Whatcom FC Rangers Pre
Pre-ECNL Boys · Pre- Northwest BU12 · 13 teams · Whatcom FC Rangers (all teams)
Next game — Sun Nov 1, 04:00 PM
Phillips 66 Soccer Park, Field 2 ↗
●●●○○ Toss-up to win
Most likely score 2–1 (expected goals 2.5 for, 1.8 against · 1.79 expected points)
| Season so far | Whatcom FC Rangers Pre | Valor Soccer - Pre |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 12th | 11th |
| Record (W-D-L) | 0-2-4 | 1-0-5 |
| Points per game | 0.33 | 0.50 |
| Goals for / game | 0.7 | 1.0 |
| Goals against / game | 3.3 | 5.5 |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 |
| Held scoreless | 3 | 4 |
| Form (recent first) | L L L D D | L L L L W |
| Biggest win | — | 4–3 vs Northwest United PreECNL |
| Worst loss | 0–8 vs XF Pre- 1 | 0–9 at Kitsap Alliance FC Pre |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | -1.62 | -2.68 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | +0.55 | +0.76 |
Common opponents: Kitsap Alliance FC Pre — we 0–1; they 0–9. Eastside FC Pre- II — we 1–1; they 0–5. XF Pre- 2 — we 1–1; they 2–3. XF Pre- 1 — we 0–8; they 0–6.
Game plan
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They struggle to score
Valor Soccer - Pre average 1.0 goals/game (league avg 2.5); blanked in 4 of 6.A higher defensive line and an aggressive counter-press are low-risk here. Keep the back line connected to midfield so one long ball doesn't turn into a 1v1 — that is the only way this opponent scores.
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They leak goals — be greedy
Valor Soccer - Pre concede 5.5/game; worst result 0–9 at Kitsap Alliance FC Pre.Commit numbers forward, shoot early and often, and attack second balls. Goal difference is the tiebreaker on PPG, so keep playing to score for the full game — rotate players rather than pace.
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Finishing wins the tight ones
Held scoreless 3 time(s): 0–1 vs Kitsap Alliance FC Pre, 0–8 vs XF Pre- 1, 0–3 at Eastside FC Pre- I.Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.
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Swing game — small margins
Win 53% / draw 19% / loss 28%.Games like this are decided by one set piece or one transition. Prioritise the strongest XI for the full game, be disciplined with fouls near the box, and have a clear late-game plan for both "protect the lead" and "chase".
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Confidence is low on their side
Valor Soccer - Pre have lost 4 straight (form: WLLLL).Teams on losing runs go quiet after conceding. An early goal usually ends the contest — start fast.
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What a win does
Valor Soccer - Pre sit 11th on 0.50 PPG; we are on 0.33.A point moves us above Valor Soccer - Pre on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.
If Sunday goes…
Where we'd sit after the Valor Soccer - Pre game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Whatcom FC Rangers Pre – Valor Soccer - Pre) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 5 other games that week (Mon Oct 26 – Sun Nov 1); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.
| Our result | Rivals don't play | Likely results | Every rival wins |
|---|---|---|---|
| – Win · 0.71 PPG |
10th▲ up 2 | 10th▲ up 2 | 10th▲ up 2 |
| Win 0.71 PPG |
10th▲ up 2 | 10th▲ up 2 | 10th▲ up 2 |
| Draw 0.43 PPG |
12th— holds | 12th— holds | 13th▼ down 1 |
| Loss 0.29 PPG |
12th— holds | 12th— holds | 13th▼ down 1 |
Can we move up this round? Yes. With a 2–1 win we finish as high as 10th if every rival drops points, whatever the rivals do.
Where we finish
2,000 simulated seasons
- 1st
- 2nd
- 3rd
- 4th
- 5th
- 6th
- 7th <1%
- 8th 2%
- 9th 7%
- 10th 23%
- 11th 25%
- 12th 25%
- 13th 19%
Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.
Climbing the table
What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 18 remaining known games (max 2.33 PPG if we win out).
| # | Team | PPG | Proj. | To pass them |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | XF Pre- 1 | 3.00 (+2.67) | 1st (2.49) | 70 of 54 pts to pass their current pace, 58 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule |
| 2 | PacNW SC Pre | 2.40 (+2.07) | 3rd (2.18) | 56 of 54 pts to pass their current pace, 51 for their projection |
| 3 | Washington Premier Pre | 2.25 (+1.92) | 5th (1.90) | 52 of 54 pts to pass their current pace, 44 for their projection |
| 4 | Northwest United PreECNL | 2.17 (+1.84) | 4th (2.07) | 51 of 54 pts to pass their current pace, 48 for their projection |
| 5 | Seattle United Pre | 2.00 (+1.67) | 2nd (2.19) | 46 of 54 pts to pass their current pace, 51 for their projection |
| 6 | Kitsap Alliance FC Pre | 2.00 (+1.67) | 7th (1.60) | 46 of 54 pts to pass their current pace, 37 for their projection |
| 7 | Eastside FC Pre- I | 1.57 (+1.24) | 6th (1.74) | 36 of 54 pts to pass their current pace, 40 for their projection |
| 8 | XF Pre- 2 | 1.00 (+0.67) | 8th (1.07) | 22 of 54 pts to pass their current pace, 24 for their projection |
| 9 | Eastside FC Pre- II | 0.83 (+0.50) | 9th (0.99) | 18 of 54 pts to pass their current pace, 22 for their projection |
| 10 | Seattle United Pre Copa | 0.50 (+0.17) | 10th (0.69) | A point next game |
| 11 | Valor Soccer - Pre | 0.50 (+0.17) | 13th (0.53) | A point next game |
How the results connect
15 chains · 9 teams
Paths of results that link Whatcom FC Rangers Pre to Valor Soccer - Pre through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.
Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.
Step through the chains with the arrows, or tap one on the map.
Position over the season
8 game days
The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.
The path
run-in difficulty +0.03 · 7th hardest of 13
| Date | Opponent | Where | Difficulty | Win | Likely | Exp. pts | Run. PPG | Priority |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun Nov 1 04:00 PM |
Valor Soccer - Pre 11th · 1-0-5 · GD -27 |
Home Phillips 66 Soccer Park |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 53% |
2–1 | 1.79 | 0.54 | Swing game |
| Sat Nov 7 12:00 PM |
Snohomish United Pre 13th · 0-1-4 · GD -15 |
Away Valley View Middle School |
●●●●○ Tough | 36% |
1–1 | 1.29 | 0.64 | Upside |
| Sat Nov 14 TBD |
Seattle United Pre 5th · 3-1-1 · GD +16 |
Home |
●●●●● Very tough | 4% |
0–3 | 0.20 | 0.59 | Upside |
| Sat Dec 5 TBD |
PacNW SC Pre 2nd · 4-0-1 · GD +18 |
Home |
●●●●● Very tough | 5% |
1–4 | 0.21 | 0.55 | Upside |
| Sat Dec 12 TBD |
Northwest United PreECNL 4th · 4-1-1 · GD +13 |
Home |
●●●●● Very tough | 7% |
0–3 | 0.31 | 0.53 | Upside |
| Sat Jan 9 12:00 PM |
Kitsap Alliance FC Pre 6th · 4-0-2 · GD +6 |
Away far trip
Central Kitsap Middle School |
●●●●● Very tough | 9% |
1–3 | 0.38 | 0.52 | Upside |
| Sat Jan 16 TBD |
Eastside FC Pre- II 9th · 1-2-3 · GD -6 |
Home |
●●●●○ Tough | 27% |
1–2 | 1.02 | 0.55 | Upside |
| Sat Jan 30 TBD |
XF Pre- 2 8th · 1-1-2 · GD -4 |
Home |
●●●●○ Tough | 26% |
1–2 | 0.97 | 0.58 | Upside |
| Sat Feb 6 TBD |
XF Pre- 1 1st · 6-0-0 · GD +23 |
Away |
●●●●● Very tough | 2% |
0–4 | 0.08 | 0.55 | Upside |
| Sat Feb 13 TBD |
Seattle United Pre Copa 10th · 1-0-5 · GD -20 |
Home |
●●●●○ Tough | 42% |
2–2 | 1.44 | 0.61 | Upside |
| Sat Feb 20 TBD |
Washington Premier Pre 3rd · 3-0-1 · GD +7 |
Home |
●●●●● Very tough | 9% |
1–3 | 0.38 | 0.59 | Upside |
| Sat Feb 27 TBD |
Valor Soccer - Pre 11th · 1-0-5 · GD -27 |
Away |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 43% |
2–2 | 1.49 | 0.64 | Swing game |
| Sat Mar 13 TBD |
Snohomish United Pre 13th · 0-1-4 · GD -15 |
Home |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 45% |
1–1 | 1.56 | 0.69 | Swing game |
| Sat Mar 20 08:00 AM |
Seattle United Pre 5th · 3-1-1 · GD +16 |
Away far trip
TBD |
●●●●● Very tough | 2% |
0–4 | 0.12 | 0.66 | Upside |
| Sat Apr 3 TBD |
Eastside FC Pre- I 7th · 3-2-2 · GD +5 |
Home |
●●●●● Very tough | 12% |
1–2 | 0.50 | 0.66 | Upside |
| Sun Apr 4 07:30 AM |
Seattle United Pre Copa 10th · 1-0-5 · GD -20 |
Away far trip
TBD |
●●●●○ Tough | 31% |
2–2 | 1.13 | 0.68 | Upside |
| Sat Apr 24 TBD |
PacNW SC Pre 2nd · 4-0-1 · GD +18 |
Away |
●●●●● Very tough | 2% |
0–4 | 0.12 | 0.65 | Upside |
| Sat May 1 11:00 AM |
Northwest United PreECNL 4th · 4-1-1 · GD +13 |
Away Skagit Valley College |
●●●●● Very tough | 4% |
0–3 | 0.20 | 0.63 | Upside |
"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.
Standings
| # | Team | GP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | Form | SoS | Run-in | Top 4 | Exp. finish | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| 1 | XF Pre- 1 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 28 | 5 | +23 | 18 | 3.00 | WWWWW | -0.69 | -0.02 | 100% | 1.4 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 31 vs Snohomish United Pre · Sat Nov 7 at Seattle United Pre · Sat Nov 14 vs Seattle United Pre Copa See all 18 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 2 | PacNW SC Pre | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 24 | 6 | +18 | 12 | 2.40 | WWWWL | -0.79 | +0.05 | 87% | 3.0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Sep 26 vs Seattle United Pre · Sat Oct 24 at Kitsap Alliance FC Pre · Sat Oct 31 vs Eastside FC Pre- II See all 19 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 3 | Washington Premier Pre | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 9 | +7 | 9 | 2.25 | WWLW | +0.10 | -0.11 | 35% | 4.9 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Sep 12 at Northwest United PreECNL · Sat Oct 31 at Eastside FC Pre- I · Sat Nov 7 at Valor Soccer - Pre See all 20 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 4 | Northwest United PreECNL | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 7 | +13 | 13 | 2.17 | WWWWD | -0.25 | -0.02 | 73% | 3.8 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Sep 12 vs Washington Premier Pre · Sat Oct 31 vs Kitsap Alliance FC Pre · Sat Nov 7 at Eastside FC Pre- II See all 18 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 5 | Seattle United Pre | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 4 | +16 | 10 | 2.00 | DWLWW | -0.06 | -0.17 | 90% | 2.9 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Sep 26 at PacNW SC Pre · Sat Oct 31 at XF Pre- 2 · Sat Nov 7 vs XF Pre- 1 See all 19 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 6 | Kitsap Alliance FC Pre | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 12 | +6 | 12 | 2.00 | LWWLW | -0.85 | +0.26 | 4% | 6.5 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs PacNW SC Pre · Sat Oct 31 at Northwest United PreECNL · Sat Nov 7 vs Eastside FC Pre- I See all 18 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 7 | Eastside FC Pre- I | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 18 | 13 | +5 | 11 | 1.57 | WLLWD | +0.47 | -0.25 | 12% | 5.8 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 31 vs Washington Premier Pre · Sat Nov 7 at Kitsap Alliance FC Pre · Sat Nov 14 vs Valor Soccer - Pre See all 17 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 8 | XF Pre- 2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 4 | 1.00 | LLDW | -0.43 | +0.14 | 0% | 8.5 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 at Snohomish United Pre · Sat Oct 31 vs Seattle United Pre · Sat Nov 7 vs Seattle United Pre Copa See all 20 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 9 | Eastside FC Pre- II | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 16 | -6 | 5 | 0.83 | DLWDL | -0.15 | +0.14 | 0% | 8.9 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs Seattle United Pre Copa · Sat Oct 31 at PacNW SC Pre · Sat Nov 7 vs Northwest United PreECNL See all 18 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 10 | Seattle United Pre Copa | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 30 | -20 | 3 | 0.50 | LLLLL | +0.77 | -0.01 | 0% | 10.7 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at Eastside FC Pre- II · Sat Nov 7 at XF Pre- 2 · Sat Nov 14 at XF Pre- 1 See all 18 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 11 | Valor Soccer - Pre | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 33 | -27 | 3 | 0.50 | WLLLL | +0.76 | +0.05 | 0% | 12.0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Nov 1 at Whatcom FC Rangers Pre · Sat Nov 7 vs Washington Premier Pre · Sat Nov 14 at Eastside FC Pre- I See all 18 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 12 | Whatcom FC Rangers Pre | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 20 | -16 | 2 | 0.33 | DDLLL | +0.55 | +0.03 | 0% | 11.2 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Nov 1 vs Valor Soccer - Pre · Sat Nov 7 at Snohomish United Pre · Sat Nov 14 vs Seattle United Pre See all 18 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 13 | Snohomish United Pre | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 18 | -15 | 1 | 0.20 | LLLLD | +0.20 | +0.15 | 0% | 11.5 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 vs XF Pre- 2 · Sat Oct 31 at XF Pre- 1 · Sat Nov 7 vs Whatcom FC Rangers Pre See all 19 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.
How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.49 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.