FC Dallas Youth White NTX

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Dallas Soccer Park, Field 14 ↗

●○○○○ Favorable to win

Most likely score 7–0 (expected goals 7.3 for, 0.9 against · 2.97 expected points)

Common opponents: NTX Celtic FC NTX — we 6–3; they 0–3. SOLAR WHITE NTX — we 5–1; they 0–3. Atletico Dallas Youth Blue NTX — we 3–1; they 3–4. Sting Brave NTX — we 4–0; they 4–6. FC Dallas Youth NTX Che — we 6–0; they 1–4.

• They leak goals — be greedy
  Kernow Storm FC NTX Penna concede 4.7/game; worst result 2–9 at Nido Dallas Blue NTX.

  Commit numbers forward, shoot early and often, and attack second balls. Goal difference is the tiebreaker on PPG, so keep playing to score for the full game — rotate players rather than pace.

• Expected win — the trap is complacency
  Model gives a 99% chance; likely score 7–0.

  Treat the first 15 minutes like a final: score early, then the game manages itself. This is the ideal game to give rotation players real minutes in the second half without risking points.

• Confidence is low on their side
  Kernow Storm FC NTX Penna have lost 9 straight (form: LLLLL).

  Teams on losing runs go quiet after conceding. An early goal usually ends the contest — start fast.

• Early kickoff
  Game time 08:00 AM.

  Light breakfast 2+ hours before, longer warm-up, and a loud start — early games are won by whoever is awake at the whistle.

• What a win does
  Nido Dallas NTX sit 1st on 3.00 PPG; we are on 3.00.

  A win moves us above Nido Dallas NTX on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.

Where we'd sit after the Kernow Storm FC NTX Penna game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (FC Dallas Youth White NTX – Kernow Storm FC NTX Penna) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 6 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Can we move up this round? Yes. With a 7–0 win we finish as high as 1st if every rival drops points, whatever the rivals do.

1. 1st 51%
2. 2nd 49%
3. 3rd <1%
4. 4th <1%
5. 5th <1%
6. 6th
7. 7th
8. 8th
9. 9th
10. 10th
11. 11th
12. 12th
13. 13th
14. 14th
15. 15th
16. 16th

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 8 remaining known games (max 3.00 PPG if we win out).