TableChase Clubs

NTX United FC NTX

ECNL Regional League Boys · North Texas BU18/19 · 16 teams · NTX United FC (all teams)

Scores refresh automatically every 2 hours · last pulled 11 minutes ago.
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3rd
5-1-2 record · 8 played
2.00 points per game
+5 goal diff · 17–12
LWWWLlast 5
68% chance of top 4 · expected finish 4.2
+0.17 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sun Oct 25, 01:30 PM

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NTX United FC NTX
3rd · 2.00 PPG
vs
FC Dallas Youth Blue NTX
10th · 1.33 PPG

Dallas Soccer Park, Field 4 ↗

windrawloss

●●○○○ Lean win to win

Most likely score 2–1 (expected goals 2.3 for, 1.1 against · 2.08 expected points)

Season so farNTX United FC NTXFC Dallas Youth Blue NTX
Position3rd10th
Record (W-D-L)5-1-24-0-5
Points per game2.001.33
Goals for / game2.11.4
Goals against / game1.52.1
Clean sheets22
Held scoreless22
Form (recent first)L W W W LW L L W W
Biggest win3–0 at FC Dallas Youth NTX Che2–0 vs FC Dallas Youth NTX Vargas
Worst loss0–3 at FC Dallas Youth White NTX1–5 at NTX Celtic FC NTX
Model rating (net goals vs avg)+0.49-0.55
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)+0.17-0.19

Common opponents: Atletico Dallas Youth Blue NTX — we 4–2; they 1–2. SOLAR WHITE NTX — we 1–1; they 2–1. Dutch FC NTX — we 0–2; they 1–5. FC Dallas Youth NTX Che — we 3–0; they 2–0.

Game plan

  • Finishing wins the tight ones
    Held scoreless 2 time(s): 0–2 vs Dutch FC NTX, 0–3 at FC Dallas Youth White NTX.

    Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.

  • Swing game — small margins
    Win 63% / draw 19% / loss 18%.

    Games like this are decided by one set piece or one transition. Prioritise the strongest XI for the full game, be disciplined with fouls near the box, and have a clear late-game plan for both "protect the lead" and "chase".

If Sunday goes…

Where we'd sit after the FC Dallas Youth Blue NTX game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (NTX United FC NTX – FC Dallas Youth Blue NTX) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 6 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Win · 2.11 PPG		 3rd— holds 3rd— holds 3rd— holds
Win
2.11 PPG		 3rd— holds 3rd— holds 3rd— holds
Draw
1.89 PPG		 4th▼ down 1 4th▼ down 1 4th▼ down 1
Loss
1.78 PPG		 4th▼ down 1 5th▼ down 2 7th▼ down 4

Can we move up this round? No. With a 2–1 win we stay 3rd even if every rival loses, whatever the rivals do.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

0% finish 1st
68% top 4
32% below the top 4
4.2 average finish
  1. 1st
  2. 2nd <1%
  3. 3rd 41%
  4. 4th 27%
  5. 5th 16%
  6. 6th 9%
  7. 7th 4%
  8. 8th 2%
  9. 9th 1%
  10. 10th <1%
  11. 11th <1%
  12. 12th
  13. 13th
  14. 14th
  15. 15th
  16. 16th

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 7 remaining known games (max 2.47 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 Nido Dallas NTX 3.00 (+1.00) 2nd (2.68) 29 of 21 pts to pass their current pace, 25 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
2 FC Dallas Youth White NTX 3.00 (+1.00) 1st (2.68) 29 of 21 pts to pass their current pace, 25 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule

How the results connect

42 chains · 12 teams

Paths of results that link NTX United FC NTX to FC Dallas Youth Blue NTX through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

29 favour us
3 even
10 favour them
+1.8 goals per chain on average. The results point our way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
3–0 0–2 1–1 1–2 0–2 5–1 4–2 2–1 0–3 5–1 3–1 5–1 2–0 2–0 6–0 4–3 0–1 6–4 2–4 3–0 2–4 0–2 NTX United FC NTX 3rd FC Dallas Youth NTX… 15th SOLAR WHITE NTX 6th Dutch FC NTX 4th Atletico Dallas You… 9th FC Dallas Youth Whi… 2nd Sting Brave NTX 11th Nido Dallas Blue NTX 14th FC Dallas Youth NTX 13th Kernow Storm FC NTX… 16th FC Dallas Youth NTX… 12th FC Dallas Youth Blu… 10th

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

12 chains

Position over the season

20 game days

1st 8th 16th Aug 21 Aug 29 Sep 6 Sep 19 Oct 10 Oct 18

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty -0.17 · 15th hardest of 16

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sun Oct 25
01:30 PM		 FC Dallas Youth Blue NTX
10th · 4-0-5 · GD -6		 Home
Dallas Soccer Park		 ●●○○○ Lean win
63%		 2–1 2.08 2.01 Swing game
Sun Nov 1
03:20 PM		 Kernow Storm FC NTX Penna
16th · 0-0-9 · GD -28		 Home
Dallas Soccer Park		 ●○○○○ Favorable
88%		 4–1 2.71 2.08 Bank it
Sun Nov 8
03:20 PM		 FC Dallas Youth NTX Vargas
12th · 2-2-5 · GD -7		 Away
Dallas Soccer Park		 ●●●○○ Toss-up
55%		 2–1 1.84 2.06 Swing game
Sun Apr 4
07:00 PM		 Nido Dallas NTX
1st · 8-0-0 · GD +26		 Home
Dallas Soccer Park		 ●●●●● Very tough
18%		 1–2 0.71 1.94 Upside
Sun Apr 11
05:10 PM		 FC Dallas Youth NTX
13th · 2-2-5 · GD -9		 Home
Dallas Soccer Park		 ●●○○○ Lean win
64%		 2–1 2.11 1.96 Swing game
Sun Apr 18
03:20 PM		 NTX Celtic FC NTX
7th · 4-1-3 · GD +7		 Away
Dallas Soccer Park		 ●●●●○ Tough
35%		 1–1 1.25 1.91 Upside
Sat Apr 24
05:10 PM		 Atlético Dallas Youth NTX Hernand
8th · 4-2-4 · GD +2		 Away
Dallas Soccer Park		 ●●●●○ Tough
38%		 1–1 1.40 1.87 Upside

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 Nido Dallas NTX 8800 326+26 243.00 WWWWW -0.18 -0.06 100% 1.5
2 FC Dallas Youth White NTX 7700 295+24 213.00 WWWWW -0.19 -0.09 100% 1.5
3 NTX United FC NTX 8512 1712+5 162.00 LWWWL +0.17 -0.17 68% 4.2
4 Dutch FC NTX 9522 2917+12 171.89 LWDWL -0.24 +0.28 63% 4.4
5 DKSC NTX 7331 117+4 121.71 WWWDD -0.36 +0.29 16% 6.6
6 SOLAR WHITE NTX 10523 2016+4 171.70 LWDLW +0.03 -0.00 27% 5.8
7 NTX Celtic FC NTX 8413 2013+7 131.63 WLDWW -0.31 +0.32 20% 6.5
8 Atlético Dallas Youth NTX Hernand 10424 1513+2 141.40 WLLWW +0.06 -0.08 4% 7.9
9 Atletico Dallas Youth Blue NTX 10424 2327-4 141.40 DLWLL +0.13 +0.02 2% 8.9
10 FC Dallas Youth Blue NTX 9405 1319-6 121.33 WWLLW -0.19 +0.38 0% 10.8
11 Sting Brave NTX 9324 1922-3 111.22 LLDLW +0.14 -0.15 1% 9.7
12 FC Dallas Youth NTX Vargas 9225 1825-7 80.89 LLDWD -0.06 +0.26 0% 12.6
13 FC Dallas Youth NTX 9225 1120-9 80.89 WDLLL +0.53 -0.60 0% 11.8
14 Nido Dallas Blue NTX 9216 1727-10 70.78 LLLWL -0.00 +0.16 0% 13.2
15 FC Dallas Youth NTX Che 9207 1431-17 60.67 LWLLL -0.07 +0.43 0% 14.6
16 Kernow Storm FC NTX Penna 9009 1442-28 00.00 LLLLL -0.17 +0.67 0% 16.0

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.14 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.