TableChase Clubs

San Diego Surf

ECNL Regional League Boys · Southern Cal BU13 · 18 teams · San Diego Surf Soccer Club (all teams)

Scores refresh automatically every 2 hours · last pulled 34 minutes ago.
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1st
3-0-0 record · 3 played
3.00 points per game
+21 goal diff · 21–0
WWWlast 3
98% chance of top 4 · expected finish 1.6
-1.92 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sat Oct 24, 01:00 PM

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San Diego Surf
1st · 3.00 PPG
at
Eagles SC Blue
10th · 1.75 PPG

Pleasant Valley Fields, Field 13 ↗ far trip

windrawloss

●●●○○ Toss-up to win

Most likely score 2–1 (expected goals 2.4 for, 1.7 against · 1.81 expected points)

Season so farSan Diego SurfEagles SC Blue
Position1st10th
Record (W-D-L)3-0-02-1-1
Points per game3.001.75
Goals for / game7.03.0
Goals against / game0.00.8
Clean sheets32
Held scoreless01
Form (recent first)W W WD W L W
Biggest win14–0 at LV Heat Surf SC8–1 at Rebels SC White
Worst loss—1–2 at Rebels SC Blue
Model rating (net goals vs avg)+2.88+1.33
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)-1.92+0.18

Game plan

  • Hard to break down
    Eagles SC Blue concede only 0.8/game with 2 clean sheet(s).

    Patience and width: move the ball quickly side to side to pull the block apart, and treat set pieces as your best chance — rehearse two corner routines and a near-post free-kick delivery.

  • Swing game — small margins
    Win 54% / draw 19% / loss 27%.

    Games like this are decided by one set piece or one transition. Prioritise the strongest XI for the full game, be disciplined with fouls near the box, and have a clear late-game plan for both "protect the lead" and "chase".

  • Away game
    Kickoff 01:00 PM at Pleasant Valley Fields.

    Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.

If Saturday goes…

Where we'd sit after the Eagles SC Blue game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (San Diego Surf – Eagles SC Blue) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 8 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Win · 3.00 PPG
1st— holds 1st— holds 1st— holds
Win
3.00 PPG
1st— holds 1st— holds 1st— holds
Draw
2.50 PPG
1st— holds 1st— holds 1st— holds
Loss
2.25 PPG
3rd▼ down 2 2nd▼ down 1 5th▼ down 4

Can we move up this round? No. With a 2–1 win we stay 1st even if every rival loses, whatever the rivals do.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

62% finish 1st
98% top 4
2% below the top 4
1.6 average finish
  1. 1st 62%
  2. 2nd 24%
  3. 3rd 8%
  4. 4th 4%
  5. 5th 1%
  6. 6th 1%
  7. 7th <1%
  8. 8th <1%
  9. 9th <1%
  10. 10th
  11. 11th
  12. 12th
  13. 13th
  14. 14th
  15. 15th
  16. 16th
  17. 17th
  18. 18th

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

Top of the table. The job is to stay there: see the path below for where points are most at risk.

How the results connect

4 chains · 8 teams

Paths of results that link San Diego Surf to Eagles SC Blue through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

4 favour us
0 favour them
+3.2 goals per chain on average. The results point our way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
1–0 1–2 2–1 14–0 1–11 0–0 1–4 1–8 6–0 0–2 San Diego Surf 1st Beach Futbol Club B… 12th LV Heat Surf SC 18th LA Breakers Red 14th Rebels SC Blue 4th Pateadores 11th Rebels SC White 13th Eagles SC Blue 10th

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

4 chains

Position over the season

10 game days

1st 9th 18th Sep 12 Sep 19 Sep 26 Oct 3 Oct 17 Oct 18

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty +0.30 · 7th hardest of 18

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sat Oct 24
01:00 PM
Eagles SC Blue
10th · 2-1-1 · GD +9
Away far trip
Pleasant Valley Fields
●●●○○ Toss-up
54%
2–1 1.81 2.70 Swing game
Sat Oct 31
09:00 AM
Sporting California USA
5th · 3-0-1 · GD +3
Away far trip
San Bernardino Soccer Complex
●●○○○ Lean win
70%
3–1 2.26 2.61 Bank it
Sat Nov 7
09:00 AM
LAFC GOLD
3rd · 3-0-1 · GD +20
Home
Surf Sports Park
●●●○○ Toss-up
52%
3–2 1.74 2.47 Swing game
Sat Nov 14
09:45 AM
FC Long Beach
2nd · 4-0-1 · GD +0
Away far trip
Cabrillo High School · turf?
●○○○○ Favorable
83%
3–1 2.59 2.48 Bank it
Sat Nov 21
09:00 AM
Legends FC
8th · 3-0-2 · GD +1
Home
Surf Sports Park
●○○○○ Favorable
81%
3–1 2.54 2.49 Bank it
Sat Mar 13
TBD
CDA Slammers FC Black
15th · 1-0-4 · GD -7
Away
●○○○○ Favorable
93%
5–1 2.82 2.53 Bank it
Sat Mar 20
TBD
West Coast FC White
9th · 2-1-1 · GD +15
Away
●●●○○ Toss-up
58%
2–2 1.90 2.47 Swing game
Sat Apr 3
09:00 AM
Legends FC - Del Mar
17th · 0-0-5 · GD -18
Home
Surf Sports Park
●○○○○ Favorable
98%
6–0 2.96 2.51 Bank it
Sat Apr 10
09:00 AM
Rebels SC Blue
4th · 3-0-1 · GD +9
Home
Surf Sports Park
●●○○○ Lean win
66%
3–1 2.13 2.48 Swing game
Sat Apr 17
09:00 AM
LAFC WHITE
7th · 3-1-1 · GD +12
Home
Surf Sports Park
●●○○○ Lean win
65%
2–1 2.11 2.45 Swing game
Sat Apr 24
09:00 AM
Pateadores
11th · 3-1-2 · GD +2
Home
Surf Sports Park
●○○○○ Favorable
87%
4–1 2.69 2.47 Bank it
Sat May 1
01:00 PM
Empire Surf
6th · 3-1-1 · GD +12
Away far trip
Galway Downs
●●●○○ Toss-up
57%
2–1 1.89 2.43 Swing game
Sat May 8
04:30 PM
Rebels SC White
13th · 2-0-3 · GD -9
Away
El Cajon Valley High School · turf?
●○○○○ Favorable
94%
5–1 2.86 2.46 Bank it
Sun May 16
04:00 PM
LA Breakers White
16th · 0-0-4 · GD -12
Away far trip
Bell Gardens Sports Complex
●○○○○ Favorable
95%
5–0 2.88 2.48 Bank it

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 San Diego Surf 3300 210+21 93.00 WWW -1.92 +0.30 98% 1.6
2 FC Long Beach 5401 1010+0 122.40 WWWLW -0.94 +0.53 0% 11.2
3 LAFC GOLD 4301 244+20 92.25 WLWW +0.12 -0.18 91% 2.4
4 Rebels SC Blue 4301 134+9 92.25 WWWL +0.64 -0.23 62% 4.2
5 Sporting California USA 4301 96+3 92.25 WWLW +0.33 -0.03 12% 7.7
6 Empire Surf 5311 186+12 102.00 WWWDL -0.09 +0.05 48% 4.9
7 LAFC WHITE 5311 164+12 102.00 LWDWW -0.57 +0.21 23% 6.6
8 Legends FC 5302 109+1 91.80 LLWWW +0.81 -0.26 6% 8.6
9 West Coast FC White 4211 194+15 71.75 WWLD -1.97 +0.62 16% 7.2
10 Eagles SC Blue 4211 123+9 71.75 WLWD +0.18 -0.06 29% 6.1
11 Pateadores 6312 1614+2 101.67 WWLDL -0.39 +0.61 0% 11.1
12 Beach Futbol Club Black 5212 134+9 71.40 WWLDL +0.63 -0.21 15% 7.2
13 Rebels SC White 5203 1019-9 61.20 LLLWW -1.38 +0.71 0% 14.5
14 LA Breakers Red 5122 511-6 51.00 LLDWD +0.89 -0.25 0% 12.6
15 CDA Slammers FC Black 5104 1320-7 30.60 LLWLL -0.60 +0.47 0% 14.7
16 LA Breakers White 4004 214-12 00.00 LLLL -0.11 +0.24 0% 16.2
17 Legends FC - Del Mar 5005 321-18 00.00 LLLLL +0.62 +0.02 0% 16.2
18 LV Heat Surf SC 6006 263-61 00.00 LLLLL +0.50 +0.40 0% 18.0

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.49 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.