TableChase Clubs

FC Tulsa Academy Pre

Pre-ECNL Girls · Pre- Frontier GU12 · 13 teams · FC Tulsa Academy (all teams)

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2nd
6-1-1 record · 8 played
2.38 points per game
+43 goal diff · 48–5
LDWWWlast 5
100% chance of top 4 · expected finish 1.4
-0.15 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sat Oct 24, TBD

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FC Tulsa Academy Pre
2nd · 2.38 PPG
at

Venue TBD

windrawloss

●●○○○ Lean win to win

Most likely score 2–1 (expected goals 2.8 for, 1.3 against · 2.22 expected points)

Season so farFC Tulsa Academy PreWest Side Alliance Pre- White
Position2nd1st
Record (W-D-L)6-1-17-1-1
Points per game2.382.44
Goals for / game6.02.8
Goals against / game0.61.2
Clean sheets43
Held scoreless10
Form (recent first)W W W D LW W L W W
Biggest win12–0 vs OK Energy FC Pre- White7–1 at Kansas City Surf Pre
Worst loss0–1 at FC Wichita Red Pre1–2 at Kansas City Surf Blue Pre
Model rating (net goals vs avg)+3.81+1.17
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)-0.15-0.42

Common opponents: Sporting Springfield Pre — we 2–0, 6–0; they 2–0. FC Wichita Red Pre — we 0–1, 2–2; they 2–1. OK Energy FC Frontier Pre — we 8–1; they 3–2. OK Energy FC Pre- White — we 12–0; they 2–0.

Game plan

  • Hard to break down
    West Side Alliance Pre- White concede only 1.2/game with 3 clean sheet(s).

    Patience and width: move the ball quickly side to side to pull the block apart, and treat set pieces as your best chance — rehearse two corner routines and a near-post free-kick delivery.

  • Finishing wins the tight ones
    Held scoreless 1 time(s): 0–1 at FC Wichita Red Pre.

    Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.

  • Swing game — small margins
    Win 69% / draw 16% / loss 15%.

    Games like this are decided by one set piece or one transition. Prioritise the strongest XI for the full game, be disciplined with fouls near the box, and have a clear late-game plan for both "protect the lead" and "chase".

  • Away game
    Kickoff TBD at TBD.

    Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.

  • What a win does
    West Side Alliance Pre- White sit 1st on 2.44 PPG; we are on 2.38.

    A point moves us above West Side Alliance Pre- White on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.

If Saturday goes…

Where we'd sit after the West Side Alliance Pre- White game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (FC Tulsa Academy Pre – West Side Alliance Pre- White) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 10 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Win · 2.44 PPG
1st▲ up 1 1st▲ up 1 1st▲ up 1
Win
2.44 PPG
1st▲ up 1 1st▲ up 1 1st▲ up 1
Draw
2.22 PPG
2nd— holds 3rd▼ down 1 3rd▼ down 1
Loss
2.11 PPG
3rd▼ down 1 3rd▼ down 1 4th▼ down 2

Can we move up this round? Yes. With a 2–1 win we finish as high as 1st if every rival drops points, whatever the rivals do.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

66% finish 1st
100% top 4
0% below the top 4
1.4 average finish
  1. 1st 66%
  2. 2nd 31%
  3. 3rd 3%
  4. 4th <1%
  5. 5th <1%
  6. 6th
  7. 7th
  8. 8th
  9. 9th
  10. 10th
  11. 11th
  12. 12th
  13. 13th

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 15 remaining known games (max 2.78 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 West Side Alliance Pre- White 2.44 (+0.06) 3rd (2.18) A point next game

How the results connect

32 chains · 10 teams

Paths of results that link FC Tulsa Academy Pre to West Side Alliance Pre- White through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

26 favour us
2 even
4 favour them
+3.6 goals per chain on average. The results point our way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
2–0 0–2 2–2 1–2 0–1 6–0 8–1 2–3 12–0 0–2 0–3 2–1 1–6 2–3 8–0 1–7 4–1 9–1 0–7 FC Tulsa Academy Pre 2nd Sporting Springfiel… 6th FC Wichita Red Pre 3rd OK Energy FC Fronti… 9th OK Energy FC Pre- W… 11th FC Wichita Navy Pre 7th Kansas City Surf Bl… 5th Arkansas Comets FC … 4th Kansas City Surf Pre 13th West Side Alliance … 1st

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

12 chains

Position over the season

12 game days

1st 7th 13th Aug 23 Aug 30 Sep 13 Sep 27 Oct 4 Oct 11 Oct 18

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty -0.43 · 11th hardest of 13

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sat Oct 24
TBD
West Side Alliance Pre- White
1st · 7-1-1 · GD +14
Away
●●○○○ Lean win
69%
2–1 2.22 2.36 Swing game
Sat Oct 24
TBD
West Side Alliance Pre- Navy
8th · 2-0-4 · GD +1
Away
●○○○○ Favorable
83%
3–0 2.60 2.38 Bank it
Sat Nov 21
01:00 PM
Arkansas Comets FC Pre
4th · 6-3-1 · GD +19
Away far trip
Brunner & Lay Soccer Complex
●●○○○ Lean win
71%
3–1 2.28 2.37 Bank it
Sat Dec 12
10:30 AM
Arkansas Comets FC Pre
4th · 6-3-1 · GD +19
Home
Keas Soccer Complex
●○○○○ Favorable
80%
3–1 2.50 2.38 Bank it
Sat Dec 12
TBD
FC Tulsa Academy Pre- II
10th · 2-2-4 · GD -19
Home
●○○○○ Favorable
99%
7–0 2.98 2.43 Bank it
Sat Dec 12
TBD
FC Tulsa Academy Pre- II
10th · 2-2-4 · GD -19
Away
●○○○○ Favorable
98%
6–1 2.95 2.47 Bank it
Sun Dec 13
TBD
West Side Alliance Pre- Navy
8th · 2-0-4 · GD +1
Home
●○○○○ Favorable
89%
3–0 2.74 2.48 Bank it
Sun Jan 10
11:00 AM
Broken Arrow Soccer Club Pre
12th · 0-1-4 · GD -18
Home
Scheels Sports Complex
●○○○○ Favorable
99%
7–0 2.98 2.52 Bank it
Sat Feb 20
04:30 PM
OK Energy FC Pre- White
11th · 0-2-5 · GD -28
Away far trip
Edmond Soccer Club
●○○○○ Favorable
99%
7–0 2.98 2.54 Bank it
Sat Feb 20
12:00 PM
OK Energy FC Frontier Pre
9th · 2-1-4 · GD -9
Away far trip
Edmond Soccer Club
●○○○○ Favorable
95%
6–1 2.89 2.56 Bank it
Sat Feb 27
03:20 PM
Kansas City Surf Pre
13th · 0-0-7 · GD -27
Home
Scheels Sports Complex
●○○○○ Favorable
100%
8–0 2.99 2.58 Bank it
Sat Feb 27
11:20 AM
Kansas City Surf Blue Pre
5th · 4-2-1 · GD +11
Home
Scheels Sports Complex
●●○○○ Lean win
74%
2–1 2.37 2.57 Bank it
Sun Feb 28
01:30 PM
Kansas City Surf Pre
13th · 0-0-7 · GD -27
Home
Scheels Sports Complex
●○○○○ Favorable
100%
8–0 2.99 2.59 Bank it
Sun Feb 28
09:00 AM
Kansas City Surf Blue Pre
5th · 4-2-1 · GD +11
Home
Scheels Sports Complex
●●○○○ Lean win
74%
2–1 2.37 2.58 Bank it
Sun Mar 7
10:30 AM
West Side Alliance Pre- White
1st · 7-1-1 · GD +14
Home
Scheels Sports Complex
●○○○○ Favorable
77%
3–1 2.44 2.58 Bank it

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 West Side Alliance Pre- White 9711 2511+14 222.44 WWLWW -0.42 -0.17 88% 3.4
2 FC Tulsa Academy Pre 8611 485+43 192.38 LDWWW -0.15 -0.43 100% 1.4
3 FC Wichita Red Pre 9621 4911+38 202.22 WWWDW +0.32 -0.59 100% 1.8
4 Arkansas Comets FC Pre 10631 3112+19 212.10 WDWDW -0.77 +0.34 43% 4.5
5 Kansas City Surf Blue Pre 7421 176+11 142.00 LWWWD +0.66 -0.45 69% 4.0
6 Sporting Springfield Pre 11506 1724-7 151.36 LWWWL +0.15 -0.23 0% 6.9
7 FC Wichita Navy Pre 6213 1028-18 71.17 WLWDL +0.54 +0.03 0% 9.5
8 West Side Alliance Pre- Navy 6204 98+1 61.00 LWLWL -0.70 +0.07 0% 7.0
9 OK Energy FC Frontier Pre 7214 1726-9 71.00 LWLDL +0.31 -0.16 0% 7.6
10 FC Tulsa Academy Pre- II 8224 1635-19 81.00 LDLDW -0.15 +0.29 0% 9.6
11 OK Energy FC Pre- White 7025 634-28 20.29 DDLLL +0.31 +0.07 0% 12.0
12 Broken Arrow Soccer Club Pre 5014 422-18 10.20 LLDLL +0.37 -0.32 0% 11.1
13 Kansas City Surf Pre 7007 734-27 00.00 LLLLL +0.66 +0.03 0% 12.4

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.53 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.