OK Energy FC Frontier Pre
Pre-ECNL Girls · Pre- Frontier GU12 · 13 teams · Oklahoma Energy FC (all teams)
Next game — Sat Oct 24, TBD
Venue TBD
●●○○○ Lean win to win
Most likely score 3–2 (expected goals 3.4 for, 2.1 against · 2.05 expected points)
| Season so far | OK Energy FC Frontier Pre | Broken Arrow Soccer Club Pre |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 9th | 12th |
| Record (W-D-L) | 2-1-4 | 0-1-4 |
| Points per game | 1.00 | 0.20 |
| Goals for / game | 2.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals against / game | 3.7 | 4.4 |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 0 |
| Held scoreless | 0 | 3 |
| Form (recent first) | L D L W L | L L D L L |
| Biggest win | 4–0 at Broken Arrow Soccer Club Pre | — |
| Worst loss | 1–8 at FC Tulsa Academy Pre | 0–6 at Arkansas Comets FC Pre |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | -0.72 | -2.02 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | +0.31 | +0.37 |
Already played this season: Sun Oct 4 4–0 at Broken Arrow Soccer Club Pre (W)
Common opponents: West Side Alliance Pre- White — we 2–3; they 0–2. Arkansas Comets FC Pre — we 1–6; they 0–6.
Game plan
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They struggle to score
Broken Arrow Soccer Club Pre average 0.8 goals/game (league avg 2.5); blanked in 3 of 5.A higher defensive line and an aggressive counter-press are low-risk here. Keep the back line connected to midfield so one long ball doesn't turn into a 1v1 — that is the only way this opponent scores.
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They leak goals — be greedy
Broken Arrow Soccer Club Pre concede 4.4/game; worst result 0–6 at Arkansas Comets FC Pre.Commit numbers forward, shoot early and often, and attack second balls. Goal difference is the tiebreaker on PPG, so keep playing to score for the full game — rotate players rather than pace.
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Swing game — small margins
Win 63% / draw 15% / loss 21%.Games like this are decided by one set piece or one transition. Prioritise the strongest XI for the full game, be disciplined with fouls near the box, and have a clear late-game plan for both "protect the lead" and "chase".
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Away game
Kickoff TBD at TBD.Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.
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What a win does
West Side Alliance Pre- Navy sit 8th on 1.00 PPG; we are on 1.00.A point moves us above West Side Alliance Pre- Navy on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.
If Saturday goes…
Where we'd sit after the Broken Arrow Soccer Club Pre game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (OK Energy FC Frontier Pre – Broken Arrow Soccer Club Pre) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 11 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.
| Our result | Rivals don't play | Likely results | Every rival wins |
|---|---|---|---|
| – Win · 1.25 PPG |
7th▲ up 2 | 8th▲ up 1 | 10th▼ down 1 |
| Win 1.25 PPG |
7th▲ up 2 | 8th▲ up 1 | 10th▼ down 1 |
| Draw 1.00 PPG |
9th— holds | 9th— holds | 11th▼ down 2 |
| Loss 0.88 PPG |
10th▼ down 1 | 10th▼ down 1 | 12th▼ down 3 |
Can we move up this round? Yes. With a 3–2 win we finish as high as 7th if every rival drops points, and as low as 10th if every rival wins.
Where we finish
2,000 simulated seasons
- 1st
- 2nd
- 3rd
- 4th <1%
- 5th <1%
- 6th 18%
- 7th 26%
- 8th 38%
- 9th 12%
- 10th 4%
- 11th 1%
- 12th <1%
- 13th
Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.
Climbing the table
What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 17 remaining known games (max 2.42 PPG if we win out).
| # | Team | PPG | Proj. | To pass them |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | West Side Alliance Pre- White | 2.44 (+1.44) | 3rd (2.18) | 52 of 51 pts to pass their current pace, 46 for their projection |
| 2 | FC Tulsa Academy Pre | 2.38 (+1.38) | 1st (2.58) | 51 of 51 pts to pass their current pace, 55 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule |
| 3 | FC Wichita Red Pre | 2.22 (+1.22) | 2nd (2.49) | 47 of 51 pts to pass their current pace, 53 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule |
| 4 | Arkansas Comets FC Pre | 2.10 (+1.10) | 5th (1.96) | 44 of 51 pts to pass their current pace, 40 for their projection |
| 5 | Kansas City Surf Blue Pre | 2.00 (+1.00) | 4th (2.05) | 41 of 51 pts to pass their current pace, 43 for their projection |
| 6 | Sporting Springfield Pre | 1.36 (+0.36) | 6th (1.35) | 26 of 51 pts to pass their current pace, 26 for their projection |
| 7 | FC Wichita Navy Pre | 1.17 (+0.17) | 9th (0.91) | A point next game |
| 8 | West Side Alliance Pre- Navy | 1.00 (+0.00) | 7th (1.34) | A point next game |
How the results connect
19 chains · 9 teams
Paths of results that link OK Energy FC Frontier Pre to Broken Arrow Soccer Club Pre through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.
Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.
Step through the chains with the arrows, or tap one on the map.
Position over the season
12 game days
The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.
The path
run-in difficulty -0.16 · 7th hardest of 13
| Date | Opponent | Where | Difficulty | Win | Likely | Exp. pts | Run. PPG | Priority |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat Oct 24 TBD |
Broken Arrow Soccer Club Pre 12th · 0-1-4 · GD -18 |
Away |
●●○○○ Lean win | 63% |
3–2 | 2.05 | 1.13 | Swing game |
| Sat Oct 31 11:30 AM |
Arkansas Comets FC Pre 4th · 6-3-1 · GD +19 |
Home Edmond Soccer Club |
●●●●● Very tough | 16% |
1–3 | 0.63 | 1.08 | Upside |
| Sat Dec 5 07:30 PM |
FC Wichita Navy Pre 7th · 2-1-3 · GD -18 |
Home Edmond Soccer Club |
●●○○○ Lean win | 67% |
4–2 | 2.15 | 1.18 | Swing game |
| Sat Dec 5 12:00 PM |
FC Wichita Red Pre 3rd · 6-2-1 · GD +38 |
Home Edmond Soccer Club |
●●●●● Very tough | 3% |
1–6 | 0.14 | 1.09 | Upside |
| Sun Dec 6 05:30 PM |
Kansas City Surf Blue Pre 5th · 4-2-1 · GD +11 |
Home Edmond Soccer Club |
●●●●● Very tough | 15% |
1–3 | 0.58 | 1.05 | Upside |
| Sun Dec 6 11:30 AM |
Kansas City Surf Pre 13th · 0-0-7 · GD -27 |
Home Edmond Soccer Club |
●○○○○ Favorable | 80% |
4–1 | 2.49 | 1.16 | Bank it |
| Sat Dec 12 TBD |
OK Energy FC Pre- White 11th · 0-2-5 · GD -28 |
Home |
●○○○○ Favorable | 82% |
4–1 | 2.54 | 1.26 | Bank it |
| Sat Dec 12 TBD |
OK Energy FC Pre- White 11th · 0-2-5 · GD -28 |
Away |
●●○○○ Lean win | 72% |
4–2 | 2.29 | 1.33 | Bank it |
| Sat Feb 20 07:30 PM |
FC Tulsa Academy Pre- II 10th · 2-2-4 · GD -19 |
Home Edmond Soccer Club |
●●○○○ Lean win | 64% |
4–2 | 2.07 | 1.37 | Swing game |
| Sat Feb 20 12:00 PM |
FC Tulsa Academy Pre 2nd · 6-1-1 · GD +43 |
Home Edmond Soccer Club |
●●●●● Very tough | 2% |
1–6 | 0.08 | 1.30 | Upside |
| Sun Feb 21 01:00 PM |
West Side Alliance Pre- White 1st · 7-1-1 · GD +14 |
Away far trip
RiverCity Parks |
●●●●● Very tough | 10% |
1–3 | 0.41 | 1.25 | Upside |
| Sun Feb 21 11:00 AM |
West Side Alliance Pre- Navy 8th · 2-0-4 · GD +1 |
Away far trip
RiverCity Parks |
●●●●○ Tough | 26% |
1–2 | 0.95 | 1.23 | Upside |
| Sat Apr 10 12:00 PM |
Kansas City Surf Pre 13th · 0-0-7 · GD -27 |
Away far trip
Paragon Star Sports Complex |
●●○○○ Lean win | 70% |
4–2 | 2.23 | 1.28 | Swing game |
| Sat Apr 10 12:00 PM |
Kansas City Surf Blue Pre 5th · 4-2-1 · GD +11 |
Away far trip
Paragon Star Sports Complex |
●●●●● Very tough | 9% |
1–3 | 0.38 | 1.24 | Upside |
| Sun Apr 11 TBD |
FC Wichita Red Pre 3rd · 6-2-1 · GD +38 |
Away |
●●●●● Very tough | 2% |
1–6 | 0.07 | 1.19 | Upside |
| Sun Apr 11 TBD |
FC Wichita Navy Pre 7th · 2-1-3 · GD -18 |
Away |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 55% |
3–2 | 1.81 | 1.21 | Swing game |
| Sun Apr 18 12:00 PM |
Sporting Springfield Pre 6th · 5-0-6 · GD -7 |
Home Edmond Soccer Club |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 45% |
2–2 | 1.53 | 1.23 | Swing game |
"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.
Standings
| # | Team | GP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | Form | SoS | Run-in | Top 4 | Exp. finish | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| 1 | West Side Alliance Pre- White | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 25 | 11 | +14 | 22 | 2.44 | WWLWW | -0.42 | -0.17 | 90% | 3.3 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Sep 13 vs FC Wichita Navy Pre · Sat Oct 24 vs FC Tulsa Academy Pre- II · Sat Oct 24 vs FC Tulsa Academy Pre See all 14 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 2 | FC Tulsa Academy Pre | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 48 | 5 | +43 | 19 | 2.38 | LDWWW | -0.15 | -0.43 | 100% | 1.4 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at West Side Alliance Pre- White · Sat Oct 24 at West Side Alliance Pre- Navy · Sat Nov 21 at Arkansas Comets FC Pre See all 15 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 3 | FC Wichita Red Pre | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 49 | 11 | +38 | 20 | 2.22 | WWWDW | +0.32 | -0.59 | 100% | 1.8 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Sep 13 at West Side Alliance Pre- Navy · Sat Oct 10 vs Arkansas Comets FC Pre · Sat Oct 17 at Arkansas Comets FC Pre See all 15 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 4 | Arkansas Comets FC Pre | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 31 | 12 | +19 | 21 | 2.10 | WDWDW | -0.77 | +0.34 | 41% | 4.5 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 10 at FC Wichita Red Pre · Sat Oct 10 at FC Wichita Navy Pre · Sat Oct 17 vs FC Wichita Navy Pre See all 11 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 5 | Kansas City Surf Blue Pre | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 17 | 6 | +11 | 14 | 2.00 | LWWWD | +0.66 | -0.45 | 70% | 4.0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 at FC Wichita Navy Pre · Sun Oct 25 at FC Wichita Red Pre · Sat Nov 14 at Sporting Springfield Pre See all 16 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 6 | Sporting Springfield Pre | 11 | 5 | 0 | 6 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 15 | 1.36 | LWWWL | +0.15 | -0.23 | 0% | 6.9 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Nov 14 vs Kansas City Surf Blue Pre · Sat Nov 14 vs Kansas City Surf Pre · Sun Nov 15 vs FC Wichita Navy Pre See all 10 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 7 | FC Wichita Navy Pre | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 28 | -18 | 7 | 1.17 | WLWDL | +0.54 | +0.03 | 0% | 9.5 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Sep 13 at West Side Alliance Pre- White · Sat Oct 10 vs Arkansas Comets FC Pre · Sat Oct 17 at Arkansas Comets FC Pre See all 17 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 8 | West Side Alliance Pre- Navy | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 8 | +1 | 6 | 1.00 | LWLWL | -0.70 | +0.07 | 0% | 7.0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Sep 12 vs Kansas City Surf Pre · Sun Sep 13 vs FC Wichita Red Pre · Sun Oct 4 vs Broken Arrow Soccer Club Pre See all 16 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 9 | OK Energy FC Frontier Pre | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 26 | -9 | 7 | 1.00 | LWLDL | +0.31 | -0.16 | 0% | 7.6 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at Broken Arrow Soccer Club Pre · Sat Oct 31 vs Arkansas Comets FC Pre · Sat Dec 5 vs FC Wichita Navy Pre See all 17 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 10 | FC Tulsa Academy Pre- II | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 16 | 35 | -19 | 8 | 1.00 | LDLDW | -0.15 | +0.29 | 0% | 9.6 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at West Side Alliance Pre- White · Sat Oct 24 at West Side Alliance Pre- Navy · Sun Nov 15 vs Arkansas Comets FC Pre See all 15 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 11 | OK Energy FC Pre- White | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 34 | -28 | 2 | 0.29 | DDLLL | +0.31 | +0.07 | 0% | 12.0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at Broken Arrow Soccer Club Pre · Sun Oct 25 at West Side Alliance Pre- White · Sun Oct 25 at West Side Alliance Pre- Navy See all 17 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 12 | Broken Arrow Soccer Club Pre | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 22 | -18 | 1 | 0.20 | LLDLL | +0.37 | -0.32 | 0% | 11.1 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 4 at West Side Alliance Pre- Navy · Sat Oct 24 vs OK Energy FC Pre- White · Sat Oct 24 vs OK Energy FC Frontier Pre See all 11 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 13 | Kansas City Surf Pre | 7 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 7 | 34 | -27 | 0 | 0.00 | LLLLL | +0.66 | +0.03 | 0% | 12.4 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Sep 12 at West Side Alliance Pre- Navy · Sun Oct 25 at FC Wichita Red Pre · Sun Oct 25 at FC Wichita Navy Pre See all 16 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.
How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.53 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.