TableChase Clubs

NTX Celtic FC NTX

ECNL Regional League Boys · North Texas BU18/19 · 16 teams · NTX Celtic FC (all teams)

Scores refresh automatically every 2 hours · last pulled 41 minutes ago.
Add schedule to calendar
7th
4-1-3 record · 8 played
1.63 points per game
+7 goal diff · 20–13
WLDWWlast 5
19% chance of top 4 · expected finish 6.5
-0.31 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sun Oct 25, 08:00 AM

Open the match preview →

NTX Celtic FC NTX
7th · 1.63 PPG
vs
SOLAR WHITE NTX
6th · 1.70 PPG

Dallas Soccer Park, Field 4 ↗

windrawloss

●●●○○ Toss-up to win

Most likely score 2–1 (expected goals 2.0 for, 1.6 against · 1.63 expected points)

Season so farNTX Celtic FC NTXSOLAR WHITE NTX
Position7th6th
Record (W-D-L)4-1-35-2-3
Points per game1.631.70
Goals for / game2.52.0
Goals against / game1.61.6
Clean sheets34
Held scoreless10
Form (recent first)W W D L WW L D W L
Biggest win5–1 vs FC Dallas Youth Blue NTX6–2 at FC Dallas Youth NTX
Worst loss3–6 at FC Dallas Youth White NTX1–5 vs FC Dallas Youth White NTX
Model rating (net goals vs avg)+0.53+0.31
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)-0.31+0.03

Common opponents: Kernow Storm FC NTX Penna — we 3–0; they 3–0. Sting Brave NTX — we 1–2; they 1–0. FC Dallas Youth White NTX — we 3–6; they 1–5. FC Dallas Youth Blue NTX — we 5–1; they 1–2. Atlético Dallas Youth NTX Hernand — we 0–1; they 1–0. FC Dallas Youth NTX — we 2–0; they 6–2. Nido Dallas Blue NTX — we 3–0; they 3–0.

Game plan

  • Finishing wins the tight ones
    Held scoreless 1 time(s): 0–1 vs Atlético Dallas Youth NTX Hernand.

    Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.

  • Swing game — small margins
    Win 47% / draw 21% / loss 31%.

    Games like this are decided by one set piece or one transition. Prioritise the strongest XI for the full game, be disciplined with fouls near the box, and have a clear late-game plan for both "protect the lead" and "chase".

  • Early kickoff
    Game time 08:00 AM.

    Light breakfast 2+ hours before, longer warm-up, and a loud start — early games are won by whoever is awake at the whistle.

  • What a win does
    SOLAR WHITE NTX sit 6th on 1.70 PPG; we are on 1.63.

    A point moves us above SOLAR WHITE NTX on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.

If Sunday goes…

Where we'd sit after the SOLAR WHITE NTX game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (NTX Celtic FC NTX – SOLAR WHITE NTX) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 6 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Win · 1.78 PPG		 5th▲ up 2 5th▲ up 2 6th▲ up 1
Win
1.78 PPG		 5th▲ up 2 5th▲ up 2 6th▲ up 1
Draw
1.56 PPG		 7th— holds 6th▲ up 1 7th— holds
Loss
1.44 PPG		 7th— holds 8th▼ down 1 9th▼ down 2

Can we move up this round? Yes. With a 2–1 win we finish as high as 3rd if every rival drops points, and as low as 6th if every rival wins.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

0% finish 1st
19% top 4
81% below the top 4
6.5 average finish
  1. 1st
  2. 2nd
  3. 3rd 9%
  4. 4th 11%
  5. 5th 16%
  6. 6th 17%
  7. 7th 16%
  8. 8th 13%
  9. 9th 10%
  10. 10th 6%
  11. 11th 2%
  12. 12th 1%
  13. 13th <1%
  14. 14th
  15. 15th
  16. 16th

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 7 remaining known games (max 2.27 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 Nido Dallas NTX 3.00 (+1.37) 2nd (2.68) 32 of 21 pts to pass their current pace, 28 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
2 FC Dallas Youth White NTX 3.00 (+1.37) 1st (2.68) 32 of 21 pts to pass their current pace, 28 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
3 NTX United FC NTX 2.00 (+0.37) 3rd (1.87) 17 of 21 pts to pass their current pace, 16 for their projection
4 Dutch FC NTX 1.89 (+0.26) 4th (1.81) 16 of 21 pts to pass their current pace, 15 for their projection
5 DKSC NTX 1.71 (+0.08) 6th (1.58) A point next game
6 SOLAR WHITE NTX 1.70 (+0.07) 5th (1.66) A point next game

How the results connect

44 chains · 12 teams

Paths of results that link NTX Celtic FC NTX to SOLAR WHITE NTX through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

18 favour us
9 even
17 favour them
+0.2 goals per chain on average. The results call it close.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
3–0 0–3 3–0 0–3 3–6 5–1 2–0 2–6 0–1 0–1 1–2 0–1 5–1 2–1 0–6 4–1 0–3 1–1 3–3 0–3 1–3 4–0 NTX Celtic FC NTX 7th Nido Dallas Blue NTX 14th Kernow Storm FC NTX… 16th FC Dallas Youth Whi… 2nd FC Dallas Youth NTX 13th Atlético Dallas You… 8th Sting Brave NTX 11th FC Dallas Youth Blu… 10th Atletico Dallas You… 9th Nido Dallas NTX 1st NTX United FC NTX 3rd SOLAR WHITE NTX 6th

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

12 chains

Position over the season

20 game days

1st 8th 16th Aug 21 Aug 29 Sep 6 Sep 19 Oct 10 Oct 18

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty +0.32 · 4th hardest of 16

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Mon Jan 1
TBD
no score posted		 FC Dallas Youth NTX Vargas
12th · 2-2-5 · GD -7		 Away
●●●○○ Toss-up
56%		 2–1 1.86 1.65 Swing game
Sun Oct 25
08:00 AM		 SOLAR WHITE NTX
6th · 5-2-3 · GD +4		 Home
Dallas Soccer Park		 ●●●○○ Toss-up
47%		 2–1 1.63 1.65 Swing game
Sun Nov 8
11:40 AM		 DKSC NTX
5th · 3-3-1 · GD +4		 Home
Dallas Soccer Park		 ●●●○○ Toss-up
44%		 1–1 1.55 1.64 Swing game
Sun Apr 4
01:30 PM		 Dutch FC NTX
4th · 5-2-2 · GD +12		 Away
Dallas Soccer Park		 ●●●●○ Tough
31%		 2–2 1.12 1.60 Upside
Sat Apr 10
07:00 PM		 FC Dallas Youth NTX Che
15th · 2-0-7 · GD -17		 Away
Dallas Soccer Park		 ●●○○○ Lean win
71%		 3–1 2.27 1.65 Bank it
Sun Apr 18
03:20 PM		 NTX United FC NTX
3rd · 5-1-2 · GD +5		 Home
Dallas Soccer Park		 ●●●○○ Toss-up
44%		 1–1 1.53 1.64 Swing game
Sun Apr 25
01:30 PM		 Nido Dallas NTX
1st · 8-0-0 · GD +26		 Away
Dallas Soccer Park		 ●●●●● Very tough
12%		 1–3 0.49 1.56 Upside

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 Nido Dallas NTX 8800 326+26 243.00 WWWWW -0.18 -0.06 100% 1.5
2 FC Dallas Youth White NTX 7700 295+24 213.00 WWWWW -0.19 -0.09 100% 1.5
3 NTX United FC NTX 8512 1712+5 162.00 LWWWL +0.17 -0.17 68% 4.2
4 Dutch FC NTX 9522 2917+12 171.89 LWDWL -0.24 +0.28 63% 4.4
5 DKSC NTX 7331 117+4 121.71 WWWDD -0.36 +0.29 17% 6.7
6 SOLAR WHITE NTX 10523 2016+4 171.70 LWDLW +0.03 -0.00 26% 5.8
7 NTX Celtic FC NTX 8413 2013+7 131.63 WLDWW -0.31 +0.32 19% 6.5
8 Atlético Dallas Youth NTX Hernand 10424 1513+2 141.40 WLLWW +0.06 -0.08 3% 7.8
9 Atletico Dallas Youth Blue NTX 10424 2327-4 141.40 DLWLL +0.13 +0.02 2% 9.0
10 FC Dallas Youth Blue NTX 9405 1319-6 121.33 WWLLW -0.19 +0.38 0% 10.8
11 Sting Brave NTX 9324 1922-3 111.22 LLDLW +0.14 -0.15 1% 9.6
12 FC Dallas Youth NTX Vargas 9225 1825-7 80.89 LLDWD -0.06 +0.26 0% 12.6
13 FC Dallas Youth NTX 9225 1120-9 80.89 WDLLL +0.53 -0.60 0% 11.7
14 Nido Dallas Blue NTX 9216 1727-10 70.78 LLLWL -0.00 +0.16 0% 13.2
15 FC Dallas Youth NTX Che 9207 1431-17 60.67 LWLLL -0.07 +0.43 0% 14.7
16 Kernow Storm FC NTX Penna 9009 1442-28 00.00 LLLLL -0.17 +0.67 0% 16.0

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.14 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.