FC Dallas Youth NTX Che

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Dallas Soccer Park, Field 4 ↗

●●●●● Very tough to win

Most likely score 0–4 (expected goals 1.0 for, 4.7 against · 0.14 expected points)

Common opponents: Atletico Dallas Youth Blue NTX — we 1–3; they 3–0. Dutch FC NTX — we 1–5; they 6–2. Nido Dallas Blue NTX — we 3–5; they 6–0. FC Dallas Youth NTX Vargas — we 5–2; they 5–2. Atlético Dallas Youth NTX Hernand — we 0–4; they 3–1. FC Dallas Youth Blue NTX — we 0–2; they 2–0.

• Respect their attack
  Nido Dallas NTX score 4.0/game — well above the league's 2.1.

  Deny the easy goals first: compact shape between the lines, no fouls in shooting range, and a plan for their best outlet. Score first and make them chase.

• Hard to break down
  Nido Dallas NTX concede only 0.8/game with 4 clean sheet(s).

  Patience and width: move the ball quickly side to side to pull the block apart, and treat set pieces as your best chance — rehearse two corner routines and a near-post free-kick delivery.

• Finishing wins the tight ones
  Held scoreless 4 time(s): 0–3 vs NTX United FC NTX, 0–6 vs FC Dallas Youth White NTX, 0–4 at Atlético Dallas Youth NTX Hernand, 0–2 at FC Dallas Youth Blue NTX.

  Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.

• Underdog — play free, stay organised
  Model gives 3%; a draw (5%) would be a good result.

  Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.

• They arrive in form
  Nido Dallas NTX have won 8 straight.

  Don't let them settle: deny the first 10 minutes of rhythm with pressure on their first pass out of the back.

• What a win does
  Nido Dallas Blue NTX sit 14th on 0.78 PPG; we are on 0.67.

  A point moves us above Nido Dallas Blue NTX on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.

Where we'd sit after the Nido Dallas NTX game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (FC Dallas Youth NTX Che – Nido Dallas NTX) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 6 other games that week (Mon Nov 2 – Sun Nov 8); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Can we move up this round? No. With a 0–4 loss we stay 15th even if every rival loses, whatever the rivals do.

1. 1st
2. 2nd
3. 3rd
4. 4th
5. 5th
6. 6th
7. 7th
8. 8th
9. 9th <1%
10. 10th <1%
11. 11th 1%
12. 12th 2%
13. 13th 4%
14. 14th 15%
15. 15th 77%
16. 16th 1%

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 6 remaining known games (max 1.60 PPG if we win out).