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CDA Slammers FC Maroon

ECNL Regional League Boys · Southwest BU15 · 18 teams · CDA Slammers FC (all teams)

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15th
1-1-3 record · 5 played
0.80 points per game
-6 goal diff · 9–15
LLDLWlast 5
0% chance of top 4 · expected finish 13.8
+0.12 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sun Oct 25, 12:00 PM

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CDA Slammers FC Maroon
15th · 0.80 PPG
at
Pateadores Gold
12th · 1.20 PPG

Arroyo Park, Field 1 ↗ far trip

windrawloss

●●●●○ Tough to win

Most likely score 2–3 (expected goals 2.6 for, 3.1 against · 1.20 expected points)

Season so farCDA Slammers FC MaroonPateadores Gold
Position15th12th
Record (W-D-L)1-1-32-0-3
Points per game0.801.20
Goals for / game1.82.6
Goals against / game3.03.8
Clean sheets11
Held scoreless10
Form (recent first)W L D L LW W L L L
Biggest win4–0 vs San Diego Surf Blue5–0 vs Sporting California USA NAVY
Worst loss0–4 at West Coast FC Navy1–8 at Beach Futbol Club Gold
Model rating (net goals vs avg)-0.71-0.76
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)+0.12-0.23

Common opponents: Sporting California USA RED — we 1–4; they 1–6.

Game plan

  • They leak goals — be greedy
    Pateadores Gold concede 3.8/game; worst result 1–8 at Beach Futbol Club Gold.

    Commit numbers forward, shoot early and often, and attack second balls. Goal difference is the tiebreaker on PPG, so keep playing to score for the full game — rotate players rather than pace.

  • Finishing wins the tight ones
    Held scoreless 1 time(s): 0–4 at West Coast FC Navy.

    Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.

  • Underdog — play free, stay organised
    Model gives 34%; a draw (17%) would be a good result.

    Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.

  • Away game
    Kickoff 12:00 PM at Arroyo Park.

    Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.

  • What a win does
    San Diego Surf White sit 14th on 1.00 PPG; we are on 0.80.

    A point moves us above San Diego Surf White on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.

If Sunday goes…

Where we'd sit after the Pateadores Gold game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (CDA Slammers FC Maroon – Pateadores Gold) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 8 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Loss · 0.67 PPG		 15th— holds 15th— holds 15th— holds
Win
1.17 PPG		 12th▲ up 3 12th▲ up 3 13th▲ up 2
Draw
0.83 PPG		 15th— holds 14th▲ up 1 15th— holds
Loss
0.67 PPG		 15th— holds 15th— holds 15th— holds

Can we move up this round? No. With a 2–3 loss we stay 15th even if every rival loses, whatever the rivals do.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

0% finish 1st
0% top 4
100% below the top 4
13.8 average finish
  1. 1st
  2. 2nd
  3. 3rd
  4. 4th
  5. 5th
  6. 6th <1%
  7. 7th <1%
  8. 8th 1%
  9. 9th 1%
  10. 10th 3%
  11. 11th 5%
  12. 12th 8%
  13. 13th 15%
  14. 14th 25%
  15. 15th 33%
  16. 16th 7%
  17. 17th 1%
  18. 18th <1%

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 12 remaining known games (max 2.35 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 Sporting California USA RED 3.00 (+2.20) 1st (2.37) 47 of 36 pts to pass their current pace, 37 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
2 Legends FC Black 3.00 (+2.20) 2nd (2.31) 47 of 36 pts to pass their current pace, 36 for their projection
3 West Coast FC Navy 3.00 (+2.20) 4th (2.21) 47 of 36 pts to pass their current pace, 34 for their projection
4 Eagles SC 3.00 (+2.20) 6th (1.98) 47 of 36 pts to pass their current pace, 30 for their projection
5 LAFC 2.50 (+1.70) 3rd (2.24) 39 of 36 pts to pass their current pace, 35 for their projection
6 CDA Slammers FC White 2.25 (+1.45) 5th (2.02) 35 of 36 pts to pass their current pace, 31 for their projection
7 Beach Futbol Club Gold 1.50 (+0.70) 7th (1.77) 22 of 36 pts to pass their current pace, 27 for their projection
8 Rebels SC 1.50 (+0.70) 8th (1.51) 22 of 36 pts to pass their current pace, 22 for their projection
9 SDSC Surf Gold 1.50 (+0.70) 11th (1.31) 22 of 36 pts to pass their current pace, 19 for their projection
10 SDSC Surf Blue 1.50 (+0.70) 9th (1.43) 22 of 36 pts to pass their current pace, 21 for their projection
11 Pateadores Blue 1.20 (+0.40) 12th (1.26) 17 of 36 pts to pass their current pace, 18 for their projection
12 Pateadores Gold 1.20 (+0.40) 14th (1.05) 17 of 36 pts to pass their current pace, 14 for their projection
13 Legends FC Gold 1.00 (+0.20) 10th (1.36) A point next game
14 San Diego Surf White 1.00 (+0.20) 13th (1.08) A point next game

How the results connect

5 chains · 8 teams

Paths of results that link CDA Slammers FC Maroon to Pateadores Gold through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

4 favour us
1 favour them
+0.8 goals per chain on average. The results point our way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
1–4 6–1 4–0 1–6 3–1 3–3 4–0 2–5 4–1 1–4 0–3 CDA Slammers FC Mar… 15th Sporting California… 1st San Diego Surf Blue 16th San Diego Surf White 14th SDSC Surf Blue 10th Legends FC Black 2nd LV Heat Surf 18th Pateadores Gold 12th

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

5 chains

Position over the season

8 game days

1st 9th 18th Sep 13 Sep 20 Oct 4 Oct 17 Oct 18

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty +0.06 · 11th hardest of 18

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sun Oct 25
12:00 PM		 Pateadores Gold
12th · 2-0-3 · GD -6		 Away far trip
Arroyo Park		 ●●●●○ Tough
34%		 2–3 1.20 0.87 Upside
Sun Nov 1
TBD		 Rebels SC
8th · 2-0-2 · GD +5		 Home
●●●●○ Tough
25%		 1–2 0.94 0.88 Upside
Sun Nov 8
01:00 PM		 Pateadores Blue
11th · 2-0-3 · GD -5		 Away far trip
Great Park		 ●●●●○ Tough
31%		 2–2 1.10 0.91 Upside
Sun Nov 15
09:00 AM		 SDSC Surf Gold
9th · 2-0-2 · GD +0		 Away far trip
Ryan Park		 ●●●●○ Tough
25%		 1–2 0.93 0.91 Upside
Sun Nov 22
TBD		 CDA Slammers FC White
6th · 3-0-1 · GD +8		 Home
●●●●● Very tough
16%		 1–3 0.63 0.88 Upside
Sun Mar 14
TBD		 LV Heat Surf
18th · 0-0-7 · GD -31		 Away
●○○○○ Favorable
77%		 3–1 2.44 1.02 Bank it
Sun Mar 21
01:00 PM		 Legends FC Gold
13th · 1-0-2 · GD +0		 Away
Silverlakes Complex		 ●●●●● Very tough
23%		 1–2 0.86 1.01 Upside
Sun Apr 4
TBD		 Beach Futbol Club Gold
7th · 2-0-2 · GD +8		 Home
●●●●● Very tough
17%		 1–3 0.67 0.98 Upside
Sun Apr 11
TBD		 Eagles SC
4th · 3-0-0 · GD +7		 Home
●●●●● Very tough
18%		 1–2 0.70 0.96 Upside
Sun Apr 25
11:00 AM		 Legends FC Black
2nd · 4-0-0 · GD +13		 Away
Silverlakes Complex		 ●●●●● Very tough
6%		 1–3 0.28 0.92 Upside
Sun May 2
TBD		 LAFC
5th · 5-0-1 · GD +20		 Home
●●●●● Very tough
9%		 1–4 0.37 0.88 Upside
Sun May 9
TBD		 Sporting California USA NAVY
17th · 0-0-4 · GD -17		 Away
●●○○○ Lean win
64%		 2–1 2.07 0.95 Swing game

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 Sporting California USA RED 3300 172+15 93.00 WWW -0.63 +0.04 88% 2.4
2 Legends FC Black 4400 152+13 123.00 WWWW -0.80 +0.20 81% 3.0
3 West Coast FC Navy 4400 123+9 123.00 WWWW +0.09 -0.06 67% 3.7
4 Eagles SC 3300 92+7 93.00 WWW -0.96 +0.21 32% 5.3
5 LAFC 6501 277+20 152.50 WWLWW -0.46 +0.16 79% 3.1
6 CDA Slammers FC White 4301 135+8 92.25 LWWW +0.33 -0.11 40% 5.0
7 Beach Futbol Club Gold 4202 146+8 61.50 WWLL +0.14 -0.05 11% 6.8
8 Rebels SC 4202 116+5 61.50 WWLL -0.42 +0.21 2% 9.1
9 SDSC Surf Gold 4202 99+0 61.50 LLWW -0.61 +0.24 0% 10.8
10 SDSC Surf Blue 4202 56-1 61.50 WWLL +0.83 -0.16 0% 9.8
11 Pateadores Blue 5203 914-5 61.20 LLLWW +0.43 -0.11 0% 11.4
12 Pateadores Gold 5203 1319-6 61.20 LLLWW -0.23 +0.18 0% 13.1
13 Legends FC Gold 3102 55+0 31.00 LLW +0.26 -0.00 0% 10.3
14 San Diego Surf White 4112 89-1 41.00 WDLL -0.61 +0.32 0% 12.7
15 CDA Slammers FC Maroon 5113 915-6 40.80 LLDLW +0.12 +0.06 0% 13.8
16 San Diego Surf Blue 5104 523-18 30.60 LWLLL +0.16 +0.19 0% 16.3
17 Sporting California USA NAVY 4004 219-17 00.00 LLLL +0.35 +0.11 0% 16.6
18 LV Heat Surf 7007 435-31 00.00 LLLLL -0.32 +0.62 0% 17.8

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.26 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.