TableChase Clubs

San Diego Surf

ECNL Regional League Girls · Southwest GU13 · 17 teams · San Diego Surf Soccer Club (all teams)

Scores refresh automatically every 2 hours · last pulled 1 hour ago.
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1st
6-0-0 record · 6 played
3.00 points per game
+17 goal diff · 20–3
WWWWWlast 5
99% chance of top 4 · expected finish 1.8
-0.25 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sun Nov 1, 10:15 AM

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San Diego Surf
1st · 3.00 PPG
at
Rebels SC
8th · 1.50 PPG

El Cajon Valley High School, Stadium ↗ · turf?

windrawloss

●●○○○ Lean win to win

Most likely score 1–0 (expected goals 1.8 for, 0.8 against · 2.11 expected points)

Season so farSan Diego SurfRebels SC
Position1st8th
Record (W-D-L)6-0-02-0-2
Points per game3.001.50
Goals for / game3.31.0
Goals against / game0.50.8
Clean sheets32
Held scoreless02
Form (recent first)W W W W WW L W L
Biggest win4–0 at Blues2–0 vs LAFC
Worst loss—0–2 at Slammers FC HB Koge
Model rating (net goals vs avg)+1.76+0.13
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)-0.25-0.06

Common opponents: Slammers FC HB Koge — we 3–0; they 0–2. Legends FC - Del Mar — we 3–0; they 0–1.

Game plan

  • Swing game — small margins
    Win 63% / draw 22% / loss 15%.

    Games like this are decided by one set piece or one transition. Prioritise the strongest XI for the full game, be disciplined with fouls near the box, and have a clear late-game plan for both "protect the lead" and "chase".

  • Away game
    Kickoff 10:15 AM at El Cajon Valley High School.

    Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.

If Sunday goes…

Where we'd sit after the Rebels SC game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (San Diego Surf – Rebels SC) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 6 other games that week (Mon Oct 26 – Sun Nov 1); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Win · 3.00 PPG
1st— holds 1st— holds 1st— holds
Win
3.00 PPG
1st— holds 1st— holds 1st— holds
Draw
2.71 PPG
1st— holds 1st— holds 1st— holds
Loss
2.57 PPG
2nd▼ down 1 4th▼ down 3 4th▼ down 3

Can we move up this round? No. With a 1–0 win we stay 1st even if every rival loses, whatever the rivals do.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

51% finish 1st
99% top 4
2% below the top 4
1.8 average finish
  1. 1st 51%
  2. 2nd 26%
  3. 3rd 15%
  4. 4th 6%
  5. 5th 1%
  6. 6th <1%
  7. 7th
  8. 8th
  9. 9th
  10. 10th
  11. 11th
  12. 12th
  13. 13th
  14. 14th
  15. 15th
  16. 16th
  17. 17th

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

Top of the table. The job is to stay there: see the path below for where points are most at risk.

How the results connect

9 chains · 9 teams

Paths of results that link San Diego Surf to Rebels SC through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

6 favour us
1 even
2 favour them
+1.7 goals per chain on average. The results point our way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
3–0 1–0 3–0 2–0 4–1 0–5 4–1 0–3 1–3 0–2 2–1 3–4 0–0 3–1 0–2 2–0 San Diego Surf 1st Legends FC - Del Mar 7th Slammers FC HB Koge 5th Sporting California… 17th Phoenix Rising FC 9th Eagles SC 12th LAFC 6th Utah Royals FC-AZ -… 14th Rebels SC 8th

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

9 chains

Position over the season

11 game days

1st 9th 17th Sep 12 Sep 19 Sep 26 Oct 4 Oct 11 Oct 18

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty -0.13 · 9th hardest of 17

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sun Nov 1
10:15 AM
Rebels SC
8th · 2-0-2 · GD +1
Away
El Cajon Valley High School · turf?
●●○○○ Lean win
63%
1–0 2.11 2.87 Swing game
Sun Nov 15
TBD
LV Heat Surf
13th · 0-1-2 · GD -8
Away
●○○○○ Favorable
91%
3–0 2.79 2.86 Bank it
Sun Mar 21
TBD
Beach Futbol Club Gold
4th · 3-1-0 · GD +10
Away
●●●●○ Tough
34%
1–1 1.29 2.69 Upside
Sat Apr 3
TBD
Arizona Arsenal
16th · 0-0-2 · GD -8
Away
●○○○○ Favorable
93%
4–0 2.84 2.70 Bank it
Sun Apr 4
TBD
Utah Royals FC-AZ -RL
14th · 0-1-4 · GD -10
Away
●○○○○ Favorable
90%
3–0 2.78 2.71 Bank it
Sun Apr 11
TBD
Legends FC
3rd · 5-0-1 · GD +10
Away
●●●○○ Toss-up
47%
1–1 1.64 2.62 Swing game
Sun Apr 18
TBD
SLAMMERS FC
2nd · 4-1-0 · GD +11
Away
●●●●○ Tough
30%
0–1 1.19 2.51 Upside
Sat Apr 24
11:00 AM
LAFC
6th · 3-0-2 · GD -1
Home
Surf Sports Park
●○○○○ Favorable
85%
3–1 2.63 2.52 Bank it
Sun May 9
09:00 AM
LA Breakers
15th · 0-0-3 · GD -7
Home
Surf Sports Park
●○○○○ Favorable
92%
3–0 2.81 2.54 Bank it
Sun May 23
11:00 AM
Pateadores Soccer Club
11th · 1-1-3 · GD -3
Home
Surf Sports Park
●○○○○ Favorable
81%
2–0 2.56 2.54 Bank it

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 San Diego Surf 6600 203+17 183.00 WWWWW -0.25 -0.13 99% 1.8
2 SLAMMERS FC 5410 110+11 132.60 WWWWD -0.16 -0.11 92% 2.7
3 Legends FC 6501 144+10 152.50 WLWWW -0.40 +0.04 57% 4.2
4 Beach Futbol Club Gold 4310 111+10 102.50 WWWD +0.38 -0.31 93% 2.5
5 Slammers FC HB Koge 6501 123+9 152.50 LWWWW -0.36 +0.02 54% 4.2
6 LAFC 5302 1011-1 91.80 LLWWW +0.07 -0.13 2% 7.4
7 Legends FC - Del Mar 6312 64+2 101.67 LLWWD +0.18 -0.25 3% 6.8
8 Rebels SC 4202 43+1 61.50 LWLW -0.06 -0.08 1% 7.7
9 Phoenix Rising FC 6204 1115-4 61.00 WLLLL +0.12 -0.09 0% 10.2
10 Blues 3102 38-5 31.00 WLL +0.63 -0.14 0% 11.2
11 Pateadores Soccer Club 5113 36-3 40.80 LDWLL +0.19 -0.14 0% 11.0
12 Eagles SC 5023 59-4 20.40 LDLLD +0.54 -0.30 0% 10.5
13 LV Heat Surf 3012 08-8 10.33 DLL +0.40 -0.06 0% 14.9
14 Utah Royals FC-AZ -RL 5014 111-10 10.20 LDLLL +0.01 +0.02 0% 15.4
15 LA Breakers 3003 07-7 00.00 LLL +0.67 -0.15 0% 14.1
16 Arizona Arsenal 2002 19-8 00.00 LL +0.28 -0.00 0% 14.7
17 Sporting California USA 4004 313-10 00.00 LLLL +0.77 -0.23 0% 13.9

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (1.42 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.