Northwest United PreECNL

Pre-ECNL Boys · Pre- Northwest BU12 · 13 teams · Northwest United FC (all teams)

Scores refresh automatically every 2 hours · last pulled 25 minutes ago.

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3rd

4-0-1 record · 5 played

2.40 points per game

+13 goal diff · 20–7

LWWWWlast 5

85% chance of top 4 · expected finish 3.3

-0.39 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sat Oct 24, 11:00 AM

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Northwest United PreECNL
3rd · 2.40 PPG

Eastside FC Pre- I
7th · 1.67 PPG

Skagit Valley College, Field 2 - 9v9 ↗

62% 16% 22%

windrawloss

●●○○○ Lean win to win

Most likely score 3–1 (expected goals 3.2 for, 2.0 against · 2.03 expected points)

Season so far	Northwest United PreECNL	Eastside FC Pre- I
Position	3rd	7th
Record (W-D-L)	4-0-1	3-1-2
Points per game	2.40	1.67
Goals for / game	4.0	3.0
Goals against / game	1.4	2.2
Clean sheets	2	1
Held scoreless	0	0
Form (recent first)	W W W W L	W L L W W
Biggest win	7–0 vs Seattle United Pre Copa	10–3 at Seattle United Pre Copa
Worst loss	3–4 at Valor Soccer - Pre	1–5 at PacNW SC Pre
Model rating (net goals vs avg)	+1.49	+0.62
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)	-0.39	+0.29

Common opponents: Seattle United Pre — we 1–0; they 1–1. Seattle United Pre Copa — we 7–0; they 10–3. PacNW SC Pre — we 3–2; they 1–5.

Game plan

Swing game — small margins
Win 62% / draw 16% / loss 22%.
Games like this are decided by one set piece or one transition. Prioritise the strongest XI for the full game, be disciplined with fouls near the box, and have a clear late-game plan for both "protect the lead" and "chase".
What a win does
PacNW SC Pre sit 2nd on 2.40 PPG; we are on 2.40.
A point moves us above PacNW SC Pre on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.

If Saturday goes…

Where we'd sit after the Eastside FC Pre- I game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Northwest United PreECNL – Eastside FC Pre- I) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 5 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our result	Rivals don't play	Likely results	Every rival wins
– Win · 2.50 PPG	2nd▲ up 1	3rd— holds	3rd— holds
Win 2.50 PPG	2nd▲ up 1	3rd— holds	3rd— holds
Draw 2.17 PPG	3rd— holds	4th▼ down 1	4th▼ down 1
Loss 2.00 PPG	4th▼ down 1	5th▼ down 2	6th▼ down 3

Can we move up this round? Yes. With a 3–1 win we finish as high as 2nd if every rival drops points, and as low as 3rd if every rival wins.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

10% finish 1st

85% top 4

15% below the top 4

3.3 average finish

1st 10%
2nd 19%
3rd 27%
4th 29%
5th 10%
6th 4%
7th 1%
8th
9th
10th
11th
12th
13th

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 19 remaining known games (max 2.88 PPG if we win out).

#	Team	PPG	Proj.	To pass them
1	XF Pre- 1	3.00 (+0.60)	1st (2.40)	60 of 57 pts to pass their current pace, 46 for their projection
2	PacNW SC Pre	2.40 (+0.00)	3rd (2.21)	A point next game

How the results connect

11 chains · 8 teams

Paths of results that link Northwest United PreECNL to Eastside FC Pre- I through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

5 favour us

1 even

5 favour them

+0.3 goals per chain on average. The results point our way.

won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

11 chains

Position over the season

7 game days

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty -0.02 · 9th hardest of 13

Date	Opponent	Where	Difficulty	Win	Likely	Exp. pts	Run. PPG	Priority
Sat Sep 12 01:00 PM no score posted	Washington Premier Pre 6th · 2-0-1 · GD +3	Home Sedro-Woolley High School	●●○○○ Lean win	63%	3–2	2.05	2.34	Swing game
Sat Oct 24 11:00 AM	Eastside FC Pre- I 7th · 3-1-2 · GD +5	Home Skagit Valley College	●●○○○ Lean win	62%	3–1	2.03	2.30	Swing game
Sat Oct 31 01:00 PM	Kitsap Alliance FC Pre 5th · 4-0-2 · GD +6	Home Skagit Valley College	●●○○○ Lean win	65%	3–1	2.11	2.27	Swing game
Sat Nov 7 02:30 PM	Eastside FC Pre- II 9th · 1-2-3 · GD -6	Away far trip PRESTON PARK ATHLETIC FIELDS	●●○○○ Lean win	72%	3–1	2.31	2.28	Bank it
Sat Dec 5 05:00 PM	XF Pre- 1 1st · 5-0-0 · GD +17	Home Skagit Valley College	●●●●○ Tough	37%	2–2	1.30	2.18	Upside
Sat Dec 12 TBD	Whatcom FC Rangers Pre 12th · 0-2-3 · GD -12	Away	●○○○○ Favorable	82%	3–0	2.57	2.22	Bank it
Sat Jan 9 12:00 PM	Washington Premier Pre 6th · 2-0-1 · GD +3	Away far trip WPFC Field Complex	●●●○○ Toss-up	52%	2–2	1.73	2.18	Swing game
Sat Jan 16 11:00 AM	Valor Soccer - Pre 10th · 1-0-4 · GD -21	Home Skagit Valley College	●○○○○ Favorable	95%	5–1	2.88	2.23	Bank it
Sat Jan 23 10:30 AM	Snohomish United Pre 13th · 0-1-4 · GD -15	Away Snohomish High School · turf	●○○○○ Favorable	86%	3–1	2.66	2.26	Bank it
Sat Jan 30 09:00 AM	Seattle United Pre 4th · 3-1-1 · GD +16	Home Skagit Valley College	●●●●○ Tough	36%	2–2	1.28	2.19	Upside
Sat Feb 6 12:30 PM	Seattle United Pre Copa 11th · 1-0-5 · GD -20	Away far trip TBD	●○○○○ Favorable	88%	4–1	2.70	2.23	Bank it
Sat Feb 13 11:00 AM	XF Pre- 2 8th · 1-1-2 · GD -4	Home Skagit Valley College	●○○○○ Favorable	80%	3–1	2.50	2.24	Bank it
Sat Feb 20 12:15 PM	Eastside FC Pre- I 7th · 3-1-2 · GD +5	Away far trip PRESTON PARK ATHLETIC FIELDS	●●●○○ Toss-up	51%	2–2	1.71	2.21	Swing game
Sat Feb 27 12:00 PM	Kitsap Alliance FC Pre 5th · 4-0-2 · GD +6	Away far trip Central Kitsap Middle School	●●●○○ Toss-up	54%	2–2	1.80	2.19	Swing game
Sat Mar 13 05:00 PM	Eastside FC Pre- II 9th · 1-2-3 · GD -6	Home Skagit Valley College	●○○○○ Favorable	81%	3–1	2.53	2.21	Bank it
Sat Apr 3 11:00 AM	PacNW SC Pre 2nd · 4-0-1 · GD +18	Home Skagit Valley College	●●●●○ Tough	41%	2–2	1.41	2.17	Upside
Sun Apr 4 TBD	XF Pre- 2 8th · 1-1-2 · GD -4	Away	●●○○○ Lean win	71%	3–1	2.27	2.17	Bank it
Sat Apr 24 TBD	XF Pre- 1 1st · 5-0-0 · GD +17	Away	●●●●○ Tough	27%	2–2	0.99	2.12	Upside
Sat May 1 11:00 AM	Whatcom FC Rangers Pre 12th · 0-2-3 · GD -12	Home Skagit Valley College	●○○○○ Favorable	88%	3–0	2.72	2.15	Bank it

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

Team

Pts

PPG

Form

SoS

Run-in

Top 4

Exp. finish

XF Pre- 1

+17

3.00

WWWWW

-0.29

-0.12

99%

1.8

W	Sat Oct 17	vs	Washington Premier Pre (6th)	3–1
W	Sat Oct 10	at	Whatcom FC Rangers Pre (12th)	8–0
W	Sat Oct 3	at	Eastside FC Pre- I (7th)	3–1
W	Sat Sep 26	vs	XF Pre- 2 (8th)	6–2
W	Sat Sep 12	vs	Eastside FC Pre- II (9th)	2–1

Next: Sat Oct 24 at Valor Soccer - Pre · Sat Oct 31 vs Snohomish United Pre · Sat Nov 7 at Seattle United Pre See all 19 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 24	at	Valor Soccer - Pre (10th)	5–1	94%
·	Sat Oct 31	vs	Snohomish United Pre (13th)	4–0	94%
·	Sat Nov 7	at	Seattle United Pre (4th)	2–2	34%
·	Sat Nov 14	vs	Seattle United Pre Copa (11th)	6–1	96%
·	Sat Dec 5	at	Northwest United PreECNL (3rd)	2–2	44%
·	Sat Dec 12	vs	Kitsap Alliance FC Pre (5th)	3–1	73%
·	Sat Jan 9	at	Eastside FC Pre- II (9th)	3–1	79%
·	Sat Jan 23	at	XF Pre- 2 (8th)	3–1	78%
·	Sat Jan 30	vs	Eastside FC Pre- I (7th)	3–1	71%
·	Sat Feb 6	vs	Whatcom FC Rangers Pre (12th)	4–0	92%
·	Sat Feb 13	at	PacNW SC Pre (2nd)	2–2	39%
·	Sat Feb 20	vs	Valor Soccer - Pre (10th)	6–1	97%
·	Sat Feb 27	at	Snohomish United Pre (13th)	4–0	90%
·	Sat Mar 13	vs	Seattle United Pre (4th)	2–2	44%
·	Sat Mar 20	at	Seattle United Pre Copa (11th)	5–1	92%
·	Sat Apr 3	at	Washington Premier Pre (6th)	3–2	61%
·	Sun Apr 4	vs	PacNW SC Pre (2nd)	2–2	50%
·	Sat Apr 24	vs	Northwest United PreECNL (3rd)	2–2	55%
·	Sat May 1	at	Kitsap Alliance FC Pre (5th)	3–1	63%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

PacNW SC Pre

+18

2.40

WWWWL

-0.70

+0.02

91%

2.8

L	Sat Oct 17	vs	Northwest United PreECNL (3rd)	2–3
W	Sat Oct 10	vs	Eastside FC Pre- I (7th)	5–1
W	Sat Oct 3	at	Seattle United Pre Copa (11th)	6–2
W	Sat Sep 19	at	Snohomish United Pre (13th)	4–0
W	Sat Sep 12	vs	Valor Soccer - Pre (10th)	7–0

Next: Sat Sep 26 vs Seattle United Pre · Sat Oct 24 at Kitsap Alliance FC Pre · Sat Oct 31 vs Eastside FC Pre- II See all 19 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Sep 26 (no score yet)	vs	Seattle United Pre (4th)	2–2	41%
·	Sat Oct 24	at	Kitsap Alliance FC Pre (5th)	3–2	60%
·	Sat Oct 31	vs	Eastside FC Pre- II (9th)	4–1	85%
·	Sat Nov 14	vs	XF Pre- 2 (8th)	4–1	84%
·	Sat Dec 5	at	Whatcom FC Rangers Pre (12th)	3–0	86%
·	Sat Dec 12	vs	Washington Premier Pre (6th)	3–1	70%
·	Sat Jan 9	at	Valor Soccer - Pre (10th)	5–1	94%
·	Sat Jan 16	vs	Snohomish United Pre (13th)	4–0	94%
·	Sat Jan 23	at	Seattle United Pre (4th)	2–2	31%
·	Sat Jan 30	vs	Seattle United Pre Copa (11th)	6–1	95%
·	Sat Feb 6	at	Eastside FC Pre- I (7th)	3–2	57%
·	Sat Feb 13	vs	XF Pre- 1 (1st)	2–2	43%
·	Sat Feb 20	vs	Kitsap Alliance FC Pre (5th)	3–1	71%
·	Sat Feb 27	at	Eastside FC Pre- II (9th)	3–1	78%
·	Sat Mar 20	at	XF Pre- 2 (8th)	3–1	76%
·	Sat Apr 3	at	Northwest United PreECNL (3rd)	2–2	41%
·	Sun Apr 4	at	XF Pre- 1 (1st)	2–2	32%
·	Sat Apr 24	vs	Whatcom FC Rangers Pre (12th)	4–0	91%
·	Sat May 1	at	Washington Premier Pre (6th)	3–2	58%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Northwest United PreECNL

+13

2.40

LWWWW

-0.39

-0.02

85%

3.3

W	Sat Oct 17	at	PacNW SC Pre (2nd)	3–2
W	Sat Oct 10	vs	Seattle United Pre Copa (11th)	7–0
W	Sun Oct 4	at	Seattle United Pre (4th)	1–0
W	Sat Sep 26	vs	Snohomish United Pre (13th)	6–1
L	Sat Sep 19	at	Valor Soccer - Pre (10th)	3–4

Next: Sat Sep 12 vs Washington Premier Pre · Sat Oct 24 vs Eastside FC Pre- I · Sat Oct 31 vs Kitsap Alliance FC Pre See all 19 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Sep 12 (no score yet)	vs	Washington Premier Pre (6th)	3–2	63%
·	Sat Oct 24	vs	Eastside FC Pre- I (7th)	3–1	62%
·	Sat Oct 31	vs	Kitsap Alliance FC Pre (5th)	3–1	65%
·	Sat Nov 7	at	Eastside FC Pre- II (9th)	3–1	72%
·	Sat Dec 5	vs	XF Pre- 1 (1st)	2–2	37%
·	Sat Dec 12	at	Whatcom FC Rangers Pre (12th)	3–0	82%
·	Sat Jan 9	at	Washington Premier Pre (6th)	2–2	52%
·	Sat Jan 16	vs	Valor Soccer - Pre (10th)	5–1	95%
·	Sat Jan 23	at	Snohomish United Pre (13th)	3–1	86%
·	Sat Jan 30	vs	Seattle United Pre (4th)	2–2	36%
·	Sat Feb 6	at	Seattle United Pre Copa (11th)	4–1	88%
·	Sat Feb 13	vs	XF Pre- 2 (8th)	3–1	80%
·	Sat Feb 20	at	Eastside FC Pre- I (7th)	2–2	51%
·	Sat Feb 27	at	Kitsap Alliance FC Pre (5th)	2–2	54%
·	Sat Mar 13	vs	Eastside FC Pre- II (9th)	3–1	81%
·	Sat Apr 3	vs	PacNW SC Pre (2nd)	2–2	41%
·	Sun Apr 4	at	XF Pre- 2 (8th)	3–1	71%
·	Sat Apr 24	at	XF Pre- 1 (1st)	2–2	27%
·	Sat May 1	vs	Whatcom FC Rangers Pre (12th)	3–0	88%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Seattle United Pre

+16

2.00

DWLWW

-0.03

-0.18

92%

2.7

W	Sat Oct 17	vs	Eastside FC Pre- II (9th)	8–0
W	Sat Oct 10	at	Kitsap Alliance FC Pre (5th)	6–2
L	Sun Oct 4	vs	Northwest United PreECNL (3rd)	0–1
W	Sat Sep 19	vs	Seattle United Pre Copa (11th)	5–0
D	Sat Sep 12	vs	Eastside FC Pre- I (7th)	1–1

Next: Sat Sep 26 at PacNW SC Pre · Sat Oct 31 at XF Pre- 2 · Sat Nov 7 vs XF Pre- 1 See all 19 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Sep 26 (no score yet)	at	PacNW SC Pre (2nd)	2–2	39%
·	Sat Oct 31	at	XF Pre- 2 (8th)	3–1	77%
·	Sat Nov 7	vs	XF Pre- 1 (1st)	2–2	46%
·	Sat Nov 14	at	Whatcom FC Rangers Pre (12th)	3–0	86%
·	Sat Dec 5	at	Valor Soccer - Pre (10th)	5–1	94%
·	Sat Dec 12	vs	Snohomish United Pre (13th)	4–0	93%
·	Sat Jan 9	at	Eastside FC Pre- I (7th)	2–1	60%
·	Sat Jan 16	at	Seattle United Pre Copa (11th)	5–1	91%
·	Sat Jan 23	vs	PacNW SC Pre (2nd)	2–2	50%
·	Sat Jan 30	at	Northwest United PreECNL (3rd)	2–2	44%
·	Sat Feb 6	vs	Kitsap Alliance FC Pre (5th)	3–1	73%
·	Sat Feb 13	at	Washington Premier Pre (6th)	3–1	61%
·	Sat Feb 27	vs	XF Pre- 2 (8th)	3–1	85%
·	Sat Mar 13	at	XF Pre- 1 (1st)	2–2	36%
·	Sat Mar 20	vs	Whatcom FC Rangers Pre (12th)	3–0	91%
·	Sat Apr 3	at	Eastside FC Pre- II (9th)	3–1	78%
·	Sun Apr 4	vs	Washington Premier Pre (6th)	3–1	71%
·	Sat Apr 24	vs	Valor Soccer - Pre (10th)	6–0	97%
·	Sat May 1	at	Snohomish United Pre (13th)	3–0	89%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Kitsap Alliance FC Pre

2.00

LWWLW

-0.83

+0.25

6.3

W	Sat Oct 17	at	Seattle United Pre Copa (11th)	2–0
L	Sat Oct 10	vs	Seattle United Pre (4th)	2–6
W	Sun Oct 4	at	Snohomish United Pre (13th)	1–0
W	Sat Sep 26	vs	Valor Soccer - Pre (10th)	9–0
L	Sat Sep 19	vs	Washington Premier Pre (6th)	3–6
W	Sat Sep 12	at	Whatcom FC Rangers Pre (12th)	1–0

Next: Sat Oct 24 vs PacNW SC Pre · Sat Oct 31 at Northwest United PreECNL · Sat Nov 7 vs Eastside FC Pre- I See all 18 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 24	vs	PacNW SC Pre (2nd)	2–3	23%
·	Sat Oct 31	at	Northwest United PreECNL (3rd)	1–3	19%
·	Sat Nov 7	vs	Eastside FC Pre- I (7th)	2–2	43%
·	Sat Nov 14	vs	Eastside FC Pre- II (9th)	3–1	66%
·	Sat Dec 5	vs	XF Pre- 2 (8th)	3–1	64%
·	Sat Dec 12	at	XF Pre- 1 (1st)	1–3	14%
·	Sat Jan 9	vs	Whatcom FC Rangers Pre (12th)	3–1	77%
·	Sat Jan 16	at	Washington Premier Pre (6th)	2–2	33%
·	Sat Jan 23	at	Valor Soccer - Pre (10th)	4–1	79%
·	Sat Jan 30	vs	Snohomish United Pre (13th)	3–1	81%
·	Sat Feb 6	at	Seattle United Pre (4th)	1–3	14%
·	Sat Feb 20	at	PacNW SC Pre (2nd)	1–3	16%
·	Sat Feb 27	vs	Northwest United PreECNL (3rd)	2–2	28%
·	Sat Mar 13	at	Eastside FC Pre- I (7th)	2–2	32%
·	Sat Mar 20	at	Eastside FC Pre- II (9th)	2–1	55%
·	Sat Apr 3	vs	Seattle United Pre Copa (11th)	4–1	83%
·	Sat Apr 24	at	XF Pre- 2 (8th)	2–1	53%
·	Sat May 1	vs	XF Pre- 1 (1st)	1–3	21%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Washington Premier Pre

2.00

WWL

+0.64

-0.13

15%

5.5

L	Sat Oct 17	at	XF Pre- 1 (1st)	1–3
W	Sat Sep 26	vs	Eastside FC Pre- II (9th)	3–1
W	Sat Sep 19	at	Kitsap Alliance FC Pre (5th)	6–3

Next: Sat Sep 12 at Northwest United PreECNL · Sat Oct 24 vs Whatcom FC Rangers Pre · Sat Oct 31 at Eastside FC Pre- I See all 21 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Sep 12 (no score yet)	at	Northwest United PreECNL (3rd)	2–3	21%
·	Sat Oct 24	vs	Whatcom FC Rangers Pre (12th)	3–1	80%
·	Sat Oct 31	at	Eastside FC Pre- I (7th)	2–2	35%
·	Sat Nov 7	at	Valor Soccer - Pre (10th)	4–1	83%
·	Sat Nov 14	vs	Snohomish United Pre (13th)	3–1	84%
·	Sat Dec 5	vs	Seattle United Pre Copa (11th)	5–1	86%
·	Sat Dec 12	at	PacNW SC Pre (2nd)	1–3	17%
·	Sat Jan 9	vs	Northwest United PreECNL (3rd)	2–2	31%
·	Sat Jan 16	vs	Kitsap Alliance FC Pre (5th)	2–2	50%
·	Sat Jan 23	at	Eastside FC Pre- II (9th)	2–1	59%
·	Sun Jan 31	vs	XF Pre- 2 (8th)	3–1	68%
·	Sat Feb 6	at	XF Pre- 2 (8th)	2–2	57%
·	Sat Feb 13	vs	Seattle United Pre (4th)	1–3	23%
·	Sat Feb 20	at	Whatcom FC Rangers Pre (12th)	2–1	73%
·	Sat Feb 27	vs	Eastside FC Pre- I (7th)	2–2	46%
·	Sat Mar 13	vs	Valor Soccer - Pre (10th)	5–1	89%
·	Sat Mar 20	at	Snohomish United Pre (13th)	3–1	77%
·	Sat Apr 3	vs	XF Pre- 1 (1st)	2–3	23%
·	Sun Apr 4	at	Seattle United Pre (4th)	1–3	15%
·	Sat Apr 24	at	Seattle United Pre Copa (11th)	4–2	78%
·	Sat May 1	vs	PacNW SC Pre (2nd)	2–3	26%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Eastside FC Pre- I

1.67

WWLLW

+0.29

-0.16

13%

5.7

W	Sat Oct 17	vs	Whatcom FC Rangers Pre (12th)	3–0
L	Sat Oct 10	at	PacNW SC Pre (2nd)	1–5
L	Sat Oct 3	vs	XF Pre- 1 (1st)	1–3
W	Sat Sep 26	at	Seattle United Pre Copa (11th)	10–3
W	Sat Sep 19	vs	XF Pre- 2 (8th)	2–1
D	Sat Sep 12	at	Seattle United Pre (4th)	1–1

Next: Sat Oct 24 at Northwest United PreECNL · Sat Oct 31 vs Washington Premier Pre · Sat Nov 7 at Kitsap Alliance FC Pre See all 18 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 24	at	Northwest United PreECNL (3rd)	1–3	22%
·	Sat Oct 31	vs	Washington Premier Pre (6th)	2–2	48%
·	Sat Nov 7	at	Kitsap Alliance FC Pre (5th)	2–2	39%
·	Sat Nov 14	vs	Valor Soccer - Pre (10th)	5–1	89%
·	Sat Dec 5	vs	Snohomish United Pre (13th)	3–1	84%
·	Sat Jan 9	vs	Seattle United Pre (4th)	1–2	23%
·	Sat Jan 16	at	XF Pre- 2 (8th)	2–1	57%
·	Sat Jan 23	vs	Seattle United Pre Copa (11th)	4–1	86%
·	Sat Jan 30	at	XF Pre- 1 (1st)	1–3	16%
·	Sat Feb 6	vs	PacNW SC Pre (2nd)	2–3	26%
·	Sat Feb 13	vs	Eastside FC Pre- II (9th)	3–1	69%
·	Sat Feb 20	vs	Northwest United PreECNL (3rd)	2–2	31%
·	Sat Feb 27	at	Washington Premier Pre (6th)	2–2	36%
·	Sat Mar 13	vs	Kitsap Alliance FC Pre (5th)	2–2	50%
·	Sat Mar 20	at	Valor Soccer - Pre (10th)	4–1	82%
·	Sat Apr 3	at	Whatcom FC Rangers Pre (12th)	2–1	72%
·	Sun Apr 4	at	Eastside FC Pre- II (9th)	2–1	59%
·	Sat Apr 24	at	Snohomish United Pre (13th)	3–1	76%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

XF Pre- 2

-4

1.00

LLDW

-0.38

+0.13

8.6

W	Sat Oct 17	vs	Valor Soccer - Pre (10th)	3–2
D	Sat Oct 3	vs	Whatcom FC Rangers Pre (12th)	1–1
L	Sat Sep 26	at	XF Pre- 1 (1st)	2–6
L	Sat Sep 19	at	Eastside FC Pre- I (7th)	1–2

Next: Sun Oct 25 at Snohomish United Pre · Sat Oct 31 vs Seattle United Pre · Sat Nov 7 vs Seattle United Pre Copa See all 20 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sun Oct 25	at	Snohomish United Pre (13th)	2–1	56%
·	Sat Oct 31	vs	Seattle United Pre (4th)	1–3	10%
·	Sat Nov 7	vs	Seattle United Pre Copa (11th)	3–2	66%
·	Sat Nov 14	at	PacNW SC Pre (2nd)	1–4	7%
·	Sat Dec 5	at	Kitsap Alliance FC Pre (5th)	1–3	20%
·	Sat Dec 12	vs	Eastside FC Pre- II (9th)	2–1	47%
·	Sat Jan 16	vs	Eastside FC Pre- I (7th)	1–2	26%
·	Sat Jan 23	vs	XF Pre- 1 (1st)	1–3	10%
·	Sat Jan 30	at	Whatcom FC Rangers Pre (12th)	2–1	52%
·	Sun Jan 31	at	Washington Premier Pre (6th)	1–3	18%
·	Sat Feb 6	vs	Washington Premier Pre (6th)	2–2	26%
·	Sat Feb 13	at	Northwest United PreECNL (3rd)	1–3	9%
·	Sat Feb 20	vs	Snohomish United Pre (13th)	2–1	66%
·	Sat Feb 27	at	Seattle United Pre (4th)	1–3	6%
·	Sat Mar 13	at	Seattle United Pre Copa (11th)	3–2	55%
·	Sat Mar 20	vs	PacNW SC Pre (2nd)	1–3	12%
·	Sat Apr 3	at	Valor Soccer - Pre (10th)	3–2	62%
·	Sun Apr 4	vs	Northwest United PreECNL (3rd)	1–3	15%
·	Sat Apr 24	vs	Kitsap Alliance FC Pre (5th)	1–2	29%
·	Sat May 1	at	Eastside FC Pre- II (9th)	2–2	37%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Eastside FC Pre- II

-6

0.83

DLWDL

-0.18

+0.15

9.0

L	Sat Oct 17	at	Seattle United Pre (4th)	0–8
D	Sat Oct 10	vs	Snohomish United Pre (13th)	2–2
W	Sat Oct 3	vs	Valor Soccer - Pre (10th)	5–0
L	Sat Sep 26	at	Washington Premier Pre (6th)	1–3
D	Sat Sep 19	vs	Whatcom FC Rangers Pre (12th)	1–1
L	Sat Sep 12	at	XF Pre- 1 (1st)	1–2

Next: Sat Oct 24 vs Seattle United Pre Copa · Sat Oct 31 at PacNW SC Pre · Sat Nov 7 vs Northwest United PreECNL See all 18 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 24	vs	Seattle United Pre Copa (11th)	3–2	64%
·	Sat Oct 31	at	PacNW SC Pre (2nd)	1–4	6%
·	Sat Nov 7	vs	Northwest United PreECNL (3rd)	1–3	14%
·	Sat Nov 14	at	Kitsap Alliance FC Pre (5th)	1–3	19%
·	Sat Dec 12	at	XF Pre- 2 (8th)	1–2	33%
·	Sat Jan 9	vs	XF Pre- 1 (1st)	1–3	10%
·	Sat Jan 16	at	Whatcom FC Rangers Pre (12th)	1–1	50%
·	Sat Jan 23	vs	Washington Premier Pre (6th)	1–2	24%
·	Sat Jan 30	at	Valor Soccer - Pre (10th)	3–2	59%
·	Sat Feb 13	at	Eastside FC Pre- I (7th)	1–3	16%
·	Sat Feb 20	at	Seattle United Pre Copa (11th)	2–2	52%
·	Sat Feb 27	vs	PacNW SC Pre (2nd)	1–3	11%
·	Sat Mar 6	at	Snohomish United Pre (13th)	2–1	54%
·	Sat Mar 13	at	Northwest United PreECNL (3rd)	1–3	9%
·	Sat Mar 20	vs	Kitsap Alliance FC Pre (5th)	1–2	27%
·	Sat Apr 3	vs	Seattle United Pre (4th)	1–3	10%
·	Sun Apr 4	vs	Eastside FC Pre- I (7th)	1–2	24%
·	Sat May 1	vs	XF Pre- 2 (8th)	2–2	43%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Valor Soccer - Pre

-21

0.60

LWLLL

+0.43

+0.13

11.6

L	Sat Oct 17	at	XF Pre- 2 (8th)	2–3
L	Sat Oct 3	at	Eastside FC Pre- II (9th)	0–5
L	Sat Sep 26	at	Kitsap Alliance FC Pre (5th)	0–9
W	Sat Sep 19	vs	Northwest United PreECNL (3rd)	4–3
L	Sat Sep 12	at	PacNW SC Pre (2nd)	0–7

Next: Sat Oct 24 vs XF Pre- 1 · Sun Nov 1 at Whatcom FC Rangers Pre · Sat Nov 7 vs Washington Premier Pre See all 19 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 24	vs	XF Pre- 1 (1st)	1–5	2%
·	Sun Nov 1	at	Whatcom FC Rangers Pre (12th)	1–2	32%
·	Sat Nov 7	vs	Washington Premier Pre (6th)	1–4	9%
·	Sat Nov 14	at	Eastside FC Pre- I (7th)	1–5	5%
·	Sat Dec 5	vs	Seattle United Pre (4th)	1–5	2%
·	Sat Dec 12	at	Seattle United Pre Copa (11th)	2–3	28%
·	Sat Jan 9	vs	PacNW SC Pre (2nd)	1–5	3%
·	Sat Jan 16	at	Northwest United PreECNL (3rd)	1–5	2%
·	Sat Jan 23	vs	Kitsap Alliance FC Pre (5th)	1–4	10%
·	Sat Jan 30	vs	Eastside FC Pre- II (9th)	2–3	24%
·	Sat Feb 13	vs	Snohomish United Pre (13th)	2–2	44%
·	Sat Feb 20	at	XF Pre- 1 (1st)	1–6	1%
·	Sat Feb 27	vs	Whatcom FC Rangers Pre (12th)	2–1	41%
·	Sat Mar 13	at	Washington Premier Pre (6th)	1–5	5%
·	Sat Mar 20	vs	Eastside FC Pre- I (7th)	1–4	9%
·	Sat Apr 3	vs	XF Pre- 2 (8th)	2–3	23%
·	Sun Apr 4	at	Snohomish United Pre (13th)	2–2	34%
·	Sat Apr 24	at	Seattle United Pre (4th)	0–6	1%
·	Sat May 1	vs	Seattle United Pre Copa (11th)	3–3	40%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Seattle United Pre Copa

-20

0.50

LLLLL

+0.80

-0.02

11.0

L	Sat Oct 17	vs	Kitsap Alliance FC Pre (5th)	0–2
L	Sat Oct 10	at	Northwest United PreECNL (3rd)	0–7
L	Sat Oct 3	vs	PacNW SC Pre (2nd)	2–6
L	Sat Sep 26	vs	Eastside FC Pre- I (7th)	3–10
L	Sat Sep 19	at	Seattle United Pre (4th)	0–5
W	Sat Sep 12	vs	Snohomish United Pre (13th)	5–0

Next: Sat Oct 24 at Eastside FC Pre- II · Sat Nov 7 at XF Pre- 2 · Sat Nov 14 at XF Pre- 1 See all 18 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 24	at	Eastside FC Pre- II (9th)	2–3	21%
·	Sat Nov 7	at	XF Pre- 2 (8th)	2–3	19%
·	Sat Nov 14	at	XF Pre- 1 (1st)	1–6	2%
·	Sat Dec 5	at	Washington Premier Pre (6th)	1–5	7%
·	Sat Dec 12	vs	Valor Soccer - Pre (10th)	3–2	56%
·	Sat Jan 9	at	Snohomish United Pre (13th)	2–2	41%
·	Sat Jan 16	vs	Seattle United Pre (4th)	1–5	3%
·	Sat Jan 23	at	Eastside FC Pre- I (7th)	1–4	7%
·	Sat Jan 30	at	PacNW SC Pre (2nd)	1–6	2%
·	Sat Feb 6	vs	Northwest United PreECNL (3rd)	1–4	6%
·	Sat Feb 13	at	Whatcom FC Rangers Pre (12th)	2–2	38%
·	Sat Feb 20	vs	Eastside FC Pre- II (9th)	2–2	31%
·	Sat Mar 13	vs	XF Pre- 2 (8th)	2–3	28%
·	Sat Mar 20	vs	XF Pre- 1 (1st)	1–5	3%
·	Sat Apr 3	at	Kitsap Alliance FC Pre (5th)	1–4	8%
·	Sun Apr 4	vs	Whatcom FC Rangers Pre (12th)	2–1	48%
·	Sat Apr 24	vs	Washington Premier Pre (6th)	2–4	12%
·	Sat May 1	at	Valor Soccer - Pre (10th)	3–3	44%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Whatcom FC Rangers Pre

-12

0.40

LDDLL

+0.38

+0.07

11.0

L	Sat Oct 17	at	Eastside FC Pre- I (7th)	0–3
L	Sat Oct 10	vs	XF Pre- 1 (1st)	0–8
D	Sat Oct 3	at	XF Pre- 2 (8th)	1–1
D	Sat Sep 19	at	Eastside FC Pre- II (9th)	1–1
L	Sat Sep 12	vs	Kitsap Alliance FC Pre (5th)	0–1

Next: Sat Oct 24 at Washington Premier Pre · Sun Nov 1 vs Valor Soccer - Pre · Sat Nov 7 at Snohomish United Pre See all 19 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 24	at	Washington Premier Pre (6th)	1–3	8%
·	Sun Nov 1	vs	Valor Soccer - Pre (10th)	2–1	48%
·	Sat Nov 7	at	Snohomish United Pre (13th)	1–1	36%
·	Sat Nov 14	vs	Seattle United Pre (4th)	0–3	5%
·	Sat Dec 5	vs	PacNW SC Pre (2nd)	0–3	5%
·	Sat Dec 12	vs	Northwest United PreECNL (3rd)	0–3	7%
·	Sat Jan 9	at	Kitsap Alliance FC Pre (5th)	1–3	10%
·	Sat Jan 16	vs	Eastside FC Pre- II (9th)	1–1	28%
·	Sat Jan 30	vs	XF Pre- 2 (8th)	1–2	26%
·	Sat Feb 6	at	XF Pre- 1 (1st)	0–4	3%
·	Sat Feb 13	vs	Seattle United Pre Copa (11th)	2–2	42%
·	Sat Feb 20	vs	Washington Premier Pre (6th)	1–2	13%
·	Sat Feb 27	at	Valor Soccer - Pre (10th)	1–2	38%
·	Sat Mar 13	vs	Snohomish United Pre (13th)	1–1	44%
·	Sat Mar 20	at	Seattle United Pre (4th)	0–3	3%
·	Sat Apr 3	vs	Eastside FC Pre- I (7th)	1–2	13%
·	Sun Apr 4	at	Seattle United Pre Copa (11th)	1–2	32%
·	Sat Apr 24	at	PacNW SC Pre (2nd)	0–4	3%
·	Sat May 1	at	Northwest United PreECNL (3rd)	0–3	4%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Snohomish United Pre

-15

0.20

LLLLD

+0.23

+0.14

11.8

D	Sat Oct 10	at	Eastside FC Pre- II (9th)	2–2
L	Sun Oct 4	vs	Kitsap Alliance FC Pre (5th)	0–1
L	Sat Sep 26	at	Northwest United PreECNL (3rd)	1–6
L	Sat Sep 19	vs	PacNW SC Pre (2nd)	0–4
L	Sat Sep 12	at	Seattle United Pre Copa (11th)	0–5

Next: Sun Oct 25 vs XF Pre- 2 · Sat Oct 31 at XF Pre- 1 · Sat Nov 7 vs Whatcom FC Rangers Pre See all 19 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sun Oct 25	vs	XF Pre- 2 (8th)	1–2	24%
·	Sat Oct 31	at	XF Pre- 1 (1st)	0–4	2%
·	Sat Nov 7	vs	Whatcom FC Rangers Pre (12th)	1–1	40%
·	Sat Nov 14	at	Washington Premier Pre (6th)	1–3	7%
·	Sat Dec 5	at	Eastside FC Pre- I (7th)	1–3	7%
·	Sat Dec 12	at	Seattle United Pre (4th)	0–4	2%
·	Sat Jan 9	vs	Seattle United Pre Copa (11th)	2–2	40%
·	Sat Jan 16	at	PacNW SC Pre (2nd)	0–4	2%
·	Sat Jan 23	vs	Northwest United PreECNL (3rd)	1–3	6%
·	Sat Jan 30	at	Kitsap Alliance FC Pre (5th)	1–3	8%
·	Sat Feb 13	at	Valor Soccer - Pre (10th)	2–2	36%
·	Sat Feb 20	at	XF Pre- 2 (8th)	1–2	17%
·	Sat Feb 27	vs	XF Pre- 1 (1st)	0–4	4%
·	Sat Mar 6	vs	Eastside FC Pre- II (9th)	1–2	26%
·	Sat Mar 13	at	Whatcom FC Rangers Pre (12th)	1–1	32%
·	Sat Mar 20	vs	Washington Premier Pre (6th)	1–3	11%
·	Sun Apr 4	vs	Valor Soccer - Pre (10th)	2–2	47%
·	Sat Apr 24	vs	Eastside FC Pre- I (7th)	1–3	11%
·	Sat May 1	vs	Seattle United Pre (4th)	0–3	4%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.49 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.