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Legends FC - Del Mar

ECNL Regional League Boys · Southern Cal BU13 · 18 teams · Legends FC - Del Mar (all teams)

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17th
0-0-5 record · 5 played
0.00 points per game
-18 goal diff · 3–21
LLLLLlast 5
0% chance of top 4 · expected finish 16.2
+0.62 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sat Oct 24, 02:00 PM

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Legends FC - Del Mar
17th · 0.00 PPG
vs
LV Heat Surf SC
18th · 0.00 PPG

SilverLakes Complex, Field 15 ↗

windrawloss

●○○○○ Favorable to win

Most likely score 4–1 (expected goals 4.8 for, 1.4 against · 2.69 expected points)

Season so farLegends FC - Del MarLV Heat Surf SC
Position17th18th
Record (W-D-L)0-0-50-0-6
Points per game0.000.00
Goals for / game0.60.3
Goals against / game4.210.5
Clean sheets00
Held scoreless34
Form (recent first)L L L L LL L L L L
Biggest win——
Worst loss0–7 at Beach Futbol Club Black0–14 vs San Diego Surf
Model rating (net goals vs avg)-2.08-6.47
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)+0.62+0.50

Game plan

  • They struggle to score
    LV Heat Surf SC average 0.3 goals/game (league avg 2.5); blanked in 4 of 6.

    A higher defensive line and an aggressive counter-press are low-risk here. Keep the back line connected to midfield so one long ball doesn't turn into a 1v1 — that is the only way this opponent scores.

  • They leak goals — be greedy
    LV Heat Surf SC concede 10.5/game; worst result 0–14 vs San Diego Surf.

    Commit numbers forward, shoot early and often, and attack second balls. Goal difference is the tiebreaker on PPG, so keep playing to score for the full game — rotate players rather than pace.

  • Finishing wins the tight ones
    Held scoreless 3 time(s): 0–1 vs FC Long Beach, 0–7 at Beach Futbol Club Black, 0–5 at LAFC WHITE.

    Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.

  • Expected win — the trap is complacency
    Model gives a 87% chance; likely score 4–1.

    Treat the first 15 minutes like a final: score early, then the game manages itself. This is the ideal game to give rotation players real minutes in the second half without risking points.

  • Confidence is low on their side
    LV Heat Surf SC have lost 6 straight (form: LLLLL).

    Teams on losing runs go quiet after conceding. An early goal usually ends the contest — start fast.

  • What a win does
    LA Breakers White sit 16th on 0.00 PPG; we are on 0.00.

    A point moves us above LA Breakers White on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.

If Saturday goes…

Where we'd sit after the LV Heat Surf SC game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Legends FC - Del Mar – LV Heat Surf SC) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 8 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Win · 0.50 PPG
16th▲ up 1 16th▲ up 1 17th— holds
Win
0.50 PPG
16th▲ up 1 16th▲ up 1 17th— holds
Draw
0.17 PPG
16th▲ up 1 17th— holds 18th▼ down 1
Loss
0.00 PPG
18th▼ down 1 18th▼ down 1 18th▼ down 1

Can we move up this round? Yes. With a 4–1 win we finish as high as 16th if every rival drops points, and as low as 17th if every rival wins.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

0% finish 1st
0% top 4
100% below the top 4
16.2 average finish
  1. 1st
  2. 2nd
  3. 3rd
  4. 4th
  5. 5th
  6. 6th
  7. 7th
  8. 8th
  9. 9th
  10. 10th
  11. 11th
  12. 12th <1%
  13. 13th 1%
  14. 14th 5%
  15. 15th 15%
  16. 16th 35%
  17. 17th 43%
  18. 18th 2%

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 11 remaining known games (max 2.06 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 San Diego Surf 3.00 (+3.00) 1st (2.48) 48 of 33 pts to pass their current pace, 40 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
2 FC Long Beach 2.40 (+2.40) 11th (1.35) 39 of 33 pts to pass their current pace, 22 for their projection
3 LAFC GOLD 2.25 (+2.25) 2nd (2.30) 36 of 33 pts to pass their current pace, 37 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
4 Rebels SC Blue 2.25 (+2.25) 3rd (2.08) 36 of 33 pts to pass their current pace, 34 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
5 Sporting California USA 2.25 (+2.25) 9th (1.74) 36 of 33 pts to pass their current pace, 28 for their projection
6 Empire Surf 2.00 (+2.00) 4th (2.00) 32 of 33 pts to pass their current pace, 32 for their projection
7 LAFC WHITE 2.00 (+2.00) 6th (1.84) 32 of 33 pts to pass their current pace, 30 for their projection
8 Legends FC 1.80 (+1.80) 10th (1.62) 29 of 33 pts to pass their current pace, 26 for their projection
9 West Coast FC White 1.75 (+1.75) 8th (1.76) 28 of 33 pts to pass their current pace, 29 for their projection
10 Eagles SC Blue 1.75 (+1.75) 5th (1.89) 28 of 33 pts to pass their current pace, 31 for their projection
11 Pateadores 1.67 (+1.67) 12th (1.34) 27 of 33 pts to pass their current pace, 22 for their projection
12 Beach Futbol Club Black 1.40 (+1.40) 7th (1.77) 23 of 33 pts to pass their current pace, 29 for their projection
13 Rebels SC White 1.20 (+1.20) 14th (0.79) 20 of 33 pts to pass their current pace, 13 for their projection
14 LA Breakers Red 1.00 (+1.00) 13th (1.13) 16 of 33 pts to pass their current pace, 19 for their projection
15 CDA Slammers FC Black 0.60 (+0.60) 15th (0.74) 10 of 33 pts to pass their current pace, 12 for their projection
16 LA Breakers White 0.00 (+0.00) 16th (0.48) Already ahead

How the results connect

10 chains · 12 teams

Paths of results that link Legends FC - Del Mar to LV Heat Surf SC through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

10 favour us
0 favour them
+7.8 goals per chain on average. The results point our way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
0–5 6–1 4–1 0–1 3–1 0–7 1–1 12–0 1–2 0–1 14–0 3–0 11–1 4–0 11–0 2–3 3–1 11–0 3–1 3–0 Legends FC - Del Mar 17th LAFC WHITE 7th FC Long Beach 2nd Beach Futbol Club B… 12th Legends FC 8th Rebels SC White 13th Empire Surf 6th San Diego Surf 1st Pateadores 11th CDA Slammers FC Bla… 15th West Coast FC White 9th LV Heat Surf SC 18th

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

10 chains

Position over the season

10 game days

1st 9th 18th Sep 12 Sep 19 Sep 26 Oct 3 Oct 17 Oct 18

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty +0.02 · 11th hardest of 18

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sat Oct 24
02:00 PM
LV Heat Surf SC
18th · 0-0-6 · GD -61
Home
SilverLakes Complex
●○○○○ Favorable
87%
4–1 2.69 0.45 Bank it
Sat Nov 14
03:00 PM
Eagles SC Blue
10th · 2-1-1 · GD +9
Away far trip
Pleasant Valley Fields
●●●●● Very tough
3%
0–4 0.14 0.40 Upside
Sun Nov 15
11:30 AM
LA Breakers White
16th · 0-0-4 · GD -12
Home
Miramesa High School · turf?
●●●●○ Tough
42%
1–1 1.47 0.54 Upside
Sat Nov 21
11:30 AM
LA Breakers Red
14th · 1-2-2 · GD -6
Home
Canyon Crest Academy · turf?
●●●●● Very tough
23%
1–2 0.90 0.58 Upside
Sat Mar 6
11:00 AM
LAFC GOLD
3rd · 3-0-1 · GD +20
Home
Canyon Crest Academy · turf?
●●●●● Very tough
1%
1–6 0.06 0.53 Upside
Sat Mar 13
TBD
Rebels SC Blue
4th · 3-0-1 · GD +9
Away
●●●●● Very tough
2%
0–4 0.11 0.49 Upside
Sat Apr 3
09:00 AM
San Diego Surf
1st · 3-0-0 · GD +21
Away far trip
Surf Sports Park
●●●●● Very tough
1%
0–6 0.03 0.45 Upside
Sat Apr 10
TBD
Empire Surf
6th · 3-1-1 · GD +12
Home
●●●●● Very tough
5%
1–4 0.22 0.43 Upside
Sat Apr 24
TBD
Rebels SC White
13th · 2-0-3 · GD -9
Home
●●●●○ Tough
32%
2–2 1.14 0.48 Upside
Sat May 1
TBD
West Coast FC White
9th · 2-1-1 · GD +15
Away
●●●●● Very tough
2%
1–5 0.11 0.46 Upside
Sat May 8
TBD
CDA Slammers FC Black
15th · 1-0-4 · GD -7
Away
●●●●● Very tough
17%
1–3 0.65 0.47 Upside

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 San Diego Surf 3300 210+21 93.00 WWW -1.92 +0.30 97% 1.6
2 FC Long Beach 5401 1010+0 122.40 WWWLW -0.94 +0.53 0% 11.2
3 LAFC GOLD 4301 244+20 92.25 WLWW +0.12 -0.18 90% 2.5
4 Rebels SC Blue 4301 134+9 92.25 WWWL +0.64 -0.23 63% 4.2
5 Sporting California USA 4301 96+3 92.25 WWLW +0.33 -0.03 10% 7.8
6 Empire Surf 5311 186+12 102.00 WWWDL -0.09 +0.05 48% 5.0
7 LAFC WHITE 5311 164+12 102.00 LWDWW -0.57 +0.21 22% 6.6
8 Legends FC 5302 109+1 91.80 LLWWW +0.81 -0.26 5% 8.7
9 West Coast FC White 4211 194+15 71.75 WWLD -1.97 +0.62 17% 7.2
10 Eagles SC Blue 4211 123+9 71.75 WLWD +0.18 -0.06 32% 5.9
11 Pateadores 6312 1614+2 101.67 WWLDL -0.39 +0.61 1% 11.1
12 Beach Futbol Club Black 5212 134+9 71.40 WWLDL +0.63 -0.21 16% 7.1
13 Rebels SC White 5203 1019-9 61.20 LLLWW -1.38 +0.71 0% 14.5
14 LA Breakers Red 5122 511-6 51.00 LLDWD +0.89 -0.25 0% 12.6
15 CDA Slammers FC Black 5104 1320-7 30.60 LLWLL -0.60 +0.47 0% 14.7
16 LA Breakers White 4004 214-12 00.00 LLLL -0.11 +0.24 0% 16.2
17 Legends FC - Del Mar 5005 321-18 00.00 LLLLL +0.62 +0.02 0% 16.2
18 LV Heat Surf SC 6006 263-61 00.00 LLLLL +0.50 +0.40 0% 18.0

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.49 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.