wichita Navy Pre · Sat Nov 14 at Sporting Springfield Pre See all 16 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 6 | Sporting Springfield Pre | 11 | 5 | 0 | 6 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 15 | 1.36 | LWWWL | +0.15 | -0.23 | 0% | 6.9 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Nov 14 vs Kansas City Surf Blue Pre · Sat Nov 14 vs Kansas City Surf Pre · Sun Nov 15 vs FC Wichita Navy Pre See all 10 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 7 | FC Wichita Navy Pre | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 28 | -18 | 7 | 1.17 | WLWDL | +0.54 | +0.03 | 0% | 9.5 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Sep 13 at West Side Alliance Pre- White · Sat Oct 10 vs Arkansas Comets FC Pre · Sat Oct 17 at Arkansas Comets FC Pre See all 17 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 8 | West Side Alliance Pre- Navy | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 8 | +1 | 6 | 1.00 | LWLWL | -0.70 | +0.07 | 0% | 7.0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Sep 12 vs Kansas City Surf Pre · Sun Sep 13 vs FC Wichita Red Pre · Sun Oct 4 vs Broken Arrow Soccer Club Pre See all 16 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 9 | OK Energy FC Frontier Pre | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 26 | -9 | 7 | 1.00 | LWLDL | +0.31 | -0.16 | 0% | 7.6 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at Broken Arrow Soccer Club Pre · Sat Oct 31 vs Arkansas Comets FC Pre · Sat Dec 5 vs FC Wichita Navy Pre See all 17 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 10 | FC Tulsa Academy Pre- II | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 16 | 35 | -19 | 8 | 1.00 | LDLDW | -0.15 | +0.29 | 0% | 9.6 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at West Side Alliance Pre- Navy · Sat Oct 24 at West Side Alliance Pre- White · Sun Nov 15 vs Arkansas Comets FC Pre See all 15 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 11 | OK Energy FC Pre- White | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 34 | -28 | 2 | 0.29 | DDLLL | +0.31 | +0.07 | 0% | 12.0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at Broken Arrow Soccer Club Pre · Sun Oct 25 at West Side Alliance Pre- Navy · Sun Oct 25 at West Side Alliance Pre- White See all 17 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 12 | Broken Arrow Soccer Club Pre | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 22 | -18 | 1 | 0.20 | LLDLL | +0.37 | -0.32 | 0% | 11.1 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 4 at West Side Alliance Pre- Navy · Sat Oct 24 vs OK Energy FC Frontier Pre · Sat Oct 24 vs OK Energy FC Pre- White See all 11 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 13 | Kansas City Surf Pre | 7 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 7 | 34 | -27 | 0 | 0.00 | LLLLL | +0.66 | +0.03 | 0% | 12.4 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Sep 12 at West Side Alliance Pre- Navy · Sun Oct 25 at FC Wichita Navy Pre · Sun Oct 25 at FC Wichita Red Pre See all 16 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.
How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.53 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.