West Coast FC White
ECNL Regional League Boys · Southern Cal BU13 · 18 teams · West Coast F.C. (all teams)
Next game — Sat Oct 24, 08:30 AM
Orange County Great Park, Field 11 ↗
●○○○○ Favorable to win
Most likely score 3–1 (expected goals 3.4 for, 1.4 against · 2.39 expected points)
| Season so far | West Coast FC White | FC Long Beach |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 9th | 2nd |
| Record (W-D-L) | 2-1-1 | 4-0-1 |
| Points per game | 1.75 | 2.40 |
| Goals for / game | 4.8 | 2.0 |
| Goals against / game | 1.0 | 2.0 |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 2 |
| Held scoreless | 0 | 1 |
| Form (recent first) | D L W W | W L W W W |
| Biggest win | 11–0 at LV Heat Surf SC | 3–0 vs LA Breakers White |
| Worst loss | 1–3 at Legends FC | 0–8 vs Rebels SC Blue |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +1.54 | -0.33 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | -1.97 | -0.94 |
Common opponents: LA Breakers White — we 6–0; they 3–0.
Game plan
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Expected win — the trap is complacency
Model gives a 76% chance; likely score 3–1.Treat the first 15 minutes like a final: score early, then the game manages itself. This is the ideal game to give rotation players real minutes in the second half without risking points.
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Early kickoff
Game time 08:30 AM.Light breakfast 2+ hours before, longer warm-up, and a loud start — early games are won by whoever is awake at the whistle.
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What a win does
Legends FC sit 8th on 1.80 PPG; we are on 1.75.A point moves us above Legends FC on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.
If Saturday goes…
Where we'd sit after the FC Long Beach game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (West Coast FC White – FC Long Beach) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 8 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.
| Our result | Rivals don't play | Likely results | Every rival wins |
|---|---|---|---|
| – Win · 2.00 PPG |
5th▲ up 4 | 5th▲ up 4 | 7th▲ up 2 |
| Win 2.00 PPG |
5th▲ up 4 | 5th▲ up 4 | 7th▲ up 2 |
| Draw 1.60 PPG |
11th▼ down 2 | 10th▼ down 1 | 12th▼ down 3 |
| Loss 1.40 PPG |
11th▼ down 2 | 11th▼ down 2 | 13th▼ down 4 |
Can we move up this round? Yes. With a 3–1 win we finish as high as 2nd if every rival drops points, and as low as 7th if every rival wins.
Where we finish
2,000 simulated seasons
- 1st <1%
- 2nd 3%
- 3rd 6%
- 4th 10%
- 5th 10%
- 6th 13%
- 7th 13%
- 8th 13%
- 9th 15%
- 10th 10%
- 11th 6%
- 12th 3%
- 13th <1%
- 14th <1%
- 15th
- 16th
- 17th
- 18th
Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.
Climbing the table
What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 13 remaining known games (max 2.71 PPG if we win out).
| # | Team | PPG | Proj. | To pass them |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | San Diego Surf | 3.00 (+1.25) | 1st (2.48) | 44 of 39 pts to pass their current pace, 36 for their projection |
| 2 | FC Long Beach | 2.40 (+0.65) | 11th (1.35) | 34 of 39 pts to pass their current pace, 16 for their projection |
| 3 | LAFC GOLD | 2.25 (+0.50) | 2nd (2.30) | 32 of 39 pts to pass their current pace, 33 for their projection |
| 4 | Rebels SC Blue | 2.25 (+0.50) | 3rd (2.08) | 32 of 39 pts to pass their current pace, 29 for their projection |
| 5 | Sporting California USA | 2.25 (+0.50) | 9th (1.74) | 32 of 39 pts to pass their current pace, 23 for their projection |
| 6 | Empire Surf | 2.00 (+0.25) | 4th (2.00) | Win next game |
| 7 | LAFC WHITE | 2.00 (+0.25) | 6th (1.84) | Win next game |
| 8 | Legends FC | 1.80 (+0.05) | 10th (1.62) | A point next game |
How the results connect
6 chains · 9 teams
Paths of results that link West Coast FC White to FC Long Beach through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.
Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.
Step through the chains with the arrows, or tap one on the map.
Position over the season
10 game days
The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.
The path
run-in difficulty +0.62 · 2nd hardest of 18
| Date | Opponent | Where | Difficulty | Win | Likely | Exp. pts | Run. PPG | Priority |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat Oct 3 08:30 AM no score posted |
Beach Futbol Club Black 12th · 2-1-2 · GD +9 |
Home Lake Forest Sports Park |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 45% |
2–1 | 1.56 | 1.71 | Swing game |
| Sat Oct 24 08:30 AM |
FC Long Beach 2nd · 4-0-1 · GD +0 |
Home Orange County Great Park |
●○○○○ Favorable | 76% |
3–1 | 2.39 | 1.83 | Bank it |
| Sun Nov 1 04:30 PM |
LAFC GOLD 3rd · 3-0-1 · GD +20 |
Away far trip
Oak Park High School · turf? |
●●●●● Very tough | 20% |
2–3 | 0.74 | 1.67 | Upside |
| Sat Nov 7 10:30 AM |
Eagles SC Blue 10th · 2-1-1 · GD +9 |
Home Orange County Great Park |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 43% |
2–1 | 1.51 | 1.65 | Swing game |
| Sat Nov 14 04:30 PM |
LAFC WHITE 7th · 3-1-1 · GD +12 |
Away far trip
Oak Park High School · turf? |
●●●●○ Tough | 34% |
1–2 | 1.23 | 1.60 | Upside |
| Sat Nov 21 05:15 PM |
Sporting California USA 5th · 3-0-1 · GD +3 |
Away far trip
San Bernardino Soccer Complex |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 50% |
2–1 | 1.70 | 1.61 | Swing game |
| Sat Mar 13 TBD |
Empire Surf 6th · 3-1-1 · GD +12 |
Home |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 46% |
2–2 | 1.58 | 1.61 | Swing game |
| Sat Mar 20 TBD |
San Diego Surf 1st · 3-0-0 · GD +21 |
Home |
●●●●○ Tough | 25% |
2–2 | 0.93 | 1.55 | Upside |
| Sat Apr 10 02:30 PM |
Rebels SC White 13th · 2-0-3 · GD -9 |
Away far trip
Southwestern College · turf |
●○○○○ Favorable | 83% |
4–1 | 2.59 | 1.63 | Bank it |
| Sat Apr 17 TBD |
CDA Slammers FC Black 15th · 1-0-4 · GD -7 |
Home |
●○○○○ Favorable | 87% |
5–1 | 2.69 | 1.71 | Bank it |
| Sat Apr 24 04:15 PM |
Rebels SC Blue 4th · 3-0-1 · GD +9 |
Away far trip
Southwestern College · turf |
●●●●○ Tough | 34% |
2–2 | 1.21 | 1.67 | Upside |
| Sat May 1 TBD |
Legends FC - Del Mar 17th · 0-0-5 · GD -18 |
Home |
●○○○○ Favorable | 94% |
5–1 | 2.85 | 1.75 | Bank it |
| Sat May 8 TBD |
Pateadores 11th · 3-1-2 · GD +2 |
Away |
●●○○○ Lean win | 61% |
3–1 | 2.00 | 1.76 | Swing game |
"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.
Standings
| # | Team | GP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | Form | SoS | Run-in | Top 4 | Exp. finish | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | San Diego Surf | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 0 | +21 | 9 | 3.00 | WWW | -1.92 | +0.30 | 97% | 1.7 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at Eagles SC Blue · Sat Oct 31 at Sporting California USA · Sat Nov 7 vs LAFC GOLD See all 14 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 2 | FC Long Beach | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 10 | +0 | 12 | 2.40 | WWWLW | -0.94 | +0.53 | 0% | 11.1 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at West Coast FC White · Sat Oct 31 at Eagles SC Blue · Sat Nov 7 vs Pateadores See all 12 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 3 | LAFC GOLD | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 24 | 4 | +20 | 9 | 2.25 | WLWW | +0.12 | -0.18 | 92% | 2.4 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at LAFC WHITE · Sun Nov 1 vs West Coast FC White · Sat Nov 7 at San Diego Surf See all 13 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 4 | Rebels SC Blue | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 4 | +9 | 9 | 2.25 | WWWL | +0.64 | -0.23 | 64% | 4.1 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 3 vs Legends FC · Sun Oct 25 vs LV Heat Surf SC · Sat Nov 7 at LA Breakers Red See all 13 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 5 | Sporting California USA | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 6 | +3 | 9 | 2.25 | WWLW | +0.33 | -0.03 | 11% | 7.8 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 3 vs Rebels SC White · Sat Oct 24 at Empire Surf · Sat Oct 31 vs San Diego Surf See all 13 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 6 | Empire Surf | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 6 | +12 | 10 | 2.00 | WWWDL | -0.09 | +0.05 | 47% | 5.0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs Sporting California USA · Sat Oct 31 at LA Breakers Red · Sat Nov 7 at LA Breakers White See all 12 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 7 | LAFC WHITE | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 4 | +12 | 10 | 2.00 | LWDWW | -0.57 | +0.21 | 23% | 6.5 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs LAFC GOLD · Sat Nov 7 at Beach Futbol Club Black · Sat Nov 14 vs West Coast FC White See all 12 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 8 | Legends FC | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 9 | +1 | 9 | 1.80 | LLWWW | +0.81 | -0.26 | 5% | 8.7 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 3 at Rebels SC Blue · Sat Oct 31 vs Pateadores · Sat Nov 7 at Rebels SC White See all 13 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 9 | West Coast FC White | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 4 | +15 | 7 | 1.75 | WWLD | -1.97 | +0.62 | 19% | 7.1 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 3 vs Beach Futbol Club Black · Sat Oct 24 vs FC Long Beach · Sun Nov 1 at LAFC GOLD See all 13 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 10 | Eagles SC Blue | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 3 | +9 | 7 | 1.75 | WLWD | +0.18 | -0.06 | 29% | 6.0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 3 vs CDA Slammers FC Black · Sat Oct 24 vs San Diego Surf · Sat Oct 31 vs FC Long Beach See all 13 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 11 | Pateadores | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 14 | +2 | 10 | 1.67 | WWLDL | -0.39 | +0.61 | 0% | 11.1 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 vs Beach Futbol Club Black · Sat Oct 31 at Legends FC · Sat Nov 7 at FC Long Beach See all 11 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 12 | Beach Futbol Club Black | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 4 | +9 | 7 | 1.40 | WWLDL | +0.63 | -0.21 | 15% | 7.2 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 3 at West Coast FC White · Sun Oct 25 at Pateadores · Sun Nov 1 vs Rebels SC White See all 12 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 13 | Rebels SC White | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 6 | 1.20 | LLLWW | -1.38 | +0.71 | 0% | 14.5 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 3 at Sporting California USA · Sat Oct 24 vs LA Breakers Red · Sun Nov 1 at Beach Futbol Club Black See all 12 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 14 | LA Breakers Red | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 11 | -6 | 5 | 1.00 | LLDWD | +0.89 | -0.25 | 0% | 12.5 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at Rebels SC White · Sat Oct 31 vs Empire Surf · Sat Nov 7 vs Rebels SC Blue See all 12 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 15 | CDA Slammers FC Black | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 20 | -7 | 3 | 0.60 | LLWLL | -0.60 | +0.47 | 0% | 14.7 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 3 at Eagles SC Blue · Sat Oct 24 at LA Breakers White · Sat Nov 7 vs Sporting California USA See all 12 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 16 | LA Breakers White | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 14 | -12 | 0 | 0.00 | LLLL | -0.11 | +0.24 | 0% | 16.2 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs CDA Slammers FC Black · Sat Nov 7 vs Empire Surf · Sun Nov 15 at Legends FC - Del Mar See all 13 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 17 | Legends FC - Del Mar | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 21 | -18 | 0 | 0.00 | LLLLL | +0.62 | +0.02 | 0% | 16.2 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs LV Heat Surf SC · Sat Nov 14 at Eagles SC Blue · Sun Nov 15 vs LA Breakers White See all 11 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 18 | LV Heat Surf SC | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 63 | -61 | 0 | 0.00 | LLLLL | +0.50 | +0.40 | 0% | 18.0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at Legends FC - Del Mar · Sun Oct 25 at Rebels SC Blue · Sat Nov 14 vs Beach Futbol Club Black See all 11 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.
How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.49 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.