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Whatcom FC Rangers Pre

Pre-ECNL Boys · Pre- Northwest BU12 · 13 teams · Whatcom FC Rangers (all teams)

Scores refresh automatically every 2 hours · last pulled 52 minutes ago.
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12th
0-2-4 record · 6 played
0.33 points per game
-16 goal diff · 4–20
DDLLLlast 5
0% chance of top 4 · expected finish 11.2
+0.55 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sun Nov 1, 04:00 PM

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Whatcom FC Rangers Pre
12th · 0.33 PPG
vs
Valor Soccer - Pre
11th · 0.50 PPG

Phillips 66 Soccer Park, Field 2 ↗

windrawloss

●●●○○ Toss-up to win

Most likely score 2–1 (expected goals 2.5 for, 1.8 against · 1.79 expected points)

Season so farWhatcom FC Rangers PreValor Soccer - Pre
Position12th11th
Record (W-D-L)0-2-41-0-5
Points per game0.330.50
Goals for / game0.71.0
Goals against / game3.35.5
Clean sheets00
Held scoreless34
Form (recent first)L L L D DL L L L W
Biggest win—4–3 vs Northwest United PreECNL
Worst loss0–8 vs XF Pre- 10–9 at Kitsap Alliance FC Pre
Model rating (net goals vs avg)-1.62-2.68
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)+0.55+0.76

Common opponents: Kitsap Alliance FC Pre — we 0–1; they 0–9. Eastside FC Pre- II — we 1–1; they 0–5. XF Pre- 2 — we 1–1; they 2–3. XF Pre- 1 — we 0–8; they 0–6.

Game plan

  • They struggle to score
    Valor Soccer - Pre average 1.0 goals/game (league avg 2.5); blanked in 4 of 6.

    A higher defensive line and an aggressive counter-press are low-risk here. Keep the back line connected to midfield so one long ball doesn't turn into a 1v1 — that is the only way this opponent scores.

  • They leak goals — be greedy
    Valor Soccer - Pre concede 5.5/game; worst result 0–9 at Kitsap Alliance FC Pre.

    Commit numbers forward, shoot early and often, and attack second balls. Goal difference is the tiebreaker on PPG, so keep playing to score for the full game — rotate players rather than pace.

  • Finishing wins the tight ones
    Held scoreless 3 time(s): 0–1 vs Kitsap Alliance FC Pre, 0–8 vs XF Pre- 1, 0–3 at Eastside FC Pre- I.

    Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.

  • Swing game — small margins
    Win 53% / draw 19% / loss 28%.

    Games like this are decided by one set piece or one transition. Prioritise the strongest XI for the full game, be disciplined with fouls near the box, and have a clear late-game plan for both "protect the lead" and "chase".

  • Confidence is low on their side
    Valor Soccer - Pre have lost 4 straight (form: WLLLL).

    Teams on losing runs go quiet after conceding. An early goal usually ends the contest — start fast.

  • What a win does
    Valor Soccer - Pre sit 11th on 0.50 PPG; we are on 0.33.

    A point moves us above Valor Soccer - Pre on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.

If Sunday goes…

Where we'd sit after the Valor Soccer - Pre game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Whatcom FC Rangers Pre – Valor Soccer - Pre) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 5 other games that week (Mon Oct 26 – Sun Nov 1); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Win · 0.71 PPG
10th▲ up 2 10th▲ up 2 10th▲ up 2
Win
0.71 PPG
10th▲ up 2 10th▲ up 2 10th▲ up 2
Draw
0.43 PPG
12th— holds 12th— holds 13th▼ down 1
Loss
0.29 PPG
12th— holds 12th— holds 13th▼ down 1

Can we move up this round? Yes. With a 2–1 win we finish as high as 10th if every rival drops points, whatever the rivals do.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

0% finish 1st
0% top 4
100% below the top 4
11.2 average finish
  1. 1st
  2. 2nd
  3. 3rd
  4. 4th
  5. 5th
  6. 6th
  7. 7th <1%
  8. 8th 2%
  9. 9th 7%
  10. 10th 23%
  11. 11th 25%
  12. 12th 25%
  13. 13th 19%

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 18 remaining known games (max 2.33 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 XF Pre- 1 3.00 (+2.67) 1st (2.49) 70 of 54 pts to pass their current pace, 58 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
2 PacNW SC Pre 2.40 (+2.07) 3rd (2.18) 56 of 54 pts to pass their current pace, 51 for their projection
3 Washington Premier Pre 2.25 (+1.92) 5th (1.90) 52 of 54 pts to pass their current pace, 44 for their projection
4 Northwest United PreECNL 2.17 (+1.84) 4th (2.07) 51 of 54 pts to pass their current pace, 48 for their projection
5 Seattle United Pre 2.00 (+1.67) 2nd (2.19) 46 of 54 pts to pass their current pace, 51 for their projection
6 Kitsap Alliance FC Pre 2.00 (+1.67) 7th (1.60) 46 of 54 pts to pass their current pace, 37 for their projection
7 Eastside FC Pre- I 1.57 (+1.24) 6th (1.74) 36 of 54 pts to pass their current pace, 40 for their projection
8 XF Pre- 2 1.00 (+0.67) 8th (1.07) 22 of 54 pts to pass their current pace, 24 for their projection
9 Eastside FC Pre- II 0.83 (+0.50) 9th (0.99) 18 of 54 pts to pass their current pace, 22 for their projection
10 Seattle United Pre Copa 0.50 (+0.17) 10th (0.69) A point next game
11 Valor Soccer - Pre 0.50 (+0.17) 13th (0.53) A point next game

How the results connect

15 chains · 9 teams

Paths of results that link Whatcom FC Rangers Pre to Valor Soccer - Pre through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

8 favour us
2 even
5 favour them
+1.4 goals per chain on average. The results point our way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
1–1 3–2 0–8 6–0 1–1 5–0 0–1 9–0 2–6 1–3 0–3 1–5 7–0 2–1 1–3 2–1 2–6 3–1 Whatcom FC Rangers … 12th XF Pre- 2 8th XF Pre- 1 1st Eastside FC Pre- II 9th Kitsap Alliance FC … 6th Washington Premier … 3rd Eastside FC Pre- I 7th PacNW SC Pre 2nd Valor Soccer - Pre 11th

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

12 chains

Position over the season

8 game days

1st 7th 13th Sep 12 Sep 26 Oct 4 Oct 17 Oct 24

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty +0.03 · 7th hardest of 13

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sun Nov 1
04:00 PM
Valor Soccer - Pre
11th · 1-0-5 · GD -27
Home
Phillips 66 Soccer Park
●●●○○ Toss-up
53%
2–1 1.79 0.54 Swing game
Sat Nov 7
12:00 PM
Snohomish United Pre
13th · 0-1-4 · GD -15
Away
Valley View Middle School
●●●●○ Tough
36%
1–1 1.29 0.64 Upside
Sat Nov 14
TBD
Seattle United Pre
5th · 3-1-1 · GD +16
Home
●●●●● Very tough
4%
0–3 0.20 0.59 Upside
Sat Dec 5
TBD
PacNW SC Pre
2nd · 4-0-1 · GD +18
Home
●●●●● Very tough
5%
1–4 0.21 0.55 Upside
Sat Dec 12
TBD
Northwest United PreECNL
4th · 4-1-1 · GD +13
Home
●●●●● Very tough
7%
0–3 0.31 0.53 Upside
Sat Jan 9
12:00 PM
Kitsap Alliance FC Pre
6th · 4-0-2 · GD +6
Away far trip
Central Kitsap Middle School
●●●●● Very tough
9%
1–3 0.38 0.52 Upside
Sat Jan 16
TBD
Eastside FC Pre- II
9th · 1-2-3 · GD -6
Home
●●●●○ Tough
27%
1–2 1.02 0.55 Upside
Sat Jan 30
TBD
XF Pre- 2
8th · 1-1-2 · GD -4
Home
●●●●○ Tough
26%
1–2 0.97 0.58 Upside
Sat Feb 6
TBD
XF Pre- 1
1st · 6-0-0 · GD +23
Away
●●●●● Very tough
2%
0–4 0.08 0.55 Upside
Sat Feb 13
TBD
Seattle United Pre Copa
10th · 1-0-5 · GD -20
Home
●●●●○ Tough
42%
2–2 1.44 0.61 Upside
Sat Feb 20
TBD
Washington Premier Pre
3rd · 3-0-1 · GD +7
Home
●●●●● Very tough
9%
1–3 0.38 0.59 Upside
Sat Feb 27
TBD
Valor Soccer - Pre
11th · 1-0-5 · GD -27
Away
●●●○○ Toss-up
43%
2–2 1.49 0.64 Swing game
Sat Mar 13
TBD
Snohomish United Pre
13th · 0-1-4 · GD -15
Home
●●●○○ Toss-up
45%
1–1 1.56 0.69 Swing game
Sat Mar 20
08:00 AM
Seattle United Pre
5th · 3-1-1 · GD +16
Away far trip
TBD
●●●●● Very tough
2%
0–4 0.12 0.66 Upside
Sat Apr 3
TBD
Eastside FC Pre- I
7th · 3-2-2 · GD +5
Home
●●●●● Very tough
12%
1–2 0.50 0.66 Upside
Sun Apr 4
07:30 AM
Seattle United Pre Copa
10th · 1-0-5 · GD -20
Away far trip
TBD
●●●●○ Tough
31%
2–2 1.13 0.68 Upside
Sat Apr 24
TBD
PacNW SC Pre
2nd · 4-0-1 · GD +18
Away
●●●●● Very tough
2%
0–4 0.12 0.65 Upside
Sat May 1
11:00 AM
Northwest United PreECNL
4th · 4-1-1 · GD +13
Away
Skagit Valley College
●●●●● Very tough
4%
0–3 0.20 0.63 Upside

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 XF Pre- 1 6600 285+23 183.00 WWWWW -0.69 -0.02 100% 1.4
2 PacNW SC Pre 5401 246+18 122.40 WWWWL -0.79 +0.05 87% 3.0
3 Washington Premier Pre 4301 169+7 92.25 WWLW +0.10 -0.11 35% 4.9
4 Northwest United PreECNL 6411 207+13 132.17 WWWWD -0.25 -0.02 73% 3.8
5 Seattle United Pre 5311 204+16 102.00 DWLWW -0.06 -0.17 90% 2.9
6 Kitsap Alliance FC Pre 6402 1812+6 122.00 LWWLW -0.85 +0.26 4% 6.5
7 Eastside FC Pre- I 7322 1813+5 111.57 WLLWD +0.47 -0.25 12% 5.8
8 XF Pre- 2 4112 711-4 41.00 LLDW -0.43 +0.14 0% 8.5
9 Eastside FC Pre- II 6123 1016-6 50.83 DLWDL -0.15 +0.14 0% 8.9
10 Seattle United Pre Copa 6105 1030-20 30.50 LLLLL +0.77 -0.01 0% 10.7
11 Valor Soccer - Pre 6105 633-27 30.50 WLLLL +0.76 +0.05 0% 12.0
12 Whatcom FC Rangers Pre 6024 420-16 20.33 DDLLL +0.55 +0.03 0% 11.2
13 Snohomish United Pre 5014 318-15 10.20 LLLLD +0.20 +0.15 0% 11.5

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.49 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.