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Eastside FC Pre- II

Pre-ECNL Boys · Pre- Northwest BU12 · 13 teams · Eastside FC (WA) (all teams)

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9th
1-2-3 record · 6 played
0.83 points per game
-6 goal diff · 10–16
DLWDLlast 5
0% chance of top 4 · expected finish 9.0
-0.18 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sat Oct 24, 01:00 PM

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Eastside FC Pre- II
9th · 0.83 PPG
vs
Seattle United Pre Copa
11th · 0.50 PPG

PRESTON PARK ATHLETIC FIELDS, Field 3 ↗

windrawloss

●●○○○ Lean win to win

Most likely score 3–2 (expected goals 3.3 for, 2.0 against · 2.06 expected points)

Season so farEastside FC Pre- IISeattle United Pre Copa
Position9th11th
Record (W-D-L)1-2-31-0-5
Points per game0.830.50
Goals for / game1.71.7
Goals against / game2.75.0
Clean sheets11
Held scoreless13
Form (recent first)L D W L DL L L L L
Biggest win5–0 vs Valor Soccer - Pre5–0 vs Snohomish United Pre
Worst loss0–8 at Seattle United Pre3–10 vs Eastside FC Pre- I
Model rating (net goals vs avg)-0.71-1.99
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)-0.18+0.80

Common opponents: Snohomish United Pre — we 2–2; they 5–0. Seattle United Pre — we 0–8; they 0–5.

Game plan

  • They leak goals — be greedy
    Seattle United Pre Copa concede 5.0/game; worst result 3–10 vs Eastside FC Pre- I.

    Commit numbers forward, shoot early and often, and attack second balls. Goal difference is the tiebreaker on PPG, so keep playing to score for the full game — rotate players rather than pace.

  • Finishing wins the tight ones
    Held scoreless 1 time(s): 0–8 at Seattle United Pre.

    Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.

  • Swing game — small margins
    Win 64% / draw 15% / loss 21%.

    Games like this are decided by one set piece or one transition. Prioritise the strongest XI for the full game, be disciplined with fouls near the box, and have a clear late-game plan for both "protect the lead" and "chase".

  • Confidence is low on their side
    Seattle United Pre Copa have lost 5 straight (form: LLLLL).

    Teams on losing runs go quiet after conceding. An early goal usually ends the contest — start fast.

  • What a win does
    XF Pre- 2 sit 8th on 1.00 PPG; we are on 0.83.

    A point moves us above XF Pre- 2 on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.

If Saturday goes…

Where we'd sit after the Seattle United Pre Copa game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Eastside FC Pre- II – Seattle United Pre Copa) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 5 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Win · 1.14 PPG
8th▲ up 1 9th— holds 9th— holds
Win
1.14 PPG
8th▲ up 1 9th— holds 9th— holds
Draw
0.86 PPG
9th— holds 9th— holds 10th▼ down 1
Loss
0.71 PPG
10th▼ down 1 10th▼ down 1 12th▼ down 3

Can we move up this round? Yes. With a 3–2 win we finish as high as 8th if every rival drops points, and as low as 9th if every rival wins.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

0% finish 1st
0% top 4
100% below the top 4
9.0 average finish
  1. 1st
  2. 2nd
  3. 3rd
  4. 4th
  5. 5th
  6. 6th <1%
  7. 7th 2%
  8. 8th 32%
  9. 9th 42%
  10. 10th 14%
  11. 11th 6%
  12. 12th 3%
  13. 13th 1%

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 18 remaining known games (max 2.46 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 XF Pre- 1 3.00 (+2.17) 1st (2.40) 67 of 54 pts to pass their current pace, 53 for their projection
2 PacNW SC Pre 2.40 (+1.57) 3rd (2.21) 53 of 54 pts to pass their current pace, 48 for their projection
3 Northwest United PreECNL 2.40 (+1.57) 4th (2.15) 53 of 54 pts to pass their current pace, 47 for their projection
4 Seattle United Pre 2.00 (+1.17) 2nd (2.21) 43 of 54 pts to pass their current pace, 49 for their projection
5 Kitsap Alliance FC Pre 2.00 (+1.17) 7th (1.62) 43 of 54 pts to pass their current pace, 34 for their projection
6 Washington Premier Pre 2.00 (+1.17) 5th (1.77) 43 of 54 pts to pass their current pace, 38 for their projection
7 Eastside FC Pre- I 1.67 (+0.84) 6th (1.73) 36 of 54 pts to pass their current pace, 37 for their projection
8 XF Pre- 2 1.00 (+0.17) 8th (1.08) A point next game

How the results connect

15 chains · 11 teams

Paths of results that link Eastside FC Pre- II to Seattle United Pre Copa through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

8 favour us
1 even
6 favour them
+1.3 goals per chain on average. The results point our way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
0–8 5–0 2–2 0–5 0–4 6–2 1–1 10–3 0–1 2–0 1–1 0–1 0–1 7–0 6–2 1–6 5–0 0–7 0–9 1–3 6–3 Eastside FC Pre- II 9th Seattle United Pre 4th Snohomish United Pre 13th Whatcom FC Rangers … 12th Valor Soccer - Pre 10th Washington Premier … 6th PacNW SC Pre 2nd Eastside FC Pre- I 7th Kitsap Alliance FC … 5th Northwest United Pr… 3rd Seattle United Pre … 11th

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

12 chains

Position over the season

7 game days

1st 7th 13th Sep 12 Sep 26 Oct 4 Oct 17

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty +0.15 · 2nd hardest of 13

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sat Oct 24
01:00 PM
Seattle United Pre Copa
11th · 1-0-5 · GD -20
Home
PRESTON PARK ATHLETIC FIELDS
●●○○○ Lean win
64%
3–2 2.06 1.01 Swing game
Sat Oct 31
10:30 AM
PacNW SC Pre
2nd · 4-0-1 · GD +18
Away far trip
Starfire Sports
●●●●● Very tough
6%
1–4 0.28 0.92 Upside
Sat Nov 7
02:30 PM
Northwest United PreECNL
3rd · 4-0-1 · GD +13
Home
PRESTON PARK ATHLETIC FIELDS
●●●●● Very tough
14%
1–3 0.56 0.88 Upside
Sat Nov 14
12:00 PM
Kitsap Alliance FC Pre
5th · 4-0-2 · GD +6
Away far trip
Central Kitsap Middle School
●●●●● Very tough
19%
1–3 0.71 0.86 Upside
Sat Dec 12
TBD
XF Pre- 2
8th · 1-1-2 · GD -4
Away
●●●●○ Tough
33%
1–2 1.19 0.89 Upside
Sat Jan 9
10:15 AM
XF Pre- 1
1st · 5-0-0 · GD +17
Home
PRESTON PARK ATHLETIC FIELDS
●●●●● Very tough
10%
1–3 0.40 0.85 Upside
Sat Jan 16
TBD
Whatcom FC Rangers Pre
12th · 0-2-3 · GD -12
Away
●●●○○ Toss-up
50%
1–1 1.72 0.92 Swing game
Sat Jan 23
07:15 PM
Washington Premier Pre
6th · 2-0-1 · GD +3
Home
PRESTON PARK ATHLETIC FIELDS
●●●●● Very tough
24%
1–2 0.90 0.92 Upside
Sat Jan 30
TBD
Valor Soccer - Pre
10th · 1-0-4 · GD -21
Away
●●○○○ Lean win
59%
3–2 1.94 0.98 Swing game
Sat Feb 13
11:30 AM
Eastside FC Pre- I
7th · 3-1-2 · GD +5
Away
PRESTON PARK ATHLETIC FIELDS
●●●●● Very tough
16%
1–3 0.63 0.96 Upside
Sat Feb 20
06:00 AM
Seattle United Pre Copa
11th · 1-0-5 · GD -20
Away far trip
Twin Ponds
●●●○○ Toss-up
52%
2–2 1.74 1.01 Swing game
Sat Feb 27
10:15 AM
PacNW SC Pre
2nd · 4-0-1 · GD +18
Home
PRESTON PARK ATHLETIC FIELDS
●●●●● Very tough
11%
1–3 0.44 0.98 Upside
Sat Mar 6
09:00 AM
Snohomish United Pre
13th · 0-1-4 · GD -15
Away far trip
Snohomish High School · turf
●●●○○ Toss-up
54%
2–1 1.82 1.02 Swing game
Sat Mar 13
05:00 PM
Northwest United PreECNL
3rd · 4-0-1 · GD +13
Away far trip
Skagit Valley College
●●●●● Very tough
9%
1–3 0.37 0.99 Upside
Sat Mar 20
10:45 AM
Kitsap Alliance FC Pre
5th · 4-0-2 · GD +6
Home
PRESTON PARK ATHLETIC FIELDS
●●●●○ Tough
27%
1–2 0.98 0.99 Upside
Sat Apr 3
11:30 AM
Seattle United Pre
4th · 3-1-1 · GD +16
Home
PRESTON PARK ATHLETIC FIELDS
●●●●● Very tough
10%
1–3 0.41 0.96 Upside
Sun Apr 4
05:45 PM
Eastside FC Pre- I
7th · 3-1-2 · GD +5
Home
PRESTON PARK ATHLETIC FIELDS
●●●●● Very tough
24%
1–2 0.89 0.96 Upside
Sat May 1
11:00 AM
XF Pre- 2
8th · 1-1-2 · GD -4
Home
PRESTON PARK ATHLETIC FIELDS
●●●○○ Toss-up
43%
2–2 1.49 0.98 Swing game

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 XF Pre- 1 5500 225+17 153.00 WWWWW -0.29 -0.12 99% 1.7
2 PacNW SC Pre 5401 246+18 122.40 WWWWL -0.70 +0.02 92% 2.8
3 Northwest United PreECNL 5401 207+13 122.40 LWWWW -0.39 -0.02 83% 3.3
4 Seattle United Pre 5311 204+16 102.00 DWLWW -0.03 -0.18 92% 2.8
5 Kitsap Alliance FC Pre 6402 1812+6 122.00 LWWLW -0.83 +0.25 4% 6.4
6 Washington Premier Pre 3201 107+3 62.00 WWL +0.64 -0.13 18% 5.4
7 Eastside FC Pre- I 6312 1813+5 101.67 WWLLW +0.29 -0.16 12% 5.7
8 XF Pre- 2 4112 711-4 41.00 LLDW -0.38 +0.13 0% 8.5
9 Eastside FC Pre- II 6123 1016-6 50.83 DLWDL -0.18 +0.15 0% 9.0
10 Valor Soccer - Pre 5104 627-21 30.60 LWLLL +0.43 +0.13 0% 11.6
11 Seattle United Pre Copa 6105 1030-20 30.50 LLLLL +0.80 -0.02 0% 10.9
12 Whatcom FC Rangers Pre 5023 214-12 20.40 LDDLL +0.38 +0.07 0% 11.0
13 Snohomish United Pre 5014 318-15 10.20 LLLLD +0.23 +0.14 0% 11.8

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.49 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.