FC Dallas Youth NTX
ECNL Regional League Boys · North Texas BU18/19 · 16 teams · FC Dallas Youth (all teams)
Next game — Sun Oct 25, 01:30 PM
●●●●○ Tough to win
Most likely score 1–2 (expected goals 2.0 for, 2.1 against · 1.31 expected points)
| Season so far | FC Dallas Youth NTX | Atletico Dallas Youth Blue NTX |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 13th | 9th |
| Record (W-D-L) | 2-2-5 | 4-2-4 |
| Points per game | 0.89 | 1.40 |
| Goals for / game | 1.2 | 2.3 |
| Goals against / game | 2.2 | 2.7 |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 0 |
| Held scoreless | 3 | 1 |
| Form (recent first) | L L L D W | L L W L D |
| Biggest win | 2–0 at FC Dallas Youth Blue NTX | 3–1 at FC Dallas Youth NTX Che |
| Worst loss | 2–6 vs SOLAR WHITE NTX | 2–5 vs FC Dallas Youth NTX Vargas |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | -0.61 | -0.31 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | +0.53 | +0.13 |
Common opponents: Sting Brave NTX — we 1–3; they 2–2. FC Dallas Youth White NTX — we 0–2; they 1–3. FC Dallas Youth Blue NTX — we 2–0; they 2–1. Atlético Dallas Youth NTX Hernand — we 1–1; they 4–2. FC Dallas Youth NTX Vargas — we 4–2; they 2–5. NTX Celtic FC NTX — we 0–2; they 3–3. Nido Dallas NTX — we 0–3; they 0–3.
Game plan
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Finishing wins the tight ones
Held scoreless 3 time(s): 0–2 vs FC Dallas Youth White NTX, 0–2 vs NTX Celtic FC NTX, 0–3 at Nido Dallas NTX.Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.
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Underdog — play free, stay organised
Model gives 37%; a draw (20%) would be a good result.Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.
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What a win does
FC Dallas Youth NTX Vargas sit 12th on 0.89 PPG; we are on 0.89.A point moves us above FC Dallas Youth NTX Vargas on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.
If Sunday goes…
Where we'd sit after the Atletico Dallas Youth Blue NTX game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (FC Dallas Youth NTX – Atletico Dallas Youth Blue NTX) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 6 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.
| Our result | Rivals don't play | Likely results | Every rival wins |
|---|---|---|---|
| – Loss · 0.80 PPG |
13th— holds | 14th▼ down 1 | 14th▼ down 1 |
| Win 1.10 PPG |
12th▲ up 1 | 12th▲ up 1 | 13th— holds |
| Draw 0.90 PPG |
12th▲ up 1 | 12th▲ up 1 | 14th▼ down 1 |
| Loss 0.80 PPG |
13th— holds | 14th▼ down 1 | 14th▼ down 1 |
Can we move up this round? No. With a 1–2 loss we stay 13th even if every rival loses, and as low as 14th if every rival wins.
Where we finish
2,000 simulated seasons
- 1st
- 2nd
- 3rd
- 4th
- 5th <1%
- 6th 1%
- 7th 1%
- 8th 3%
- 9th 6%
- 10th 11%
- 11th 18%
- 12th 25%
- 13th 20%
- 14th 12%
- 15th 3%
- 16th
Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.
Climbing the table
What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 6 remaining known games (max 1.73 PPG if we win out).
| # | Team | PPG | Proj. | To pass them |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nido Dallas NTX | 3.00 (+2.11) | 2nd (2.68) | 37 of 18 pts to pass their current pace, 33 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule |
| 2 | FC Dallas Youth White NTX | 3.00 (+2.11) | 1st (2.68) | 37 of 18 pts to pass their current pace, 33 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule |
| 3 | NTX United FC NTX | 2.00 (+1.11) | 3rd (1.87) | 22 of 18 pts to pass their current pace, 21 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule |
| 4 | Dutch FC NTX | 1.89 (+1.00) | 4th (1.81) | 21 of 18 pts to pass their current pace, 20 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule |
| 5 | DKSC NTX | 1.71 (+0.82) | 6th (1.58) | 18 of 18 pts to pass their current pace, 16 for their projection |
| 6 | SOLAR WHITE NTX | 1.70 (+0.81) | 5th (1.66) | 18 of 18 pts to pass their current pace, 17 for their projection |
| 7 | NTX Celtic FC NTX | 1.63 (+0.74) | 7th (1.56) | 17 of 18 pts to pass their current pace, 16 for their projection |
| 8 | Atlético Dallas Youth NTX Hernand | 1.40 (+0.51) | 8th (1.44) | 13 of 18 pts to pass their current pace, 14 for their projection |
| 9 | Atletico Dallas Youth Blue NTX | 1.40 (+0.51) | 9th (1.36) | 13 of 18 pts to pass their current pace, 13 for their projection |
| 10 | FC Dallas Youth Blue NTX | 1.33 (+0.44) | 11th (1.18) | 12 of 18 pts to pass their current pace, 10 for their projection |
| 11 | Sting Brave NTX | 1.22 (+0.33) | 10th (1.29) | 11 of 18 pts to pass their current pace, 12 for their projection |
| 12 | FC Dallas Youth NTX Vargas | 0.89 (+0.00) | 13th (0.95) | Already ahead |
How the results connect
49 chains · 13 teams
Paths of results that link FC Dallas Youth NTX to Atletico Dallas Youth Blue NTX through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.
Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.
Step through the chains with the arrows, or tap one on the map.
Position over the season
20 game days
The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.
The path
run-in difficulty -0.60 · 16th hardest of 16
| Date | Opponent | Where | Difficulty | Win | Likely | Exp. pts | Run. PPG | Priority |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun Oct 25 01:30 PM |
Atletico Dallas Youth Blue NTX 9th · 4-2-4 · GD -4 |
Home Dallas Soccer Park |
●●●●○ Tough | 37% |
1–2 | 1.31 | 0.93 | Upside |
| Sun Nov 8 11:40 AM |
Dutch FC NTX 4th · 5-2-2 · GD +12 |
Away Dallas Soccer Park |
●●●●● Very tough | 13% |
1–3 | 0.54 | 0.90 | Upside |
| Sun Apr 4 01:30 PM |
FC Dallas Youth NTX Che 15th · 2-0-7 · GD -17 |
Home Dallas Soccer Park |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 56% |
2–1 | 1.88 | 0.98 | Swing game |
| Sun Apr 11 05:10 PM |
NTX United FC NTX 3rd · 5-1-2 · GD +5 |
Away Dallas Soccer Park |
●●●●● Very tough | 17% |
1–2 | 0.70 | 0.96 | Upside |
| Sun Apr 18 03:20 PM |
Kernow Storm FC NTX Penna 16th · 0-0-9 · GD -28 |
Away Dallas Soccer Park |
●●○○○ Lean win | 59% |
2–1 | 1.93 | 1.03 | Swing game |
| Sun Apr 25 08:00 AM |
Nido Dallas Blue NTX 14th · 2-1-6 · GD -10 |
Home Dallas Soccer Park |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 45% |
2–1 | 1.56 | 1.06 | Swing game |
"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.
Standings
| # | Team | GP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | Form | SoS | Run-in | Top 4 | Exp. finish | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| 1 | Nido Dallas NTX | 8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 32 | 6 | +26 | 24 | 3.00 | WWWWW | -0.18 | -0.06 | 100% | 1.5 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Mon Jan 1 at FC Dallas Youth White NTX · Sat Oct 24 at DKSC NTX · Sun Nov 8 at FC Dallas Youth NTX Che See all 7 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 2 | FC Dallas Youth White NTX | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 29 | 5 | +24 | 21 | 3.00 | WWWWW | -0.19 | -0.09 | 100% | 1.5 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Mon Jan 1 vs Nido Dallas NTX · Mon Jan 1 vs Dutch FC NTX · Sun Oct 25 vs Kernow Storm FC NTX Penna See all 8 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 3 | NTX United FC NTX | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 12 | +5 | 16 | 2.00 | LWWWL | +0.17 | -0.17 | 67% | 4.3 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 vs FC Dallas Youth Blue NTX · Sun Nov 1 vs Kernow Storm FC NTX Penna · Sun Nov 8 at FC Dallas Youth NTX Vargas See all 7 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 4 | Dutch FC NTX | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 29 | 17 | +12 | 17 | 1.89 | LWDWL | -0.24 | +0.28 | 63% | 4.4 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Mon Jan 1 at FC Dallas Youth White NTX · Sat Oct 24 vs FC Dallas Youth NTX Vargas · Sun Nov 8 vs FC Dallas Youth NTX See all 6 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 5 | DKSC NTX | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 7 | +4 | 12 | 1.71 | WWWDD | -0.36 | +0.29 | 18% | 6.6 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Mon Jan 1 vs FC Dallas Youth NTX Che · Sat Oct 24 vs Nido Dallas NTX · Sun Nov 1 vs FC Dallas Youth White NTX See all 8 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 6 | SOLAR WHITE NTX | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 20 | 16 | +4 | 17 | 1.70 | LWDLW | +0.03 | -0.00 | 28% | 5.8 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 at NTX Celtic FC NTX · Sun Nov 8 vs Atletico Dallas Youth Blue NTX · Sun Apr 4 vs DKSC NTX See all 5 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 7 | NTX Celtic FC NTX | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 20 | 13 | +7 | 13 | 1.63 | WLDWW | -0.31 | +0.32 | 18% | 6.6 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Mon Jan 1 at FC Dallas Youth NTX Vargas · Sun Oct 25 vs SOLAR WHITE NTX · Sun Nov 8 vs DKSC NTX See all 7 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 8 | Atlético Dallas Youth NTX Hernand | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 15 | 13 | +2 | 14 | 1.40 | WLLWW | +0.06 | -0.08 | 4% | 7.7 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Apr 3 vs FC Dallas Youth White NTX · Sun Apr 4 vs Sting Brave NTX · Sun Apr 18 at FC Dallas Youth Blue NTX See all 5 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 9 | Atletico Dallas Youth Blue NTX | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 23 | 27 | -4 | 14 | 1.40 | DLWLL | +0.13 | +0.02 | 2% | 9.1 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 at FC Dallas Youth NTX · Sun Nov 8 at SOLAR WHITE NTX · Sun Apr 4 vs Nido Dallas Blue NTX See all 5 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 10 | FC Dallas Youth Blue NTX | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 13 | 19 | -6 | 12 | 1.33 | WWLLW | -0.19 | +0.38 | 0% | 10.7 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 at NTX United FC NTX · Sun Nov 8 vs Sting Brave NTX · Sun Apr 4 at FC Dallas Youth White NTX See all 6 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 11 | Sting Brave NTX | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 19 | 22 | -3 | 11 | 1.22 | LLDLW | +0.14 | -0.15 | 0% | 9.7 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 at Nido Dallas Blue NTX · Sun Nov 8 at FC Dallas Youth Blue NTX · Sun Apr 4 at Atlético Dallas Youth NTX Hernand See all 6 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 12 | FC Dallas Youth NTX Vargas | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 8 | 0.89 | LLDWD | -0.06 | +0.26 | 0% | 12.6 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Mon Jan 1 vs NTX Celtic FC NTX · Sat Oct 24 at Dutch FC NTX · Sun Nov 8 vs NTX United FC NTX See all 6 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 13 | FC Dallas Youth NTX | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 20 | -9 | 8 | 0.89 | WDLLL | +0.53 | -0.60 | 0% | 11.7 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 vs Atletico Dallas Youth Blue NTX · Sun Nov 8 at Dutch FC NTX · Sun Apr 4 vs FC Dallas Youth NTX Che See all 6 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 14 | Nido Dallas Blue NTX | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 17 | 27 | -10 | 7 | 0.78 | LLLWL | -0.00 | +0.16 | 0% | 13.2 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 vs Sting Brave NTX · Sun Nov 8 vs FC Dallas Youth White NTX · Sun Apr 4 at Atletico Dallas Youth Blue NTX See all 6 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 15 | FC Dallas Youth NTX Che | 9 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 14 | 31 | -17 | 6 | 0.67 | LWLLL | -0.07 | +0.43 | 0% | 14.7 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Mon Jan 1 at DKSC NTX · Sun Nov 8 vs Nido Dallas NTX · Sun Apr 4 at FC Dallas Youth NTX See all 6 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 16 | Kernow Storm FC NTX Penna | 9 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 14 | 42 | -28 | 0 | 0.00 | LLLLL | -0.17 | +0.67 | 0% | 16.0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 at FC Dallas Youth White NTX · Sun Nov 1 at NTX United FC NTX · Sat Apr 3 at FC Dallas Youth NTX Vargas See all 6 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.
How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.14 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.