TableChase Clubs

DKSC NTX

ECNL Regional League Boys · North Texas BU18/19 · 16 teams · DKSC (all teams)

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5th
3-3-1 record · 7 played
1.71 points per game
+4 goal diff · 11–7
WWWDDlast 5
17% chance of top 4 · expected finish 6.6
-0.36 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sat Oct 24, 03:20 PM

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DKSC NTX
5th · 1.71 PPG
vs
Nido Dallas NTX
1st · 3.00 PPG

Dallas Soccer Park, Field 6 ↗

windrawloss

●●●●● Very tough to win

Most likely score 0–2 (expected goals 1.0 for, 2.0 against · 0.73 expected points)

Season so farDKSC NTXNido Dallas NTX
Position5th1st
Record (W-D-L)3-3-18-0-0
Points per game1.713.00
Goals for / game1.64.0
Goals against / game1.00.8
Clean sheets24
Held scoreless00
Form (recent first)D D W W WW W W W W
Biggest win3–1 vs Kernow Storm FC NTX Penna6–0 vs Nido Dallas Blue NTX
Worst loss1–2 at NTX United FC NTX—
Model rating (net goals vs avg)+0.31+2.24
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)-0.36-0.18

Common opponents: Dutch FC NTX — we 2–2; they 6–2. Atlético Dallas Youth NTX Hernand — we 1–0; they 3–1. FC Dallas Youth NTX — we 1–1; they 3–0. FC Dallas Youth NTX Vargas — we 1–1; they 5–2.

Game plan

  • Respect their attack
    Nido Dallas NTX score 4.0/game — well above the league's 2.1.

    Deny the easy goals first: compact shape between the lines, no fouls in shooting range, and a plan for their best outlet. Score first and make them chase.

  • Hard to break down
    Nido Dallas NTX concede only 0.8/game with 4 clean sheet(s).

    Patience and width: move the ball quickly side to side to pull the block apart, and treat set pieces as your best chance — rehearse two corner routines and a near-post free-kick delivery.

  • Underdog — play free, stay organised
    Model gives 17%; a draw (21%) would be a good result.

    Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.

  • They arrive in form
    Nido Dallas NTX have won 8 straight.

    Don't let them settle: deny the first 10 minutes of rhythm with pressure on their first pass out of the back.

If Saturday goes…

Where we'd sit after the Nido Dallas NTX game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (DKSC NTX – Nido Dallas NTX) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 6 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Loss · 1.50 PPG		 7th▼ down 2 8th▼ down 3 8th▼ down 3
Win
1.88 PPG		 5th— holds 5th— holds 5th— holds
Draw
1.63 PPG		 7th▼ down 2 6th▼ down 1 7th▼ down 2
Loss
1.50 PPG		 7th▼ down 2 8th▼ down 3 8th▼ down 3

Can we move up this round? No. With a 0–2 loss we fall to at least 6th even if every rival loses, and as low as 8th if every rival wins.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

0% finish 1st
17% top 4
83% below the top 4
6.6 average finish
  1. 1st
  2. 2nd
  3. 3rd 7%
  4. 4th 11%
  5. 5th 17%
  6. 6th 18%
  7. 7th 15%
  8. 8th 14%
  9. 9th 9%
  10. 10th 6%
  11. 11th 3%
  12. 12th 1%
  13. 13th <1%
  14. 14th <1%
  15. 15th
  16. 16th

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 8 remaining known games (max 2.40 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 Nido Dallas NTX 3.00 (+1.29) 2nd (2.68) 33 of 24 pts to pass their current pace, 29 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
2 FC Dallas Youth White NTX 3.00 (+1.29) 1st (2.68) 33 of 24 pts to pass their current pace, 29 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
3 NTX United FC NTX 2.00 (+0.29) 3rd (1.87) 18 of 24 pts to pass their current pace, 17 for their projection
4 Dutch FC NTX 1.89 (+0.18) 4th (1.81) 17 of 24 pts to pass their current pace, 16 for their projection

How the results connect

36 chains · 9 teams

Paths of results that link DKSC NTX to Nido Dallas NTX through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

2 favour us
3 even
31 favour them
-3.0 goals per chain on average. The results point their way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
1–0 1–3 1–1 2–5 1–1 0–3 2–2 2–6 5–2 0–3 2–0 0–2 2–0 4–2 2–0 3–1 2–2 1–1 DKSC NTX 5th Atlético Dallas You… 8th FC Dallas Youth NTX… 12th FC Dallas Youth NTX 13th Dutch FC NTX 4th Sting Brave NTX 11th Atletico Dallas You… 9th FC Dallas Youth Blu… 10th Nido Dallas NTX 1st

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

12 chains

Position over the season

20 game days

1st 8th 16th Aug 21 Aug 29 Sep 6 Sep 19 Oct 10 Oct 18

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty +0.29 · 5th hardest of 16

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Mon Jan 1
TBD
no score posted		 FC Dallas Youth NTX Che
15th · 2-0-7 · GD -17		 Home
●●○○○ Lean win
72%		 2–0 2.32 1.79 Bank it
Sat Oct 24
03:20 PM		 Nido Dallas NTX
1st · 8-0-0 · GD +26		 Home
Dallas Soccer Park		 ●●●●● Very tough
17%		 0–2 0.73 1.67 Upside
Sun Nov 1
03:20 PM		 FC Dallas Youth White NTX
2nd · 7-0-0 · GD +24		 Home
Dallas Soccer Park		 ●●●●● Very tough
17%		 0–2 0.71 1.57 Upside
Sun Nov 8
11:40 AM		 NTX Celtic FC NTX
7th · 4-1-3 · GD +7		 Away
Dallas Soccer Park		 ●●●●○ Tough
32%		 1–1 1.20 1.54 Upside
Sun Apr 4
08:00 AM		 SOLAR WHITE NTX
6th · 5-2-3 · GD +4		 Away
Dallas Soccer Park		 ●●●●○ Tough
34%		 1–1 1.29 1.52 Upside
Sun Apr 11
08:00 AM		 Atletico Dallas Youth Blue NTX
9th · 4-2-4 · GD -4		 Away
Dallas Soccer Park		 ●●●○○ Toss-up
46%		 1–1 1.61 1.53 Swing game
Sun Apr 18
03:20 PM		 Nido Dallas Blue NTX
14th · 2-1-6 · GD -10		 Home
Dallas Soccer Park		 ●●○○○ Lean win
63%		 2–1 2.07 1.57 Swing game
Sun Apr 25
05:10 PM		 FC Dallas Youth Blue NTX
10th · 4-0-5 · GD -6		 Away
Dallas Soccer Park		 ●●●○○ Toss-up
49%		 1–1 1.71 1.58 Swing game

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 Nido Dallas NTX 8800 326+26 243.00 WWWWW -0.18 -0.06 100% 1.5
2 FC Dallas Youth White NTX 7700 295+24 213.00 WWWWW -0.19 -0.09 100% 1.5
3 NTX United FC NTX 8512 1712+5 162.00 LWWWL +0.17 -0.17 68% 4.2
4 Dutch FC NTX 9522 2917+12 171.89 LWDWL -0.24 +0.28 63% 4.4
5 DKSC NTX 7331 117+4 121.71 WWWDD -0.36 +0.29 17% 6.6
6 SOLAR WHITE NTX 10523 2016+4 171.70 LWDLW +0.03 -0.00 26% 5.8
7 NTX Celtic FC NTX 8413 2013+7 131.63 WLDWW -0.31 +0.32 19% 6.5
8 Atlético Dallas Youth NTX Hernand 10424 1513+2 141.40 WLLWW +0.06 -0.08 4% 7.8
9 Atletico Dallas Youth Blue NTX 10424 2327-4 141.40 DLWLL +0.13 +0.02 2% 9.0
10 FC Dallas Youth Blue NTX 9405 1319-6 121.33 WWLLW -0.19 +0.38 0% 10.8
11 Sting Brave NTX 9324 1922-3 111.22 LLDLW +0.14 -0.15 1% 9.6
12 FC Dallas Youth NTX Vargas 9225 1825-7 80.89 LLDWD -0.06 +0.26 0% 12.6
13 FC Dallas Youth NTX 9225 1120-9 80.89 WDLLL +0.53 -0.60 0% 11.7
14 Nido Dallas Blue NTX 9216 1727-10 70.78 LLLWL -0.00 +0.16 0% 13.2
15 FC Dallas Youth NTX Che 9207 1431-17 60.67 LWLLL -0.07 +0.43 0% 14.7
16 Kernow Storm FC NTX Penna 9009 1442-28 00.00 LLLLL -0.17 +0.67 0% 16.0

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.14 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.