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Pateadores Soccer Club

ECNL Regional League Girls · Southwest GU13 · 17 teams · Pateadores Soccer Club (all teams)

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11th
1-1-3 record · 5 played
0.80 points per game
-3 goal diff · 3–6
LDWLLlast 5
0% chance of top 4 · expected finish 11.0
+0.19 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sun Oct 25, 11:00 AM

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Pateadores Soccer Club
11th · 0.80 PPG
vs
Legends FC - Del Mar
7th · 1.67 PPG

Laguna Hills High School, Upper ↗

windrawloss

●●●●● Very tough to win

Most likely score 0–0 (expected goals 0.6 for, 1.0 against · 1.04 expected points)

Season so farPateadores Soccer ClubLegends FC - Del Mar
Position11th7th
Record (W-D-L)1-1-33-1-2
Points per game0.801.67
Goals for / game0.61.0
Goals against / game1.20.7
Clean sheets14
Held scoreless23
Form (recent first)L L W D LD W W L L
Biggest win1–0 vs LA Breakers3–0 vs Phoenix Rising FC
Worst loss1–3 vs LAFC0–3 vs San Diego Surf
Model rating (net goals vs avg)-0.35+0.25
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)+0.19+0.18

Common opponents: Eagles SC — we 1–1; they 0–0. SLAMMERS FC — we 0–1; they 0–1.

Game plan

  • Hard to break down
    Legends FC - Del Mar concede only 0.7/game with 4 clean sheet(s).

    Patience and width: move the ball quickly side to side to pull the block apart, and treat set pieces as your best chance — rehearse two corner routines and a near-post free-kick delivery.

  • Finishing wins the tight ones
    Held scoreless 2 time(s): 0–1 at Slammers FC HB Koge, 0–1 vs SLAMMERS FC.

    Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.

  • Underdog — play free, stay organised
    Model gives 23%; a draw (34%) would be a good result.

    Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.

  • What a win does
    Blues sit 10th on 1.00 PPG; we are on 0.80.

    A point moves us above Blues on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.

If Sunday goes…

Where we'd sit after the Legends FC - Del Mar game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Pateadores Soccer Club – Legends FC - Del Mar) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 6 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Draw · 0.83 PPG
11th— holds 11th— holds 13th▼ down 2
Win
1.17 PPG
9th▲ up 2 10th▲ up 1 11th— holds
Draw
0.83 PPG
11th— holds 11th— holds 13th▼ down 2
Loss
0.67 PPG
11th— holds 11th— holds 14th▼ down 3

Can we move up this round? Yes. With a 0–0 draw we finish as high as 10th if every rival drops points, and as low as 13th if every rival wins.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

0% finish 1st
0% top 4
100% below the top 4
11.0 average finish
  1. 1st
  2. 2nd
  3. 3rd
  4. 4th
  5. 5th <1%
  6. 6th 1%
  7. 7th 3%
  8. 8th 7%
  9. 9th 14%
  10. 10th 18%
  11. 11th 19%
  12. 12th 18%
  13. 13th 11%
  14. 14th 6%
  15. 15th 3%
  16. 16th 1%
  17. 17th <1%

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 11 remaining known games (max 2.31 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 San Diego Surf 3.00 (+2.20) 1st (2.54) 44 of 33 pts to pass their current pace, 37 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
2 SLAMMERS FC 2.60 (+1.80) 3rd (2.38) 38 of 33 pts to pass their current pace, 35 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
3 Legends FC 2.50 (+1.70) 4th (2.13) 36 of 33 pts to pass their current pace, 31 for their projection
4 Beach Futbol Club Gold 2.50 (+1.70) 2nd (2.39) 36 of 33 pts to pass their current pace, 35 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
5 Slammers FC HB Koge 2.50 (+1.70) 5th (2.12) 36 of 33 pts to pass their current pace, 30 for their projection
6 LAFC 1.80 (+1.00) 7th (1.58) 25 of 33 pts to pass their current pace, 22 for their projection
7 Legends FC - Del Mar 1.67 (+0.87) 6th (1.64) 23 of 33 pts to pass their current pace, 23 for their projection
8 Rebels SC 1.50 (+0.70) 8th (1.51) 20 of 33 pts to pass their current pace, 21 for their projection
9 Phoenix Rising FC 1.00 (+0.20) 9th (1.18) A point next game
10 Blues 1.00 (+0.20) 11th (1.08) A point next game

How the results connect

9 chains · 10 teams

Paths of results that link Pateadores Soccer Club to Legends FC - Del Mar through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

2 favour us
3 even
4 favour them
-0.8 goals per chain on average. The results point their way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
0–1 1–0 1–1 0–0 0–1 2–0 0–1 1–3 4–3 4–0 0–2 0–3 3–0 1–2 3–1 0–3 0–2 Pateadores Soccer C… 11th SLAMMERS FC 2nd Eagles SC 12th Slammers FC HB Koge 5th LAFC 6th Rebels SC 8th Utah Royals FC-AZ -… 14th San Diego Surf 1st Phoenix Rising FC 9th Legends FC - Del Mar 7th

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

9 chains

Position over the season

11 game days

1st 9th 17th Sep 12 Sep 19 Sep 26 Oct 4 Oct 11 Oct 18

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty -0.14 · 11th hardest of 17

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sun Oct 4
05:45 PM
no score posted
Rebels SC
8th · 2-0-2 · GD +1
Away far trip
Monte Vista High School · turf?
●●●●● Very tough
21%
0–1 0.94 0.82 Upside
Sun Oct 25
11:00 AM
Legends FC - Del Mar
7th · 3-1-2 · GD +2
Home
Laguna Hills High School
●●●●● Very tough
23%
0–0 1.04 0.85 Upside
Sun Nov 1
04:30 PM
Blues
10th · 1-0-2 · GD -5
Away
Tesoro High School - Stadium · turf?
●●●●○ Tough
36%
1–1 1.36 0.92 Upside
Sun Nov 8
01:00 PM
Sporting California USA
17th · 0-0-4 · GD -10
Away far trip
Ontario Sports Empire
●●●○○ Toss-up
44%
1–1 1.59 0.99 Swing game
Sat Mar 20
TBD
Legends FC
3rd · 5-0-1 · GD +10
Home
●●●●● Very tough
15%
0–1 0.68 0.96 Upside
Sun Mar 21
TBD
Phoenix Rising FC
9th · 2-0-4 · GD -4
Away
●●●●○ Tough
31%
1–1 1.16 0.98 Upside
Sun Apr 18
TBD
LV Heat Surf
13th · 0-1-2 · GD -8
Home
●●●○○ Toss-up
56%
1–0 1.94 1.06 Swing game
Sun Apr 25
TBD
Beach Futbol Club Gold
4th · 3-1-0 · GD +10
Away
●●●●● Very tough
7%
0–2 0.37 1.01 Upside
Sun May 2
TBD
Arizona Arsenal
16th · 0-0-2 · GD -8
Away
●●●○○ Toss-up
49%
1–1 1.72 1.06 Swing game
Sun May 16
TBD
Utah Royals FC-AZ -RL
14th · 0-1-4 · GD -10
Home
●●●○○ Toss-up
55%
1–0 1.94 1.12 Swing game
Sun May 23
11:00 AM
San Diego Surf
1st · 6-0-0 · GD +17
Away far trip
Surf Sports Park
●●●●● Very tough
6%
0–2 0.30 1.07 Upside

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 San Diego Surf 6600 203+17 183.00 WWWWW -0.25 -0.13 99% 1.7
2 SLAMMERS FC 5410 110+11 132.60 WWWWD -0.16 -0.11 91% 2.7
3 Legends FC 6501 144+10 152.50 WLWWW -0.40 +0.04 55% 4.2
4 Beach Futbol Club Gold 4310 111+10 102.50 WWWD +0.38 -0.31 93% 2.5
5 Slammers FC HB Koge 6501 123+9 152.50 LWWWW -0.36 +0.02 56% 4.2
6 LAFC 5302 1011-1 91.80 LLWWW +0.07 -0.13 2% 7.3
7 Legends FC - Del Mar 6312 64+2 101.67 LLWWD +0.18 -0.25 3% 6.8
8 Rebels SC 4202 43+1 61.50 LWLW -0.06 -0.08 2% 7.8
9 Phoenix Rising FC 6204 1115-4 61.00 WLLLL +0.12 -0.09 0% 10.1
10 Blues 3102 38-5 31.00 WLL +0.63 -0.14 0% 11.1
11 Pateadores Soccer Club 5113 36-3 40.80 LDWLL +0.19 -0.14 0% 11.0
12 Eagles SC 5023 59-4 20.40 LDLLD +0.54 -0.30 0% 10.5
13 LV Heat Surf 3012 08-8 10.33 DLL +0.40 -0.06 0% 14.8
14 Utah Royals FC-AZ -RL 5014 111-10 10.20 LDLLL +0.01 +0.02 0% 15.4
15 LA Breakers 3003 07-7 00.00 LLL +0.67 -0.15 0% 14.1
16 Arizona Arsenal 2002 19-8 00.00 LL +0.28 -0.00 0% 14.7
17 Sporting California USA 4004 313-10 00.00 LLLL +0.77 -0.23 0% 14.0

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (1.42 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.