Eastside FC Pre- I
Pre-ECNL Boys · Pre- Northwest BU12 · 13 teams · Eastside FC (WA) (all teams)
Next game — Sat Oct 24, 11:00 AM
Skagit Valley College, Field 2 - 9v9 ↗ far trip
●●●●● Very tough to win
Most likely score 1–3 (expected goals 2.0 for, 3.2 against · 0.81 expected points)
| Season so far | Eastside FC Pre- I | Northwest United PreECNL |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 7th | 3rd |
| Record (W-D-L) | 3-1-2 | 4-0-1 |
| Points per game | 1.67 | 2.40 |
| Goals for / game | 3.0 | 4.0 |
| Goals against / game | 2.2 | 1.4 |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 2 |
| Held scoreless | 0 | 0 |
| Form (recent first) | W L L W W | W W W W L |
| Biggest win | 10–3 at Seattle United Pre Copa | 7–0 vs Seattle United Pre Copa |
| Worst loss | 1–5 at PacNW SC Pre | 3–4 at Valor Soccer - Pre |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +0.62 | +1.49 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | +0.29 | -0.39 |
Common opponents: Seattle United Pre — we 1–1; they 1–0. Seattle United Pre Copa — we 10–3; they 7–0. PacNW SC Pre — we 1–5; they 3–2.
Game plan
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Respect their attack
Northwest United PreECNL score 4.0/game — well above the league's 2.5.Deny the easy goals first: compact shape between the lines, no fouls in shooting range, and a plan for their best outlet. Score first and make them chase.
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Underdog — play free, stay organised
Model gives 22%; a draw (16%) would be a good result.Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.
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They arrive in form
Northwest United PreECNL have won 4 straight.Don't let them settle: deny the first 10 minutes of rhythm with pressure on their first pass out of the back.
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Away game
Kickoff 11:00 AM at Skagit Valley College.Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.
If Saturday goes…
Where we'd sit after the Northwest United PreECNL game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Eastside FC Pre- I – Northwest United PreECNL) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 5 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.
| Our result | Rivals don't play | Likely results | Every rival wins |
|---|---|---|---|
| – Loss · 1.43 PPG |
7th— holds | 7th— holds | 7th— holds |
| Win 1.86 PPG |
7th— holds | 6th▲ up 1 | 7th— holds |
| Draw 1.57 PPG |
7th— holds | 7th— holds | 7th— holds |
| Loss 1.43 PPG |
7th— holds | 7th— holds | 7th— holds |
Can we move up this round? No. With a 1–3 loss we stay 7th even if every rival loses, whatever the rivals do.
Where we finish
2,000 simulated seasons
- 1st <1%
- 2nd 1%
- 3rd 2%
- 4th 8%
- 5th 30%
- 6th 34%
- 7th 24%
- 8th 2%
- 9th <1%
- 10th
- 11th
- 12th
- 13th
Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.
Climbing the table
What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 18 remaining known games (max 2.67 PPG if we win out).
| # | Team | PPG | Proj. | To pass them |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | XF Pre- 1 | 3.00 (+1.33) | 1st (2.40) | 62 of 54 pts to pass their current pace, 48 for their projection |
| 2 | PacNW SC Pre | 2.40 (+0.73) | 3rd (2.21) | 48 of 54 pts to pass their current pace, 43 for their projection |
| 3 | Northwest United PreECNL | 2.40 (+0.73) | 4th (2.15) | 48 of 54 pts to pass their current pace, 42 for their projection |
| 4 | Seattle United Pre | 2.00 (+0.33) | 2nd (2.21) | 38 of 54 pts to pass their current pace, 44 for their projection |
| 5 | Kitsap Alliance FC Pre | 2.00 (+0.33) | 7th (1.62) | 38 of 54 pts to pass their current pace, 29 for their projection |
| 6 | Washington Premier Pre | 2.00 (+0.33) | 5th (1.77) | 38 of 54 pts to pass their current pace, 33 for their projection |
How the results connect
11 chains · 8 teams
Paths of results that link Eastside FC Pre- I to Northwest United PreECNL through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.
Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.
Step through the chains with the arrows, or tap one on the map.
Position over the season
7 game days
The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.
The path
run-in difficulty -0.16 · 12th hardest of 13
| Date | Opponent | Where | Difficulty | Win | Likely | Exp. pts | Run. PPG | Priority |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat Oct 24 11:00 AM |
Northwest United PreECNL 3rd · 4-0-1 · GD +13 |
Away far trip
Skagit Valley College |
●●●●● Very tough | 22% |
1–3 | 0.81 | 1.54 | Upside |
| Sat Oct 31 11:45 AM |
Washington Premier Pre 6th · 2-0-1 · GD +3 |
Home PRESTON PARK ATHLETIC FIELDS |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 48% |
2–2 | 1.60 | 1.55 | Swing game |
| Sat Nov 7 04:00 PM |
Kitsap Alliance FC Pre 5th · 4-0-2 · GD +6 |
Away far trip
Central Kitsap Middle School |
●●●●○ Tough | 39% |
2–2 | 1.34 | 1.53 | Upside |
| Sat Nov 14 02:15 PM |
Valor Soccer - Pre 10th · 1-0-4 · GD -21 |
Home PRESTON PARK ATHLETIC FIELDS |
●○○○○ Favorable | 89% |
5–1 | 2.74 | 1.65 | Bank it |
| Sat Dec 5 11:30 AM |
Snohomish United Pre 13th · 0-1-4 · GD -15 |
Home PRESTON PARK ATHLETIC FIELDS |
●○○○○ Favorable | 84% |
3–1 | 2.61 | 1.74 | Bank it |
| Sat Jan 9 11:30 AM |
Seattle United Pre 4th · 3-1-1 · GD +16 |
Home PRESTON PARK ATHLETIC FIELDS |
●●●●● Very tough | 23% |
1–2 | 0.86 | 1.66 | Upside |
| Sat Jan 16 TBD |
XF Pre- 2 8th · 1-1-2 · GD -4 |
Away |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 57% |
2–1 | 1.88 | 1.68 | Swing game |
| Sat Jan 23 04:45 PM |
Seattle United Pre Copa 11th · 1-0-5 · GD -20 |
Home PRESTON PARK ATHLETIC FIELDS |
●○○○○ Favorable | 86% |
4–1 | 2.65 | 1.75 | Bank it |
| Sat Jan 30 TBD |
XF Pre- 1 1st · 5-0-0 · GD +17 |
Away |
●●●●● Very tough | 16% |
1–3 | 0.60 | 1.67 | Upside |
| Sat Feb 6 12:00 PM |
PacNW SC Pre 2nd · 4-0-1 · GD +18 |
Home PRESTON PARK ATHLETIC FIELDS |
●●●●○ Tough | 26% |
2–3 | 0.95 | 1.63 | Upside |
| Sat Feb 13 11:30 AM |
Eastside FC Pre- II 9th · 1-2-3 · GD -6 |
Home PRESTON PARK ATHLETIC FIELDS |
●●○○○ Lean win | 69% |
3–1 | 2.22 | 1.66 | Swing game |
| Sat Feb 20 12:15 PM |
Northwest United PreECNL 3rd · 4-0-1 · GD +13 |
Home PRESTON PARK ATHLETIC FIELDS |
●●●●○ Tough | 31% |
2–2 | 1.11 | 1.63 | Upside |
| Sat Feb 27 10:30 AM |
Washington Premier Pre 6th · 2-0-1 · GD +3 |
Away far trip
WPFC Field Complex |
●●●●○ Tough | 36% |
2–2 | 1.26 | 1.61 | Upside |
| Sat Mar 13 11:30 AM |
Kitsap Alliance FC Pre 5th · 4-0-2 · GD +6 |
Home PRESTON PARK ATHLETIC FIELDS |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 50% |
2–2 | 1.68 | 1.62 | Swing game |
| Sat Mar 20 TBD |
Valor Soccer - Pre 10th · 1-0-4 · GD -21 |
Away |
●○○○○ Favorable | 82% |
4–1 | 2.56 | 1.66 | Bank it |
| Sat Apr 3 TBD |
Whatcom FC Rangers Pre 12th · 0-2-3 · GD -12 |
Away |
●●○○○ Lean win | 72% |
2–1 | 2.32 | 1.69 | Bank it |
| Sun Apr 4 05:45 PM |
Eastside FC Pre- II 9th · 1-2-3 · GD -6 |
Away PRESTON PARK ATHLETIC FIELDS |
●●○○○ Lean win | 59% |
2–1 | 1.94 | 1.70 | Swing game |
| Sat Apr 24 12:00 PM |
Snohomish United Pre 13th · 0-1-4 · GD -15 |
Away far trip
Snohomish High School · turf |
●○○○○ Favorable | 76% |
3–1 | 2.42 | 1.73 | Bank it |
"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.
Standings
| # | Team | GP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | Form | SoS | Run-in | Top 4 | Exp. finish | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| 1 | XF Pre- 1 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 22 | 5 | +17 | 15 | 3.00 | WWWWW | -0.29 | -0.12 | 99% | 1.7 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at Valor Soccer - Pre · Sat Oct 31 vs Snohomish United Pre · Sat Nov 7 at Seattle United Pre See all 19 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 2 | PacNW SC Pre | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 24 | 6 | +18 | 12 | 2.40 | WWWWL | -0.70 | +0.02 | 93% | 2.8 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Sep 26 vs Seattle United Pre · Sat Oct 24 at Kitsap Alliance FC Pre · Sat Oct 31 vs Eastside FC Pre- II See all 19 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 3 | Northwest United PreECNL | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 7 | +13 | 12 | 2.40 | LWWWW | -0.39 | -0.02 | 86% | 3.3 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Sep 12 vs Washington Premier Pre · Sat Oct 24 vs Eastside FC Pre- I · Sat Oct 31 vs Kitsap Alliance FC Pre See all 19 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 4 | Seattle United Pre | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 4 | +16 | 10 | 2.00 | DWLWW | -0.03 | -0.18 | 93% | 2.7 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Sep 26 at PacNW SC Pre · Sat Oct 31 at XF Pre- 2 · Sat Nov 7 vs XF Pre- 1 See all 19 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 5 | Kitsap Alliance FC Pre | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 12 | +6 | 12 | 2.00 | LWWLW | -0.83 | +0.25 | 5% | 6.3 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs PacNW SC Pre · Sat Oct 31 at Northwest United PreECNL · Sat Nov 7 vs Eastside FC Pre- I See all 18 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 6 | Washington Premier Pre | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 7 | +3 | 6 | 2.00 | WWL | +0.64 | -0.13 | 15% | 5.5 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Sep 12 at Northwest United PreECNL · Sat Oct 24 vs Whatcom FC Rangers Pre · Sat Oct 31 at Eastside FC Pre- I See all 21 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 7 | Eastside FC Pre- I | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 13 | +5 | 10 | 1.67 | WWLLW | +0.29 | -0.16 | 11% | 5.7 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at Northwest United PreECNL · Sat Oct 31 vs Washington Premier Pre · Sat Nov 7 at Kitsap Alliance FC Pre See all 18 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 8 | XF Pre- 2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 4 | 1.00 | LLDW | -0.38 | +0.13 | 0% | 8.6 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 at Snohomish United Pre · Sat Oct 31 vs Seattle United Pre · Sat Nov 7 vs Seattle United Pre Copa See all 20 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 9 | Eastside FC Pre- II | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 16 | -6 | 5 | 0.83 | DLWDL | -0.18 | +0.15 | 0% | 9.0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs Seattle United Pre Copa · Sat Oct 31 at PacNW SC Pre · Sat Nov 7 vs Northwest United PreECNL See all 18 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 10 | Valor Soccer - Pre | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 27 | -21 | 3 | 0.60 | LWLLL | +0.43 | +0.13 | 0% | 11.6 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs XF Pre- 1 · Sun Nov 1 at Whatcom FC Rangers Pre · Sat Nov 7 vs Washington Premier Pre See all 19 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 11 | Seattle United Pre Copa | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 30 | -20 | 3 | 0.50 | LLLLL | +0.80 | -0.02 | 0% | 11.0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at Eastside FC Pre- II · Sat Nov 7 at XF Pre- 2 · Sat Nov 14 at XF Pre- 1 See all 18 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 12 | Whatcom FC Rangers Pre | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 14 | -12 | 2 | 0.40 | LDDLL | +0.38 | +0.07 | 0% | 11.1 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at Washington Premier Pre · Sun Nov 1 vs Valor Soccer - Pre · Sat Nov 7 at Snohomish United Pre See all 19 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 13 | Snohomish United Pre | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 18 | -15 | 1 | 0.20 | LLLLD | +0.23 | +0.14 | 0% | 11.8 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 vs XF Pre- 2 · Sat Oct 31 at XF Pre- 1 · Sat Nov 7 vs Whatcom FC Rangers Pre See all 19 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.
How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.49 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.