TableChase Clubs

Atletico Dallas Youth Blue NTX

ECNL Regional League Boys · North Texas BU18/19 · 16 teams · Atletico Dallas Youth (all teams)

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9th
4-2-4 record · 10 played
1.40 points per game
-4 goal diff · 23–27
DLWLLlast 5
2% chance of top 4 · expected finish 9.0
+0.13 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sun Oct 25, 01:30 PM

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Atletico Dallas Youth Blue NTX
9th · 1.40 PPG
at
FC Dallas Youth NTX
13th · 0.89 PPG

Dallas Soccer Park, Field 6 ↗

windrawloss

●●●○○ Toss-up to win

Most likely score 2–1 (expected goals 2.1 for, 2.0 against · 1.48 expected points)

Season so farAtletico Dallas Youth Blue NTXFC Dallas Youth NTX
Position9th13th
Record (W-D-L)4-2-42-2-5
Points per game1.400.89
Goals for / game2.31.2
Goals against / game2.72.2
Clean sheets01
Held scoreless13
Form (recent first)L L W L DL L L D W
Biggest win3–1 at FC Dallas Youth NTX Che2–0 at FC Dallas Youth Blue NTX
Worst loss2–5 vs FC Dallas Youth NTX Vargas2–6 vs SOLAR WHITE NTX
Model rating (net goals vs avg)-0.31-0.61
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)+0.13+0.53

Common opponents: Atlético Dallas Youth NTX Hernand — we 4–2; they 1–1. Sting Brave NTX — we 2–2; they 1–3. NTX Celtic FC NTX — we 3–3; they 0–2. FC Dallas Youth White NTX — we 1–3; they 0–2. FC Dallas Youth Blue NTX — we 2–1; they 2–0. FC Dallas Youth NTX Vargas — we 2–5; they 4–2. Nido Dallas NTX — we 0–3; they 0–3.

Game plan

  • Finishing wins the tight ones
    Held scoreless 1 time(s): 0–3 vs Nido Dallas NTX.

    Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.

  • Swing game — small margins
    Win 43% / draw 20% / loss 37%.

    Games like this are decided by one set piece or one transition. Prioritise the strongest XI for the full game, be disciplined with fouls near the box, and have a clear late-game plan for both "protect the lead" and "chase".

  • Confidence is low on their side
    FC Dallas Youth NTX have lost 3 straight (form: WDLLL).

    Teams on losing runs go quiet after conceding. An early goal usually ends the contest — start fast.

  • Away game
    Kickoff 01:30 PM at Dallas Soccer Park.

    Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.

  • What a win does
    Atlético Dallas Youth NTX Hernand sit 8th on 1.40 PPG; we are on 1.40.

    A point moves us above Atlético Dallas Youth NTX Hernand on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.

If Sunday goes…

Where we'd sit after the FC Dallas Youth NTX game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Atletico Dallas Youth Blue NTX – FC Dallas Youth NTX) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 6 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Win · 1.55 PPG
8th▲ up 1 7th▲ up 2 8th▲ up 1
Win
1.55 PPG
8th▲ up 1 7th▲ up 2 8th▲ up 1
Draw
1.36 PPG
9th— holds 9th— holds 11th▼ down 2
Loss
1.27 PPG
10th▼ down 1 9th— holds 11th▼ down 2

Can we move up this round? Yes. With a 2–1 win we finish as high as 6th if every rival drops points, and as low as 8th if every rival wins.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

0% finish 1st
2% top 4
98% below the top 4
9.0 average finish
  1. 1st
  2. 2nd
  3. 3rd <1%
  4. 4th 1%
  5. 5th 4%
  6. 6th 7%
  7. 7th 12%
  8. 8th 13%
  9. 9th 20%
  10. 10th 20%
  11. 11th 13%
  12. 12th 6%
  13. 13th 4%
  14. 14th 1%
  15. 15th <1%
  16. 16th

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 5 remaining known games (max 1.93 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 Nido Dallas NTX 3.00 (+1.60) 2nd (2.68) 31 of 15 pts to pass their current pace, 27 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
2 FC Dallas Youth White NTX 3.00 (+1.60) 1st (2.68) 31 of 15 pts to pass their current pace, 27 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
3 NTX United FC NTX 2.00 (+0.60) 3rd (1.87) 16 of 15 pts to pass their current pace, 15 for their projection
4 Dutch FC NTX 1.89 (+0.49) 4th (1.81) 15 of 15 pts to pass their current pace, 14 for their projection
5 DKSC NTX 1.71 (+0.31) 6th (1.58) 12 of 15 pts to pass their current pace, 10 for their projection
6 SOLAR WHITE NTX 1.70 (+0.30) 5th (1.66) 12 of 15 pts to pass their current pace, 11 for their projection
7 NTX Celtic FC NTX 1.63 (+0.23) 7th (1.56) 11 of 15 pts to pass their current pace, 10 for their projection
8 Atlético Dallas Youth NTX Hernand 1.40 (+0.00) 8th (1.44) A point next game

How the results connect

49 chains · 11 teams

Paths of results that link Atletico Dallas Youth Blue NTX to FC Dallas Youth NTX through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

25 favour us
3 even
21 favour them
+0.3 goals per chain on average. The results point our way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
0–3 3–0 1–3 2–0 2–1 0–2 3–3 2–0 2–2 3–1 4–2 1–1 2–5 2–4 4–3 0–3 3–1 2–2 6–2 2–0 1–5 Atletico Dallas You… 9th Nido Dallas NTX 1st FC Dallas Youth Whi… 2nd FC Dallas Youth Blu… 10th NTX Celtic FC NTX 7th Sting Brave NTX 11th Atlético Dallas You… 8th FC Dallas Youth NTX… 12th Kernow Storm FC NTX… 16th SOLAR WHITE NTX 6th FC Dallas Youth NTX 13th

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

12 chains

Position over the season

20 game days

1st 8th 16th Aug 21 Aug 29 Sep 6 Sep 19 Oct 10 Oct 18

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty +0.02 · 9th hardest of 16

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sun Oct 25
01:30 PM
FC Dallas Youth NTX
13th · 2-2-5 · GD -9
Away
Dallas Soccer Park
●●●○○ Toss-up
43%
2–1 1.48 1.41 Swing game
Sun Nov 8
08:00 AM
SOLAR WHITE NTX
6th · 5-2-3 · GD +4
Away
Dallas Soccer Park
●●●●● Very tough
24%
1–2 0.92 1.37 Upside
Sun Apr 4
11:40 AM
Nido Dallas Blue NTX
14th · 2-1-6 · GD -10
Home
Dallas Soccer Park
●●●○○ Toss-up
56%
3–2 1.85 1.40 Swing game
Sun Apr 11
08:00 AM
DKSC NTX
5th · 3-3-1 · GD +4
Home
Dallas Soccer Park
●●●●○ Tough
31%
1–1 1.17 1.39 Upside
Sun Apr 18
08:00 AM
Dutch FC NTX
4th · 5-2-2 · GD +12
Home
Dallas Soccer Park
●●●●○ Tough
26%
2–3 0.94 1.36 Upside

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 Nido Dallas NTX 8800 326+26 243.00 WWWWW -0.18 -0.06 100% 1.5
2 FC Dallas Youth White NTX 7700 295+24 213.00 WWWWW -0.19 -0.09 100% 1.5
3 NTX United FC NTX 8512 1712+5 162.00 LWWWL +0.17 -0.17 68% 4.2
4 Dutch FC NTX 9522 2917+12 171.89 LWDWL -0.24 +0.28 63% 4.4
5 DKSC NTX 7331 117+4 121.71 WWWDD -0.36 +0.29 17% 6.6
6 SOLAR WHITE NTX 10523 2016+4 171.70 LWDLW +0.03 -0.00 27% 5.8
7 NTX Celtic FC NTX 8413 2013+7 131.63 WLDWW -0.31 +0.32 19% 6.6
8 Atlético Dallas Youth NTX Hernand 10424 1513+2 141.40 WLLWW +0.06 -0.08 3% 7.9
9 Atletico Dallas Youth Blue NTX 10424 2327-4 141.40 DLWLL +0.13 +0.02 2% 9.0
10 FC Dallas Youth Blue NTX 9405 1319-6 121.33 WWLLW -0.19 +0.38 0% 10.7
11 Sting Brave NTX 9324 1922-3 111.22 LLDLW +0.14 -0.15 1% 9.7
12 FC Dallas Youth NTX Vargas 9225 1825-7 80.89 LLDWD -0.06 +0.26 0% 12.6
13 FC Dallas Youth NTX 9225 1120-9 80.89 WDLLL +0.53 -0.60 0% 11.7
14 Nido Dallas Blue NTX 9216 1727-10 70.78 LLLWL -0.00 +0.16 0% 13.2
15 FC Dallas Youth NTX Che 9207 1431-17 60.67 LWLLL -0.07 +0.43 0% 14.6
16 Kernow Storm FC NTX Penna 9009 1442-28 00.00 LLLLL -0.17 +0.67 0% 16.0

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.14 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.