TableChase Clubs

FC Tulsa Academy Pre- II

Pre-ECNL Girls · Pre- Frontier GU12 · 13 teams · FC Tulsa Academy (all teams)

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10th
2-2-4 record · 8 played
1.00 points per game
-19 goal diff · 16–35
LDLDWlast 5
0% chance of top 4 · expected finish 9.6
-0.15 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sat Oct 24, TBD

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FC Tulsa Academy Pre- II
10th · 1.00 PPG
at
West Side Alliance Pre- Navy
8th · 1.00 PPG

Venue TBD

windrawloss

●●●●● Very tough to win

Most likely score 1–2 (expected goals 1.4 for, 2.9 against · 0.65 expected points)

Season so farFC Tulsa Academy Pre- IIWest Side Alliance Pre- Navy
Position10th8th
Record (W-D-L)2-2-42-0-4
Points per game1.001.00
Goals for / game2.01.5
Goals against / game4.41.3
Clean sheets02
Held scoreless33
Form (recent first)W D L D LL W L W L
Biggest win7–1 vs OK Energy FC Pre- White5–0 at OK Energy FC Pre- White
Worst loss0–12 at FC Wichita Red Pre0–3 at Kansas City Surf Blue Pre
Model rating (net goals vs avg)-1.60+0.03
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)-0.15-0.70

Common opponents: Sporting Springfield Pre — we 1–2, 2–1; they 0–2. OK Energy FC Frontier Pre — we 4–4; they 0–1. OK Energy FC Pre- White — we 7–1; they 5–0.

Game plan

  • Finishing wins the tight ones
    Held scoreless 3 time(s): 0–12 at FC Wichita Red Pre, 0–4 at FC Wichita Navy Pre, 0–9 at FC Wichita Red Pre.

    Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.

  • Underdog — play free, stay organised
    Model gives 16%; a draw (16%) would be a good result.

    Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.

  • Away game
    Kickoff TBD at TBD.

    Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.

  • What a win does
    OK Energy FC Frontier Pre sit 9th on 1.00 PPG; we are on 1.00.

    A point moves us above OK Energy FC Frontier Pre on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.

If Saturday goes…

Where we'd sit after the West Side Alliance Pre- Navy game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (FC Tulsa Academy Pre- II – West Side Alliance Pre- Navy) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 10 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Loss · 0.89 PPG		 10th— holds 10th— holds 12th▼ down 2
Win
1.22 PPG		 7th▲ up 3 9th▲ up 1 10th— holds
Draw
1.00 PPG		 10th— holds 10th— holds 12th▼ down 2
Loss
0.89 PPG		 10th— holds 10th— holds 12th▼ down 2

Can we move up this round? Yes. With a 1–2 loss we finish as high as 8th if every rival drops points, and as low as 12th if every rival wins.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

0% finish 1st
0% top 4
100% below the top 4
9.6 average finish
  1. 1st
  2. 2nd
  3. 3rd
  4. 4th
  5. 5th
  6. 6th <1%
  7. 7th 2%
  8. 8th 8%
  9. 9th 35%
  10. 10th 38%
  11. 11th 14%
  12. 12th 3%
  13. 13th <1%

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 15 remaining known games (max 2.30 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 West Side Alliance Pre- White 2.44 (+1.44) 3rd (2.18) 49 of 45 pts to pass their current pace, 43 for their projection
2 FC Tulsa Academy Pre 2.38 (+1.38) 1st (2.58) 47 of 45 pts to pass their current pace, 52 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
3 FC Wichita Red Pre 2.22 (+1.22) 2nd (2.49) 44 of 45 pts to pass their current pace, 50 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
4 Arkansas Comets FC Pre 2.10 (+1.10) 5th (1.96) 41 of 45 pts to pass their current pace, 37 for their projection
5 Kansas City Surf Blue Pre 2.00 (+1.00) 4th (2.05) 38 of 45 pts to pass their current pace, 40 for their projection
6 Sporting Springfield Pre 1.36 (+0.36) 6th (1.35) 24 of 45 pts to pass their current pace, 24 for their projection
7 FC Wichita Navy Pre 1.17 (+0.17) 9th (0.91) A point next game
8 West Side Alliance Pre- Navy 1.00 (+0.00) 7th (1.34) A point next game
9 OK Energy FC Frontier Pre 1.00 (+0.00) 8th (1.23) A point next game

How the results connect

26 chains · 9 teams

Paths of results that link FC Tulsa Academy Pre- II to West Side Alliance Pre- Navy through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

11 favour us
15 favour them
-1.0 goals per chain on average. The results point their way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
4–4 1–0 7–1 0–5 1–2 2–0 2–1 4–5 2–2 3–1 0–3 0–3 2–1 4–1 0–3 3–0 3–0 FC Tulsa Academy Pr… 10th OK Energy FC Fronti… 9th OK Energy FC Pre- W… 11th Sporting Springfiel… 6th FC Wichita Navy Pre 7th Kansas City Surf Pre 13th Arkansas Comets FC … 4th Kansas City Surf Bl… 5th West Side Alliance … 8th

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

12 chains

Position over the season

12 game days

1st 7th 13th Aug 23 Aug 30 Sep 13 Sep 27 Oct 4 Oct 11 Oct 18

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty +0.29 · 2nd hardest of 13

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sat Oct 24
TBD		 West Side Alliance Pre- Navy
8th · 2-0-4 · GD +1		 Away
●●●●● Very tough
16%		 1–2 0.65 0.96 Upside
Sat Oct 24
TBD		 West Side Alliance Pre- White
1st · 7-1-1 · GD +14		 Away
●●●●● Very tough
5%		 1–4 0.24 0.89 Upside
Sun Nov 15
01:00 PM		 Arkansas Comets FC Pre
4th · 6-3-1 · GD +19		 Home
Scheels Sports Complex		 ●●●●● Very tough
9%		 1–3 0.38 0.84 Upside
Sat Nov 21
04:00 PM		 Arkansas Comets FC Pre
4th · 6-3-1 · GD +19		 Away far trip
Brunner & Lay Soccer Complex		 ●●●●● Very tough
5%		 1–4 0.23 0.79 Upside
Sat Dec 12
TBD		 FC Tulsa Academy Pre
2nd · 6-1-1 · GD +43		 Away
●●●●● Very tough
0%		 0–7 0.02 0.73 Upside
Sat Dec 12
TBD		 FC Tulsa Academy Pre
2nd · 6-1-1 · GD +43		 Home
●●●●● Very tough
1%		 1–6 0.04 0.68 Upside
Sun Jan 10
03:00 PM		 Broken Arrow Soccer Club Pre
12th · 0-1-4 · GD -18		 Home
Scheels Sports Complex		 ●●○○○ Lean win
60%		 3–2 1.96 0.77 Swing game
Sat Feb 20
01:30 PM		 OK Energy FC Pre- White
11th · 0-2-5 · GD -28		 Away far trip
Edmond Soccer Club		 ●●●○○ Toss-up
57%		 3–2 1.88 0.84 Swing game
Sat Feb 20
07:30 PM		 OK Energy FC Frontier Pre
9th · 2-1-4 · GD -9		 Away far trip
Edmond Soccer Club		 ●●●●● Very tough
22%		 2–4 0.80 0.84 Upside
Sun Feb 28
03:00 PM		 Kansas City Surf Blue Pre
5th · 4-2-1 · GD +11		 Home
Scheels Sports Complex		 ●●●●● Very tough
8%		 1–3 0.36 0.81 Upside
Sun Feb 28
10:30 AM		 Kansas City Surf Pre
13th · 0-0-7 · GD -27		 Home
Scheels Sports Complex		 ●●○○○ Lean win
66%		 3–2 2.13 0.88 Swing game
Sun Feb 28
TBD		 Kansas City Surf Blue Pre
5th · 4-2-1 · GD +11		 Home
●●●●● Very tough
8%		 1–3 0.36 0.85 Upside
Sun Feb 28
TBD		 Kansas City Surf Pre
13th · 0-0-7 · GD -27		 Home
●●○○○ Lean win
66%		 3–2 2.13 0.91 Swing game
Sun Mar 7
04:30 PM		 West Side Alliance Pre- White
1st · 7-1-1 · GD +14		 Home
Scheels Sports Complex		 ●●●●● Very tough
9%		 1–3 0.39 0.89 Upside
Sun Mar 7
12:00 PM		 West Side Alliance Pre- Navy
8th · 2-0-4 · GD +1		 Home
Scheels Sports Complex		 ●●●●● Very tough
24%		 1–2 0.90 0.89 Upside

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 West Side Alliance Pre- White 9711 2511+14 222.44 WWLWW -0.42 -0.17 88% 3.4
2 FC Tulsa Academy Pre 8611 485+43 192.38 LDWWW -0.15 -0.43 100% 1.4
3 FC Wichita Red Pre 9621 4911+38 202.22 WWWDW +0.32 -0.59 100% 1.8
4 Arkansas Comets FC Pre 10631 3112+19 212.10 WDWDW -0.77 +0.34 43% 4.5
5 Kansas City Surf Blue Pre 7421 176+11 142.00 LWWWD +0.66 -0.45 69% 4.0
6 Sporting Springfield Pre 11506 1724-7 151.36 LWWWL +0.15 -0.23 0% 6.9
7 FC Wichita Navy Pre 6213 1028-18 71.17 WLWDL +0.54 +0.03 0% 9.5
8 West Side Alliance Pre- Navy 6204 98+1 61.00 LWLWL -0.70 +0.07 0% 7.0
9 OK Energy FC Frontier Pre 7214 1726-9 71.00 LWLDL +0.31 -0.16 0% 7.6
10 FC Tulsa Academy Pre- II 8224 1635-19 81.00 LDLDW -0.15 +0.29 0% 9.6
11 OK Energy FC Pre- White 7025 634-28 20.29 DDLLL +0.31 +0.07 0% 12.0
12 Broken Arrow Soccer Club Pre 5014 422-18 10.20 LLDLL +0.37 -0.32 0% 11.1
13 Kansas City Surf Pre 7007 734-27 00.00 LLLLL +0.66 +0.03 0% 12.4

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.53 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.