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Seattle United Pre Copa

Pre-ECNL Boys · Pre- Northwest BU12 · 13 teams · Seattle United (all teams)

Scores refresh automatically every 2 hours · last pulled 21 minutes ago.
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11th
1-0-5 record · 6 played
0.50 points per game
-20 goal diff · 10–30
LLLLLlast 5
0% chance of top 4 · expected finish 11.0
+0.80 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sat Oct 24, 01:00 PM

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Seattle United Pre Copa
11th · 0.50 PPG
at
Eastside FC Pre- II
9th · 0.83 PPG

PRESTON PARK ATHLETIC FIELDS, Field 3 ↗ far trip

windrawloss

●●●●● Very tough to win

Most likely score 2–3 (expected goals 2.0 for, 3.3 against · 0.79 expected points)

Season so farSeattle United Pre CopaEastside FC Pre- II
Position11th9th
Record (W-D-L)1-0-51-2-3
Points per game0.500.83
Goals for / game1.71.7
Goals against / game5.02.7
Clean sheets11
Held scoreless31
Form (recent first)L L L L LL D W L D
Biggest win5–0 vs Snohomish United Pre5–0 vs Valor Soccer - Pre
Worst loss3–10 vs Eastside FC Pre- I0–8 at Seattle United Pre
Model rating (net goals vs avg)-1.99-0.71
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)+0.80-0.18

Common opponents: Snohomish United Pre — we 5–0; they 2–2. Seattle United Pre — we 0–5; they 0–8.

Game plan

  • Finishing wins the tight ones
    Held scoreless 3 time(s): 0–5 at Seattle United Pre, 0–7 at Northwest United PreECNL, 0–2 vs Kitsap Alliance FC Pre.

    Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.

  • Underdog — play free, stay organised
    Model gives 21%; a draw (15%) would be a good result.

    Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.

  • Away game
    Kickoff 01:00 PM at PRESTON PARK ATHLETIC FIELDS.

    Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.

  • What a win does
    Valor Soccer - Pre sit 10th on 0.60 PPG; we are on 0.50.

    A point moves us above Valor Soccer - Pre on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.

If Saturday goes…

Where we'd sit after the Eastside FC Pre- II game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Seattle United Pre Copa – Eastside FC Pre- II) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 5 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Loss · 0.43 PPG
11th— holds 11th— holds 13th▼ down 2
Win
0.86 PPG
9th▲ up 2 9th▲ up 2 10th▲ up 1
Draw
0.57 PPG
11th— holds 10th▲ up 1 13th▼ down 2
Loss
0.43 PPG
11th— holds 11th— holds 13th▼ down 2

Can we move up this round? No. With a 2–3 loss we stay 11th even if every rival loses, and as low as 13th if every rival wins.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

0% finish 1st
0% top 4
100% below the top 4
11.0 average finish
  1. 1st
  2. 2nd
  3. 3rd
  4. 4th
  5. 5th
  6. 6th
  7. 7th
  8. 8th 3%
  9. 9th 10%
  10. 10th 24%
  11. 11th 25%
  12. 12th 22%
  13. 13th 17%

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 18 remaining known games (max 2.38 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 XF Pre- 1 3.00 (+2.50) 1st (2.40) 69 of 54 pts to pass their current pace, 55 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
2 PacNW SC Pre 2.40 (+1.90) 3rd (2.21) 55 of 54 pts to pass their current pace, 50 for their projection
3 Northwest United PreECNL 2.40 (+1.90) 4th (2.15) 55 of 54 pts to pass their current pace, 49 for their projection
4 Seattle United Pre 2.00 (+1.50) 2nd (2.21) 45 of 54 pts to pass their current pace, 51 for their projection
5 Kitsap Alliance FC Pre 2.00 (+1.50) 7th (1.62) 45 of 54 pts to pass their current pace, 36 for their projection
6 Washington Premier Pre 2.00 (+1.50) 5th (1.77) 45 of 54 pts to pass their current pace, 40 for their projection
7 Eastside FC Pre- I 1.67 (+1.17) 6th (1.73) 38 of 54 pts to pass their current pace, 39 for their projection
8 XF Pre- 2 1.00 (+0.50) 8th (1.08) 21 of 54 pts to pass their current pace, 23 for their projection
9 Eastside FC Pre- II 0.83 (+0.33) 9th (0.98) A point next game
10 Valor Soccer - Pre 0.60 (+0.10) 12th (0.60) A point next game

How the results connect

15 chains · 11 teams

Paths of results that link Seattle United Pre Copa to Eastside FC Pre- II through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

6 favour us
1 even
8 favour them
-1.3 goals per chain on average. The results point their way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
0–5 8–0 5–0 2–2 2–6 4–0 0–2 1–0 1–1 1–0 3–10 1–1 9–0 0–5 2–6 0–7 6–1 1–0 7–0 3–6 3–1 Seattle United Pre … 11th Seattle United Pre 4th Snohomish United Pre 13th PacNW SC Pre 2nd Kitsap Alliance FC … 5th Eastside FC Pre- I 7th Northwest United Pr… 3rd Whatcom FC Rangers … 12th Valor Soccer - Pre 10th Washington Premier … 6th Eastside FC Pre- II 9th

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

12 chains

Position over the season

7 game days

1st 7th 13th Sep 12 Sep 26 Oct 4 Oct 17

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty -0.02 · 8th hardest of 13

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sat Oct 24
01:00 PM
Eastside FC Pre- II
9th · 1-2-3 · GD -6
Away far trip
PRESTON PARK ATHLETIC FIELDS
●●●●● Very tough
21%
2–3 0.79 0.54 Upside
Sat Nov 7
TBD
XF Pre- 2
8th · 1-1-2 · GD -4
Away
●●●●● Very tough
19%
2–3 0.73 0.56 Upside
Sat Nov 14
TBD
XF Pre- 1
1st · 5-0-0 · GD +17
Away
●●●●● Very tough
2%
1–6 0.07 0.51 Upside
Sat Dec 5
10:30 AM
Washington Premier Pre
6th · 2-0-1 · GD +3
Away far trip
WPFC Field Complex
●●●●● Very tough
7%
1–5 0.28 0.49 Upside
Sat Dec 12
09:00 AM
Valor Soccer - Pre
10th · 1-0-4 · GD -21
Home
TBD
●●●○○ Toss-up
56%
3–2 1.84 0.61 Swing game
Sat Jan 9
09:00 AM
Snohomish United Pre
13th · 0-1-4 · GD -15
Away far trip
Snohomish High School · turf
●●●●○ Tough
41%
2–2 1.41 0.68 Upside
Sat Jan 16
12:00 PM
Seattle United Pre
4th · 3-1-1 · GD +16
Home
TBD
●●●●● Very tough
3%
1–5 0.15 0.64 Upside
Sat Jan 23
04:45 PM
Eastside FC Pre- I
7th · 3-1-2 · GD +5
Away far trip
PRESTON PARK ATHLETIC FIELDS
●●●●● Very tough
7%
1–4 0.28 0.61 Upside
Sat Jan 30
TBD
PacNW SC Pre
2nd · 4-0-1 · GD +18
Away
●●●●● Very tough
2%
1–6 0.09 0.58 Upside
Sat Feb 6
12:30 PM
Northwest United PreECNL
3rd · 4-0-1 · GD +13
Home
TBD
●●●●● Very tough
6%
1–4 0.23 0.55 Upside
Sat Feb 13
TBD
Whatcom FC Rangers Pre
12th · 0-2-3 · GD -12
Away
●●●●○ Tough
38%
2–2 1.34 0.60 Upside
Sat Feb 20
06:00 AM
Eastside FC Pre- II
9th · 1-2-3 · GD -6
Home
Twin Ponds
●●●●○ Tough
31%
2–2 1.09 0.63 Upside
Sat Mar 13
01:00 PM
XF Pre- 2
8th · 1-1-2 · GD -4
Home
TBD
●●●●○ Tough
28%
2–3 1.02 0.65 Upside
Sat Mar 20
09:30 AM
XF Pre- 1
1st · 5-0-0 · GD +17
Home
TBD
●●●●● Very tough
3%
1–5 0.14 0.62 Upside
Sat Apr 3
12:00 PM
Kitsap Alliance FC Pre
5th · 4-0-2 · GD +6
Away far trip
Central Kitsap Middle School
●●●●● Very tough
8%
1–4 0.33 0.61 Upside
Sun Apr 4
07:30 AM
Whatcom FC Rangers Pre
12th · 0-2-3 · GD -12
Home
TBD
●●●○○ Toss-up
48%
2–1 1.64 0.66 Swing game
Sat Apr 24
05:00 PM
Washington Premier Pre
6th · 2-0-1 · GD +3
Home
TBD
●●●●● Very tough
12%
2–4 0.46 0.65 Upside
Sat May 1
TBD
Valor Soccer - Pre
10th · 1-0-4 · GD -21
Away
●●●○○ Toss-up
44%
3–3 1.47 0.68 Swing game

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 XF Pre- 1 5500 225+17 153.00 WWWWW -0.29 -0.12 99% 1.8
2 PacNW SC Pre 5401 246+18 122.40 WWWWL -0.70 +0.02 92% 2.8
3 Northwest United PreECNL 5401 207+13 122.40 LWWWW -0.39 -0.02 85% 3.3
4 Seattle United Pre 5311 204+16 102.00 DWLWW -0.03 -0.18 93% 2.8
5 Kitsap Alliance FC Pre 6402 1812+6 122.00 LWWLW -0.83 +0.25 6% 6.3
6 Washington Premier Pre 3201 107+3 62.00 WWL +0.64 -0.13 17% 5.5
7 Eastside FC Pre- I 6312 1813+5 101.67 WWLLW +0.29 -0.16 10% 5.8
8 XF Pre- 2 4112 711-4 41.00 LLDW -0.38 +0.13 0% 8.5
9 Eastside FC Pre- II 6123 1016-6 50.83 DLWDL -0.18 +0.15 0% 9.0
10 Valor Soccer - Pre 5104 627-21 30.60 LWLLL +0.43 +0.13 0% 11.5
11 Seattle United Pre Copa 6105 1030-20 30.50 LLLLL +0.80 -0.02 0% 11.0
12 Whatcom FC Rangers Pre 5023 214-12 20.40 LDDLL +0.38 +0.07 0% 11.0
13 Snohomish United Pre 5014 318-15 10.20 LLLLD +0.23 +0.14 0% 11.8

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.49 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.