LA Breakers
ECNL Regional League Girls · Southwest GU13 · 17 teams · LA Breakers FC (all teams)
Next game — Sun Oct 25, 04:30 PM
Alemany High School , Stadium - Turf ↗ · turf far trip
●●●●● Very tough to win
Most likely score 0–2 (expected goals 1.0 for, 2.5 against · 0.57 expected points)
| Season so far | LA Breakers | LAFC |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 15th | 6th |
| Record (W-D-L) | 0-0-3 | 3-0-2 |
| Points per game | 0.00 | 1.80 |
| Goals for / game | 0.0 | 2.0 |
| Goals against / game | 2.3 | 2.2 |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 |
| Held scoreless | 3 | 2 |
| Form (recent first) | L L L | W W W L L |
| Biggest win | — | 3–1 vs Phoenix Rising FC |
| Worst loss | 0–5 at Beach Futbol Club Gold | 0–4 vs Beach Futbol Club Gold |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | -0.99 | -0.04 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | +0.67 | +0.07 |
Common opponents: Beach Futbol Club Gold — we 0–5; they 0–4. Pateadores Soccer Club — we 0–1; they 3–1.
Game plan
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Respect their attack
LAFC score 2.0/game — well above the league's 1.4.Deny the easy goals first: compact shape between the lines, no fouls in shooting range, and a plan for their best outlet. Score first and make them chase.
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They leak goals — be greedy
LAFC concede 2.2/game; worst result 0–4 vs Beach Futbol Club Gold.Commit numbers forward, shoot early and often, and attack second balls. Goal difference is the tiebreaker on PPG, so keep playing to score for the full game — rotate players rather than pace.
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Finishing wins the tight ones
Held scoreless 3 time(s): 0–5 at Beach Futbol Club Gold, 0–1 at Pateadores Soccer Club, 0–1 vs Slammers FC HB Koge.Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.
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Underdog — play free, stay organised
Model gives 13%; a draw (17%) would be a good result.Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.
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They arrive in form
LAFC have won 3 straight.Don't let them settle: deny the first 10 minutes of rhythm with pressure on their first pass out of the back.
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Away game
Kickoff 04:30 PM at Alemany High School .Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.
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What a win does
Utah Royals FC-AZ -RL sit 14th on 0.20 PPG; we are on 0.00.A point moves us above Utah Royals FC-AZ -RL on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.
If Sunday goes…
Where we'd sit after the LAFC game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (LA Breakers – LAFC) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 6 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.
| Our result | Rivals don't play | Likely results | Every rival wins |
|---|---|---|---|
| – Loss · 0.00 PPG |
16th▼ down 1 | 16th▼ down 1 | 17th▼ down 2 |
| Win 0.75 PPG |
12th▲ up 3 | 12th▲ up 3 | 14th▲ up 1 |
| Draw 0.25 PPG |
14th▲ up 1 | 14th▲ up 1 | 16th▼ down 1 |
| Loss 0.00 PPG |
16th▼ down 1 | 16th▼ down 1 | 17th▼ down 2 |
Can we move up this round? No. With a 0–2 loss we stay 15th even if every rival loses, and as low as 17th if every rival wins.
Where we finish
2,000 simulated seasons
- 1st
- 2nd
- 3rd
- 4th
- 5th
- 6th
- 7th <1%
- 8th 1%
- 9th 2%
- 10th 3%
- 11th 6%
- 12th 9%
- 13th 17%
- 14th 17%
- 15th 17%
- 16th 16%
- 17th 13%
Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.
Climbing the table
What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 13 remaining known games (max 2.44 PPG if we win out).
| # | Team | PPG | Proj. | To pass them |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | San Diego Surf | 3.00 (+3.00) | 1st (2.54) | 48 of 39 pts to pass their current pace, 41 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule |
| 2 | SLAMMERS FC | 2.60 (+2.60) | 3rd (2.38) | 42 of 39 pts to pass their current pace, 39 for their projection |
| 3 | Legends FC | 2.50 (+2.50) | 4th (2.13) | 40 of 39 pts to pass their current pace, 35 for their projection |
| 4 | Beach Futbol Club Gold | 2.50 (+2.50) | 2nd (2.39) | 40 of 39 pts to pass their current pace, 39 for their projection |
| 5 | Slammers FC HB Koge | 2.50 (+2.50) | 5th (2.12) | 40 of 39 pts to pass their current pace, 34 for their projection |
| 6 | LAFC | 1.80 (+1.80) | 7th (1.58) | 29 of 39 pts to pass their current pace, 26 for their projection |
| 7 | Legends FC - Del Mar | 1.67 (+1.67) | 6th (1.64) | 27 of 39 pts to pass their current pace, 27 for their projection |
| 8 | Rebels SC | 1.50 (+1.50) | 8th (1.51) | 24 of 39 pts to pass their current pace, 25 for their projection |
| 9 | Phoenix Rising FC | 1.00 (+1.00) | 9th (1.18) | 16 of 39 pts to pass their current pace, 19 for their projection |
| 10 | Blues | 1.00 (+1.00) | 11th (1.08) | 16 of 39 pts to pass their current pace, 18 for their projection |
| 11 | Pateadores Soccer Club | 0.80 (+0.80) | 12th (1.07) | 13 of 39 pts to pass their current pace, 18 for their projection |
| 12 | Eagles SC | 0.40 (+0.40) | 10th (1.12) | A point next game |
| 13 | LV Heat Surf | 0.33 (+0.33) | 16th (0.63) | A point next game |
| 14 | Utah Royals FC-AZ -RL | 0.20 (+0.20) | 17th (0.54) | Already ahead |
How the results connect
5 chains · 7 teams
Paths of results that link LA Breakers to LAFC through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.
Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.
Step through the chains with the arrows, or tap one on the map.
Position over the season
11 game days
The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.
The path
run-in difficulty -0.15 · 13th hardest of 17
| Date | Opponent | Where | Difficulty | Win | Likely | Exp. pts | Run. PPG | Priority |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat Oct 3 02:00 PM no score posted |
Arizona Arsenal 16th · 0-0-2 · GD -8 |
Home Bell Gardens Sports Complex |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 42% |
1–1 | 1.52 | 0.38 | Swing game |
| Sun Oct 25 04:30 PM |
LAFC 6th · 3-0-2 · GD -1 |
Away far trip
Alemany High School · turf |
●●●●● Very tough | 13% |
0–2 | 0.57 | 0.42 | Upside |
| Sun Nov 1 01:30 PM |
SLAMMERS FC 2nd · 4-1-0 · GD +11 |
Away far trip
Orange County Great Park |
●●●●● Very tough | 3% |
0–2 | 0.19 | 0.38 | Upside |
| Sun Nov 22 09:00 AM |
Legends FC 3rd · 5-0-1 · GD +10 |
Home Bell Gardens Sports Complex |
●●●●● Very tough | 8% |
0–2 | 0.39 | 0.38 | Upside |
| Sat Mar 20 TBD |
Legends FC - Del Mar 7th · 3-1-2 · GD +2 |
Away |
●●●●● Very tough | 11% |
0–1 | 0.58 | 0.41 | Upside |
| Sun Mar 21 09:00 AM |
Blues 10th · 1-0-2 · GD -5 |
Home Silverlakes |
●●●●○ Tough | 30% |
1–1 | 1.16 | 0.49 | Upside |
| Sat Apr 3 TBD |
LV Heat Surf 13th · 0-1-2 · GD -8 |
Away |
●●●●○ Tough | 36% |
1–1 | 1.38 | 0.58 | Upside |
| Sun Apr 11 TBD |
Eagles SC 12th · 0-2-3 · GD -4 |
Away |
●●●●● Very tough | 18% |
0–1 | 0.77 | 0.60 | Upside |
| Sat Apr 17 11:00 AM |
Rebels SC 8th · 2-0-2 · GD +1 |
Home Bell Gardens Sports Complex |
●●●●● Very tough | 17% |
0–1 | 0.78 | 0.61 | Upside |
| Sun Apr 18 11:00 AM |
Phoenix Rising FC 9th · 2-0-4 · GD -4 |
Home Bell Gardens Sports Complex |
●●●●● Very tough | 24% |
1–1 | 0.94 | 0.64 | Upside |
| Sat May 1 11:00 AM |
Sporting California USA 17th · 0-0-4 · GD -10 |
Home Bell Gardens Sports Complex |
●●●●○ Tough | 38% |
1–1 | 1.39 | 0.69 | Upside |
| Sun May 2 11:00 AM |
Utah Royals FC-AZ -RL 14th · 0-1-4 · GD -10 |
Home Bell Gardens Sports Complex |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 43% |
1–0 | 1.60 | 0.75 | Swing game |
| Sun May 9 09:00 AM |
San Diego Surf 1st · 6-0-0 · GD +17 |
Away far trip
Surf Sports Park |
●●●●● Very tough | 2% |
0–3 | 0.13 | 0.71 | Upside |
"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.
Standings
| # | Team | GP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | Form | SoS | Run-in | Top 4 | Exp. finish | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | San Diego Surf | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 3 | +17 | 18 | 3.00 | WWWWW | -0.25 | -0.13 | 98% | 1.8 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Nov 1 at Rebels SC · Sun Nov 15 at LV Heat Surf · Sun Mar 21 at Beach Futbol Club Gold See all 10 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 2 | SLAMMERS FC | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 0 | +11 | 13 | 2.60 | WWWWD | -0.16 | -0.11 | 92% | 2.6 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 vs Slammers FC HB Koge · Sun Nov 1 vs LA Breakers · Sun Nov 22 at Eagles SC See all 11 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 3 | Legends FC | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 4 | +10 | 15 | 2.50 | WLWWW | -0.40 | +0.04 | 57% | 4.2 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at Rebels SC · Sun Nov 8 vs LAFC · Sun Nov 22 at LA Breakers See all 10 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 4 | Beach Futbol Club Gold | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 1 | +10 | 10 | 2.50 | WWWD | +0.38 | -0.31 | 93% | 2.6 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Nov 1 at Legends FC - Del Mar · Sun Nov 8 vs Blues · Sun Nov 22 at Rebels SC See all 12 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 5 | Slammers FC HB Koge | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 3 | +9 | 15 | 2.50 | LWWWW | -0.36 | +0.02 | 54% | 4.2 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 at SLAMMERS FC · Sat Oct 31 at LAFC · Sun Nov 1 vs Phoenix Rising FC See all 10 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 6 | LAFC | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 9 | 1.80 | LLWWW | +0.07 | -0.13 | 2% | 7.4 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 vs LA Breakers · Sat Oct 31 vs Slammers FC HB Koge · Sun Nov 8 at Legends FC See all 11 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 7 | Legends FC - Del Mar | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 4 | +2 | 10 | 1.67 | LLWWD | +0.18 | -0.25 | 3% | 6.8 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 at Pateadores Soccer Club · Sun Nov 1 vs Beach Futbol Club Gold · Sat Mar 20 vs LA Breakers See all 10 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 8 | Rebels SC | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | +1 | 6 | 1.50 | LWLW | -0.06 | -0.08 | 1% | 7.8 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 4 vs Pateadores Soccer Club · Sat Oct 24 vs Legends FC · Sun Oct 25 vs Arizona Arsenal See all 12 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 9 | Phoenix Rising FC | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 15 | -4 | 6 | 1.00 | WLLLL | +0.12 | -0.09 | 0% | 10.1 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 31 at Eagles SC · Sun Nov 1 at Slammers FC HB Koge · Sun Nov 15 vs Rebels SC See all 10 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 10 | Blues | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 8 | -5 | 3 | 1.00 | WLL | +0.63 | -0.14 | 0% | 11.1 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs Arizona Arsenal · Sun Nov 1 vs Pateadores Soccer Club · Sun Nov 8 at Beach Futbol Club Gold See all 13 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 11 | Pateadores Soccer Club | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 4 | 0.80 | LDWLL | +0.19 | -0.14 | 0% | 11.0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 4 at Rebels SC · Sun Oct 25 vs Legends FC - Del Mar · Sun Nov 1 at Blues See all 11 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 12 | Eagles SC | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 9 | -4 | 2 | 0.40 | LDLLD | +0.54 | -0.30 | 0% | 10.5 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 31 vs Phoenix Rising FC · Sat Nov 7 at Sporting California USA · Sun Nov 8 vs Slammers FC HB Koge See all 11 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 13 | LV Heat Surf | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 8 | -8 | 1 | 0.33 | DLL | +0.40 | -0.06 | 0% | 14.8 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 vs Sporting California USA · Sun Nov 15 vs San Diego Surf · Sat Nov 21 at Arizona Arsenal See all 13 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 14 | Utah Royals FC-AZ -RL | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 11 | -10 | 1 | 0.20 | LDLLL | +0.01 | +0.02 | 0% | 15.4 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Nov 22 vs Arizona Arsenal · Sat Mar 20 vs Slammers FC HB Koge · Sun Mar 21 vs Sporting California USA See all 11 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 15 | LA Breakers | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 7 | -7 | 0 | 0.00 | LLL | +0.67 | -0.15 | 0% | 14.1 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 3 vs Arizona Arsenal · Sun Oct 25 at LAFC · Sun Nov 1 at SLAMMERS FC See all 13 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 16 | Arizona Arsenal | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 9 | -8 | 0 | 0.00 | LL | +0.28 | -0.00 | 0% | 14.6 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 3 at LA Breakers · Sat Oct 24 at Blues · Sun Oct 25 at Rebels SC See all 14 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 17 | Sporting California USA | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 13 | -10 | 0 | 0.00 | LLLL | +0.77 | -0.23 | 0% | 14.0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 at LV Heat Surf · Sat Nov 7 vs Eagles SC · Sun Nov 8 vs Pateadores Soccer Club See all 12 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.
How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (1.42 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.