TableChase Clubs

Kernow Storm FC NTX Penna

ECNL Regional League Boys · North Texas BU18/19 · 16 teams · Kernow Storm FC (all teams)

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16th
0-0-9 record · 9 played
0.00 points per game
-28 goal diff · 14–42
LLLLLlast 5
0% chance of top 4 · expected finish 16.0
-0.17 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sun Oct 25, 08:00 AM

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Kernow Storm FC NTX Penna
16th · 0.00 PPG
at
FC Dallas Youth White NTX
2nd · 3.00 PPG

Dallas Soccer Park, Field 14 ↗

windrawloss

●●●●● Very tough to win

Most likely score 0–7 (expected goals 0.9 for, 7.3 against · 0.02 expected points)

Season so farKernow Storm FC NTX PennaFC Dallas Youth White NTX
Position16th2nd
Record (W-D-L)0-0-97-0-0
Points per game0.003.00
Goals for / game1.64.1
Goals against / game4.70.7
Clean sheets04
Held scoreless20
Form (recent first)L L L L LW W W W W
Biggest win—6–0 at FC Dallas Youth NTX Che
Worst loss2–9 at Nido Dallas Blue NTX—
Model rating (net goals vs avg)-2.43+2.32
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)-0.17-0.19

Common opponents: NTX Celtic FC NTX — we 0–3; they 6–3. SOLAR WHITE NTX — we 0–3; they 5–1. Atletico Dallas Youth Blue NTX — we 3–4; they 3–1. FC Dallas Youth NTX Che — we 1–4; they 6–0. Sting Brave NTX — we 4–6; they 4–0.

Game plan

  • Respect their attack
    FC Dallas Youth White NTX score 4.1/game — well above the league's 2.1.

    Deny the easy goals first: compact shape between the lines, no fouls in shooting range, and a plan for their best outlet. Score first and make them chase.

  • Hard to break down
    FC Dallas Youth White NTX concede only 0.7/game with 4 clean sheet(s).

    Patience and width: move the ball quickly side to side to pull the block apart, and treat set pieces as your best chance — rehearse two corner routines and a near-post free-kick delivery.

  • Finishing wins the tight ones
    Held scoreless 2 time(s): 0–3 vs NTX Celtic FC NTX, 0–3 at SOLAR WHITE NTX.

    Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.

  • Underdog — play free, stay organised
    Model gives 0%; a draw (1%) would be a good result.

    Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.

  • They arrive in form
    FC Dallas Youth White NTX have won 7 straight.

    Don't let them settle: deny the first 10 minutes of rhythm with pressure on their first pass out of the back.

  • Away game
    Kickoff 08:00 AM at Dallas Soccer Park.

    Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.

  • Early kickoff
    Game time 08:00 AM.

    Light breakfast 2+ hours before, longer warm-up, and a loud start — early games are won by whoever is awake at the whistle.

If Sunday goes…

Where we'd sit after the FC Dallas Youth White NTX game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Kernow Storm FC NTX Penna – FC Dallas Youth White NTX) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 6 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Loss · 0.00 PPG		 16th— holds 16th— holds 16th— holds
Win
0.30 PPG		 16th— holds 16th— holds 16th— holds
Draw
0.10 PPG		 16th— holds 16th— holds 16th— holds
Loss
0.00 PPG		 16th— holds 16th— holds 16th— holds

Can we move up this round? No. With a 0–7 loss we stay 16th even if every rival loses, whatever the rivals do.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

0% finish 1st
0% top 4
100% below the top 4
16.0 average finish
  1. 1st
  2. 2nd
  3. 3rd
  4. 4th
  5. 5th
  6. 6th
  7. 7th
  8. 8th
  9. 9th
  10. 10th
  11. 11th
  12. 12th
  13. 13th <1%
  14. 14th <1%
  15. 15th 1%
  16. 16th 99%

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 6 remaining known games (max 1.20 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 Nido Dallas NTX 3.00 (+3.00) 2nd (2.68) 45 of 18 pts to pass their current pace, 41 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
2 FC Dallas Youth White NTX 3.00 (+3.00) 1st (2.68) 45 of 18 pts to pass their current pace, 41 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
3 NTX United FC NTX 2.00 (+2.00) 3rd (1.87) 30 of 18 pts to pass their current pace, 29 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
4 Dutch FC NTX 1.89 (+1.89) 4th (1.81) 29 of 18 pts to pass their current pace, 28 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
5 DKSC NTX 1.71 (+1.71) 6th (1.58) 26 of 18 pts to pass their current pace, 24 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
6 SOLAR WHITE NTX 1.70 (+1.70) 5th (1.66) 26 of 18 pts to pass their current pace, 25 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
7 NTX Celtic FC NTX 1.63 (+1.63) 7th (1.56) 25 of 18 pts to pass their current pace, 24 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
8 Atlético Dallas Youth NTX Hernand 1.40 (+1.40) 8th (1.44) 21 of 18 pts to pass their current pace, 22 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
9 Atletico Dallas Youth Blue NTX 1.40 (+1.40) 9th (1.36) 21 of 18 pts to pass their current pace, 21 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
10 FC Dallas Youth Blue NTX 1.33 (+1.33) 11th (1.18) 20 of 18 pts to pass their current pace, 18 for their projection
11 Sting Brave NTX 1.22 (+1.22) 10th (1.29) 19 of 18 pts to pass their current pace, 20 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
12 FC Dallas Youth NTX Vargas 0.89 (+0.89) 13th (0.95) 14 of 18 pts to pass their current pace, 15 for their projection
13 FC Dallas Youth NTX 0.89 (+0.89) 12th (1.06) 14 of 18 pts to pass their current pace, 16 for their projection
14 Nido Dallas Blue NTX 0.78 (+0.78) 14th (0.86) 12 of 18 pts to pass their current pace, 13 for their projection
15 FC Dallas Youth NTX Che 0.67 (+0.67) 15th (0.63) 11 of 18 pts to pass their current pace, 10 for their projection

How the results connect

37 chains · 9 teams

Paths of results that link Kernow Storm FC NTX Penna to FC Dallas Youth White NTX through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

0 favour us
37 favour them
-6.4 goals per chain on average. The results point their way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
3–4 1–3 4–6 0–4 0–3 3–6 0–3 1–5 1–4 0–6 6–2 0–2 3–1 2–0 2–1 2–2 1–3 2–0 1–1 Kernow Storm FC NTX… 16th Atletico Dallas You… 9th Sting Brave NTX 11th NTX Celtic FC NTX 7th SOLAR WHITE NTX 6th FC Dallas Youth NTX… 15th DKSC NTX 5th FC Dallas Youth NTX 13th FC Dallas Youth Whi… 2nd

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

12 chains

Position over the season

20 game days

1st 8th 16th Aug 21 Aug 29 Sep 6 Sep 19 Oct 10 Oct 18

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty +0.67 · 1st hardest of 16

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sun Oct 25
08:00 AM		 FC Dallas Youth White NTX
2nd · 7-0-0 · GD +24		 Away
Dallas Soccer Park		 ●●●●● Very tough
0%		 0–7 0.02 0.00 Upside
Sun Nov 1
03:20 PM		 NTX United FC NTX
3rd · 5-1-2 · GD +5		 Away
Dallas Soccer Park		 ●●●●● Very tough
5%		 1–4 0.22 0.02 Upside
Sat Apr 3
07:00 PM		 FC Dallas Youth NTX Vargas
12th · 2-2-5 · GD -7		 Away
Dallas Soccer Park		 ●●●●● Very tough
12%		 2–4 0.48 0.06 Upside
Sun Apr 11
05:10 PM		 Nido Dallas NTX
1st · 8-0-0 · GD +26		 Away
Dallas Soccer Park		 ●●●●● Very tough
0%		 0–7 0.03 0.06 Upside
Sun Apr 18
03:20 PM		 FC Dallas Youth NTX
13th · 2-2-5 · GD -9		 Home
Dallas Soccer Park		 ●●●●● Very tough
24%		 1–2 0.90 0.12 Upside
Sun Apr 25
08:00 AM		 Atlético Dallas Youth NTX Hernand
8th · 4-2-4 · GD +2		 Home
Dallas Soccer Park		 ●●●●● Very tough
13%		 1–3 0.53 0.14 Upside

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 Nido Dallas NTX 8800 326+26 243.00 WWWWW -0.18 -0.06 100% 1.5
2 FC Dallas Youth White NTX 7700 295+24 213.00 WWWWW -0.19 -0.09 100% 1.5
3 NTX United FC NTX 8512 1712+5 162.00 LWWWL +0.17 -0.17 68% 4.2
4 Dutch FC NTX 9522 2917+12 171.89 LWDWL -0.24 +0.28 63% 4.4
5 DKSC NTX 7331 117+4 121.71 WWWDD -0.36 +0.29 17% 6.6
6 SOLAR WHITE NTX 10523 2016+4 171.70 LWDLW +0.03 -0.00 27% 5.8
7 NTX Celtic FC NTX 8413 2013+7 131.63 WLDWW -0.31 +0.32 19% 6.6
8 Atlético Dallas Youth NTX Hernand 10424 1513+2 141.40 WLLWW +0.06 -0.08 3% 7.9
9 Atletico Dallas Youth Blue NTX 10424 2327-4 141.40 DLWLL +0.13 +0.02 2% 9.0
10 FC Dallas Youth Blue NTX 9405 1319-6 121.33 WWLLW -0.19 +0.38 0% 10.7
11 Sting Brave NTX 9324 1922-3 111.22 LLDLW +0.14 -0.15 1% 9.7
12 FC Dallas Youth NTX Vargas 9225 1825-7 80.89 LLDWD -0.06 +0.26 0% 12.6
13 FC Dallas Youth NTX 9225 1120-9 80.89 WDLLL +0.53 -0.60 0% 11.7
14 Nido Dallas Blue NTX 9216 1727-10 70.78 LLLWL -0.00 +0.16 0% 13.2
15 FC Dallas Youth NTX Che 9207 1431-17 60.67 LWLLL -0.07 +0.43 0% 14.6
16 Kernow Storm FC NTX Penna 9009 1442-28 00.00 LLLLL -0.17 +0.67 0% 16.0

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.14 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.