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CDA Slammers FC Black

ECNL Regional League Boys · Southern Cal BU13 · 18 teams · CDA Slammers FC (all teams)

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15th
1-0-4 record · 5 played
0.60 points per game
-7 goal diff · 13–20
LLWLLlast 5
0% chance of top 4 · expected finish 14.7
-0.60 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sat Oct 24, 03:00 PM

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CDA Slammers FC Black
15th · 0.60 PPG
at
LA Breakers White
16th · 0.00 PPG

Bell Gardens Sports Complex, Field 4 ↗ far trip

windrawloss

●●●○○ Toss-up to win

Most likely score 2–2 (expected goals 2.8 for, 2.1 against · 1.80 expected points)

Season so farCDA Slammers FC BlackLA Breakers White
Position15th16th
Record (W-D-L)1-0-40-0-4
Points per game0.600.00
Goals for / game2.60.5
Goals against / game4.03.5
Clean sheets10
Held scoreless22
Form (recent first)L L W L LL L L L
Biggest win11–0 vs LV Heat Surf SC—
Worst loss0–10 vs LAFC GOLD0–6 at West Coast FC White
Model rating (net goals vs avg)-1.12-1.74
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)-0.60-0.11

Common opponents: FC Long Beach — we 1–3; they 0–3.

Game plan

  • They struggle to score
    LA Breakers White average 0.5 goals/game (league avg 2.5); blanked in 2 of 4.

    A higher defensive line and an aggressive counter-press are low-risk here. Keep the back line connected to midfield so one long ball doesn't turn into a 1v1 — that is the only way this opponent scores.

  • Finishing wins the tight ones
    Held scoreless 2 time(s): 0–4 at Beach Futbol Club Black, 0–10 vs LAFC GOLD.

    Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.

  • Swing game — small margins
    Win 54% / draw 18% / loss 28%.

    Games like this are decided by one set piece or one transition. Prioritise the strongest XI for the full game, be disciplined with fouls near the box, and have a clear late-game plan for both "protect the lead" and "chase".

  • Confidence is low on their side
    LA Breakers White have lost 4 straight (form: LLLL).

    Teams on losing runs go quiet after conceding. An early goal usually ends the contest — start fast.

  • Away game
    Kickoff 03:00 PM at Bell Gardens Sports Complex.

    Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.

  • What a win does
    LA Breakers Red sit 14th on 1.00 PPG; we are on 0.60.

    A win moves us above LA Breakers Red on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.

If Saturday goes…

Where we'd sit after the LA Breakers White game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (CDA Slammers FC Black – LA Breakers White) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 8 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Draw · 0.67 PPG
15th— holds 15th— holds 16th▼ down 1
Win
1.00 PPG
14th▲ up 1 14th▲ up 1 15th— holds
Draw
0.67 PPG
15th— holds 15th— holds 16th▼ down 1
Loss
0.50 PPG
16th▼ down 1 16th▼ down 1 17th▼ down 2

Can we move up this round? No. With a 2–2 draw we stay 15th even if every rival loses, and as low as 16th if every rival wins.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

0% finish 1st
0% top 4
100% below the top 4
14.7 average finish
  1. 1st
  2. 2nd
  3. 3rd
  4. 4th
  5. 5th
  6. 6th
  7. 7th <1%
  8. 8th
  9. 9th
  10. 10th <1%
  11. 11th 1%
  12. 12th 2%
  13. 13th 8%
  14. 14th 33%
  15. 15th 32%
  16. 16th 17%
  17. 17th 7%
  18. 18th

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 12 remaining known games (max 2.29 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 San Diego Surf 3.00 (+2.40) 1st (2.48) 48 of 36 pts to pass their current pace, 40 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
2 FC Long Beach 2.40 (+1.80) 11th (1.35) 38 of 36 pts to pass their current pace, 20 for their projection
3 LAFC GOLD 2.25 (+1.65) 2nd (2.30) 36 of 36 pts to pass their current pace, 37 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
4 Rebels SC Blue 2.25 (+1.65) 3rd (2.08) 36 of 36 pts to pass their current pace, 33 for their projection
5 Sporting California USA 2.25 (+1.65) 9th (1.74) 36 of 36 pts to pass their current pace, 27 for their projection
6 Empire Surf 2.00 (+1.40) 4th (2.00) 31 of 36 pts to pass their current pace, 31 for their projection
7 LAFC WHITE 2.00 (+1.40) 6th (1.84) 31 of 36 pts to pass their current pace, 29 for their projection
8 Legends FC 1.80 (+1.20) 10th (1.62) 28 of 36 pts to pass their current pace, 25 for their projection
9 West Coast FC White 1.75 (+1.15) 8th (1.76) 27 of 36 pts to pass their current pace, 27 for their projection
10 Eagles SC Blue 1.75 (+1.15) 5th (1.89) 27 of 36 pts to pass their current pace, 30 for their projection
11 Pateadores 1.67 (+1.07) 12th (1.34) 26 of 36 pts to pass their current pace, 20 for their projection
12 Beach Futbol Club Black 1.40 (+0.80) 7th (1.77) 21 of 36 pts to pass their current pace, 28 for their projection
13 Rebels SC White 1.20 (+0.60) 14th (0.79) 18 of 36 pts to pass their current pace, 11 for their projection
14 LA Breakers Red 1.00 (+0.40) 13th (1.13) Win next game

How the results connect

8 chains · 9 teams

Paths of results that link CDA Slammers FC Black to LA Breakers White through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

6 favour us
2 favour them
+2.6 goals per chain on average. The results point our way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
1–3 3–0 0–10 9–1 2–1 11–0 1–11 3–1 3–1 1–3 0–2 1–1 6–0 0–11 1–4 CDA Slammers FC Bla… 15th FC Long Beach 2nd LAFC GOLD 3rd LV Heat Surf SC 18th LA Breakers Red 14th Pateadores 11th Rebels SC White 13th West Coast FC White 9th LA Breakers White 16th

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

8 chains

Position over the season

10 game days

1st 9th 18th Sep 12 Sep 19 Sep 26 Oct 3 Oct 17 Oct 18

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty +0.47 · 5th hardest of 18

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sat Oct 3
02:00 PM
no score posted
Eagles SC Blue
10th · 2-1-1 · GD +9
Away far trip
Pleasant Valley Fields
●●●●● Very tough
7%
1–4 0.28 0.55 Upside
Sat Oct 24
03:00 PM
LA Breakers White
16th · 0-0-4 · GD -12
Away far trip
Bell Gardens Sports Complex
●●●○○ Toss-up
54%
2–2 1.80 0.73 Swing game
Sat Nov 7
TBD
Sporting California USA
5th · 3-0-1 · GD +3
Home
●●●●● Very tough
21%
1–3 0.80 0.74 Upside
Sat Nov 14
11:00 AM
Legends FC
8th · 3-0-2 · GD +1
Away far trip
Silverlakes Complex
●●●●● Very tough
16%
1–3 0.63 0.72 Upside
Sat Nov 21
02:15 PM
LAFC WHITE
7th · 3-1-1 · GD +12
Away far trip
Alemany High School · turf
●●●●● Very tough
7%
1–4 0.28 0.68 Upside
Sat Mar 13
TBD
San Diego Surf
1st · 3-0-0 · GD +21
Home
●●●●● Very tough
3%
1–5 0.14 0.63 Upside
Sat Apr 3
06:15 PM
Rebels SC White
13th · 2-0-3 · GD -9
Away far trip
Monte Vista High School · turf?
●●●○○ Toss-up
43%
3–3 1.46 0.70 Swing game
Sat Apr 10
TBD
Pateadores
11th · 3-1-2 · GD +2
Home
●●●●○ Tough
29%
2–3 1.04 0.73 Upside
Sat Apr 17
TBD
West Coast FC White
9th · 2-1-1 · GD +15
Away
●●●●● Very tough
6%
1–5 0.24 0.69 Upside
Sat Apr 24
01:00 PM
Empire Surf
6th · 3-1-1 · GD +12
Away far trip
Galway Downs
●●●●● Very tough
6%
1–4 0.27 0.66 Upside
Sat May 1
TBD
Rebels SC Blue
4th · 3-0-1 · GD +9
Home
●●●●● Very tough
10%
1–4 0.41 0.65 Upside
Sat May 8
TBD
Legends FC - Del Mar
17th · 0-0-5 · GD -18
Home
●●○○○ Lean win
69%
3–1 2.21 0.74 Swing game

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 San Diego Surf 3300 210+21 93.00 WWW -1.92 +0.30 97% 1.7
2 FC Long Beach 5401 1010+0 122.40 WWWLW -0.94 +0.53 0% 11.1
3 LAFC GOLD 4301 244+20 92.25 WLWW +0.12 -0.18 92% 2.4
4 Rebels SC Blue 4301 134+9 92.25 WWWL +0.64 -0.23 64% 4.1
5 Sporting California USA 4301 96+3 92.25 WWLW +0.33 -0.03 11% 7.8
6 Empire Surf 5311 186+12 102.00 WWWDL -0.09 +0.05 47% 5.0
7 LAFC WHITE 5311 164+12 102.00 LWDWW -0.57 +0.21 23% 6.5
8 Legends FC 5302 109+1 91.80 LLWWW +0.81 -0.26 5% 8.7
9 West Coast FC White 4211 194+15 71.75 WWLD -1.97 +0.62 19% 7.1
10 Eagles SC Blue 4211 123+9 71.75 WLWD +0.18 -0.06 29% 6.0
11 Pateadores 6312 1614+2 101.67 WWLDL -0.39 +0.61 0% 11.1
12 Beach Futbol Club Black 5212 134+9 71.40 WWLDL +0.63 -0.21 15% 7.2
13 Rebels SC White 5203 1019-9 61.20 LLLWW -1.38 +0.71 0% 14.5
14 LA Breakers Red 5122 511-6 51.00 LLDWD +0.89 -0.25 0% 12.5
15 CDA Slammers FC Black 5104 1320-7 30.60 LLWLL -0.60 +0.47 0% 14.7
16 LA Breakers White 4004 214-12 00.00 LLLL -0.11 +0.24 0% 16.2
17 Legends FC - Del Mar 5005 321-18 00.00 LLLLL +0.62 +0.02 0% 16.2
18 LV Heat Surf SC 6006 263-61 00.00 LLLLL +0.50 +0.40 0% 18.0

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.49 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.