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CDA Slammers FC White

ECNL Regional League Boys · Southwest BU15 · 18 teams · CDA Slammers FC (all teams)

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6th
3-0-1 record · 4 played
2.25 points per game
+8 goal diff · 13–5
LWWWlast 4
40% chance of top 4 · expected finish 5.0
+0.33 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sun Oct 25, 11:00 AM

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CDA Slammers FC White
6th · 2.25 PPG
at
Eagles SC
4th · 3.00 PPG

Pleasant Valley Fields, Field 14 ↗ far trip

windrawloss

●●●●○ Tough to win

Most likely score 1–1 (expected goals 1.8 for, 2.0 against · 1.30 expected points)

Season so farCDA Slammers FC WhiteEagles SC
Position6th4th
Record (W-D-L)3-0-13-0-0
Points per game2.253.00
Goals for / game3.33.0
Goals against / game1.30.7
Clean sheets11
Held scoreless00
Form (recent first)W W W LW W W
Biggest win5–1 at LV Heat Surf4–0 vs San Diego Surf Blue
Worst loss1–2 vs West Coast FC Navy—
Model rating (net goals vs avg)+1.13+0.94
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)+0.33-0.96

Game plan

  • Hard to break down
    Eagles SC concede only 0.7/game with 1 clean sheet(s).

    Patience and width: move the ball quickly side to side to pull the block apart, and treat set pieces as your best chance — rehearse two corner routines and a near-post free-kick delivery.

  • Underdog — play free, stay organised
    Model gives 36%; a draw (21%) would be a good result.

    Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.

  • They arrive in form
    Eagles SC have won 3 straight.

    Don't let them settle: deny the first 10 minutes of rhythm with pressure on their first pass out of the back.

  • Away game
    Kickoff 11:00 AM at Pleasant Valley Fields.

    Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.

If Sunday goes…

Where we'd sit after the Eagles SC game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (CDA Slammers FC White – Eagles SC) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 8 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Draw · 2.00 PPG
6th— holds 6th— holds 6th— holds
Win
2.40 PPG
5th▲ up 1 4th▲ up 2 5th▲ up 1
Draw
2.00 PPG
6th— holds 6th— holds 6th— holds
Loss
1.80 PPG
6th— holds 7th▼ down 1 7th▼ down 1

Can we move up this round? Yes. With a 1–1 draw we finish as high as 5th if every rival drops points, and as low as 6th if every rival wins.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

4% finish 1st
40% top 4
61% below the top 4
5.0 average finish
  1. 1st 4%
  2. 2nd 7%
  3. 3rd 12%
  4. 4th 17%
  5. 5th 19%
  6. 6th 21%
  7. 7th 12%
  8. 8th 5%
  9. 9th 2%
  10. 10th 1%
  11. 11th <1%
  12. 12th <1%
  13. 13th
  14. 14th
  15. 15th
  16. 16th
  17. 17th
  18. 18th

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 13 remaining known games (max 2.82 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 Sporting California USA RED 3.00 (+0.75) 1st (2.37) 42 of 39 pts to pass their current pace, 32 for their projection
2 Legends FC Black 3.00 (+0.75) 2nd (2.31) 42 of 39 pts to pass their current pace, 31 for their projection
3 West Coast FC Navy 3.00 (+0.75) 4th (2.21) 42 of 39 pts to pass their current pace, 29 for their projection
4 Eagles SC 3.00 (+0.75) 6th (1.98) 42 of 39 pts to pass their current pace, 25 for their projection
5 LAFC 2.50 (+0.25) 3rd (2.24) 34 of 39 pts to pass their current pace, 30 for their projection

How the results connect

5 chains · 8 teams

Paths of results that link CDA Slammers FC White to Eagles SC through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

1 favour us
4 favour them
-0.4 goals per chain on average. The results point their way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
5–1 0–4 1–2 3–2 1–2 1–3 1–4 0–4 0–6 4–0 8–0 CDA Slammers FC Whi… 6th LV Heat Surf 18th Beach Futbol Club G… 7th LAFC 5th San Diego Surf White 14th Pateadores Blue 11th San Diego Surf Blue 16th Eagles SC 4th

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

5 chains

Position over the season

8 game days

1st 9th 18th Sep 13 Sep 20 Oct 4 Oct 17 Oct 18

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty -0.11 · 16th hardest of 18

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sun Oct 11
11:00 AM
no score posted
Legends FC Black
2nd · 4-0-0 · GD +13
Away far trip
Silverlakes Complex
●●●●● Very tough
25%
1–2 0.94 1.99 Upside
Sun Oct 25
11:00 AM
Eagles SC
4th · 3-0-0 · GD +7
Away far trip
Pleasant Valley Fields
●●●●○ Tough
36%
1–1 1.30 1.87 Upside
Sun Nov 1
09:00 AM
Legends FC Gold
13th · 1-0-2 · GD +0
Away far trip
Silverlakes Complex
●●●○○ Toss-up
53%
2–1 1.79 1.86 Swing game
Sun Nov 8
TBD
Sporting California USA RED
1st · 3-0-0 · GD +15
Home
●●●●○ Tough
31%
2–2 1.11 1.77 Upside
Sun Nov 15
TBD
Sporting California USA NAVY
17th · 0-0-4 · GD -17
Home
●○○○○ Favorable
93%
4–0 2.83 1.89 Bank it
Sun Nov 22
TBD
CDA Slammers FC Maroon
15th · 1-1-3 · GD -6
Away
●●○○○ Lean win
69%
3–1 2.22 1.92 Swing game
Sun Mar 14
TBD
SDSC Surf Blue
10th · 2-0-2 · GD -1
Home
●●○○○ Lean win
63%
2–1 2.09 1.93 Swing game
Sun Mar 21
TBD
SDSC Surf Gold
9th · 2-0-2 · GD +0
Away
●●●○○ Toss-up
58%
2–1 1.91 1.93 Swing game
Sun Apr 4
11:00 AM
San Diego Surf Blue
16th · 1-0-4 · GD -18
Away far trip
Surf Sports Park
●○○○○ Favorable
87%
4–1 2.70 1.99 Bank it
Sun Apr 11
TBD
San Diego Surf White
14th · 1-1-2 · GD -1
Home
●●○○○ Lean win
72%
3–1 2.30 2.01 Bank it
Sun Apr 18
TBD
Rebels SC
8th · 2-0-2 · GD +5
Home
●●●○○ Toss-up
57%
2–1 1.89 2.01 Swing game
Sun May 2
TBD
Pateadores Gold
12th · 2-0-3 · GD -6
Away
●●○○○ Lean win
71%
3–1 2.25 2.02 Bank it
Sun May 9
TBD
Pateadores Blue
11th · 2-0-3 · GD -5
Away
●●○○○ Lean win
64%
2–1 2.08 2.02 Swing game

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 Sporting California USA RED 3300 172+15 93.00 WWW -0.63 +0.04 88% 2.4
2 Legends FC Black 4400 152+13 123.00 WWWW -0.80 +0.20 81% 3.0
3 West Coast FC Navy 4400 123+9 123.00 WWWW +0.09 -0.06 67% 3.7
4 Eagles SC 3300 92+7 93.00 WWW -0.96 +0.21 32% 5.3
5 LAFC 6501 277+20 152.50 WWLWW -0.46 +0.16 79% 3.1
6 CDA Slammers FC White 4301 135+8 92.25 LWWW +0.33 -0.11 40% 5.0
7 Beach Futbol Club Gold 4202 146+8 61.50 WWLL +0.14 -0.05 11% 6.8
8 Rebels SC 4202 116+5 61.50 WWLL -0.42 +0.21 2% 9.1
9 SDSC Surf Gold 4202 99+0 61.50 LLWW -0.61 +0.24 0% 10.8
10 SDSC Surf Blue 4202 56-1 61.50 WWLL +0.83 -0.16 0% 9.8
11 Pateadores Blue 5203 914-5 61.20 LLLWW +0.43 -0.11 0% 11.4
12 Pateadores Gold 5203 1319-6 61.20 LLLWW -0.23 +0.18 0% 13.1
13 Legends FC Gold 3102 55+0 31.00 LLW +0.26 -0.00 0% 10.3
14 San Diego Surf White 4112 89-1 41.00 WDLL -0.61 +0.32 0% 12.7
15 CDA Slammers FC Maroon 5113 915-6 40.80 LLDLW +0.12 +0.06 0% 13.8
16 San Diego Surf Blue 5104 523-18 30.60 LWLLL +0.16 +0.19 0% 16.3
17 Sporting California USA NAVY 4004 219-17 00.00 LLLL +0.35 +0.11 0% 16.6
18 LV Heat Surf 7007 435-31 00.00 LLLLL -0.32 +0.62 0% 17.8

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.26 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.